tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Cbl & Associates Properties, Inc. (CBL)
NYSE:CBL

CBL & Associates Properties (CBL) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
48 Followers

Top Page

CBL

CBL & Associates Properties

(NYSE:CBL)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$38.00
▲(0.72% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/19/26
The score is held back primarily by below-average financial resilience—high leverage, weakened 2025 cash flow, and a major gross margin disruption—despite a clear earnings recovery. Technicals are neutral-to-mildly constructive (above longer-term moving averages), and valuation is a key positive with a low P/E and high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue stabilization and earnings recovery
CBL returned to modest top-line growth in 2025 with revenue up 4.5% and a substantially improved net margin (23.5%). A stable revenue trend and restored profitability provide a stronger earnings base to support leasing, redevelopment and long-term cash generation versus prior loss years.
Positive operating cash flow history
Despite volatility, CBL produced positive operating cash flow across 2021–2025 and achieved strong cash coverage versus debt in 2024. This demonstrated ability to convert property cash rents to operating liquidity supports debt servicing and reinvestment when cash generation normalizes.
Management alignment via updated incentives
The board restructured compensation to link senior pay to quantitative operational and capital metrics plus multi-year TSR performance stock units. That alignment strengthens incentives for execution on leasing, redevelopment and mortgage-maturity management, improving long-term capital allocation discipline.
Negative Factors
Very high leverage
CBL's persistent, very high leverage (debt/equity ~5.8x in 2025) materially limits financial flexibility. In a rate-sensitive retail REIT, elevated debt increases refinancing and interest-rate risk, raising vulnerability to cash-flow shocks or property value declines over the medium term.
Material cash-flow deterioration in 2025
A large drop in operating cash flow and free cash flow in 2025 weakens near-term liquidity available for debt service and capex. Given prior volatility and sizeable debt, sustaining operations and funding redevelopments without asset sales or new capital may be challenging for several quarters.
Gross margin collapse and quality concerns
The dramatic gross margin decline to 7.6% in 2025 signals an unusual earnings mix or one-off distortions that undermine recurring profitability visibility. Persistent margin volatility reduces predictability of cash returns from leasing and redevelopment, complicating long-term planning.

CBL & Associates Properties (CBL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CBL & Associates Properties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHeadquartered in Chattanooga, TN, CBL Properties owns and manages a national portfolio of market-dominant properties located in dynamic and growing communities. CBL's portfolio is comprised of 106 properties totaling 65.7 million square feet across 25 states, including 64 high quality enclosed, outlet and open-air retail centers and 8 properties managed for third parties. CBL seeks to continuously strengthen its company and portfolio through active management, aggressive leasing and profitable reinvestment in its properties.
How the Company Makes MoneyCBL generates revenue primarily through leasing retail space within its shopping centers to various tenants, including national retailers, regional businesses, and restaurants. The company earns rental income from both fixed lease agreements and percentage leases, where tenants pay a base rent plus a percentage of their sales. Additionally, CBL benefits from ancillary income sources, such as common area maintenance fees, signage fees, and advertising revenues. The company's strategic partnerships with retailers and its focus on property management and redevelopment initiatives further enhance its earnings potential. Moreover, CBL may engage in property sales or joint ventures, contributing to its overall financial performance.

