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Alexander's Inc (ALX)
NYSE:ALX

Alexander's (ALX) AI Stock Analysis

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ALX

Alexander's

(NYSE:ALX)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$219.00
â–²(3.23% Upside)
Alexander's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance and technical analysis. The company's strong profitability and operational efficiency are offset by high leverage and declining revenue growth. The technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bearish trend, while the valuation metrics show a high P/E ratio but an attractive dividend yield. The recent refinancing deal is a positive development but does not significantly impact the overall score.
Positive Factors
Refinancing Deal
The refinancing reduces debt and extends maturity, improving financial flexibility and stability, crucial for long-term strategic planning.
Operational Efficiency
Strong margins indicate effective cost management and pricing power, supporting sustainable profitability and competitive positioning.
Cash Generation Ability
High cash conversion from operations ensures liquidity and supports reinvestment, dividends, and debt servicing, enhancing financial resilience.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk, potentially limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to interest rate hikes or economic downturns.
Declining Revenue Growth
Declining revenue growth can signal challenges in market demand or competitive pressures, impacting long-term growth prospects and valuation.
Free Cash Flow Decline
Declining free cash flow limits the ability to fund operations, investments, and dividends, potentially affecting financial health and investor confidence.

Alexander's (ALX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alexander's Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlexander's (ALX) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) based in the United States, primarily focused on the ownership, management, and development of high-quality retail and mixed-use properties. The company operates in key urban markets, providing a diverse portfolio that includes shopping centers, retail spaces, and other commercial real estate assets. Alexander's aims to enhance property value through strategic leasing, redevelopment, and value-added management strategies.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlexander's generates revenue primarily through leasing retail and commercial spaces to a variety of tenants, including national and regional retailers. The company's revenue model is centered on rental income, which is derived from long-term leases with tenants. Additionally, Alexander's benefits from ancillary income sources such as property management fees and lease-related services. The company may also engage in development projects to increase its asset base, which can lead to higher rental income in the long term. Strategic partnerships with retailers and other businesses enhance its revenue potential by securing stable, long-term tenants that drive consistent cash flow.

Alexander's Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 10, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong leasing activity, significant stock price increase, and successful redevelopment projects, particularly in the Penn District. However, the call also acknowledged a decline in comparable FFO, a slightly negative outlook for 2025, and the impact of high short-term interest rates on financial performance. Overall, the highlights suggest confidence in long-term growth, while the lowlights indicate short-term financial challenges.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Leasing Activity in New York
Leased 3.34 million square feet overall, including 2.65 million square feet of New York office space with starting rents at $104, showing 2.5% cash and 10.9% GAAP mark-to-market.
Significant Stock Price Increase
Vornado's stock price increased by 49% in 2024, following a 35% increase in 2023.
First REIT to Achieve 100% LEED Certification
Vornado Realty Trust's entire portfolio is 100% LEED certified, marking a significant sustainability milestone.
Penn District Developments
Penn Two expected to be 80% leased by year-end with above-underwriting rents, indicating strong demand and successful redevelopment.
Successful Refinancing and Debt Management
Refinanced 1535 Broadway and repaid $450 million unsecured bonds, improving financial flexibility.
Negative Updates
Decline in Comparable FFO
Comparable FFO was $2.26 per share for the year, down from 2023, due to lower NOI from known move-outs and higher net interest expense.
Negative Outlook for 2025
Expectations for 2025 earnings slightly lower than 2024 due to lease termination income impact and delays in vacancy backfilling.
High Short-Term Interest Rates
Short-term rates are expected to remain high, keeping borrowing costs elevated, impacting refinancing and overall financial performance.
Company Guidance
During the Vornado Realty Trust Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call, management highlighted several key metrics reflecting the company's positive trajectory. The company achieved a 49% increase in stock price for 2024, following a 35% rise in 2023. Leasing activity was robust, with 3.34 million square feet leased, including 2.65 million square feet of New York office space at an average starting rent of $104 per square foot. The office occupancy rate increased to 88.8%, and is expected to rise to 92.1% with the upcoming NYU master lease at 770 Broadway. Vornado also achieved 100% LEED certification across its portfolio. The company anticipates significant earnings growth by 2027, driven by positive market dynamics and leasing activity, despite predicting slightly lower results for 2025 compared to 2024.

