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Avanza Bank Holding AB (SE:AZA)
:AZA

Avanza Bank Holding AB (AZA) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:AZA

Avanza Bank Holding AB

(AZA)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
kr375.00
▲(9.78% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high profitability and ROE with solid cash conversion). This is tempered by weak technical conditions (price below key moving averages and negative MACD) and a valuation that appears fair rather than clearly undervalued despite a reasonable dividend yield.

Avanza Bank Holding AB (AZA) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Avanza Bank Holding AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAvanza Bank Holding AB (publ) provides online stock trading services in Sweden. The company offers share and fund, investment savings, endowment insurance, endowment child insurance, external deposit, and pension insurance savings accounts, as well as occupational pensions and individual pension plans. It also trades in equities, funds, and other securities; and provides external and green mortgages, private banking mortgages, and margin loans and lending products. In addition, the company offers decision support services; and publishes topical news and independent advice on the financial website, Placera, as well as on the weekly financial magazine, Börsveckan. It primarily serves individual investors; and professional investors and corporate customers, such as entrepreneurs and asset managers. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyAvanza Bank generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from brokerage fees charged on trades executed by its customers. The company also earns money from interest income on customer deposits and margin loans, where clients borrow funds to invest. Additionally, Avanza receives management fees from mutual funds and other investment products offered through its platform. The firm's focus on a low-cost model attracts a high volume of transactions, enhancing its earnings potential. Partnerships with various financial institutions and investment firms further expand its product offerings, contributing to its overall revenue growth.

Avanza Bank Holding AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Avanza Bank Holding AB demonstrates exceptional financial health with strong revenue and profit growth, zero debt, and robust cash flow generation. The company is well-positioned within the banking industry due to its high financial stability and profitability.
Income Statement
Avanza Bank Holding AB shows strong financial performance with a consistent increase in total revenue from 2020 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025. The gross profit margin is robust, and net profit margins are healthy. The company also exhibits a positive trend in EBIT and EBITDA margins, demonstrating efficient cost management and profitability.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial standing with zero total debt in the recent periods, indicating no leverage risk. The equity ratio is stable and improving, showcasing a strong equity position. The return on equity is high, reflecting effective utilization of shareholder funds to generate profits.
Cash Flow
Avanza Bank's cash flow statement indicates strong cash generation capabilities with significant growth in free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, ensuring liquidity and operational efficiency. The company maintains a solid free cash flow to net income ratio, emphasizing its ability to convert earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.20B5.08B4.40B3.12B3.41B2.43B
Gross Profit4.44B3.90B3.44B2.97B3.30B2.35B
EBITDA2.33B2.71B2.38B2.02B2.51B1.66B
Net Income2.62B2.25B1.98B1.67B2.05B1.33B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets404.82B343.61B282.45B241.09B279.08B204.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.24B8.19B8.63B4.92B2.94B1.43B
Total Debt1.16B281.00M92.00M83.00M122.00M171.00M
Total Liabilities398.31B337.29B276.62B236.14B274.38B201.60B
Stockholders Equity6.51B6.32B5.83B4.95B4.70B3.17B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow24.67B3.95B8.62B7.61B4.47B6.88B
Operating Cash Flow24.72B3.99B8.64B7.65B4.53B6.94B
Investing Cash Flow-19.35B-1.20B-3.28B-4.37B-2.62B-5.95B
Financing Cash Flow-1.08B-1.83B-1.09B-1.36B-554.00M-398.00M

Avanza Bank Holding AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price341.60
Price Trends
50DMA
354.38
Negative
100DMA
354.78
Negative
200DMA
342.66
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.14
Positive
RSI
43.64
Neutral
STOCH
45.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:AZA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 341.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 347.02, below the 50-day MA of 354.38, and below the 200-day MA of 342.66, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:AZA.

Avanza Bank Holding AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
kr9.89B10.9815.75%1.78%19.81%5.77%
71
Outperform
kr53.59B20.5142.92%3.34%7.33%23.01%
71
Outperform
kr10.76B6.1526.88%15.59%24.31%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
kr67.65B23.8741.80%3.01%2.54%4.51%
63
Neutral
kr13.27B9.310.78%13.82%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:AZA
Avanza Bank Holding AB
341.60
71.41
26.43%
SE:HOFI
Hoist Finance AB
113.20
21.17
23.00%
SE:SAVE
Nordnet AB
270.80
28.29
11.66%
SE:NORION
Collector AB
65.00
27.20
71.96%
SE:TFBANK
TF Bank AB
165.50
35.31
27.12%
SE:ARION
Arion Banki hf Shs Swedish DR
14.80
2.20
17.46%

Avanza Bank Holding AB Corporate Events

Avanza Adds 171,000 Customers in 2025 Despite Tough Swedish Market
Jan 7, 2026

During 2025, Avanza expanded its customer base by 171,000 to a total of 2,242,700 clients by year-end, with 10,300 net new customers added in December. Despite a sluggish Swedish economy, a difficult stock market climate and a drag from the ongoing termination of external savings accounts, the platform recorded net inflows of SEK 54 billion for the year, including SEK 670 million in December, while savings capital rose 13% year-on-year to SEK 1,079.2 billion and internally financed lending, particularly mortgages, continued to grow, even as trading activity and brokerage-generating volumes declined compared with 2024.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:AZA) stock is a Hold with a SEK383.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Avanza Bank Holding AB stock, see the SE:AZA Stock Forecast page.

