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SKF AB Class A (SE:SKF.A)
:SKF.A

SKF AB Class A (SKF.A) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:SKF.A

SKF AB Class A

(SKF.A)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
kr250.00
▲(1.21% Upside)
The score is driven mainly by stable underlying financial health (stronger balance sheet and positive free cash flow) but tempered by ongoing profitability compression and limited top-line momentum. Technicals are currently weak with the stock trading below key moving averages, and valuation looks somewhat expensive versus recent earnings pressure despite a supportive dividend. Earnings-call guidance was mixed, with cost and separation execution positives offset by notable FX headwinds and Automotive weakness.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet and deleveraging
Steady deleveraging to a 0.29 debt/equity level provides durable financial flexibility. Lower leverage supports investment, dividend continuity and the planned Automotive separation funding, reducing refinancing risk and improving resilience to cyclical industrial and automotive demand shocks over the next 2–3 years.
Consistent free cash flow generation
Persistent positive free cash flow, with improvement in 2025, underpins self-funded capex, dividend payouts and separation costs. Reliable cash generation enhances strategic optionality for restructuring, manufacturing investments and smoothing volatility from cyclical end markets over multiple years.
High-margin, resilient Industrial franchise
Industrial operations produce the majority of sales and nearly all adjusted operating profit, with mid-teens margins and positive organic growth. This market-leading, diversified industrial exposure provides a durable earnings and cash-flow base, cushioning group performance despite volatility in Automotive.
Negative Factors
Weak Automotive performance and low margins
A large Automotive division with negative organic growth and single-digit margins materially drags consolidated profitability. As Automotive represents a meaningful revenue slice, structural weakness or a slow recovery will continue to compress group margins and complicate the path to sustained ROE improvement.
Revenue declines and margin compression
Consecutive yearly revenue declines and multi-year margin erosion indicate structural pressures from adverse mix, pricing and cost dynamics. Persistent top-line weakness limits operating leverage and constrains long-term earnings power, reducing scope for durable margin recovery absent structural commercial improvements.
Material FX headwinds and separation costs
Significant FX sensitivity and substantial one-off separation and footprint costs will weigh on near-to-medium term cash flow and reported earnings. These structural program costs and currency volatility can delay margin recovery and consume flexibility as Automotive is separated and both entities absorb dissynergies and retool operations.

SKF AB Class A (SKF.A) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

SKF AB Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAB SKF (publ) engages in the design, development, and manufacture of bearings, seals, lubrication systems, and services worldwide. It operates in two segments, Industrial and Automotive. The company offers rolling bearings, mounted bearings and housings, super-precision bearings, slewing bearings, plain bearings, magnetic bearings and systems, industrial and automotive seals, lubrication management solutions, maintenance products, condition monitoring systems, power transmission solutions, test and measuring equipment, vehicle aftermarket, and waste electric and electronic equipment products. It also provides various services, including application engineering, asset management, condition-based maintenance, mechanical maintenance, remanufacturing and customization, and training solutions. The company offers its solutions for various industries, including aerospace, agriculture, cars and light trucks, construction, food and beverage, general machinery, machine tools, marine, material handling, metals, mining, mineral processing and cement, ocean energy, oil and gas, pulp and paper, railways, trucks, trailers, buses, two and three wheelers, and wind energy. AB SKF (publ) was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Gothenburg, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneySKF AB generates revenue primarily through the sale of its core products, including bearings, seals, and lubrication systems. These products are essential components in a wide range of machinery used in various industries, leading to steady demand. The company also offers maintenance services and solutions, which provide ongoing revenue through service contracts and aftermarket sales. Key revenue streams include direct sales to OEMs (Original Equipment Manufacturers), distribution through authorized resellers, and service agreements with end-users. SKF has established significant partnerships with major industrial players, enhancing its market reach and driving growth. Additionally, the company's focus on innovation and sustainability allows it to create value-added offerings, contributing to its earnings growth.

