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Air Industries Group (AIRI)
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Air Industries Group (AIRI) AI Stock Analysis

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AIRI

Air Industries Group

(NYSE MKT:AIRI)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-3.54% Downside)
Air Industries Group's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance and valuation concerns. The company's high leverage, cash flow challenges, and negative profitability are significant risks. Technical analysis and earnings call sentiment provide some balance but do not offset the financial weaknesses.

Air Industries Group (AIRI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Air Industries Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAir Industries Group, an aerospace and defense company, designs, manufactures, and sells structural parts and assemblies for mission-critical aerospace and defense applications, and a prime contractor to the U.S. Department of Defense in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Complex Machining and Turbine and Engine Component. The Complex Machining segment offers aircraft landing and arresting gears, engine mounts, flight controls, throttle quadrants, and other components. Its products are deployed on a range of military and commercial aircraft, including Sikorsky's UH-60 Blackhawk, Lockheed Martin F-35 Joint Strike Fighter, Northrop Grumman E2D Hawkeye, the US Navy F-18, and USAF F-16 and F-15 fighter aircraft. The Turbine and Engine Component segment makes components and provides services for aircraft jet engines and ground-power turbines. Its jet engine components are used on the USAF F-15 and F-16, the Airbus A-330, the Boeing 777, and others, as well as ground-power turbine applications. The company's products are used by original equipment manufacturers in the manufacture of fixed wing aircraft, helicopters jet turbine engines, and other complex aerospace and defense products. Air Industries Group was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Bay Shore, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyAir Industries Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of its manufactured aerospace and defense components to OEMs (Original Equipment Manufacturers) and Tier 1 suppliers within the industry. The company has established long-term contracts with key clients, which provide a steady stream of revenue. Additionally, AIRI services government contracts, particularly in the defense sector, which contribute significantly to its earnings. The company benefits from partnerships with major aerospace firms and defense contractors, enhancing its market presence and facilitating access to larger projects. Overall, AIRI's revenue model is built on a combination of direct sales, government contracts, and strategic partnerships that leverage its manufacturing capabilities in the aerospace and defense markets.

Air Industries Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 14, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment with significant achievements like record backlog levels and successful capital raising, but these were overshadowed by decreased sales, operational challenges, and adjusted lower outlook for the second half of 2025.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Capital Raising
In early July 2025, Air Industries Group successfully completed an at-the-market offering, raising nearly $4 million in gross proceeds from the sale of 1,003,653 common shares, enhancing their balance sheet and increasing liquidity.
Record Backlog Levels
The company's backlog has grown to record levels in the first half of 2025, reflecting sustained demand for their products, with significant contracts like a $5 million deal for B-52 aircraft components.
Recognition and New Orders
Air Industries received the Supplier Excellence Award from Northrop Grumman and secured more than $10 million in new orders from both new and existing clients for aftermarket products.
Negative Updates
Decreased Net Sales and Profitability
Consolidated net sales for Q2 2025 were $12.7 million, a decrease of 6.7% compared to Q2 2024. The company also reported a net loss of $422,000 compared to a net income of $298,000 in the previous year.
Operational Challenges
The company faced delays in customer approvals and extended lead times from subcontractors, impacting results. There was also a higher noncash stock compensation, contributing to a net loss for the quarter.
Adjusted Outlook
Air Industries adjusted its outlook for the second half of 2025, expecting results to be lower than the first half due to ongoing challenges.
Company Guidance
During the Air Industries Group's second quarter 2025 earnings call, several key metrics and forward-looking statements were discussed. The company reported consolidated net sales of $12.7 million for Q2 2025, marking a 6.7% decrease from the same quarter in 2024. Gross profit was $2 million, representing 16% of sales, with a net loss of $422,000 or $0.11 per share compared to a net income of $298,000 or $0.09 per share in Q2 2024. Adjusted EBITDA for the first half of 2025 was $1.469 million, down 17% from the prior year. The company completed an at-the-market offering in July 2025, raising nearly $4 million, which improved liquidity and reduced net debt. Despite a disappointing first half and anticipated lower second-half results, they expect the fourth quarter to be the strongest. Notably, the backlog has reached record levels, and major contracts, such as a $5 million contract for B-52 aircraft components, are expected to contribute to revenue from 2026 onwards. To improve profitability, the company has implemented cost-cutting initiatives, including a workforce reduction to save approximately $1 million annually.

