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Air Industries Group (AIRI)
:AIRI

Air Industries Group (AIRI) AI Stock Analysis

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Air Industries Group

(NYSE MKT:AIRI)

Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▼(-1.13%Downside)
Air Industries Group's overall stock score reflects a mix of financial challenges and potential future growth. The most significant factor is the company's weak financial performance, characterized by profitability and cash flow issues. While technical analysis shows mixed short-term signals, the valuation remains unattractive due to negative earnings. The earnings call offers some optimism for future growth, but current financial difficulties cannot be overlooked.

Air Industries Group (AIRI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Air Industries Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAir Industries Group (AIRI) is a leading aerospace and defense company specializing in the design and manufacture of precision components and assemblies primarily for the military and commercial aerospace sectors. The company operates through its subsidiaries, focusing on producing critical aerospace parts including landing gear, flight controls, and other complex structural components. With a commitment to quality and innovation, Air Industries Group serves major aerospace manufacturers and defense contractors, contributing to advanced aircraft and defense technologies.
How the Company Makes MoneyAir Industries Group generates revenue through the manufacturing and sale of precision components and assemblies used in aerospace and defense applications. The company's key revenue streams include contracts with major aerospace and defense contractors, providing critical parts such as landing gear and flight control systems. These contracts often span multiple years and involve rigorous quality standards and specifications. Additionally, Air Industries may engage in long-term partnerships or agreements with original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in the aerospace sector, ensuring a steady stream of income through ongoing production and supply agreements. The company's earnings are significantly influenced by defense budgets, aerospace industry demand, and the ability to innovate and maintain competitive manufacturing processes.

Air Industries Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.14%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights several positive developments, including increased gross profit, a record book-to-bill ratio, and significant backlog, suggesting potential for future growth. However, these are tempered by decreased revenue and increased losses, both operating and net, due to stock compensation expenses. The sentiment is balanced, with optimism for future growth countered by current financial challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Gross Profit Despite Lower Sales
The company's gross profit increased in Q1 2025 despite a decrease in sales from $14.1 million in 2024 to $12.1 million in 2025, demonstrating improved operational efficiency.
Record Book-to-Bill Ratio
The book-to-bill ratio was 1.34 to 1, a 20% improvement from the prior year and an 80% increase since Q1 2023, indicating strong business development efforts and future sales growth.
Record Funded Backlog
The company's funded backlog reached a record $120 million, with the total backlog, including forecast orders, exceeding $0.25 billion.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 increased by $214,000 or nearly 60% compared to Q1 2024, reaching $576,000.
Debt Reduction
Total debt was reduced by approximately $1.6 million compared to December 31, 2024.
Negative Updates
Decreased Revenue
Consolidated net sales for Q1 2025 were $12.1 million, down from $14.1 million in Q1 2024.
Increased Operating Loss
Operating loss increased to $746,000 in Q1 2025 compared to a loss of $259,000 in the same period in 2024, largely due to an increase in non-cash expense for stock compensation.
Net Loss Increase
Net loss for Q1 2025 was $988,000 or $0.27 per share, compared to a loss of $706,000 or $0.21 per share in Q1 2024.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Air Industries Group reported a decrease in consolidated net sales to $12.1 million from $14.1 million in the same period of 2024. However, the gross margin improved by over $100,000, reaching approximately $2 million, with a gross margin percentage increase of 320 basis points to 16.8%. Operating expenses rose by 28.4% to $2.8 million, largely due to a $412,000 increase in stock compensation expense. Despite a net loss of $988,000 or $0.27 per share, compared to a loss of $706,000 or $0.21 per share in the first quarter of 2024, the adjusted EBITDA increased by nearly 60% to $576,000. The company's book-to-bill ratio stood at 1.34 to 1, reflecting a 20% improvement from the previous year, and its funded backlog reached a record $120 million, while the total backlog exceeded $0.25 billion. Additionally, Air Industries Group reaffirmed its belief that the full year of 2025 will surpass the results of 2024, despite variations in quarterly outcomes.

