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Array Technologies (ARRY)
NASDAQ:ARRY

Array Technologies (ARRY) AI Stock Analysis

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Array Technologies

(NASDAQ:ARRY)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▲(0.50%Upside)
The overall score for Array Technologies is driven by strong technical indicators and positive earnings call highlights. However, financial performance and valuation concerns weigh heavily on the stock's attractiveness. The focus on innovation and growth is promising, but challenges in profitability and regulatory environment need to be addressed.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
ARRY delivered solid results with 10% sequential revenue growth and strong backlog momentum, reaffirming FY25 guidance.
Market Demand
Global demand for solar tracking equipment is estimated to remain strong through at least the end of the decade.
Valuation
Shares are currently trading at a 51% discount based on EV/EBITDA compared to a historical discount of 22%.
Negative Factors
Financial Guidance
Array's guidance for 2025 came in weaker than consensus on top-line growth and EBITDA margin, mainly due to weakness in Brazil.
Pricing Concerns
ARRAY's blended tracker ASP in 2024 was down 14%, with U.S. ASPs down 9% and implied ROW ASPs down 24% from 2023 levels.
Sector Dynamics
There is concern about a broader slowdown in the sector which could indirectly impact Array.

Array Technologies (ARRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Array Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArray Technologies, Inc. manufactures and supplies solar tracking systems and related products in the United States and internationally. Its products include DuraTrack HZ v3, a single-axis solar tracking system; and SmarTrack, a machine learning software that is used to identify the optimal position for a solar array in real time to increase energy production. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Albuquerque, New Mexico.
How the Company Makes MoneyArray Technologies makes money primarily through the sale of its solar tracking systems to utility-scale solar energy projects. The company's revenue model is centered around the manufacturing and distribution of these tracking systems, which are crucial for maximizing the efficiency and output of solar panels by adjusting their position in response to the sun's movements. Key revenue streams include direct sales to solar project developers and operators, as well as partnerships with engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) firms that integrate Array's technology into their solar installations. Additionally, Array Technologies may generate income from maintenance services and long-term contracts with clients, securing ongoing revenue from existing installations. The company's growth and earnings are significantly influenced by the increasing global demand for renewable energy solutions and the strategic partnerships it forms within the solar industry.

Array Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Margin by Segment
Gross Margin by Segment
Indicates the efficiency of each segment in generating profit from sales, helping investors assess operational effectiveness and competitive positioning.
Chart InsightsArray Technologies' gross margin for Legacy Operations has shown a strong upward trend since 2022, peaking in early 2024, but has recently declined. STI Operations, after initial growth, experienced fluctuations, with a notable dip at the end of 2024. Despite robust revenue and volume growth, the earnings call highlights margin compression due to legacy agreements and international project mix. The company is focusing on product innovation and operational efficiency to counteract regulatory and market challenges, aiming to sustain its financial momentum in 2025.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Array Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 61.46%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Array Technologies demonstrated robust revenue and volume growth, with significant product innovation and a strong cash position. However, challenges such as gross margin compression, regulatory uncertainties, and international market difficulties present obstacles. While the highlights show promising growth and product adoption, the lowlights indicate significant external challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Array Technologies reported a 97% increase in revenue to $302 million in Q1 2025 compared to the prior year, and a 10% increase sequentially from Q4 2024.
Significant Volume Growth
Volume growth of 143% over the prior year first quarter, marking the second-largest quarter of volume shipped since Q2 2023.
Resilient Order Book
Maintained a $2 billion order book with an 18% increase in new contracts compared to Q4 2024.
Innovative Product Launches
OmniTrack and SkyLink accounted for 15% of revenue in Q1 and 30% of new bookings, showcasing strong market adoption.
Strong Cash Position
The company ended the quarter with $348 million in cash and total liquidity of $510 million, including an undrawn revolver.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Compression
Adjusted gross margin declined to 26.5% due to the roll-off of prior year benefits, a legacy volume commitment agreement, and a higher mix of international projects.
Tariff and Regulatory Uncertainty
Near-term policy-related headwinds, including tariffs and potential shifts in the Inflation Reduction Act, are causing customer hesitancy and project uncertainties.
Challenges in Brazil
Market growth in Brazil is significantly slowed by currency devaluation, interest rate volatility, and new tariffs on solar components.
Company Guidance
During Array Technologies' first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided robust financial guidance for the year, maintaining its full-year 2025 revenue outlook of $1.05 billion to $1.15 billion, despite market uncertainties. The first quarter saw significant achievements, including a 143% increase in volume growth compared to the prior year and revenue reaching $302 million, marking a 97% increase year-over-year. Adjusted gross margin was reported at 26.5%, with a strong cash position of $348 million at the end of the quarter. The company's order book remained resilient at $2 billion, with 40% of this to be delivered in the remaining quarters of 2025. Additionally, Array Technologies expects full-year adjusted EBITDA to be between $180 million and $200 million, with adjusted diluted earnings per share anticipated to range from $0.60 to $0.70. The company also highlighted ongoing discussions with customers about long-term volume commitment agreements (VCAs) and emphasized its strategic focus on product innovation and operational efficiency.

