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Silicom Ltd (SILC)
NASDAQ:SILC

Silicom (SILC) AI Stock Analysis

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SILC

Silicom

(NASDAQ:SILC)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$20.50
▲(13.20% Upside)
The score is driven by a strong balance sheet and cash flow resilience plus improving guidance and business momentum from the earnings call. Offsetting this are weak recent income-statement performance (steep 2024 revenue decline and losses) and limited valuation support due to negative earnings, with technically strong but somewhat overextended momentum.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength
A very strong liquidity position and essentially no debt provide multi-quarter financial runway for R&D, production scaling and customer support without near-term financing. This preserves strategic optionality, reduces refinancing risk, and supports execution of design-win conversions over 2–6 months.
Cash generation resilience
Consistent free cash flow despite GAAP losses signals disciplined working-capital and cash management. Durable cash generation helps fund operations and targeted investments (AI/PQC efforts), lowers dilution pressure, and strengthens the firm's ability to capitalize on early design wins over the medium term.
Design-win momentum & customer expansion
Multiple design wins plus a rapid expansion by a global customer materially improve revenue visibility and validate product-market fit in edge and SmartNIC niches. Large account scaling implies recurring, higher-margin deployments and strengthens long-term commercial credibility with tier‑1 customers.
Negative Factors
Ongoing GAAP losses
Persistent GAAP losses constrain retained earnings and limit reinvestment capacity without using cash reserves or equity raises. Even with narrowing losses, continued unprofitability increases execution risk for scaling new product lines and may necessitate capital actions that dilute shareholders.
Customer concentration
Dependence on a single large customer elevates revenue volatility and negotiation risk; any slowdown or repricing by that client would disproportionately impact near-term receipts. This structural concentration undermines predictability of growth flows from design wins across a 2–6 month horizon.
Elevated inventory exposure
High inventory relative to liquidity ties up cash and risks obsolescence in fast-moving hardware segments. If product cycles or demand shift, inventory write-downs could pressure margins and cash, limiting flexibility to invest in priority growth areas like AI inference or PQC during the next several quarters.

Silicom (SILC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Silicom Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSilicom Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, markets, and supports networking and data infrastructure solutions for a range of servers, server-based systems, and communications devices in the United States, North America, Israel, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It offers server network interface cards; and smart cards, such as smart server adapters, which include redirector and switching cards, encryption and data compression hardware acceleration cards, forward error correction acceleration and offloading cards, time synchronization cards, and field programmable gate array-based cards. The company also provides virtualized and universal customer-premises equipment; edge devices for SD-WAN and NFV deployments; and distributed units for the 5G mobile infrastructure market. It serves original equipment manufacturing, cloud, telco, mobile, and related service provider customers. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Kfar Sava, Israel.
How the Company Makes MoneySilicom generates revenue through the sale of its networking hardware and solutions, which includes a variety of products such as NICs, DPUs, and other related equipment. The company's revenue streams are primarily derived from direct sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), cloud service providers, and telecommunications companies. Additionally, Silicom engages in partnerships with major technology firms to integrate its products into broader networking solutions, which can enhance its market reach and drive sales. The company's focus on innovation and customization allows it to command premium pricing for its products, contributing significantly to its earnings.