Air Industries Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Air Industries Group faces significant financial challenges with declining revenue, negative net income, high debt-to-equity ratio, and cash flow inefficiencies. These factors indicate financial instability and potential risk for investors.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Air Industries Group's income statement shows a challenging financial position with declining revenue and negative net income in the TTM period. The gross profit margin has slightly improved over the years, but the net profit margin remains negative, indicating ongoing profitability issues. The revenue growth rate has been inconsistent, with a notable decline in the TTM period. Overall, the company struggles with profitability and revenue growth, which impacts its financial health.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, particularly in the TTM period, which suggests significant leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is relatively low, further highlighting the company's reliance on debt financing. These factors suggest financial instability and potential risk for investors.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative free cash flow growth and a negative free cash flow to net income ratio in the TTM period, indicating cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting inefficiencies in converting income into cash. These metrics highlight the company's struggles with cash generation and liquidity, which could impact its ability to fund operations and growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue52.27M55.11M51.52M53.24M58.94M50.10M
Gross Profit8.44M8.93M7.43M7.45M10.25M6.51M
EBITDA2.62M3.45M2.75M3.33M6.19M4.46M
Net Income-2.37M-1.37M-2.13M-1.08M1.63M1.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets50.38M51.01M50.72M53.81M53.42M57.78M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments507.00K753.00K346.00K281.00K627.00K2.50M
Total Debt26.36M27.87M25.77M28.51M27.29M31.90M
Total Liabilities35.11M36.06M35.52M36.98M36.04M42.67M
Stockholders Equity15.27M14.95M15.19M16.84M17.39M15.11M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.32M-1.98M2.74M-1.91M2.70M-5.32M
Operating Cash Flow1.86M324.00K4.86M448.00K4.06M-1.52M
Investing Cash Flow-3.17M-2.29M-2.11M-2.36M-1.36M-3.80M
Financing Cash Flow1.57M2.37M-2.69M1.57M-4.58M6.53M

Air Industries Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.11
Price Trends
50DMA
3.26
Negative
100DMA
3.35
Negative
200DMA
3.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
44.67
Neutral
STOCH
15.58
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AIRI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.18, below the 50-day MA of 3.26, and below the 200-day MA of 3.65, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.58 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AIRI.

Air Industries Group Risk Analysis

Air Industries Group disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Air Industries Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Air Industries Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
57
Neutral
45.06M-57.07-2.07%-17.56%91.53%
49
Neutral
33.10M-33.69-3.90%-14.35%-105.66%
47
Neutral
8.71M-0.58-54.94%-24.76%
42
Neutral
$14.60M-15.70%-2.11%-43.44%
41
Neutral
15.13M-0.09447.45%-70.65%90.41%
40
Underperform
48.71M-0.03-389.23%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AIRI
Air Industries Group
3.11
-2.42
-43.76%
ASTC
Astrotech
4.90
-3.30
-40.24%
CVU
CPI Aerostructures
2.50
-0.89
-26.25%
SIF
SIFCO Industries
6.82
2.08
43.88%
XTIA
XTI Aerospace
1.51
-45.99
-96.82%
MNTS
Momentus
1.24
-4.78
-79.40%

Air Industries Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Air Industries Secures $6.9M Contracts for Aircraft Components
Positive
Sep 3, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Air Industries Group announced it secured two contracts valued at approximately $6.9 million for Fixed Wing Landing Gear Components and Rotorcraft Components for Combat Helicopters. These contracts, which support the Maintenance, Repair, & Overhaul of aircraft, significantly boost the company’s aftermarket bookings to over $13 million, accounting for nearly 50% of new business since the end of the first quarter. This achievement aligns with Air Industries’ strategic goal of increasing its penetration in the aftermarket sector for 2025 and beyond, demonstrating its success in this area.

The most recent analyst rating on (AIRI) stock is a Sell with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air Industries Group stock, see the AIRI Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Air Industries Group to Release Q2 2025 Results
Neutral
Aug 12, 2025

On August 12, 2025, Air Industries Group announced that it will release its financial results for the second quarter of 2025 on August 14, 2025, before the market opens. The company will also host a conference call the same day to discuss the results. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial health and operational performance, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor confidence.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Air Industries Secures $5.4M B-52 Gear Contract
Positive
Jul 10, 2025

On July 10, 2025, Air Industries Group announced securing a $5.4 million contract for landing gear assemblies for the US Air Force B-52 aircraft, with deliveries scheduled from late 2026 through the third quarter of 2027. This contract marks the company’s first order from a new customer, highlighting its strategic focus on after-market spares, potentially strengthening its position in the aerospace and defense industry.

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Air Industries Group Increases Authorized Stock Shares
Neutral
Jul 10, 2025

On July 8, 2025, Air Industries Group increased its authorized common stock shares from 6,000,000 to 20,000,000, following shareholder approval at the annual meeting on June 26, 2025. Additionally, the company amended its bylaws to change the quorum requirement for shareholder meetings from a majority to 33.33% of outstanding shares, effective the same day.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Air Industries Group Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 27, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Air Industries Group held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where several key proposals were voted upon. The stockholders elected directors for the upcoming year, approved amendments to increase the number of authorized shares and shares available under the 2022 Equity Incentive Plan, approved executive compensation, and ratified the appointment of CBIZ CPAs P.C. as the independent accounting firm for 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 16, 2025