Array Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Array Technologies faces significant challenges in profitability and growth. Negative margins and high leverage pose risks, though positive free cash flow provides some strength. Improvement in operational efficiency and debt reduction is needed.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Array Technologies shows a challenging income statement with declining revenue and profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is approximately 29.13%, and the net profit margin is -21.21%, indicating that the company is struggling to translate revenue into profit. The revenue growth rate has been negative recently, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, which raises concerns about operational efficiency and cost management.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet presents a mixed picture. The debt-to-equity ratio is quite high at approximately 2.10, suggesting significant leverage, which could be risky if not managed well. However, the equity ratio is 22.70%, indicating that the company maintains some equity buffer. Return on equity (ROE) is negative, reflecting net losses, which is a concern for investors looking for returns on equity.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow metrics show some positive signs with a reasonable operating cash flow to net income ratio of about -0.41. Free cash flow is positive, indicating that the company is generating cash after capital expenditures. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting challenges in converting profits into cash.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.06B915.81M1.58B1.64B853.32M872.66M
Gross Profit
310.14M297.68M415.55M227.28M82.86M202.80M
EBIT
-207.63M-227.00M214.12M-18.13M-24.74M95.21M
EBITDA
-169.10M-162.97M276.21M81.21M300.00K149.13M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-225.81M-240.39M137.24M4.43M-50.40M59.07M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
348.32M362.99M249.08M133.90M367.67M108.44M
Total Assets
1.43B1.43B1.71B1.71B1.14B656.02M
Total Debt
678.99M692.58M707.64M769.60M721.26M428.28M
Net Debt
330.67M329.58M458.56M635.70M353.60M319.84M
Total Liabilities
1.10B1.14B1.10B1.28B974.72M736.92M
Stockholders Equity
323.60M288.83M610.51M423.85M168.26M-80.90M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
74.88M146.68M214.97M130.87M-266.54M-123.54M
Operating Cash Flow
93.42M153.98M231.96M141.49M-263.19M-122.20M
Investing Cash Flow
-9.54M-9.57M-16.82M-384.44M-15.33M-1.34M
Financing Cash Flow
-8.99M-11.84M-101.76M8.44M537.75M-129.27M

Array Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.96
Price Trends
50DMA
5.95
Positive
100DMA
6.12
Positive
200DMA
6.29
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.42
Negative
RSI
64.93
Neutral
STOCH
81.95
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARRY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.22, above the 50-day MA of 5.95, and above the 200-day MA of 6.29, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.95 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ARRY.

Array Technologies Risk Analysis

Array Technologies disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Array Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Array Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$827.52M45.223.43%-18.10%-36.91%
JKJKS
63
Neutral
$949.84M118.10-9.49%15.20%-30.26%-156.69%
62
Neutral
$11.97B10.08-7.46%2.96%7.37%-8.22%
61
Neutral
$1.13B-49.11%-21.31%-593.57%
56
Neutral
$1.24B-121.50%-57.89%-559.87%
50
Neutral
$729.33M20.05-0.39%-19.06%-104.91%
45
Neutral
$51.87M307.38%-54.68%63.56%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARRY
Array Technologies
7.96
-4.44
-35.81%
CSIQ
Canadian Solar
11.04
-5.41
-32.89%
JKS
JinkoSolar
19.48
-2.51
-11.41%
SEDG
SolarEdge Technologies
23.30
-14.93
-39.05%
MAXN
Maxeon Solar Technologies
3.07
-111.93
-97.33%
SHLS
Shoals Technologies Group
5.11
-1.55
-23.27%

Array Technologies Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Array Technologies Faces Shareholder Concerns on Executive Pay
Negative
May 22, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Array Technologies held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders where two board members, Jayanthi Iyengar and Tracy Jokinen, were elected for three-year terms. Additionally, Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. However, a non-binding advisory proposal regarding executive compensation did not receive majority support, indicating potential shareholder concerns over executive pay.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARRY) stock is a Buy with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Array Technologies stock, see the ARRY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.