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TF Bank AB (SE:TFBANK)
:TFBANK

TF Bank AB (TFBANK) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:TFBANK

TF Bank AB

(TFBANK)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
kr184.00
▲(7.74% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong profitability/ROE and a low-leverage balance sheet, plus an attractive low P/E valuation. Offsetting these positives are persistently negative operating/free cash flow and a recent revenue decline, while technical signals are mixed with weaker medium-term momentum despite longer-term support above the 200-day average.
Positive Factors
High profitability and ROE
Sustained high margins and ROE indicate durable earnings power from core lending activities. Strong return metrics support reinvestment, dividend capacity, and capital buffer over the next several quarters, provided credit quality and funding remain stable.
Low and improving leverage
Very low debt-to-equity reduces solvency and refinancing risk, giving strategic flexibility to expand lending or absorb losses. Improved leverage enhances resilience to funding stress and supports sustained capital returns or measured growth over a multi-month horizon.
Digital, consumer-focused business model
A digital-first model focused on consumer loans, cards and savings creates scalable, low-cost distribution and product cross-sell opportunities. In the Nordic market this supports durable customer acquisition economics and competitive positioning versus legacy banks.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow
Repeated negative operating and free cash flow despite accounting profits implies reliance on balance-sheet funding or deposit inflows. Over several months this raises liquidity and earnings-quality risk, increasing sensitivity to funding costs or deposit retention dynamics.
Recent revenue decline
A near-10% revenue drop reduces scale advantages and may pressure net interest and fee income sustainability. If revenue contraction persists, it could erode margins and ROE, forcing more aggressive growth initiatives that carry credit or pricing risks over the medium term.
Asset growth raises underwriting risk
Rapid asset expansion typical for consumer banks increases exposure to credit losses if underwriting standards slip. Over 2–6 months, deterioration in loan quality or provisioning could materially hit earnings and capital, despite low headline leverage today.

TF Bank AB (TFBANK) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

TF Bank AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTF Bank AB (publ) provides consumer banking services and e-commerce solutions through a proprietary IT platform. The company operates in three segments: Consumer Lending, E-commerce Solutions, and Credit Cards. It provides savings accounts; unsecured consumer loans; and digital payment solutions, as well as credit cards. The company serves private individuals in Sweden, Finland, Norway, Denmark, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Germany, and Austria. TF Bank AB (publ) was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Borås, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyTF Bank AB generates revenue primarily through interest income from its lending activities, which includes personal loans and credit card offerings. The bank charges interest on the loans it provides to consumers, which constitutes a significant portion of its revenue stream. Additionally, TF Bank earns fees from its financial products, such as account maintenance fees and transaction fees associated with credit cards. The bank also generates income from its savings products, where it attracts deposits from customers and pays interest on those deposits. Furthermore, the company has established partnerships with various financial service providers that enhance its product offerings and contribute to its earnings through referral fees or shared revenue arrangements.

TF Bank AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TF Bank AB presents a mixed financial picture. The income statement shows strong revenue growth and profitability, although with some fluctuations in net profit margins. The balance sheet is a highlight, featuring no debt and robust equity, which provides financial stability and resilience. However, the cash flow statement indicates challenges in cash generation, with negative operating and free cash flows in recent periods. The company's overall financial health is solid, but attention to cash flow management is needed to sustain long-term growth and stability.
Income Statement
TF Bank AB shows strong revenue growth, particularly in the most recent period with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue increase. The gross profit margin remains robust, indicating efficient cost management relative to revenue. However, the net profit margin has seen slight fluctuations, suggesting some volatility in bottom-line profitability. The EBIT margin is healthy, showcasing solid operational efficiency, although the EBITDA margin is less informative due to significant amortization and depreciation charges. Overall, the income statement reflects strong revenue growth and profitability, albeit with some volatility in net income.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet of TF Bank AB is notably strong with no current debt, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of zero, which is highly favorable. The equity ratio has improved, reflecting a robust capital base relative to total assets. Return on Equity (ROE) is strong, demonstrating effective use of equity to generate profits. High levels of cash and equivalents further strengthen the financial position, enhancing liquidity and reducing financial risk. Overall, the balance sheet is characterized by low leverage and strong equity, which enhances financial stability.
Cash Flow
TF Bank AB's cash flow statement reveals some challenges, particularly with negative operating cash flow in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) period, which could indicate issues with cash generation from core operations. The free cash flow is also negative, pointing to potential cash constraints. However, the company has previously demonstrated the ability to generate positive free cash flow, suggesting some resilience. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, which could reflect timing issues or operational inefficiencies. Overall, the cash flow position indicates pressure on cash generation, but historical performance shows some capacity to recover.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.14B3.21B2.49B1.60B1.16B987.78M
Gross Profit2.51B2.41B1.98B1.39B1.04B865.13M
EBITDA989.68M856.39M570.07M473.13M381.20M283.31M
Net Income722.15M632.35M396.70M342.46M277.21M202.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets27.78B25.07B23.95B18.38B13.39B10.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.0018.56M18.92M57.69M1.28B1.10B
Total Debt346.53M511.79M505.76M296.53M251.62M280.32M
Total Liabilities24.65B22.30B21.79B16.64B11.96B9.12B
Stockholders Equity3.12B2.77B2.16B1.74B1.43B1.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.50B-1.63B2.11B1.01B188.22M336.02M
Operating Cash Flow-1.45B-1.55B2.20B1.06B225.23M361.58M
Investing Cash Flow25.22M4.48M-107.80M-56.53M-37.03M-25.56M
Financing Cash Flow1.09B-29.13M177.63M-36.35M22.78M1.55B