CBL & Associates Properties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Earnings and revenue improved in 2025 (revenue +4.5%, net margin 23.5%), but financial quality is constrained by very high leverage (debt-to-equity ~5.8x) and a sharp 2025 deterioration in operating/free cash flow (OCF down to $71.8M from $202.2M; FCF down 66.7%). The 2025 gross margin collapse to 7.6% also raises consistency concerns.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Revenue has stabilized and returned to modest growth in 2025 (+4.5% after two down years), and profitability has improved sharply versus 2021–2022 when results were deeply negative. Net profit margin rebounded to 23.5% in 2025 (from 11.4% in 2024 and near-breakeven in 2023). However, gross margin collapsed in 2025 to 7.6% from ~65% historically, creating a major quality/consistency concern in the income statement trend despite stronger bottom-line results.
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Leverage is high and persistent, with debt-to-equity around ~5.8–6.8x in recent years (2025 at 5.8x), which limits financial flexibility in a rate-sensitive retail REIT environment. Equity remains relatively small versus the debt load, increasing risk if property values or cash flows weaken. Return on equity improved significantly in 2024–2025 (18% to 36%), but it follows very weak/negative readings in 2021–2022, underscoring a balance sheet that is still geared and less resilient.
Cash Flow
44
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains positive in 2021–2025, but it dropped materially in 2025 to $71.8M from $202.2M in 2024, with free cash flow down 66.7% year over year. Earlier years show volatility, including negative operating/free cash flow in 2020. The company did generate solid cash flow relative to debt in 2024 (operating cash flow covering ~91% of total debt added/serviced per the provided coverage figure), but the 2025 step-down weakens near-term cash generation momentum.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue578.37M515.56M535.29M563.01M576.88M
Gross Profit43.71M340.41M348.15M371.28M388.43M
EBITDA476.12M368.92M388.93M398.01M339.35M
Net Income135.97M58.97M6.55M-93.48M-622.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.73B2.75B2.41B2.68B2.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments152.95M283.94M296.33M337.14M319.55M
Total Debt2.17B2.21B1.97B2.11B2.36B
Total Liabilities2.36B2.43B2.08B2.31B2.54B
Stockholders Equity374.94M323.55M339.32M370.54M396.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow71.79M202.22M183.52M208.23M38.77M
Operating Cash Flow71.79M202.22M183.52M208.23M38.77M
Investing Cash Flow17.24M65.01M1.70M-156.69M87.33M
Financing Cash Flow-91.23M-236.50M-204.09M-145.80M-158.41M

CBL & Associates Properties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price37.73
Price Trends
50DMA
36.75
Positive
100DMA
33.83
Positive
200DMA
30.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.33
Negative
RSI
58.17
Neutral
STOCH
86.45
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CBL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.25, above the 50-day MA of 36.75, and above the 200-day MA of 30.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.45 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CBL.

CBL & Associates Properties Risk Analysis

CBL & Associates Properties disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CBL & Associates Properties reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CBL & Associates Properties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.52B17.3710.34%3.97%4.44%107.23%
74
Outperform
$1.88B23.327.79%6.77%8.17%9.96%
68
Neutral
$848.82M30.2011.88%7.89%5.75%-37.69%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
57
Neutral
$1.13B8.5237.88%6.79%5.74%294.33%
55
Neutral
$344.68M12.012.46%-69.63%-95.99%
52
Neutral
$1.19B42.3722.99%8.39%-7.52%-22.75%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CBL
CBL & Associates Properties
37.85
9.09
31.61%
ALX
Alexander's
237.65
48.99
25.97%
SITC
SITE Centers
6.61
-0.63
-8.74%
GTY
Getty Realty
32.32
3.59
12.50%
BFS
Saul Centers
34.98
1.39
4.13%
WSR
Whitestone REIT
15.25
2.36
18.31%

CBL & Associates Properties Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
CBL Updates Executive Pay, Incentive and Retention Programs
Positive
Feb 17, 2026

On February 11, 2026, CBL & Associates Properties’ board compensation committee approved updated executive employment agreements for its named executive officers, resetting 2026 base salaries, tying severance to target bonus levels, standardizing post-termination health benefits and extending contract terms in connection with potential change-of-control events. The committee also raised 2026 annual cash bonus targets by 3% under a metrics-driven incentive plan, launched a three-year long-term incentive program combining performance stock units tied to absolute and relative total shareholder return with time-vested restricted stock, and formalized stock restriction terms for shares earned from 2023 performance awards, further aligning leadership pay with operational, financial and shareholder return goals.

The 2026 Annual Incentive Plan links most of CEO and senior executives’ bonuses to quantitative corporate metrics such as adjusted FFO, NOI, lease volumes, redevelopment milestones and mortgage maturity management, with the remainder based on detailed individual performance objectives including execution of the business plan, capital markets activity and relationship management. Under the 2026 LTIP, executives receive performance stock units that can pay out between zero and double the target based on three-year TSR outcomes versus REIT peers and absolute TSR thresholds, plus restricted stock that vests over three years or accelerates in specific termination and change-of-control scenarios, while new retirement-related vesting discretion gives the compensation committee more flexibility in managing leadership transitions and retention.

The most recent analyst rating on (CBL) stock is a Hold with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CBL & Associates Properties stock, see the CBL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 19, 2026