Avanza Increases Share Capital After Employee Incentive Share Issue
Dec 30, 2025

Avanza Bank Holding AB has increased its total number of shares and votes to 157,829,091 following the issuance of 38,329 new shares under its 2022/2025 employee incentive programme, raising its share capital to SEK 78,914,545.50. The change marginally dilutes existing shareholders but underscores Avanza’s continued use of equity-based remuneration to align employees’ interests with long-term shareholder value as it consolidates its position as a leading digital savings and investment platform in the Swedish market.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:AZA) stock is a Hold with a SEK383.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Avanza Bank Holding AB stock, see the SE:AZA Stock Forecast page.

Avanza Completes Warrant Repurchase with New Share Issuance
Dec 12, 2025

Avanza Bank Holding AB has successfully completed a repurchase of 1,131,720 warrants as part of its warrant program, offering newly issued shares in exchange. This move resulted in the issuance of 521,145 new shares, leading to a dilution of approximately 0.3%. The repurchase was conducted over three registration periods with varying prices per warrant, reflecting the market value at the time. This strategic action is likely to impact Avanza’s financial structure and shareholder value, as it consolidates its warrant program and potentially enhances investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:AZA) stock is a Hold with a SEK383.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Avanza Bank Holding AB stock, see the SE:AZA Stock Forecast page.

Avanza Bank Sees Growth in Customer Base and Market Share in November 2025
Dec 3, 2025

Avanza Bank Holding AB reported an increase in customers and market share in November 2025, with a net addition of 8,900 customers, bringing the total to 2,232,400. The bank’s share of the Swedish savings market rose to 8.0%, and it captured a significant portion of the net inflow and premium inflow to the Swedish life market. Despite a decrease in net inflow and brokerage-generating trades compared to the previous month, Avanza showed growth in savings capital and internally financed lending, indicating a strong position in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:AZA) stock is a Hold with a SEK383.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Avanza Bank Holding AB stock, see the SE:AZA Stock Forecast page.

Avanza Bank: Leading Swedish Customer Satisfaction for 16 Years
Dec 1, 2025

Avanza Bank Holding AB has been recognized for having Sweden’s most satisfied savings customers for the 16th consecutive year, according to the Swedish Quality Index. This accolade underscores Avanza’s strong market position and commitment to customer satisfaction, as evidenced by their extensive offerings and innovations such as AI-driven financial insights and expanded stock trading options. The company’s continuous growth, marked by a substantial increase in new customers and savings capital, further solidifies its leadership in the investment platform sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:AZA) stock is a Hold with a SEK383.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Avanza Bank Holding AB stock, see the SE:AZA Stock Forecast page.

Avanza Bank Increases Shares and Votes Following Incentive Program
Nov 28, 2025

Avanza Bank Holding AB has increased its number of shares and votes following the issuance of new shares under the incentive program 2022/2025, raising the share capital to SEK 78,895,381. This change reflects Avanza’s commitment to rewarding its employees and may enhance its market position by aligning employee interests with company performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:AZA) stock is a Hold with a SEK383.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Avanza Bank Holding AB stock, see the SE:AZA Stock Forecast page.

Avanza Bank Reports Strong Customer Growth and Financial Performance in October
Nov 5, 2025

Avanza Bank Holding AB reported an increase of 151,800 customers in 2025, reaching a total of 2,223,500 by the end of October. The net inflow for October was SEK 5,070 million, contributing to a total of SEK 52,800 million for the year. The company also saw a rise in savings capital and brokerage-generating activities, indicating strong growth and engagement within its customer base. These statistics highlight Avanza’s continued expansion and robust positioning in the Swedish financial market, with significant implications for its stakeholders as it maintains its leadership in customer satisfaction and transaction volume.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:AZA) stock is a Sell with a SEK330.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Avanza Bank Holding AB stock, see the SE:AZA Stock Forecast page.

Avanza Bank Announces Nomination Committee for 2026 AGM
Oct 24, 2025

Avanza Bank Holding AB has announced the formation of its Nomination Committee for the upcoming Annual General Meeting in April 2026. The committee includes representatives from the four largest shareholders: Biovestor AB, Creades AB, AMF – Tjänstepensioner och Fonder, and the Dybeck family, with Erik Törnberg appointed as Chairman. This announcement is significant as it outlines the governance structure and shareholder involvement in decision-making, which could impact the company’s strategic direction and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:AZA) stock is a Hold with a SEK385.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Avanza Bank Holding AB stock, see the SE:AZA Stock Forecast page.

Avanza Bank Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results Amid Strategic Expansions
Oct 17, 2025

Avanza Bank Holding AB reported a strong financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, with a 19% increase in operating income and a 24% rise in operating profit compared to the same period in 2024. The company finalized the acquisition of Sigmastocks and expanded its pension offerings and digital trading markets, which are expected to enhance its market position and growth prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:AZA) stock is a Hold with a SEK310.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Avanza Bank Holding AB stock, see the SE:AZA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026