TF Bank AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price170.78
Price Trends
50DMA
168.59
Negative
100DMA
170.34
Negative
200DMA
147.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.59
Negative
RSI
51.02
Neutral
STOCH
77.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:TFBANK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 170.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 163.03, above the 50-day MA of 168.59, and above the 200-day MA of 147.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.59 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:TFBANK.

TF Bank AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
kr9.89B10.9815.75%1.78%19.81%5.77%
71
Outperform
kr10.76B6.1526.88%15.59%24.31%
71
Outperform
kr53.59B20.5142.92%3.34%7.33%23.01%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
kr13.27B9.310.78%13.82%
42
Neutral
kr6.05B-42.24-0.68%-6.65%95.09%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:TFBANK
TF Bank AB
165.50
35.31
27.12%
SE:AZA
Avanza Bank Holding AB
341.60
71.41
26.43%
SE:HOFI
Hoist Finance AB
113.20
21.17
23.00%
SE:INTRUM
Intrum Justitia AB
44.64
16.61
59.26%
SE:NORION
Collector AB
65.00
27.20
71.96%

TF Bank AB Corporate Events

TF Bank Sets January Date for 2025 Year-End Report and Investor Call
Jan 7, 2026

TF Bank AB will release its year-end report for 2025 on 20 January 2026 and will host a same-day conference call for media, institutional investors, analysts and other stakeholders, where CEO Joakim Jansson and CFO Mikael Meomuttel will present the results and take questions. The presentation, held in Swedish with English materials and accessible online and via dial-in, underscores the bank’s ongoing efforts to maintain transparent communication with the market and engage investors around its financial performance and strategic progress.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:TFBANK) stock is a Buy with a SEK194.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TF Bank AB stock, see the SE:TFBANK Stock Forecast page.

TF Bank Seeks Nasdaq Stockholm Listing for SEK 150 Million Tier 2 Bonds
Dec 22, 2025

TF Bank AB has published a prospectus and is applying to list its recently issued SEK 150 million Tier 2 bonds on the corporate bond list of Nasdaq Stockholm, following approval of the listing prospectus by the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority. The bonds are expected to begin trading around 29 December 2025, a move that broadens TF Bank’s access to capital markets and may strengthen its funding base, supporting continued expansion of its digital credit and payment services across Europe.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:TFBANK) stock is a Buy with a SEK194.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TF Bank AB stock, see the SE:TFBANK Stock Forecast page.

TF Bank’s Swedish Subsidiary Gains Deposit-Taking License
Dec 16, 2025

TF Bank’s Swedish subsidiary, Goldcup 37337 AB, has received a license from the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority to operate as a deposit-taking financial institution. This move allows the subsidiary to function within the Consumer Lending segment, potentially enhancing TF Bank’s market presence and operational capabilities in Sweden.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:TFBANK) stock is a Buy with a SEK194.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TF Bank AB stock, see the SE:TFBANK Stock Forecast page.

TF Bank Announces New Chief Commercial Officer
Dec 10, 2025

TF Bank AB has announced a leadership change with the appointment of Vilma Sool as Chief Commercial Officer and Executive Director, effective January 1, 2026. This strategic move is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to enhance its executive management team, potentially impacting its market positioning and operations in the digital credit and payment industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:TFBANK) stock is a Buy with a SEK194.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TF Bank AB stock, see the SE:TFBANK Stock Forecast page.

TF Bank Reports Strong Growth in Loan Portfolio and Ecommerce Solutions
Dec 8, 2025

TF Bank AB reported a significant increase in its loan portfolio for November 2025, amounting to SEK 23,602 million, marking a 21% rise compared to November 2024 in local currencies. The company’s credit card new lending and ecommerce transaction volumes showed strong growth, with increases of 31% and 50% respectively, indicating robust performance and potential positive implications for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:TFBANK) stock is a Buy with a SEK194.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TF Bank AB stock, see the SE:TFBANK Stock Forecast page.