Silicom Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 29, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a predominantly positive outlook driven by a solid quarter that beat guidance (17% YoY growth to $16.9M), momentum from eight design wins, a broadened pipeline, an expanded key customer relationship that more than doubled expected annual revenue, improved gross margin (30.2%) and reduced net loss. The company also highlighted large long-term market opportunities (AI inference, PQC, white-label switching) and a strong balance sheet ($111M in working capital/marketable securities, $74M cash, no debt). Offsetting items include a remaining net loss, higher operating expenses due to currency impacts, customer concentration (~14% from one customer), sizable inventory, and the fact that the new strategic opportunities are still early-stage with limited near-term revenue. Overall, the positive operational and financial beats and strong liquidity outweigh the midterm risks and execution uncertainties.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Guidance Beat
Q4 revenue grew 17% year-over-year to $16.9 million, beating guidance of $15.0M–$16.0M. Management is targeting 2026 revenues of $16.5M–$17.5M, which they state represents ~18% growth year-over-year at the midpoint and supports expectation of accelerated double-digit growth in 2026.
Significant Design Win Momentum
Silicom secured eight major new design wins across edge systems, SmartNICs, and FPGA solutions in 2025, and is targeting an additional 7–9 design wins in 2026, giving management increased revenue visibility.
Large Customer Expansion
A global networking/security-as-a-service customer expanded deployments, increasing expected annual revenues from that account from $3–4M to $8–10M (more than double), with some incremental revenue expected in the coming months.
Improved Margins and Gross Profit
Gross profit was $5.1M with a gross margin of 30.2% in the quarter versus 29.1% a year earlier; short-to-mid-term gross margin range reiterated at 27%–32%.
Stronger Loss Position and Improved EPS
Net loss narrowed to $1.9M (loss per share $0.34) compared with a net loss of $5.1M (loss per share $0.87) in the prior-year quarter, reflecting improved operating performance.
Fortress Balance Sheet and Liquidity
Working capital and marketable securities totaled $111M at year-end, including $74M in cash equivalents and highly rated marketable securities, no debt, and $42M in inventory, representing roughly $20 per share in liquidity.
Identified Large Upside Market Opportunities
Management outlined three venture-style growth engines — AI inference (market referenced to approach ~$80B by decade end), post-quantum cryptography (~$3B by 2030), and white-label switching (~$6B by 2030) — with initial orders/POCs in place for AI inference and PQC solutions.
Negative Updates
Continued Quarterly Net Loss
Despite improvement, the company still reported a net loss of $1.9M for the quarter and remains unprofitable on a GAAP basis for the period presented.
Rising Operating Expenses and Currency Headwinds
Operating expenses increased to $7.5M in 2025 from $6.9M in 2024, and management attributed the increase to weakness of the U.S. dollar versus the Israeli shekel and Danish kroner—an identified near-term cost pressure.
Customer Concentration Risk
The company had one >10% customer in 2025 that accounted for ~14% of revenues, indicating customer concentration that could pose revenue risk if relationships change.
Inventory Level and Working Capital Exposure
Inventory was $42M of the $111M working capital and marketable securities balance, which could create exposure if demand patterns change or product-specific inventory becomes obsolete.
Upside Opportunities Still Early Stage
The AI inference, post-quantum cryptography, and white-label switching initiatives are in initial stages with almost no meaningful near-term revenue expected for the quarter and limited near-term impact anticipated for 2026; timing and revenue ramp remain uncertain.
Reliance on Non-GAAP Presentation
Management presented results primarily on a non-GAAP basis (excluding non-cash comp, certain taxes, leases, financial expenses), which may obscure full GAAP comparability for the quarter.
Company Guidance
Silicom guided 2026 revenues of $16.5–$17.5 million (midpoint $17.0M), which management said implies ~18% year‑over‑year growth at the midpoint and supports their expectation of accelerated double‑digit annual growth in 2026 and beyond; they also plan to secure 7–9 design wins in 2026 (after eight major design wins in 2025) and highlighted a recent customer expansion that lifted expected annual revenue from $3–4M to $8–10M (with some incremental revenue expected in the coming months). Management reiterated a short‑to‑mid‑term gross‑margin target of 27–32% (2025 gross margin 30.2%, $5.1M gross profit), noted 2025 operating expenses of $7.5M and a Q4 revenue increase of 17% YoY to $16.9M, and emphasized a strong balance sheet—working capital and marketable securities of $111M (including $74M cash and $42M inventory), no debt and roughly $20 per share—while flagging three upside markets (AI inference, PQC, white‑label switching) as potential additional growth drivers.

