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Site Centers (SITC)
NYSE:SITC

SITE Centers (SITC) AI Stock Analysis

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SITC

SITE Centers

(NYSE:SITC)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▲(18.11% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
The score is driven primarily by improved leverage and a constructive price trend, but is held back by the sharp 2025 deterioration in operating/free cash flow and higher uncertainty in earnings quality due to volatile profitability and revenue compression. Valuation is supportive (modest P/E and very high yield), though the cash-flow sustainability risk limits upside.
Positive Factors
Deleveraging / Balance Sheet Strength
Reported material deleveraging and elimination of consolidated mortgage debt increases financial flexibility. Lower leverage reduces interest obligations, supports capital returns or opportunistic redeployment, and gives management capacity to execute strategic options without near-term refinancing risk.
Disciplined Asset Monetization & Returns
Aggressive, executed asset sales and large shareholder distributions show a clear capital-return strategy. Realizing value from non-core assets crystallizes gains for investors and demonstrates management discipline to monetize assets rather than retain underperforming holdings, supporting cash returns.
Defensive Retail Focus
Concentration in grocery-anchored, essential-service open-air centers supports more stable occupancy and tenant cash flows versus discretionary retail. Such tenancy and location focus typically generate resilient rental income, less cyclicality, and stronger tenant retention over multi-year horizons.
Negative Factors
Sharp Cash Flow Deterioration
Operating and free cash flow plunged in the latest period, undermining the company’s ability to sustainably fund dividends, capex, or debt-neutralizing activity from operations. Persistent weak cash generation raises questions about earnings quality and long-term distributable cash.
Revenue Collapse & Earnings Volatility
A severe revenue contraction and choppy historical top-line reduce confidence in recurring rental revenue. Reported high net margins appear driven by non-recurring items, so operating profitability may be unreliable, complicating forecasting and sustainable payout capacity over the medium term.
Shrinking Asset Base / Strategic Wind‑Down Risk
Large-scale asset liquidations materially reduce the recurring rent roll and platform scale, shifting the business toward monetization rather than organic growth. This shrinkage can increase earnings volatility and leave the company exposed to execution risk during the residual disposition phase.

SITE Centers (SITC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SITE Centers Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSITE Centers is an owner and manager of open-air shopping centers that provide a highly-compelling shopping experience and merchandise mix for retail partners and consumers. The Company is a self-administered and self-managed REIT operating as a fully integrated real estate company, and is publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol SITC.
How the Company Makes MoneySITE Centers generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of shopping centers. The company's revenue model is based on leasing retail spaces to tenants, which includes both fixed rent and potential percentage rents linked to tenant sales. Additionally, SITE Centers benefits from lease renewals and escalations built into its contracts, contributing to steady income growth. The company also engages in strategic asset management and redevelopment initiatives to enhance property value and tenant appeal. Key partnerships with retailers and a focus on high-traffic locations further bolster its revenue streams, enabling SITE Centers to maintain a consistent cash flow and deliver shareholder value.

SITE Centers Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2024
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a generally positive outlook with strong transaction activity and leasing performance, particularly in the Curbline portfolio. However, there were some concerns about occupancy challenges and volatility in operating metrics. Overall, the strategic focus on growth and strong leasing spreads were positive indicators.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Transaction Activity
Closed nearly $1 billion of transactions in Q2 2024, including $951 million of wholly-owned property sales year-to-date, with an additional $1 billion of real estate under contract or negotiation.
Strong Leasing Performance
Reported 24% trailing 12-month new leasing spreads for the Curbline portfolio, with almost 50% straight-line new leasing rent spreads for the trailing 12-month period.
Convenience Portfolio Growth
Acquired five Convenience Properties in Q2 for $65 million and closed another $27 million of acquisitions in Q3 to date, with $200 million of additional Convenience assets awarded or under contract.
High Retention and Strong Credit
National tenant retention is mid-90%, and local tenant retention is around mid-80%, with an overall strong credit tenant base.
Negative Updates
Occupancy Challenges
Leased rate was down 100 basis points sequentially due to the sale of assets with high lease rates and acquisition of vacant spaces.
Volatility in Operating Metrics
Operating metrics for both SITE and Curb remain volatile due to a smaller asset base, with potential variability in future performance.
Company Guidance
During the SITE Centers' Q2 2024 earnings call, guidance provided included several key metrics and strategic updates. The company closed nearly $1 billion in transactions for the quarter, including over $50 million in debt purchases or retirements. The Curbline Properties portfolio, which is part of a planned spin-off expected in October 2024, reported a 24% trailing 12-month new leasing spread. The portfolio comprises 72 wholly-owned Convenience Properties, expected to generate about $84 million in NOI, and boasts a same-store NOI growth projection greater than 3% for the next three years. SITE Centers has closed $951 million in property sales year-to-date, with a total of $1.8 billion in dispositions at an average cap rate of 7.1%. The company has over $1 billion of real estate either under contract or in negotiation, with an anticipated overall cap rate in the mid-7s. The call emphasized the continued focus on acquisitions, with $65 million in Convenience Property purchases in Q2 and over $200 million awarded or under contract, highlighting an acquisition strategy centered on high-income areas and minimal CapEx requirements.

