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Xspray Pharma AB (SE:XSPRAY)
:XSPRAY

Xspray Pharma AB (XSPRAY) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:XSPRAY

Xspray Pharma AB

(XSPRAY)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
kr24.00
▼(-23.08% Downside)
The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance (no revenue, sizable losses, and significant ongoing cash burn with rising leverage). Technical indicators also reflect a sustained downtrend (price below major moving averages and negative MACD), while valuation offers limited support due to negative earnings and no dividend data.
Positive Factors
Proprietary HyNap formulation technology
Xspray's HyNap platform is a durable technical asset enabling improved bioavailability and differentiated dosage forms for small molecules. As a platform technology it can be applied across multiple assets, supporting repeat partnerships and long‑term value creation if clinical/regulatory progress continues.
Licensing and partner‑centric business model
A partner/licensing revenue model reduces the need for large commercial infrastructure and shifts commercialization risk to collaborators. This scalable approach can generate milestone and royalty streams over time, preserving capital and enabling focus on formulation development rather than large direct sales investments.
Substantial equity cushion on the balance sheet
A sizeable equity base provides a durable financial buffer for a development‑stage biotech, extending runway and supporting continued R&D. This cushion improves optionality for out‑licensing or staged development and reduces immediate solvency pressure while the pipeline remains pre‑commercial.
Negative Factors
Pre‑revenue with large persistent losses
Zero revenue combined with sustained, sizable net losses is a structural weakness: without approved products or recurring partner income, the company must continually fund operations externally. This raises dilution risk and constrains strategic flexibility until commercialization or licensing income materializes.
Severe cash burn and weak cash generation
Large negative operating and free cash flows are a persistent funding drag that shortens runway absent new capital or milestone receipts. Reliance on external financing can force timing‑sensitive decisions, increase dilution risk, and limit ability to invest in multiple programs simultaneously.
Rising leverage increases financial risk
An uptick in leverage from near zero to ~0.23 represents a structural increase in fixed obligations and financial risk. Higher debt narrows financing options, may increase cost of capital, and reduces flexibility to pursue development milestones if cash flows remain negative.

Xspray Pharma AB (XSPRAY) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Xspray Pharma AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXspray Pharma AB (publ), a pharmaceutical company, develops protein kinase inhibitors for targeted cancer treatments in Sweden. Its product candidates include HyNap-Nilo for the treatment of chronic myeloid leukemia; HyNap-Sora for the treatment of renal cancer and liver cancer, as well as several forms of thyroid cancer; and HyNap-Dasa for the treatment of chronic myeloid leukemia and acute lymphoblastic leukemia. The company was formerly known as Xspray Microparticles AB and changed its name to Xspray Pharma AB (publ) in 2017. Xspray Pharma AB (publ) was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Solna, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyXspray Pharma makes money by developing and commercializing improved versions of existing cancer drugs. The company's revenue model is based on licensing agreements and collaborations with larger pharmaceutical companies that have the resources and distribution networks to market the drugs. By using its HyNap technology, Xspray creates formulations that offer competitive advantages over original drugs, such as enhanced bioavailability and reduced side effects, making them attractive for licensing. Xspray typically earns upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties from these partnerships. Additionally, the company may also generate revenue through direct sales if it chooses to commercialize certain products independently.

Xspray Pharma AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Xspray Pharma AB faces significant financial challenges typical of early-stage biotechnology firms, such as lack of revenue generation and profitability. The strong equity position and liquidity provide some stability, but the reliance on external funding and increasing debt levels pose future risks. A focus on achieving operational efficiency and revenue generation is critical for improving financial health.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Xspray Pharma AB has consistently reported zero revenue over the years, indicating a lack of commercial operations or product sales. The company has been experiencing increasing losses, with net income significantly negative, which reflects ongoing financial challenges in achieving profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, further emphasizing the lack of operational efficiency and profitability.
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a strong equity position with a high equity ratio, indicating a solid capital base. However, the company has been increasing its debt levels, which is reflected in a rising debt-to-equity ratio. Despite the challenges, a substantial portion of the assets consists of cash and short-term investments, providing some liquidity cushion.
Cash Flow
14
Very Negative
Xspray Pharma AB has been generating negative operating and free cash flows, indicating cash burn from operations and investments. The company relies heavily on financing activities for cash inflows, which could be a concern if external funding becomes less accessible. No positive growth in free cash flow has been observed, signaling potential sustainability issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-2.78M-8.55M-9.19M-9.53M-8.87M-1.41M
EBITDA-196.23M-277.76M-169.81M-122.13M-87.82M-50.99M
Net Income-216.42M-285.52M-179.67M-130.27M-96.70M-52.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets820.20M796.34M765.26M585.43M622.90M605.30M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments197.98M208.24M166.30M120.17M271.88M325.60M
Total Debt148.91M128.22M36.81M2.13M3.23M4.86M
Total Liabilities178.47M173.25M71.85M29.41M31.15M22.72M
Stockholders Equity641.73M623.10M693.41M556.02M591.75M582.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-253.43M-264.51M-257.38M-238.47M-147.57M-145.00M
Operating Cash Flow-213.39M-222.37M-203.28M-110.18M-51.61M-47.79M
Investing Cash Flow-46.90M-42.14M-65.88M-135.34M-105.82M-96.83M
Financing Cash Flow383.63M306.11M315.59M93.81M103.71M260.35M

Xspray Pharma AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price31.20
Price Trends
50DMA
28.99
Negative
100DMA
35.91
Negative
200DMA
37.46
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.52
Positive
RSI
29.63
Positive
STOCH
29.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:XSPRAY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 31.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.01, above the 50-day MA of 28.99, and below the 200-day MA of 37.46, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.63 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:XSPRAY.

Xspray Pharma AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
kr3.25B5.12167.77%2687.51%
64
Neutral
kr1.33B10.5481.19%
58
Neutral
kr3.36B-6.49-71.87%-91.85%-6.65%
56
Neutral
kr1.27B-10.90-58.41%48.14%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
kr892.06M-2.99131.20%32.28%
42
Neutral
kr1.04B-4.26-35.03%25.14%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:XSPRAY
Xspray Pharma AB
25.00
-5.74
-18.68%
SE:ONCO
Oncopeptides AB
3.45
2.17
168.90%
SE:SYNACT
SynAct Pharma AB
23.80
13.15
123.47%
SE:SANION
Saniona AB
23.55
17.23
272.63%
SE:VICO
Vicore Pharma Holding AB
11.94
3.10
35.07%
SE:CANTA
Cantargia AB
5.34
3.59
205.32%

Xspray Pharma AB Corporate Events

Xspray Pharma Achieves Key Milestones in Q3 2025
Nov 5, 2025

Xspray Pharma’s Q3 2025 report highlights significant developments, including achieving bioequivalence for its XS003 product at a reduced dosage compared to the reference drug Tasigna, and securing a license agreement with Handa Therapeutics for commercialization in the US and Asian markets. Additionally, the company raised approximately SEK 161 million through a heavily oversubscribed share issue and extended the maturity of an existing loan, enhancing its financial position.

Xspray Pharma’s XS003 NDA Accepted by FDA with PDUFA Date Set
Oct 21, 2025

Xspray Pharma AB announced that the FDA has accepted its New Drug Application for XS003, an improved formulation of nilotinib for treating chronic myeloid leukemia, with a PDUFA date set for June 18, 2026. This development signifies a major milestone for the company, potentially enhancing its market position in the U.S. oncology sector, with expectations of improved patient adherence due to reduced food effect and manufacturing processes already familiar to the FDA.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 17, 2026