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Seneca Foods (SENEA)
NASDAQ:SENEA
US Market

Seneca Foods (SENEA) AI Stock Analysis

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SENEA

Seneca Foods

(NASDAQ:SENEA)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$161.00
▲(34.86% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/07/26
The score is driven by improved TTM financial performance (strong growth, better margins, and reduced leverage) and an attractive P/E valuation, supported by a technically constructive uptrend. The key offset is historical earnings and cash flow volatility, which tempers the financial performance score.
Positive Factors
Revenue & margin improvement
Sizable TTM revenue growth with materially higher net margin indicates improved pricing, mix, and operational leverage. These durable improvements support stronger cash generation and reinvestment capacity over the next 2–6 months if underlying demand and cost trends persist.
Lower leverage
Significant deleveraging versus prior-year levels meaningfully reduces financial risk and increases flexibility for capex, buybacks, or weathering crop cycles. A healthier balance sheet supports durable access to liquidity and steadier operations through seasonal volatility.
Positive cash generation (TTM)
Operating cash flow exceeding net income and positive free cash flow in TTM demonstrate current cash conversion capacity. Persistent cash generation enables funding of working capital, maintenance capex and deleveraging, strengthening long-term resilience if sustained.
Negative Factors
Earnings & cash volatility
A track record of large swings in earnings and cash flow undermines predictability for capital allocation and strategic planning. Structural exposure to cyclical inputs and operating leverage means profitability can reverse quickly across a 2–6 month horizon during adverse cost or demand shocks.
Agricultural input exposure
Business performance is structurally tied to commodity prices, weather and crop yields, creating persistent margin risk. This exposure limits margin stability and requires active procurement, pricing flexibility or hedging to manage multi-month supply and cost volatility.
Free cash flow decline vs prior year
A sharp decline in free cash flow compared with the prior year reduces financial flexibility for investments, dividends, or further debt reduction. Even with current TTM positivity, the recent downward trend raises structural risk if working capital or input pressures re-emerge.

Seneca Foods (SENEA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Seneca Foods Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSeneca Foods Corporation (SENEA) is a leading provider of packaged food products, primarily focusing on the processing and marketing of fruits and vegetables. Established in 1949, the company operates in the food sector, specializing in canned and frozen products, including peas, corn, and various fruit products. Seneca Foods serves both retail and foodservice markets, offering a wide range of private-label and branded products that cater to consumers' needs for convenient and nutritious meal options.
How the Company Makes MoneySeneca Foods primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling processed fruit and vegetable products. Its revenue is generated from (1) sales of packaged foods (including canned and frozen fruits and vegetables) sold under company-owned brands and as private-label products for retailers; (2) sales to foodservice customers (e.g., restaurants, institutions, and distributors) and industrial customers that use fruits and vegetables as ingredients; and (3) contract packing/co-packing and related processing services where Seneca manufactures products for other companies under those customers’ labels or specifications. Earnings are influenced by factors such as raw agricultural input costs and crop yields, manufacturing and logistics costs, pricing/mix between branded and private-label volumes, and demand from retail and foodservice channels. null

Seneca Foods Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TTM fundamentals are improved with strong revenue growth (~34%), higher profitability (net margin ~5.6% vs ~2.6% in FY2025), lower leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.39), and positive free cash flow. The main constraint is volatility across recent years (near break-even earnings and negative cash flow in FY2023–FY2024), which raises sustainability risk.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Profitability improved meaningfully in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), with revenue up ~34% and stronger earnings versus the last annual period (net margin ~5.6% in TTM vs ~2.6% in FY2025). Operating profitability also looks healthier in TTM as margins stepped up. The main drawback is volatility across the cycle—FY2021 was much stronger, while FY2023 was near break-even—suggesting results can swing materially with pricing, input costs, and operating leverage.
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Leverage has moved to a more comfortable level in TTM (debt-to-equity ~0.39), a notable improvement from the high-leverage profile seen in FY2024 (~1.12). Equity has also grown, and returns on equity are solid in TTM (~13.5%). The key risk is the historical variability in leverage and returns (including a weak FY2023), which indicates the balance sheet can tighten quickly during tougher operating periods.
Cash Flow
67
Positive
Cash generation is currently solid in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), with positive operating cash flow and free cash flow, and operating cash flow modestly exceeding net income. However, free cash flow is down sharply versus the last annual period (TTM free cash flow growth is strongly negative), and the company has a track record of cash flow volatility, including negative operating and free cash flow in FY2023 and FY2024.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.61B1.58B1.46B1.51B1.39B1.47B
Gross Profit202.67M150.20M188.22M104.32M141.60M232.19M
EBITDA184.47M133.47M161.20M69.59M102.12M198.56M
Net Income89.99M41.22M63.32M9.23M46.20M126.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.22B1.18B1.38B1.21B942.27M909.35M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments33.31M42.69M4.48M5.24M10.90M59.84M
Total Debt278.84M374.81M650.82M492.45M178.12M169.41M
Total Liabilities508.64M548.41M801.10M657.97M363.24M331.53M
Stockholders Equity713.86M633.02M582.89M554.75M579.03M577.82M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow168.50M298.25M-119.60M-283.42M-23.21M111.75M
Operating Cash Flow206.03M335.48M-82.96M-212.80M30.15M183.18M
Investing Cash Flow-32.49M-34.81M-47.20M-64.88M-45.19M2.26M
Financing Cash Flow-153.14M-262.12M129.76M279.02M-33.90M-136.30M

Seneca Foods Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price119.38
Price Trends
50DMA
126.03
Positive
100DMA
120.03
Positive
200DMA
112.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.67
Positive
RSI
63.00
Neutral
STOCH
75.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SENEA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 119.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 138.60, below the 50-day MA of 126.03, and above the 200-day MA of 112.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.67 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 63.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SENEA.

Seneca Foods Risk Analysis

Seneca Foods disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Seneca Foods reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Seneca Foods Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$969.05M4.2013.51%8.33%47.71%
74
Outperform
$889.60M11.7419.54%3.48%1.88%21.05%
64
Neutral
$292.70M17.25%12.14%-17.80%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
62
Neutral
$763.41M27.769.29%11.31%99.83%
49
Neutral
$403.86M-7.74-8.93%17.12%-6.04%-844.18%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SENEA
Seneca Foods
144.01
56.54
64.64%
BGS
B&G Foods
4.87
-1.55
-24.12%
JBSS
John B Sanfilippo & Son
75.40
7.77
11.50%
LWAY
Lifeway Foods
18.49
-4.12
-18.22%
STKL
SunOpta
6.48
1.09
20.22%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026