TF Bank AB Announces Nomination Committee for 2026 AGM
Dec 1, 2025

TF Bank AB has announced the formation of its Nomination Committee in preparation for the 2026 Annual General Meeting. The committee, composed of representatives from the largest shareholders, will propose candidates for key positions and determine fees for board and committee work. This move is part of TF Bank’s ongoing efforts to ensure effective governance and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:TFBANK) stock is a Buy with a SEK194.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TF Bank AB stock, see the SE:TFBANK Stock Forecast page.

TF Bank Fulfills Conditions for Early Redemption of Tier 2 Bonds
Nov 28, 2025

TF Bank AB has announced the fulfillment of conditions for the early redemption of its outstanding Tier 2 bonds, originally issued in December 2020. The redemption will occur on 15 December 2025, following the successful issuance of new SEK-denominated Tier 2 bonds, which enables the company to manage its debt efficiently and potentially improve its financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:TFBANK) stock is a Buy with a SEK194.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TF Bank AB stock, see the SE:TFBANK Stock Forecast page.

TF Bank AB Announces Name Change to Avarda Bank AB
Nov 17, 2025

TF Bank AB held an Extraordinary General Meeting where it was resolved to change the company’s corporate name to Avarda Bank AB, pending approval from the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority. The name change reflects the company’s ongoing evolution and is expected to be registered by Q2 2026, with the current name remaining in use until then.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:TFBANK) stock is a Buy with a SEK194.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TF Bank AB stock, see the SE:TFBANK Stock Forecast page.

TF Bank AB Issues SEK 150 Million Tier 2 Bonds
Nov 13, 2025

TF Bank AB has successfully issued SEK 150 million in subordinated Tier 2 bonds, which will mature in 2036. This issuance, attracting strong interest from investors, aims to support the bank’s profitable growth and optimize its capital structure. The bonds will be traded on Nasdaq Stockholm, highlighting the bank’s strategic financial management and positioning in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:TFBANK) stock is a Buy with a SEK194.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TF Bank AB stock, see the SE:TFBANK Stock Forecast page.

TF Bank’s Subsidiary Gains Deposit-Taking License in Sweden
Nov 12, 2025

TF Bank’s Swedish subsidiary, Yieldloop AB, has received a license from the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority to operate as a deposit-taking financial institution. This development is aimed at the internal management of non-performing loans, potentially enhancing the company’s operational efficiency and financial stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:TFBANK) stock is a Buy with a SEK194.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TF Bank AB stock, see the SE:TFBANK Stock Forecast page.

TF Bank AB Reports Strong Growth in Loan Portfolio and Ecommerce Solutions
Nov 11, 2025

TF Bank AB reported a significant growth in its loan portfolio, which reached SEK 22,999 million by the end of October 2025, marking a 20% increase compared to the previous year in local currencies. The company experienced notable growth in its credit card and ecommerce solutions segments, with new lending and transaction volumes increasing by 37% and 26% respectively, reflecting its strong market presence and operational expansion.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:TFBANK) stock is a Buy with a SEK194.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TF Bank AB stock, see the SE:TFBANK Stock Forecast page.

TF Bank AB Plans New Tier 2 Bond Issue and Early Redemption of Existing Bonds
Nov 10, 2025

TF Bank AB has announced its intention to issue SEK 150 million in Tier 2 bonds, with ABG Sundal Collier as the sole bookrunner, to refinance its existing SEK 100 million Tier 2 bonds. The early redemption of the existing bonds is conditional upon the success of the new bond issue, and if successful, the existing bonds will be redeemed at their nominal value and delisted from Nasdaq Stockholm, impacting the company’s financial strategy and market operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:TFBANK) stock is a Buy with a SEK194.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TF Bank AB stock, see the SE:TFBANK Stock Forecast page.

TF Bank Announces Leadership Change Amidst Strategic Continuity
Nov 3, 2025

TF Bank AB has announced a leadership change with Vilma Sool appointed as the Acting Chief Commercial Officer, following the departure of Rasmus Rolén, who is leaving for new opportunities. The company assures that operations and commercial priorities remain unchanged, indicating stability and continuity in its strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:TFBANK) stock is a Buy with a SEK194.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TF Bank AB stock, see the SE:TFBANK Stock Forecast page.

TF Bank AB Reports Strong Growth and Strategic Transformation
Oct 14, 2025

TF Bank AB reported significant financial growth for January to September 2025, with a 24% increase in operating profit and a 25% rise in earnings per share compared to the previous year. The company is undergoing a strategic transformation, highlighted by a proposed name change to Avarda Bank AB, reflecting its expansion from a Nordic niche bank to a broader pan-European platform. This transition is supported by strong performance in its credit card business and new partnerships in the Ecommerce Solutions segment, which are expected to enhance transaction volumes.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026