Air Industries Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Air Industries Group faces significant financial challenges, with fluctuating gross profit margins, negative net profit margins, high leverage, and inconsistent cash flow generation, indicating a need for strategic improvements.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Air Industries Group has demonstrated a mixed performance in recent years. Gross profit margins have been fluctuating, with a notable decline in revenue over the last reported year. While the company has previously achieved positive EBIT and EBITDA margins, recent periods have shown negative EBIT, indicating operational challenges. The net profit margin remains negative, reflecting ongoing profitability concerns.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate position with a debt-to-equity ratio suggesting high leverage, a common trait in the aerospace and defense industry. However, the return on equity is currently negative, highlighting profitability challenges. The equity ratio is relatively low, indicating a reliance on debt for financing.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals volatility, with recent free cash flow growth being negative. The operating cash flow to net income ratio varies significantly year over year, reflecting inconsistent cash generation capabilities relative to profitability. This inconsistency poses a risk to financial stability and growth potential.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
53.18M55.11M51.52M53.24M58.94M50.10M
Gross Profit
2.04B8.93M7.43M7.45M10.25M6.51M
EBIT
-28.00K459.00K-295.00K-194.00K2.49M-1.44M
EBITDA
3.23M3.45M2.75M3.33M6.19M4.46M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-1.65M-1.37M-2.13M-1.08M1.63M1.10M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
285.00M753.00K346.00K281.00K627.00K2.50M
Total Assets
48.39B51.01M50.72M53.81M53.42M57.78M
Total Debt
1.34B27.87M25.77M28.51M27.29M31.90M
Net Debt
1.06B27.11M25.43M28.23M26.66M29.40M
Total Liabilities
33.10B36.06M35.52M36.98M36.04M42.67M
Stockholders Equity
15.29B14.95M15.19M16.84M17.39M15.11M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-1.63M-1.98M2.74M-1.91M2.70M-5.32M
Operating Cash Flow
556.00K324.00K4.86M448.00K4.06M-1.52M
Investing Cash Flow
-3.39M-2.29M-2.11M-2.36M-1.36M-3.80M
Financing Cash Flow
1.37M2.37M-2.69M1.57M-4.58M6.53M

Air Industries Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.54
Price Trends
50DMA
3.41
Positive
100DMA
3.71
Negative
200DMA
4.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
46.85
Neutral
STOCH
35.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AIRI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.46, above the 50-day MA of 3.41, and below the 200-day MA of 4.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AIRI.

Air Industries Group Risk Analysis

Air Industries Group disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Air Industries Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Air Industries Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$4.51B12.225.40%3.63%4.14%-12.01%
62
Neutral
$109.50M26.562.77%2.07%11.49%-66.66%
SISIF
55
Neutral
$22.22M-17.90%-3.45%54.42%
CVCVU
52
Neutral
$37.44M20.357.62%-7.34%-88.84%
48
Neutral
$13.06M-11.05%0.29%31.48%
46
Neutral
$87.53M-9999.00%-1.00%26.86%
45
Neutral
$50.02M-13.52%3.36%94.32%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AIRI
Air Industries Group
3.41
0.25
7.91%
AIRT
Air T
20.00
-2.85
-12.47%
CVU
CPI Aerostructures
2.92
0.62
26.96%
SIF
SIFCO Industries
3.69
0.52
16.40%
TISI
Team
19.99
12.09
153.04%
TWIN
Twin Disc
7.76
-4.34
-35.87%

Air Industries Group Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Air Industries Group to Announce Q1 2025 Results
Neutral
May 13, 2025

On May 13, 2025, Air Industries Group announced that it will release its financial results for the first quarter of 2025 on May 15, before the market opens. The company will also host a conference call on the same day to discuss the results. This announcement is part of the company’s ongoing communication with stakeholders and provides insights into its financial performance and future outlook.

Financial Disclosures
Air Industries Group Schedules Financial Results Call
Neutral
Apr 15, 2025

On April 15, 2025, Air Industries Group announced it will host a conference call on April 16, 2025, to discuss its financial results for the year ended December 31, 2024. The call will provide insights into the company’s financial performance and may impact its stakeholders by offering a clearer picture of its market positioning and operational outcomes.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.