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Saul Centers (BFS)
NYSE:BFS
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Saul Centers (BFS) AI Stock Analysis

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BFS

Saul Centers

(NYSE:BFS)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$38.00
▲(22.07% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is driven mainly by solid but debt-constrained fundamentals (high leverage and weakening equity offset steady revenue and positive cash flow). Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend across key moving averages and positive MACD, and valuation is helped by a high dividend yield, though the P/E is only moderate.
Positive Factors
Steady Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue expansion across 2021–2025 and a TTM step-up indicate durable tenant demand for the company’s leased retail space. For a REIT, steady top-line growth supports recurrent rental cash flows, lease renewal leverage, and underpins long-term dividend sustainability absent major market shocks.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Leverage at roughly 3x–5x equity materially constrains financial flexibility. High debt amplifies refinancing and rate risk, limits capacity for opportunistic acquisitions or large redevelopments, and elevates the sensitivity of distributable cash to interest cost changes or rent disruptions over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Steady Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue expansion across 2021–2025 and a TTM step-up indicate durable tenant demand for the company’s leased retail space. For a REIT, steady top-line growth supports recurrent rental cash flows, lease renewal leverage, and underpins long-term dividend sustainability absent major market shocks.
Read all positive factors

Saul Centers (BFS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Saul Centers Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Saul Centers, Inc. is a self-managed, self-administered equity REIT headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland, which currently operates and manages a real estate portfolio of 60 properties which includes (a) 50 community and neighborhood shopping center...
How the Company Makes Money
Saul Centers makes money primarily by owning income-producing commercial real estate and collecting rent from tenants under lease agreements. The largest revenue stream is base minimum rent paid by tenants occupying space in the company’s shopping...

Saul Centers Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operations appear stable with steady revenue growth and generally solid profitability, supported by consistent positive operating/free cash flow. The key risk is the balance sheet: high leverage (debt ~3x–5x equity) and declining equity constrain flexibility, and recent free cash flow momentum has been uneven with thin cash flow coverage of total debt.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue296.25M291.56M268.85M257.21M245.86M239.22M
Gross Profit221.31M89.52M196.79M190.07M181.34M177.60M
EBITDA157.48M178.55M171.72M166.61M156.39M155.64M
Net Income36.83M37.51M50.65M52.69M50.19M48.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.16B2.16B2.13B1.99B1.83B1.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.33M8.74M10.30M8.41M13.28M14.59M
Total Debt1.06B1.60B1.53B1.39B1.22B1.14B
Total Liabilities1.68B1.69B1.63B1.49B1.31B1.22B
Stockholders Equity301.86M307.82M335.75M348.39M400.48M405.05M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow98.71M99.80M121.22M117.73M140.16M118.38M
Operating Cash Flow98.71M99.80M121.22M117.73M121.15M118.38M
Investing Cash Flow-78.34M-95.81M-188.73M-203.68M-116.89M-55.87M
Financing Cash Flow-17.54M-5.54M69.40M81.08M-5.58M-74.77M

Saul Centers Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price31.13
Price Trends
50DMA
33.36
Positive
100DMA
32.82
Positive
200DMA
31.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Positive
RSI
46.60
Neutral
STOCH
26.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BFS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 31.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.15, below the 50-day MA of 33.36, and below the 200-day MA of 31.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BFS.

Saul Centers Risk Analysis

Saul Centers disclosed 16 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Saul Centers reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Saul Centers Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$2.86B20.582.03%3.83%9.83%80.92%
69
Neutral
$1.95B50.0911.26%3.97%5.91%59.55%
67
Neutral
$823.17M21.6211.80%7.89%8.31%-28.42%
66
Neutral
$1.43B6.2449.14%6.79%10.29%160.54%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
54
Neutral
$1.21B65.0517.37%8.39%-3.73%-48.13%
52
Neutral
$285.99M75.4847.95%-67.13%-68.06%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BFS
Saul Centers
33.55
2.96
9.68%
ALX
Alexander's
236.93
35.12
17.40%
SITC
SITE Centers
5.44
-0.46
-7.75%
WSR
Whitestone REIT
18.97
7.12
60.07%
AKR
Acadia Realty
21.12
2.85
15.57%
CBL
CBL & Associates Properties
46.14
22.65
96.39%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026