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JinkoSolar (JKS)
NYSE:JKS
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JinkoSolar (JKS) AI Stock Analysis

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JKS

JinkoSolar

(NYSE:JKS)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$22.00
▲(0.05% Upside)
JinkoSolar's overall stock score reflects a challenging financial situation marked by high leverage and declining profitability. While technical indicators and earnings call guidance offer some positive elements, they are outweighed by significant financial and valuation concerns, particularly the negative P/E ratio and declining revenue.
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Financial Stability
JinkoSolar is facing a substantial cash liability due to retroactive tariffs on its Southeast Asian imports, impacting its financial stability.
Market Presence
JinkoSolar's U.S. shipment mix is expected to decline significantly, affecting its profitability as the U.S. is considered its only profitable market.
Tariffs
Potential universal tariffs on solar panel imports could significantly impact JinkoSolar's operations and profitability.

JinkoSolar (JKS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

JinkoSolar Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. is a leading global solar module manufacturer headquartered in Shanghai, China. The company specializes in the production of high-efficiency photovoltaic (PV) solar cells and modules, as well as providing comprehensive solar energy solutions. JinkoSolar operates in the renewable energy sector, focusing on the development, manufacturing, and distribution of solar products, catering to both residential and commercial markets. Its core products include solar panels, inverters, and energy storage systems, which are widely used in solar power installations around the world.
How the Company Makes MoneyJinkoSolar generates revenue primarily through the sale of its solar modules and related products. The company operates a vertically integrated business model, which allows it to control the entire manufacturing process, from silicon ingots to finished solar panels. Its key revenue streams include direct sales to solar project developers, distributors, and installers, as well as partnerships with utility companies for large-scale solar projects. Additionally, JinkoSolar benefits from government incentives and subsidies aimed at promoting renewable energy, which enhance its profitability. The company also engages in strategic collaborations and joint ventures that expand its market reach and enable the development of innovative solar technologies, further contributing to its earnings.

JinkoSolar Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total MW Shipments
Total MW Shipments
Measures the total megawatts of solar panels shipped, indicating the company's market reach and demand for its products. A higher number suggests strong sales performance and competitive positioning in the solar industry.
Chart InsightsJinkoSolar's shipments have shown robust growth, peaking in late 2023, but faced a decline in early 2025. Despite record module shipments and technological advancements, the company is grappling with a significant revenue drop and profitability challenges, particularly in the U.S. market. The earnings call reveals a strategic focus on expanding production capacity and energy storage solutions, aiming to capitalize on overseas markets and technological improvements to counterbalance current financial pressures.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

JinkoSolar Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 32.47%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted significant advancements in technology and expansion of energy storage solutions, alongside strong cash reserves. However, these positives were overshadowed by substantial declines in revenue, profitability, and challenges in the U.S. market, leading to an unfavorable financial position.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Module Shipments
First quarter total shipments were 19.1 gigawatts, with module shipment accounting for approximately 90%. Shipments to Indo-Pacific market grew by nearly 10% year-over-year and 150% sequentially, while shipments to North Asia increased by nearly 20% year-over-year.
Advancements in TOPCon Technology
By the end of the first quarter, the mass-produced cell efficiency for third-generation TOPCon products exceeded 26.6%. Laboratory efficiency for perovskite tandem solar cell based on TOPCon reached 34.22%, setting a new record.
Expansion in Energy Storage Shipments
In the first quarter, shipments of ESS exceeded 300 megawatt hours, a large increase compared to the same period last year. Expected shipments of ESS to be around 6 gigawatt hours for the full-year 2025.
Strong Cash and Cash Equivalents
By the end of the first quarter, cash and cash equivalents were US$3.77 billion, a significant increase from US$2.44 billion at the end of the first quarter last year.
Negative Updates
Decreased Revenue and Profitability
Total revenue was US$1.9 billion, down 33% sequentially and down 40% year-over-year. Gross margin decreased due to the decrease in ASP of solar modules. Net loss was approximately US$180 million for the first quarter.
Challenges in U.S. Market
Year-over-year decline in shipments to the U.S. market due to changes in international trade policies, such as reciprocal tariffs and ADCBD uncertainties.
Negative Operating Loss Margin
Operating loss margin was about 20% compared with 9% in the fourth quarter last year and 1.5% in the first quarter last year.
Company Guidance
During JinkoSolar's Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the second quarter and the full year. JinkoSolar anticipates its annual production capacity for mono wafers, solar cells, and solar modules to reach 120 GW, 95 GW, and 130 GW, respectively, by the end of 2025. Module shipments are projected to range between 20 GW to 25 GW in Q2 2025 and between 85 GW to 100 GW for the entire year. Additionally, the company expects its third-generation TOPCon module production capacity to reach 40 GW to 50 GW. JinkoSolar also aims for energy storage system (ESS) shipments to achieve around 6 GWh in 2025, with a focus on overseas markets. The company remains committed to optimizing its market strategies and supply chain management to adapt to changes in market demand and continue improving technology and product competitiveness.

