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Shoals Technologies Group (SHLS)
NASDAQ:SHLS
US Market

Shoals Technologies Group (SHLS) AI Stock Analysis

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Shoals Technologies Group

(NASDAQ:SHLS)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▼(-1.96%Downside)
Shoals Technologies Group's overall stock score is primarily supported by its solid financial health and positive technical indicators. The company's strong balance sheet and cash flow management provide a stable foundation despite revenue growth challenges. Technical analysis suggests a bullish trend, while valuation remains a concern due to the high P/E ratio. The cautiously optimistic sentiment from the earnings call further supports the stock's potential, though ongoing litigation and market pressures pose risks.
Positive Factors
Competitive Position
Shoals is more insulated than its competitors who primarily source from China, making it relatively better positioned against tariff impacts.
Market Expansion
Shoals is preparing to scale into adjacent markets like data centers and BESS, with estimated SAM potentially reaching $500M–$1B.
Revenue Outlook
Management flagged that ~$500mn of revenue is slated for the next four quarters, providing solid visibility for the year.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressure
There are considerable investor concerns around growing competitive pressures for SHLS.
Cost Inflation
Cost inflation is anticipated to eventually impact projects, potentially driving the repricing of PPAs or project delays.
Tariff Volatility
Protracted tariff volatility and potential IRA changes could impact industry at large leading to lower bookings and awards in 2H25.

Shoals Technologies Group (SHLS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Shoals Technologies Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionShoals Technologies Group, Inc. provides electrical balance of system (EBOS) solutions for solar energy projects in the United States. It produces EBOS components, including cable assemblies, inline fuses, combiners, disconnects, recombiners, wireless monitoring systems, junction boxes, transition enclosures, splice boxes, wire management solutions, and IV curve benchmarking devices. The company also sells EV Charging solutions for public and fleet electric vehicle charging stations; and EBOS systems. It sells its products principally to engineering, procurement, and construction firms that build solar energy projects and install electric vehicle charging stations. Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Portland, Tennessee.
How the Company Makes MoneyShoals Technologies Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of its electrical balance of system (EBOS) products to solar energy project developers and engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) firms. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of wire harnesses, combiner boxes, and other electrical components essential for solar power generation. Shoals benefits from long-term supply agreements and strategic partnerships with major solar energy companies, which contribute significantly to its earnings. Additionally, the company's focus on innovation and cost-effective solutions helps maintain its competitive edge and attract a broad customer base in the growing renewable energy sector.

Shoals Technologies Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 35.64%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong bookings, strategic growth initiatives, and positive cash flow, offset by revenue decline, margin pressure, and ongoing litigation. The sentiment is cautiously optimistic with significant progress in growth areas.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Bookings and Backlog
Shoals Technologies reported a robust backlog and awarded orders (BLAO) of $645.1 million, with approximately $91 million in new orders, resulting in a book-to-bill ratio of 1.13.
Successful Strategic Growth Initiatives
The company is making progress on strategic growth initiatives, including international expansion and new product launches, with over 15% of BLAO including new products.
Positive Cash Flow and Operational Improvements
Shoals Technologies reported a free cash flow of $12.4 million, with an improved balance sheet and the lowest net debt in four years.
Strong Customer Engagement and Market Position
Shoals' value proposition of high-quality products and exceptional engineering support is resonating with customers, leading to increased engagement and market share.
BESS and International Market Expansion
The company is expanding its Battery Energy Storage Solutions (BESS) offerings and announced an MOU with UGT Renewables for up to 12 gigawatts of international solar power projects.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline and Margin Pressure
Net revenue declined 11.5% year-over-year to $80.4 million, with a decrease in gross profit margin to 35.0% due to product mix and strategic pricing actions.
Ongoing Litigation and Warranty Costs
Shoals Technologies is facing $9.5 million in wire insulation shrinkback remediation costs and ongoing litigation with Prysmian, affecting financial performance.
Impact of Tariffs and Regulatory Uncertainty
Geopolitical uncertainties and potential impacts of tariffs and domestic energy policies pose risks to the business environment.
Company Guidance
During the Shoals Technologies Group First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance for Q2 and the full year 2025. For Q2, revenue is expected to be between $100 million and $110 million, with adjusted EBITDA ranging from $20 million to $25 million. For the entire year, Shoals forecasts revenue of $410 million to $450 million and adjusted EBITDA of $100 million to $115 million. The company also expects cash flow from operations to be $30 million to $45 million, with capital expenditures between $25 million and $35 million, and interest expenses of $8 million to $12 million. Shoals highlighted a robust backlog and awarded orders totaling $645.1 million, with about $500 million scheduled for shipment over the next four quarters. The company remains optimistic about its market position, despite some geopolitical uncertainties and potential project timeline shifts, projecting gross margins in the mid to high 30% range for the rest of 2025.