Silicom Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: the income statement is weak (sharp revenue decline in 2024 and negative margins), but the balance sheet is resilient (85% equity ratio, very low leverage) and cash flow is comparatively strong with positive free cash flow despite losses.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Silicom has faced significant challenges in maintaining revenue and profitability. The company reported a negative net profit margin and EBIT margin for 2024, indicating ongoing operational difficulties. Revenue declined sharply in 2024, reflecting a revenue growth rate of -53.2% from the previous year. Historically, Silicom has experienced fluctuating revenue growth, with a significant drop post-2022, affecting overall profitability and stability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Silicom demonstrates a solid equity base with a high equity ratio of 85.0% in 2024, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.05, suggesting minimal leverage risk. However, the return on equity has been negative due to net losses, impacting overall returns to shareholders. The company maintains a significant cash position, which supports its financial resilience despite recent losses.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Silicom's cash flow position is relatively strong, with a positive operating cash flow to net income ratio of -1.33 in 2024, indicating effective cash generation relative to reported losses. The company has shown consistent free cash flow generation, with a positive free cash flow in 2024 despite declining operating income. This provides a cushion for operational needs and potential investments, highlighting robust cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue59.51M58.11M124.13M150.58M128.46M107.40M
Gross Profit18.02M16.60M28.69M51.96M44.39M33.77M
EBITDA-11.84M-11.07M-616.00K22.34M15.49M8.63M
Net Income-15.07M-13.71M-26.41M18.31M10.54M5.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets151.21M150.41M167.73M216.20M219.60M195.89M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments55.14M72.14M54.93M34.75M37.55M60.79M
Total Debt6.41M6.47M5.95M7.84M9.19M10.10M
Total Liabilities31.63M22.57M19.47M36.90M61.14M41.05M
Stockholders Equity119.57M127.84M148.26M179.29M158.46M154.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0017.36M30.80M-6.18M-1.51M3.26M
Operating Cash Flow0.0018.29M31.93M-4.09M1.08M4.96M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-4.28M-7.52M8.27M16.77M15.43M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-9.88M-7.97M-1.05M-9.78M-16.52M

Silicom Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.11
Price Trends
50DMA
14.98
Positive
100DMA
15.99
Positive
200DMA
15.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.70
Negative
RSI
62.95
Neutral
STOCH
31.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SILC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.11 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.76, above the 50-day MA of 14.98, and above the 200-day MA of 15.67, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SILC.

Silicom Risk Analysis

Silicom disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Silicom reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Silicom Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$103.16M-10.04-10.53%-4.61%63.88%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
$130.75M-10.51-8.78%-9.26%36.90%
52
Neutral
$164.74M-7.88%-1.89%76.61%
51
Neutral
$50.46M-8.32-19.65%-1.53%55.08%
48
Neutral
$43.73M-25.99-6.86%9.55%65.17%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SILC
Silicom
20.20
3.30
19.53%
CMTL
Comtech Telecommunications
5.56
3.68
195.74%
KVHI
KVH Industries
6.51
0.52
8.68%
OCC
Optical Cable
4.93
-0.29
-5.56%
AIRG
Airgain
4.27
-2.35
-35.50%
FKWL
Franklin Wireless
4.10
-0.43
-9.49%

Silicom Corporate Events

Silicom Files New Investor Presentation Highlighting Growth Push in AI, Post‑Quantum Security and White‑Label Switching
Jan 29, 2026

On January 29, 2026, Silicom Ltd. filed a Form 6-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to furnish an updated investor presentation outlining its strategy and current traction in AI inference, post-quantum cybersecurity, and white-label switching. The presentation emphasizes Silicom’s strong balance sheet with significant cash, working capital and no debt, its ahead-of-plan core business with double-digit growth targeted for 2026, and early execution proof in its three new growth engines, including AI networking solutions already in customer proofs of concept, production-ready hardware-based post-quantum cryptography accelerators selected by leading customers, and white-label switching offerings that extend its existing networking expertise. By detailing large addressable markets, existing Tier-1 customer relationships, and current design wins and initial orders, the company positions these initiatives as incremental, long-term growth drivers that enhance—not repair—its core operations and seek to deliver venture-style upside to public-market investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (SILC) stock is a Hold with a $16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Silicom stock, see the SILC Stock Forecast page.

