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XTI Aerospace (XTIA)
NASDAQ:XTIA

XTI Aerospace (XTIA) AI Stock Analysis

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XTI Aerospace

(NASDAQ:XTIA)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲( 9.29% Upside)
XTI Aerospace's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance, which presents significant risks due to declining revenues and negative profitability. While technical analysis and corporate events provide some positive insights, the valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings.

XTI Aerospace (XTIA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

XTI Aerospace Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXTI Aircraft Company manufactures vertical takeoff airplanes. The company provides TriFan 600, which lifts off vertically. XTI Aircraft Company was formerly known as AVX Aircraft Technologies, Inc. and changed its name to XTI Aircraft Company in March 2015. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Englewood, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyXTI Aerospace generates revenue through the sale and leasing of its proprietary VTOL aircraft, particularly the TriFan 600, to both private and commercial clients. The company may also engage in partnerships and collaborations with aerospace and technology firms to enhance its product offerings and expand its market reach. Additionally, XTI Aerospace could earn income from maintenance services, spare parts sales, and potential licensing agreements for its technology.

XTI Aerospace Financial Statement Overview

Summary
XTI Aerospace's financial performance is under pressure, characterized by declining revenues, negative profit margins, and operational inefficiencies. While the company has improved its balance sheet leverage, its equity position is weak, and cash flow management is a notable concern. The company needs to address its operational challenges and explore strategic initiatives to improve revenue growth and profitability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
XTI Aerospace's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company is experiencing declining revenues, with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue of $2.17 million compared to $4.56 million in the previous year, translating to a negative revenue growth rate. Additionally, the company has negative profit margins, with a net profit margin of -174.7% in the TTM, reflecting substantial losses. Despite a gross profit margin of 59%, the high operating expenses result in continuous EBIT and EBITDA losses. The persistent negative margins and declining revenue indicate operational inefficiencies and a challenging market environment.
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
The balance sheet of XTI Aerospace shows a mixed picture. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.47 in the TTM from 1.43 the previous year, indicating reduced leverage. However, the equity ratio decreased to 23.4% due to declining equity, suggesting increased financial risk. The return on equity remains negative, reflecting ongoing losses and insufficient asset utilization to generate returns for shareholders. Overall, while the lower leverage is a positive sign, the company's low equity ratio and negative returns present concerns about its financial stability.
Cash Flow
38
Negative
XTI Aerospace's cash flow statements highlight considerable cash flow challenges. The free cash flow remains negative, with a slight improvement in the TTM due to reduced capital expenditures. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating inefficient cash generation from operations. The company is relying heavily on financing activities to support its cash needs, which is unsustainable in the long term. These factors suggest significant liquidity concerns and operational cash flow inefficiencies.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.17M4.56M6.11M15.99M9.30M6.30M
Gross Profit
1.28M2.26M3.10M7.15M3.06M-458.00K
EBIT
-18.56M-19.47M-17.35M-49.23M-25.11M-30.16M
EBITDA
-18.49M-27.45M-16.30M-17.27M-23.22M-27.14M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-37.91M-45.95M-63.39M-69.16M-29.23M-33.99M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
76.63K6.25M9.28M95.61M25.99M4.85M
Total Assets
144.56K23.77M57.63M156.67M59.01M21.22M
Total Debt
860.44K9.08M13.11M5.24M7.50M8.92M
Net Debt
851.37K2.83M3.82M-47.24M-10.49M4.07M
Total Liabilities
1.50M17.04M25.52M28.49M14.33M15.17M
Stockholders Equity
-1.36M6.34M33.30M126.50M44.64M6.02M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-15.59M-29.57M-35.16M-38.50M-22.43M-11.68M
Operating Cash Flow
-15.50M-29.21M-33.96M-37.13M-20.60M-10.66M
Investing Cash Flow
2.86M-5.89M36.39M-53.51M-23.51M-5.11M
Financing Cash Flow
12.91M22.21M-34.59M125.04M57.26M19.41M

XTI Aerospace Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.83
Price Trends
50DMA
1.55
Positive
100DMA
3.64
Negative
200DMA
17.95
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
64.17
Neutral
STOCH
69.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XTIA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.41, above the 50-day MA of 1.55, and below the 200-day MA of 17.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XTIA.

XTI Aerospace Risk Analysis

XTI Aerospace disclosed 107 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. XTI Aerospace reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
The obligations to the Lender (as defined below) under the Notes (as defined below) and related agreements are secured by a security interest in all of our Legacy XTI common stock and all of the assets of Legacy XTI, our wholly-owned subsidiary, so if we default on those obligations, the Lender could proceed against any or all such assets. Q3, 2024
2.
We are subject to certain contractual limitations that could materially adversely affect our ability to consummate future financings. Q3, 2024
3.
If we fail to comply with the restrictions and covenants in the Purchase Agreement or the Notes, there could be an event of default under the Notes, which could result in an acceleration of payments due under the Notes, the application of default interest and other consequences. Q3, 2024

XTI Aerospace Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$11.29B10.07-7.05%2.96%7.47%-10.75%
53
Neutral
$11.51M-327.59%
47
Neutral
$14.68M-370.62%49.04%-121.30%
46
Neutral
$9.74M-44.54%-54.94%-24.76%
38
Underperform
$9.08M688.16%-46.28%93.33%
25
Underperform
$455.16M115.25%23.26%
$28.94M3.21
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XTIA
XTI Aerospace
1.83
-219.17
-99.17%
ASTC
Astrotech
5.75
-4.00
-41.03%
MNTS
Momentus
1.64
-5.73
-77.75%
EVTL
Vertical Aerospace
5.38
-1.54
-22.25%
HOVR
New Horizon Aircraft
0.92
0.06
6.98%
PRZO
ParaZero Technologies Ltd.
0.88
0.18
25.71%

XTI Aerospace Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
XTI Aerospace Reports Q1 Progress and Share Buyback
Positive
May 19, 2025

On May 19, 2025, XTI Aerospace announced its first-quarter results, highlighting significant progress in its TriFan 600 program, including FAA certification advancements and financial improvements. The company eliminated legacy debt and stock-based obligations, doubled its Industrial IoT segment revenues, and authorized a $5 million share repurchase program. These developments position XTI Aerospace as a leader in the emerging powered-lift aircraft market and set the stage for the relaunch of TriFan 600 pre-sales later in 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (XTIA) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on XTI Aerospace stock, see the XTIA Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
XTI Aerospace Unveils Updated Corporate Presentation
Positive
Apr 16, 2025

XTI Aerospace has released an updated corporate presentation to engage with the investment community and industry stakeholders. The presentation highlights the company’s xVTOL technology, which combines the advantages of helicopters and airplanes, offering superior speed and range. The TriFan 600, XTI’s flagship product, is expected to double revenue opportunities for operators with its enhanced capabilities. The company has secured 140 conditional purchase orders and 154 non-binding reservations, indicating strong market interest and potential revenue of $3 billion.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
XTI Aerospace Completes Public Offering and Repayment
Positive
Apr 4, 2025

On March 31, 2025, XTI Aerospace, Inc. completed a firm commitment underwritten public offering, using $2,719,456.85 of the proceeds to fully repay two secured promissory notes issued to Streeterville Capital, LLC in 2024. As a result of this repayment, Streeterville released all security interests and liens associated with the notes, potentially strengthening XTI Aerospace’s financial position and operational flexibility.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.