JinkoSolar Financial Statement Overview

Summary
JinkoSolar's financial statements reveal a cautious position with declining profitability and inconsistent revenue growth. The balance sheet is heavily leveraged, posing financial stability risks, while cash flow improvements are promising but challenged by high capital expenditures.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
JinkoSolar's income statement reveals mixed performance. The gross profit margin has decreased from previous years, signaling cost management issues. The net profit margin is positive but has declined significantly, reflecting decreased profitability. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a recent downturn indicating potential demand challenges. The negative EBIT in the latest year is concerning, although EBITDA remains positive, suggesting some resilience in cash generation.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects high leverage, as indicated by a substantial debt-to-equity ratio, which poses financial stability risks. The return on equity has decreased, impacting shareholder returns. Equity ratio improvements show some strengthening of the capital structure, yet the high debt level remains a significant concern.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis highlights an improvement in operating cash flow, but capital expenditures remain high, impacting free cash flow. The transition from negative to positive free cash flow is a positive sign. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates potential challenges in converting profit to cash, and the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests room for improvement in financial efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue83.06B92.26B118.68B83.13B40.83B35.13B
Gross Profit6.97B10.06B19.05B12.28B6.66B6.17B
EBITDA-2.67B9.22B16.85B5.82B3.73B2.63B
Net Income-1.87B54.54M3.45B620.51M721.02M230.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets122.25B124.88B135.83B108.66B72.98B53.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments27.38B27.74B17.08B10.35B8.47B8.05B
Total Debt42.57B36.66B56.79B47.78B37.29B27.62B
Total Liabilities90.63B90.56B102.30B81.66B58.70B40.24B
Stockholders Equity18.40B19.87B20.16B16.34B11.05B9.99B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.007.48B-2.02B-18.05B-8.22B-3.54B
Operating Cash Flow0.0016.85B13.83B-5.80B430.65M591.49M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-2.90B-15.16B-12.27B-11.31B-4.92B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-6.27B8.64B20.02B12.02B6.30B

JinkoSolar Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.99
Price Trends
50DMA
21.32
Positive
100DMA
19.09
Positive
200DMA
20.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
47.90
Neutral
STOCH
48.75
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JKS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.99 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.65, above the 50-day MA of 21.32, and above the 200-day MA of 20.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JKS.

JinkoSolar Risk Analysis

JinkoSolar disclosed 85 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. JinkoSolar reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

JinkoSolar Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$773.22M36.583.77%-11.95%-7.87%
58
Neutral
$858.31M-44.13%6.36%-1683.09%
53
Neutral
$1.10B118.10-9.49%12.55%-30.26%-156.69%
53
Neutral
$1.49B-131.02%-36.07%-233.14%
53
Neutral
$2.63B-61.90%3.27%-81.63%
50
Neutral
AU$1.63B3.35-0.63%3.31%16.47%-4.12%
47
Neutral
$764.82M20.05-0.39%-19.06%-104.91%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JKS
JinkoSolar
21.99
3.89
21.49%
CSIQ
Canadian Solar
11.66
-3.05
-20.73%
SEDG
SolarEdge Technologies
26.46
1.89
7.69%
RUN
Sunrun
10.93
-8.68
-44.26%
ARRY
Array Technologies
6.00
-0.50
-7.69%
SHLS
Shoals Technologies Group
4.88
-0.43
-8.10%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025