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Air Industries Group (AIRI)
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Air Industries Group (AIRI) AI Stock Analysis

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AIRI

Air Industries Group

(NYSE MKT:AIRI)

Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(2.94%Upside)
Air Industries Group's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including high leverage and profitability issues. While technical and valuation metrics are not particularly favorable, recent contract wins and backlog growth provide some optimism. The earnings call sentiment suggests potential for future improvement, but current financial hurdles weigh heavily.

Air Industries Group (AIRI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Air Industries Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAir Industries Group (AIRI) is a publicly traded aerospace and defense company that specializes in the design and manufacture of precision components and assemblies for the aerospace industry. The company primarily serves the defense sector but also caters to commercial aviation markets. With a focus on manufacturing complex flight safety and landing gear components, Air Industries Group is a key supplier to major aerospace companies and defense contractors.
How the Company Makes MoneyAir Industries Group generates revenue through its diverse range of aerospace and defense products, primarily by manufacturing and selling precision components and assemblies. Key revenue streams include the production of flight-critical components, landing gear, and other complex assemblies required for military and commercial aircraft. The company maintains strong relationships with major defense contractors and aerospace manufacturers, which are crucial for securing long-term contracts and repeat business. Air Industries Group's earnings are significantly influenced by defense spending and the demand for new aircraft production and maintenance services, making government contracts and partnerships with leading aerospace firms critical to its financial success.

Air Industries Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.86%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights several positive developments, including increased gross profit, a record book-to-bill ratio, and significant backlog, suggesting potential for future growth. However, these are tempered by decreased revenue and increased losses, both operating and net, due to stock compensation expenses. The sentiment is balanced, with optimism for future growth countered by current financial challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Gross Profit Despite Lower Sales
The company's gross profit increased in Q1 2025 despite a decrease in sales from $14.1 million in 2024 to $12.1 million in 2025, demonstrating improved operational efficiency.
Record Book-to-Bill Ratio
The book-to-bill ratio was 1.34 to 1, a 20% improvement from the prior year and an 80% increase since Q1 2023, indicating strong business development efforts and future sales growth.
Record Funded Backlog
The company's funded backlog reached a record $120 million, with the total backlog, including forecast orders, exceeding $0.25 billion.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 increased by $214,000 or nearly 60% compared to Q1 2024, reaching $576,000.
Debt Reduction
Total debt was reduced by approximately $1.6 million compared to December 31, 2024.
Negative Updates
Decreased Revenue
Consolidated net sales for Q1 2025 were $12.1 million, down from $14.1 million in Q1 2024.
Increased Operating Loss
Operating loss increased to $746,000 in Q1 2025 compared to a loss of $259,000 in the same period in 2024, largely due to an increase in non-cash expense for stock compensation.
Net Loss Increase
Net loss for Q1 2025 was $988,000 or $0.27 per share, compared to a loss of $706,000 or $0.21 per share in Q1 2024.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Air Industries Group reported a decrease in consolidated net sales to $12.1 million from $14.1 million in the same period of 2024. However, the gross margin improved by over $100,000, reaching approximately $2 million, with a gross margin percentage increase of 320 basis points to 16.8%. Operating expenses rose by 28.4% to $2.8 million, largely due to a $412,000 increase in stock compensation expense. Despite a net loss of $988,000 or $0.27 per share, compared to a loss of $706,000 or $0.21 per share in the first quarter of 2024, the adjusted EBITDA increased by nearly 60% to $576,000. The company's book-to-bill ratio stood at 1.34 to 1, reflecting a 20% improvement from the previous year, and its funded backlog reached a record $120 million, while the total backlog exceeded $0.25 billion. Additionally, Air Industries Group reaffirmed its belief that the full year of 2025 will surpass the results of 2024, despite variations in quarterly outcomes.