Shoals Technologies Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Shoals Technologies Group demonstrates solid financial health with strong balance sheet metrics and cash flow management. However, challenges in maintaining revenue growth are evident, which may impact future profitability. The company's stable margins and efficient cash flow operations position it well, but attention to revenue growth is necessary to enhance financial performance further.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Shoals Technologies Group's income statement shows moderate profitability with a gross profit margin of 34.39% and a net profit margin of 5.78% for the TTM period. While the company has experienced fluctuations in revenue, the recent TTM revenue has decreased from the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable at 11.29% and 14.77% respectively, indicating efficient operations despite declining revenue.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Shoals Technologies Group shows a healthy equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25. The return on equity (ROE) is modest at 4.02%, reflecting moderate returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio stands at 70.89%, indicating a strong reliance on equity financing which enhances financial stability.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
The cash flow statement indicates effective cash management with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 3.29 and an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.70 for the TTM. The company has managed to generate positive free cash flow growth, which is a positive sign of operational efficiency.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
388.76M399.21M488.94M326.94M213.21M175.52M
Gross Profit
133.70M142.02M168.30M131.31M82.64M66.55M
EBIT
43.90M51.17M79.03M170.54M36.23M37.28M
EBITDA
57.45M64.32M89.56M181.05M48.63M46.68M
Net Income Common Stockholders
22.48M24.13M39.97M127.61M3.94M33.77M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
7.08M23.51M22.71M8.77M5.01M10.07M
Total Assets
0.00793.08M843.99M594.89M426.41M195.31M
Total Debt
0.00141.75M184.70M239.06M247.05M358.83M
Net Debt
7.08M118.24M161.99M230.30M242.05M348.76M
Total Liabilities
0.00236.28M299.00M293.91M433.91M379.43M
Stockholders Equity
149.91M556.80M545.00M291.37M2.55M-184.12M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
73.97M72.00M81.38M36.30M-8.21M50.85M
Operating Cash Flow
83.09M80.39M91.95M39.45M-4.08M54.08M
Investing Cash Flow
-9.12M-8.39M-10.85M-3.66M-17.04M-3.24M
Financing Cash Flow
-53.59M-71.19M-67.17M-36.59M20.60M-47.85M

Shoals Technologies Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.10
Price Trends
50DMA
4.12
Positive
100DMA
4.01
Positive
200DMA
4.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.21
Positive
RSI
59.15
Neutral
STOCH
84.85
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SHLS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.90, above the 50-day MA of 4.12, and above the 200-day MA of 4.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.85 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SHLS.

Shoals Technologies Group Risk Analysis

Shoals Technologies Group disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Shoals Technologies Group reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
We have modified, and in the future may modify, our business strategy to abandon lines of business or implement new lines of business. Modifying our business strategy could have an adverse effect on our business and financial results. Q4, 2024

Shoals Technologies Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NXNXT
76
Outperform
$8.62B17.0139.33%21.46%123.22%
69
Neutral
$862.62M45.663.43%-18.10%-36.91%
JKJKS
63
Neutral
$948.84M118.10-9.49%15.64%-30.26%-156.69%
62
Neutral
$11.80B10.31-7.45%2.91%7.43%-7.78%
58
Neutral
$1.14B-49.11%-21.31%-593.57%
51
Neutral
$1.07B-121.50%-57.89%-559.87%
50
Neutral
$752.77M20.05-0.39%-19.06%-104.91%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SHLS
Shoals Technologies Group
5.10
-2.35
-31.54%
CSIQ
Canadian Solar
11.03
-6.94
-38.62%
JKS
JinkoSolar
19.10
-4.48
-19.00%
SEDG
SolarEdge Technologies
18.72
-27.17
-59.21%
ARRY
Array Technologies
7.49
-5.65
-43.00%
NXT
NEXTracker, Inc. Class A
59.02
0.10
0.17%

Shoals Technologies Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Shoals Technologies Holds 2025 Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
May 7, 2025

On May 1, 2025, Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where key proposals were voted on. Shareholders elected Class I directors for a one-year term, approved the compensation of named executive officers, and ratified the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Shoals Technologies Announces CAO Resignation and CFO Transition
Neutral
May 6, 2025

Shoals Technologies Group reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, showing a revenue of $80.4 million and a net loss of $0.3 million. Despite a decrease in revenue and gross profit compared to the prior year, the company highlighted a robust backlog and awarded orders totaling $645.1 million, reflecting a 4.9% year-over-year increase. The company also announced the resignation of Chief Accounting Officer Inez Lund, effective May 16, 2025, with CFO Dominic Bardos taking over her responsibilities. Shoals remains optimistic about its market position, citing strong demand in international markets and strategic initiatives driving growth in various sectors.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.