Silicom Posts Strong Q4 2025 Rebound and Targets Double-Digit Growth on AI, PQC and Switching Upside
Jan 29, 2026

On January 29, 2026, Silicom reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, showing a return to top-line growth and narrowing losses. Fourth-quarter 2025 revenue rose 17% year-on-year to $16.9 million, while the GAAP net loss shrank to $2.5 million from $6.1 million, with similar improvement on a non-GAAP basis; for full-year 2025, revenue increased 7% to $61.9 million and the GAAP net loss narrowed to $11.5 million from $13.7 million. Management highlighted better-than-projected growth in the core business, eight new design wins in 2025 and an expanding pipeline in edge systems, Smart NICs and FPGA-based adapters, including a global security-as-a-service customer that has quickly scaled into an $8–10 million annual account. Looking ahead, Silicom guided for first-quarter 2026 revenue of $16.5–$17.5 million, implying about 18% year-on-year growth at the midpoint and supporting expectations for double-digit growth in 2026, while positioning itself for “venture-scale” upside in three fast-growing markets: AI inference, where it is already running PoCs and receiving initial orders; PQC, where it claims to be among the few with mature, production-ready hardware accelerators and has already secured two leading customers; and white-label switching, where it has shipped initial platforms to a leading cybersecurity customer. The company argues that this combination of a steadily growing core business, a strong balance sheet and exposure to large emerging markets could materially enhance its long-term growth profile and competitive standing in networking and data infrastructure.

The most recent analyst rating on (SILC) stock is a Hold with a $16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Silicom stock, see the SILC Stock Forecast page.

Silicom to Join 28th Annual Needham Growth Conference in New York
Jan 6, 2026

On January 6, 2026, Silicom Ltd. announced that its management team will participate in the 28th Annual Needham Growth Conference, scheduled for January 13–14, 2026, at the Lotte New York Palace Hotel in New York. The company’s executives will be available for one-on-one meetings with investors throughout the event, underscoring Silicom’s ongoing efforts to engage the investment community and showcase its networking and data infrastructure solutions to growth-focused institutional investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SILC) stock is a Hold with a $16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Silicom stock, see the SILC Stock Forecast page.

Silicom Revenue Outlook Jumps as Global Networking Giant Expands Edge Device Deployment
Jan 5, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Silicom Ltd. announced that a global networking and security-as-a-service leader, which had granted it an initial Edge device design win in December 2024, has decided to deploy Silicom’s Edge systems across multiple additional use cases. This expanded engagement is expected to lift the annual revenue contribution from that customer from an estimated $3–4 million to $8–10 million, with part of the incremental revenue anticipated to be recognized already in 2026, underscoring the company’s strategy of building recurring, design-win-based business with large blue-chip clients and reinforcing its positioning as a sole edge networking hardware supplier for key accounts.

The most recent analyst rating on (SILC) stock is a Hold with a $16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Silicom stock, see the SILC Stock Forecast page.

Silicom Sets January 29 Date to Release Q4 and Full-Year 2025 Results
Jan 5, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Silicom Ltd. announced that it will release its fourth quarter and full-year 2025 financial results on January 29, 2026. Management will discuss the results and take investor questions during a same-day conference call scheduled for 9:00 a.m. Eastern Time, which will be accessible via webcast on the company’s website and through international dial-in numbers, with a replay available online for three months, signaling continued engagement with investors ahead of a key financial reporting milestone.

The most recent analyst rating on (SILC) stock is a Hold with a $16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Silicom stock, see the SILC Stock Forecast page.

Silicom Reports Q3 2025 Results with Strategic Wins and Future Growth Plans
Oct 30, 2025

Silicom Ltd. announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, reporting revenues of $15.6 million, a slight increase from the previous year, but also a net loss of $2.8 million on a GAAP basis. Despite the losses, the company achieved significant strategic milestones, including eight Design Wins, and anticipates double-digit growth in 2026 driven by advancements in Post-Quantum Cryptography and Edge solutions. The company is optimistic about future growth, targeting 7 to 9 new Design Wins in 2026, leveraging its strong technology portfolio and customer relationships.

The most recent analyst rating on (SILC) stock is a Hold with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Silicom stock, see the SILC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026