Air Industries Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company faces significant financial challenges, including high leverage, weak profitability, and negative cash flow. The debt-to-equity ratio is alarmingly high, and the net profit margin is negative, reflecting financial instability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a challenging financial performance. The gross profit margin for TTM is 17.04%, indicating decent cost management, but the company struggles with profitability as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -3.10%. Revenue has been volatile, with a recent decline from 2024 to TTM, indicating potential issues in revenue generation. EBIT and EBITDA margins are weak, reflecting operational inefficiencies and high fixed costs.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reflects high leverage and a weak equity position. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at an alarming 8.79 for TTM, highlighting significant financial risk. Return on equity is negative, indicating losses relative to shareholders' equity. The equity ratio of 31.59% shows a limited equity buffer to absorb financial fluctuations, presenting a concerning picture of financial stability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement indicates some challenges in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.26, showing the company generates cash from operations despite net losses. However, free cash flow is negative, and its growth rate is concerning, indicating difficulties in generating sufficient cash after capital expenditures. This could impact future investments and debt servicing capabilities.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue55.11M51.52M53.24M58.94M50.10M
Gross Profit8.93M7.43M7.45M10.25M6.51M
EBITDA3.45M2.75M3.33M6.19M4.46M
Net Income-1.37M-2.13M-1.08M1.63M1.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets51.01M50.72M53.81M53.42M57.78M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments753.00K346.00K281.00K627.00K2.50M
Total Debt27.87M25.77M28.51M27.29M31.90M
Total Liabilities36.06M35.52M36.98M36.04M42.67M
Stockholders Equity14.95M15.19M16.84M17.39M15.11M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.98M2.74M-1.91M2.70M-5.32M
Operating Cash Flow324.00K4.86M448.00K4.06M-1.52M
Investing Cash Flow-2.29M-2.11M-2.36M-1.36M-3.80M
Financing Cash Flow2.37M-2.69M1.57M-4.58M6.53M

Air Industries Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.40
Price Trends
50DMA
3.44
Negative
100DMA
3.50
Negative
200DMA
4.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
49.07
Neutral
STOCH
52.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AIRI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.45, below the 50-day MA of 3.44, and below the 200-day MA of 4.10, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AIRI.

Air Industries Group Risk Analysis

Air Industries Group disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Air Industries Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Air Industries Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$11.04B15.744.60%2.11%3.27%-26.87%
59
Neutral
$44.20M24.017.62%-7.34%-88.84%
55
Neutral
$31.08M-17.90%-3.45%54.42%
50
Neutral
$33.16M-327.59%
47
Neutral
$9.30M-44.54%-54.94%-24.76%
45
Neutral
$13.14M-11.05%0.29%31.48%
40
Underperform
$10.66M688.16%-46.28%93.33%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AIRI
Air Industries Group
3.40
-0.30
-8.11%
ASTC
Astrotech
5.46
-2.84
-34.22%
CVU
CPI Aerostructures
3.41
0.96
39.18%
SIF
SIFCO Industries
5.00
1.70
51.52%
XTIA
XTI Aerospace
2.00
-58.80
-96.71%
MNTS
Momentus
1.16
-7.06
-85.89%

Air Industries Group Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Air Industries Secures $5.4M B-52 Gear Contract
Positive
Jul 10, 2025

On July 10, 2025, Air Industries Group announced securing a $5.4 million contract for landing gear assemblies for the US Air Force B-52 aircraft, with deliveries scheduled from late 2026 through the third quarter of 2027. This contract marks the company’s first order from a new customer, highlighting its strategic focus on after-market spares, potentially strengthening its position in the aerospace and defense industry.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Air Industries Group Increases Authorized Stock Shares
Neutral
Jul 10, 2025

On July 8, 2025, Air Industries Group increased its authorized common stock shares from 6,000,000 to 20,000,000, following shareholder approval at the annual meeting on June 26, 2025. Additionally, the company amended its bylaws to change the quorum requirement for shareholder meetings from a majority to 33.33% of outstanding shares, effective the same day.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Air Industries Group Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 27, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Air Industries Group held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where several key proposals were voted upon. The stockholders elected directors for the upcoming year, approved amendments to increase the number of authorized shares and shares available under the 2022 Equity Incentive Plan, approved executive compensation, and ratified the appointment of CBIZ CPAs P.C. as the independent accounting firm for 2025.

Financial Disclosures
Air Industries Group to Announce Q1 2025 Results
Neutral
May 13, 2025

On May 13, 2025, Air Industries Group announced that it will release its financial results for the first quarter of 2025 on May 15, before the market opens. The company will also host a conference call on the same day to discuss the results. This announcement is part of the company’s ongoing communication with stakeholders and provides insights into its financial performance and future outlook.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 30, 2025