tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Alexander's (ALX)
NYSE:ALX

Alexander's (ALX) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
216 Followers

Top Page

AL

Alexander's

(NYSE:ALX)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$242.00
â–²(7.56%Upside)
Alexander's stock is supported by strong operational efficiency and a bullish technical outlook, but faces challenges with high leverage and valuation concerns. The high dividend yield is a positive aspect for income-seeking investors.

Alexander's (ALX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alexander's Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlexander's, Inc. (ALX) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) primarily engaged in leasing, managing, and developing commercial properties. The company focuses on high-quality retail and office properties primarily located in the New York City metropolitan area. Alexander's operates with a strategic emphasis on maximizing the value and performance of its select property portfolio to generate consistent returns for its stakeholders.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlexander's, Inc. generates revenue primarily through leasing its real estate properties to retail and office tenants. The company's key revenue streams include rental income from long-term lease agreements with various tenants, which provides a steady and predictable cash flow. Additionally, Alexander's may earn income from property management services and ancillary services provided to tenants. The company's ability to maintain high occupancy rates and negotiate favorable lease terms contributes significantly to its earnings. Strategic partnerships with prominent retailers and businesses that lease space within Alexander's properties also enhance its revenue potential.

Alexander's Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 7.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong leasing activity, significant stock price increase, and successful redevelopment projects, particularly in the Penn District. However, the call also acknowledged a decline in comparable FFO, a slightly negative outlook for 2025, and the impact of high short-term interest rates on financial performance. Overall, the highlights suggest confidence in long-term growth, while the lowlights indicate short-term financial challenges.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Leasing Activity in New York
Leased 3.34 million square feet overall, including 2.65 million square feet of New York office space with starting rents at $104, showing 2.5% cash and 10.9% GAAP mark-to-market.
Significant Stock Price Increase
Vornado's stock price increased by 49% in 2024, following a 35% increase in 2023.
First REIT to Achieve 100% LEED Certification
Vornado Realty Trust's entire portfolio is 100% LEED certified, marking a significant sustainability milestone.
Penn District Developments
Penn Two expected to be 80% leased by year-end with above-underwriting rents, indicating strong demand and successful redevelopment.
Successful Refinancing and Debt Management
Refinanced 1535 Broadway and repaid $450 million unsecured bonds, improving financial flexibility.
Negative Updates
Decline in Comparable FFO
Comparable FFO was $2.26 per share for the year, down from 2023, due to lower NOI from known move-outs and higher net interest expense.
Negative Outlook for 2025
Expectations for 2025 earnings slightly lower than 2024 due to lease termination income impact and delays in vacancy backfilling.
High Short-Term Interest Rates
Short-term rates are expected to remain high, keeping borrowing costs elevated, impacting refinancing and overall financial performance.
Company Guidance
During the Vornado Realty Trust Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call, management highlighted several key metrics reflecting the company's positive trajectory. The company achieved a 49% increase in stock price for 2024, following a 35% rise in 2023. Leasing activity was robust, with 3.34 million square feet leased, including 2.65 million square feet of New York office space at an average starting rent of $104 per square foot. The office occupancy rate increased to 88.8%, and is expected to rise to 92.1% with the upcoming NYU master lease at 770 Broadway. Vornado also achieved 100% LEED certification across its portfolio. The company anticipates significant earnings growth by 2027, driven by positive market dynamics and leasing activity, despite predicting slightly lower results for 2025 compared to 2024.

Alexander's Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alexander's financial statements reflect strong operational efficiency with healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, revenue has slightly decreased, and high leverage poses a potential risk. The company has stable cash flow but lacks growth, necessitating strategic adjustments to improve financial sustainability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows moderate performance with a Gross Profit Margin of 44.48% and a Net Profit Margin of 18.03% for the TTM period. Revenue has slightly decreased by 2.87% from 2024 to 2025, indicating a possible slowdown. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 35.03% and 54.83%, respectively, demonstrating operational efficiency despite declining revenue.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 6.77, which indicates significant leverage and potential risk if earnings decline. The Return on Equity (ROE) for the TTM is 24.31%, which is strong, but the Equity Ratio is low at 37.87%, suggesting limited financial flexibility. The company should focus on reducing debt to improve its financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates a significant decline in Free Cash Flow from 2024 to 2025, with a negative Free Cash Flow Growth Rate. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.99, which is satisfactory. However, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is also 0.99, suggesting limited cash available for expansion after covering operating needs.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
219.89M226.37M224.96M205.81M206.15M199.14M
Gross Profit
97.80M85.91M123.75M115.37M185.01M110.74M
EBIT
92.48M116.61M117.41M86.23M109.14M104.43M
EBITDA
135.34M144.16M117.41M117.69M184.86M109.86M
Net Income Common Stockholders
39.65M43.44M102.41M57.63M132.93M41.94M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
319.90M338.53M531.86M461.90M463.54M434.73M
Total Assets
430.63M1.34B1.40B1.40B1.39B1.40B
Total Debt
1.10B1.10B1.11B1.09B1.09B1.16B
Net Debt
783.24M764.61M581.15M896.12M626.07M727.46M
Total Liabilities
1.17B1.16B1.17B1.16B1.14B1.20B
Stockholders Equity
163.09M176.86M237.66M236.50M252.59M203.23M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
39.31M54.11M109.11M102.55M118.47M78.07M
Operating Cash Flow
39.31M54.11M109.11M102.55M118.47M78.07M
Investing Cash Flow
-21.93M-13.22M321.81M-279.27M75.46M-32.46M
Financing Cash Flow
-200.83M-200.03M-92.42M-92.31M-160.29M90.29M

Alexander's Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price225.00
Price Trends
50DMA
211.27
Positive
100DMA
205.44
Positive
200DMA
207.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.75
Positive
RSI
54.91
Neutral
STOCH
52.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 225 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 224.41, above the 50-day MA of 211.27, and above the 200-day MA of 207.60, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.75 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALX.

Alexander's Risk Analysis

Alexander's disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alexander's reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alexander's Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GTGTY
76
Outperform
$1.63B23.987.23%6.40%7.80%4.15%
WSWSR
70
Outperform
$1.26B20.507.33%4.35%4.39%24.45%
69
Neutral
$1.35B―-0.88%5.13%21.91%-257.05%
BFBFS
68
Neutral
$845.61M23.2113.86%6.90%5.00%-14.72%
AKAKR
65
Neutral
$2.62B116.490.92%4.15%2.62%84.20%
61
Neutral
$2.85B10.720.40%6.07%5.80%-21.26%
ALALX
61
Neutral
$1.16B29.1320.16%8.00%-5.79%-63.07%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALX
Alexander's
225.00
30.94
15.94%
GTY
Getty Realty
28.97
3.90
15.56%
BFS
Saul Centers
34.21
-0.09
-0.26%
WSR
Whitestone REIT
12.40
-0.58
-4.47%
AKR
Acadia Realty
19.29
2.52
15.03%
NTST
NETSTREIT
16.39
0.28
1.74%

Alexander's Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Alexander’s Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Alexander’s, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where two main proposals were voted on. The first proposal involved the election of Steven Roth and Wendy A. Silverstein to the Board of Directors for a three-year term, both of whom were successfully elected. The second proposal, which was also approved, was the ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year 2025. The meeting saw a high participation rate, with approximately 94.87% of shares represented.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALX) stock is a Sell with a $135.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alexander’s stock, see the ALX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.