Alexander's Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alexander's financial statements present a mixed picture. The company demonstrates strong profitability and operational efficiency, as evidenced by healthy margins. However, high leverage and declining revenue and free cash flow growth are areas of concern. The company needs to focus on improving revenue growth and managing its debt levels to ensure long-term financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a slight decline in revenue growth at -1.03%, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a healthy EBIT margin of 37.28% and a net profit margin of 17.14%, suggesting strong operational efficiency. Historical data shows fluctuating revenue growth, with a notable decline in 2020 but recovery in subsequent years. Profit margins have been relatively stable, indicating consistent profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 6.94 in the TTM period, which poses a risk. However, the company has managed to maintain a positive return on equity of 22.12%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is relatively low, reflecting the high level of debt financing, which could be a concern if interest rates rise or if the company faces financial stress.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth at -5.94% in the TTM period, which is a negative indicator. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.62 suggests that the company is generating sufficient cash from operations to cover its net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.84 indicates that a significant portion of net income is being converted into free cash flow, which is positive for liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue215.84M226.37M224.96M205.81M206.15M199.14M
Gross Profit213.97M226.37M123.75M205.81M206.15M110.74M
EBITDA125.91M144.16M117.41M117.69M184.86M98.57M
Net Income36.68M43.44M102.41M57.63M132.93M41.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.30B1.34B1.40B1.40B1.39B1.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments286.14M338.53M531.86M461.90M463.54M434.73M
Total Debt1.10B1.10B1.09B1.09B1.09B1.16B
Total Liabilities1.17B1.16B1.17B1.16B1.14B1.20B
Stockholders Equity128.33M176.86M237.66M236.50M252.59M203.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow80.83M54.11M109.11M102.55M118.47M78.07M
Operating Cash Flow80.83M54.11M109.11M102.55M118.47M78.07M
Investing Cash Flow-28.93M-13.22M321.81M-279.27M75.46M-32.46M
Financing Cash Flow-96.81M-200.03M-92.42M-92.31M-160.29M90.29M

Alexander's Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price212.14
Price Trends
50DMA
219.20
Negative
100DMA
222.96
Negative
200DMA
216.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Negative
RSI
46.38
Neutral
STOCH
32.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 212.14 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 215.08, below the 50-day MA of 219.20, and below the 200-day MA of 216.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ALX.

Alexander's Risk Analysis

Alexander's disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alexander's reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alexander's Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.63B21.737.54%6.77%8.17%9.96%
77
Outperform
$1.38B15.9510.34%3.97%4.44%107.23%
73
Outperform
$1.14B9.3237.88%6.79%5.74%294.33%
68
Neutral
$765.81M26.9811.88%7.89%5.75%-37.69%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
63
Neutral
$1.47B10,252.940.02%4.88%19.92%―
55
Neutral
$1.10B30.0322.99%8.37%-7.52%-22.75%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALX
Alexander's
214.52
29.63
16.03%
GTY
Getty Realty
27.77
-1.04
-3.61%
BFS
Saul Centers
31.07
-5.05
-13.98%
WSR
Whitestone REIT
13.63
0.05
0.37%
NTST
NETSTREIT
17.43
4.02
29.98%
CBL
CBL & Associates Properties
36.83
9.92
36.86%

Alexander's Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Alexander’s Completes $175 Million Refinancing Deal
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

On December 5, 2025, Alexander’s, Inc. completed a $175 million refinancing of its Rego Park II shopping center in Queens, New York. The new interest-only loan, maturing in December 2030, is set at SOFR plus 2.00%, currently 5.82%. This refinancing replaces a previous $198.5 million loan, reducing the debt by $23.5 million, and reflects the company’s strategic financial management to optimize its real estate investments.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025