SITE Centers Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet leverage improved materially (debt-to-equity falling to ~0.58x by 2024 and showing zero debt in 2025 data), but operating cash flow and free cash flow weakened sharply in 2025 (OCF down to ~$19.6M from ~$114.8M in 2024). Reported profitability is high but appears volatile and potentially influenced by non-recurring items alongside a sharp 2025 revenue contraction, reducing confidence in earnings durability.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Profitability is strong but volatile. The company posted very high net profit margins from 2023–2025 (roughly ~59% to ~192%), but this appears driven by non-recurring items given the sharp revenue contraction in 2025 (revenue down materially vs. 2024 despite the stated growth rate). Revenue has been choppy and generally declining from 2021–2024, which limits confidence in the underlying earnings power, even though reported net income remains elevated.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Leverage improved meaningfully over time. Debt-to-equity declined from ~1.07x in 2020 to ~0.58x in 2024, and 2025 shows zero debt in the dataset, which—if accurate—would be a major de-risking. The main concern is the very large drop in total assets and equity in 2025 versus prior years, suggesting major asset sales/spin activity or other structural change that reduces the size of the balance sheet and can increase earnings volatility going forward.
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
Cash generation weakened sharply in the most recent period. Operating cash flow fell to ~$19.6M in 2025 from ~$114.8M in 2024, and free cash flow dropped similarly; the 2025 free-cash-flow decline is severe. While free cash flow matched net income in several earlier years (2020–2023) and was about half of net income in 2024, the latest cash flow profile looks less reliable and raises questions about earnings quality and sustainability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue52.13M103.59M277.47M452.62M479.22M532.86M
Gross Profit25.11M0.00181.80M308.81M324.61M380.08M
EBITDA102.37M207.59M716.89M524.34M419.63M389.12M
Net Income37.61M177.86M531.82M265.70M168.72M124.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets653.96M225.74M933.60M4.06B4.05B3.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments128.23M119.03M54.59M551.97M20.25M41.81M
Total Debt248.70M0.00301.37M1.63B1.71B1.68B
Total Liabilities345.67M83.97M416.86M1.89B1.95B1.92B
Stockholders Equity308.29M334.76M516.74M2.18B2.09B2.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-11.42M19.61M56.05M238.53M257.26M282.51M
Operating Cash Flow-1.17M19.61M114.84M238.53M257.26M282.51M
Investing Cash Flow340.75M705.39M1.84B559.90M-167.56M74.45M
Financing Cash Flow-1.29B-669.86M-2.46B-250.62M-111.74M-388.13M

SITE Centers Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.35
Price Trends
50DMA
6.37
Positive
100DMA
6.37
Positive
200DMA
6.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Negative
RSI
68.37
Neutral
STOCH
76.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SITC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.46, below the 50-day MA of 6.37, and below the 200-day MA of 6.36, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SITC.

SITE Centers Risk Analysis

SITE Centers disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SITE Centers reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SITE Centers Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$4.09B35.9216.81%3.38%9.59%8.34%
68
Neutral
$831.73M29.5911.88%7.89%5.75%-37.69%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$344.15M12.032.46%-69.63%-95.99%
62
Neutral
$2.73B215.580.57%3.83%8.85%27.38%
58
Neutral
$5.39B-18.89%3.61%8.06%74.26%
57
Neutral
$1.16B8.6838.93%6.79%5.74%294.33%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SITC
SITE Centers
6.75
-0.18
-2.61%
MAC
Macerich
20.74
3.38
19.45%
BFS
Saul Centers
34.14
-0.69
-1.98%
SKT
Tanger
37.63
3.47
10.15%
AKR
Acadia Realty
20.77
-1.60
-7.16%
CBL
CBL & Associates Properties
38.14
9.55
33.40%

SITE Centers Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
SITE Centers Repays Loan, Eliminates Material Debt Agreement
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

On December 18, 2025, SITE Centers Corp. fully repaid approximately $64 million of outstanding principal under a loan agreement originally entered into on August 7, 2024 with affiliates of Atlas SP Partners and Athene Annuity and Life Company. The repayment eliminates this debt obligation from the company’s balance sheet, potentially improving financial flexibility and reducing interest expense for shareholders and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SITC) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SITE Centers stock, see the SITC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
SITE Centers Amends Executive Agreements for Stability
Neutral
Dec 4, 2025

SITE Centers has amended the employment agreements for its CFO, Gerald R. Morgan, and General Counsel, Aaron M. Kitlowski, to enhance retention incentives as the company seeks to sell its remaining wholly-owned properties and monetize joint venture investments. The amendments, effective December 4, 2025, adjust the severance compensation structure for these key officers in the event of a change in control, increasing potential payouts to 2.5 times their annual salary and average bonus, reflecting a strategic move to secure leadership stability during this transitional phase.

The most recent analyst rating on (SITC) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SITE Centers stock, see the SITC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026