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Sifco Industries, Inc. (SIF)
XASE:SIF
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SIFCO Industries (SIF) AI Stock Analysis

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SIF

SIFCO Industries

(NYSE MKT:SIF)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$22.50
▲(246.15% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:07/09/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (TTM profitability recovery and better leverage), tempered by inconsistent historical results and weakening free-cash-flow momentum. Technicals are neutral-to-mildly constructive with mixed near-term signals, while valuation appears reasonable (P/E ~17.5) without dividend support.
Positive Factors
Profitability recovery
Trailing-twelve-month revenue growth and near-20% gross margins indicate the core aerospace manufacturing operations are regaining sustained profitability. This suggests improved cost control, pricing or mix that can support lasting operating leverage and better earnings visibility over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Weak cash flow momentum
A ~50% decline in FCF versus the prior period and a recent annual report showing slightly negative operating/free cash flow signal deteriorating cash momentum. This reduces cushions for cyclical downturns, constrains reinvestment capacity and raises financing vulnerability if trends persist.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability recovery
Trailing-twelve-month revenue growth and near-20% gross margins indicate the core aerospace manufacturing operations are regaining sustained profitability. This suggests improved cost control, pricing or mix that can support lasting operating leverage and better earnings visibility over coming quarters.
Read all positive factors

SIFCO Industries Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Customer Type
Revenue by Customer Type
Breaks revenue down by end customer groups (for example OEMs, aftermarket/MRO, energy or defense), highlighting where demand comes from and how concentrated it is. Dependence on a few large or cyclical customers increases risk, whereas a diversified mix with stable aftermarket work suggests more predictable revenue and greater pricing power.
Chart InsightsCommercial revenue spiked into mid‑2024 then collapsed and stabilized at a much lower run rate in 2025, while Military revenue has steadily recovered and accelerated through 2025—indicating a clear mix shift toward defense work. That reduces exposure to commercial cyclicality but increases reliance on government contracts and timing; investors should watch backlog/award visibility and margin mix, since future stability depends on sustaining military wins or reviving consistent commercial demand.
Data provided by:The Fly

SIFCO Industries (SIF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SIFCO Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
SIFCO Industries, Inc. specializes in manufacturing and distributing forged and precisely machined components, primarily serving the aerospace and energy sectors across North America and Europe. The company's core expertise encompasses forging, he...
How the Company Makes Money
SIFCO Industries makes money primarily by producing and selling manufactured components and assemblies to customers in the aerospace market. Revenue is generated when the company fulfills customer orders for its products (typically built to custom...

SIFCO Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TTM results show a meaningful operational recovery (revenue up 8.4%, improved profitability with ~19.9% gross margin and ~7.8% net margin) and a healthier leverage profile (debt-to-equity ~0.36). However, durability remains a key risk given multi-year volatility (including recent annual-period losses) and weaker cash-flow momentum (TTM free cash flow down ~50% vs the prior period and prior annual negative operating/free cash flow). KPI insights also suggest revenue mix volatility and growing dependence on defense-driven demand, increasing concentration/cadence risk.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue95.32M84.81M79.63M66.07M83.90M99.59M
Gross Profit18.94M10.59M5.98M3.35M-1.85M11.21M
EBITDA13.68M5.96M-725.00K-4.44M-2.69M6.33M
Net Income7.42M-718.00K-5.38M-8.69M-9.64M-743.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets78.19M73.39M104.62M96.28M97.27M110.67M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.39M2.04M1.71M368.00K1.17M346.00K
Total Debt17.83M23.80M37.92M37.45M34.63M37.39M
Total Liabilities36.75M36.51M74.20M61.95M56.58M61.05M
Stockholders Equity41.44M36.88M30.43M34.34M40.69M49.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.70M-555.00K-4.64M-3.82M-2.90M-1.09M
Operating Cash Flow6.13M-71.00K-2.65M-1.36M298.00K3.89M
Investing Cash Flow701.00K13.87M-1.99M-2.43M-3.19M-878.00K
Financing Cash Flow-6.36M-13.44M6.33M2.88M3.73M-3.11M

SIFCO Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price6.50
Price Trends
50DMA
20.29
Positive
100DMA
17.19
Positive
200DMA
11.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.83
Positive
RSI
50.98
Neutral
STOCH
20.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SIF, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.28, below the 50-day MA of 20.29, and below the 200-day MA of 11.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.83 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SIF.

SIFCO Industries Risk Analysis

SIFCO Industries disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SIFCO Industries reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SIFCO Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$3.11B57.6826.60%8.64%
64
Neutral
$137.72M18.3119.42%4.95%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$2.49B-4.86%6.48%-191.94%
54
Neutral
$68.16M37.426.74%-7.98%-7.88%
47
Neutral
$14.02M-11.94-11.98%-10.90%33.80%
43
Neutral
$54.25M-0.28-1651.00%1436.93%98.31%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SIF
SIFCO Industries
22.02
17.10
347.56%
ATRO
Astronics
72.50
43.95
153.95%
CVU
CPI Aerostructures
5.16
1.67
47.85%
DCO
Ducommun
165.05
76.59
86.58%
XTIA
XTI Aerospace
1.41
-0.65
-31.55%
AIRI
Air Industries Group
2.89
-0.63
-17.90%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 09, 2026