SKF AB Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 30, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call communicated a mix of resilience and challenge: strong margin performance, industrial outperformance, successful cost programs (rightsizing, world‑class manufacturing) and solid cash/ balance sheet metrics are clear positives. However, significant currency headwinds, one‑off separation costs, a weak Automotive business with low margins and near‑term dissynergies temper the outlook. Management has a concrete plan (including accelerating asset transfers and guiding an Automotive IPO in Q4 2026) and expects to largely mitigate tariffs via price/mix actions, but the recovery depends on macro and FX evolution. Overall the positives and negatives are roughly balanced.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Adjusted Operating Margins
Adjusted operating margin improved to 12.7% for full year 2025 and 11.8% in Q4 2025, reflecting margin resilience despite challenging market conditions and currency headwinds.
Industrial Segment Outperformance
Industrial represented ~73% of Q4 net sales and ~96% of adjusted operating profit. Industrial reported organic growth just north of 2% in Q4 and an adjusted operating margin of 15.6% (up from 14.6% year‑over‑year).
Strong Cash Generation and Deleveraging
Net cash flow from operations for the full year was SEK 8.4 billion. Net debt excluding pension declined from SEK 7.5 billion to SEK 5.7 billion; net debt/EBITDA excluding pension improved to 0.5 and net debt/equity excluding pension fell to 10%.
Rightsizing and World-Class Manufacturing Savings
Rightsizing contributed ~SEK 190–200 million in Q4 and is expected to reach SEK 2.0 billion run rate by end‑2027 (linear phasing). The world‑class manufacturing program was finalized and delivered cumulative cost savings (target SEK 5 billion achieved), contributing to improved margins.
Maintained Dividend and Capital Allocation Discipline
Board proposes a maintained dividend of SEK 7.75 per share (45% of adjusted net profit), to be paid in two tranches, reflecting confidence in the balance sheet and cash generation.
Accelerated Automotive Separation Plan
Management identified an opportunity to accelerate phaseout of automotive contract manufacturing via asset transfers, strengthening starting positions for both businesses and planning the Automotive listing in Q4 2026 while staying within previously announced separation cost and CapEx envelopes.
Negative Updates
Automotive Weakness and Low Margins
Automotive (27% of net sales) reported negative organic growth close to 6% in Q4 and an adjusted operating margin of just 1.7% for the quarter; full year Automotive organic growth declined ~4% with full year margin just north of 4% — indicating continued softness and margin pressure.
Significant Currency Headwinds
Currency effects materially compressed results: FX reduced reported sales by 10.6% and negatively impacted operating margin by ~1.4 percentage points for Q4; Automotive alone faced almost a 3 percentage‑point FX hit in the quarter. Q1 2026 FX is expected to have a further negative earnings impact of ~SEK 800 million YoY.
One‑Off Costs and Cash Flow Impact from Separation and Footprint Actions
One‑off costs in Q4 amounted to ~SEK 1 billion (about half related to the automotive separation and half to footprint optimization, including Argentina closure). Full‑year operating cash flow decreased by ~SEK 2.5 billion YoY (to SEK 8.4 billion) mainly due to items affecting comparability of ~SEK 3 billion tied to rightsizing, footprint optimization and separation.
Near‑Term Dissynergies from Automotive Independence
As Automotive is set to operate more independently from 2026, expected dissynergies (IT, management, etc.) will offset rightsizing savings in early 2026; management indicates dissynergies will be somewhat larger than savings in Q1 and will be addressed as rightsizing ramps through 2026–2027.
Flat/Declining Organic Sales Overall
Full year net sales were just under SEK 92 billion with flat/negative organic growth of -0.4% (Industrial +1%, Automotive -4%). Q4 net sales were SEK 22 billion and showed flat organic growth (0%), highlighting limited top‑line momentum.
Market Uncertainty and Softness in Automotive End Markets
Management reiterated a volatile macro/geopolitical backdrop as the new norm; Automotive demand remains soft across EMEA and Americas, and some regions face tough year‑on‑year comparisons (e.g., China light vehicles), creating uncertainty for near‑term recovery.
Company Guidance
Management guided that Q1 2026 demand should be similar to Q4 2025 with organic sales expected to “strengthen somewhat” year‑over‑year, but warned of a sequential FX hit of about SEK 800m (mainly USD and TRY) in Q1; for 2026 they expect a tax rate of ~28% (excl. automotive separation/divestments), group CapEx of ~SEK 5bn (Industrial ~5% of sales, plus Automotive separation‑related investments), and one‑off separation/footprint costs of roughly SEK 2.5–3.0bn for the year (consistent with the SEK 6.5bn guidance for Q4‑2025–2028). They reiterated plans to list Automotive in Q4 2026, said rightsizing delivered ~SEK 190m in Q4 and should reach a SEK 2bn run‑rate by end‑2027 (from ~SEK 750m today), confirmed the SEK 5bn world‑class manufacturing savings have been delivered, and expect to largely offset known tariff impacts into Q1.

SKF AB Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial profile is stable but softening: earnings and margins compressed in 2025 (net margin down to 4.29% and operating margin down to 8.47%) alongside modest revenue declines, partially offset by a conservative balance sheet with declining leverage (debt/equity down to 0.29) and consistently positive free cash flow (up in 2025, though conversion and cash flow show some volatility).
Income Statement
62
Positive
Profitability remains solid but has clearly softened. Revenue declined in 2024 (-0.05%) and again in 2025 (-2.92%), while earnings fell meaningfully (net margin moved down from 6.56% in 2024 to 4.29% in 2025, and operating margin from 10.31% to 8.47%). Longer-term, margins peaked in 2021 and have trended lower since, signaling some pressure from mix, pricing, or cost inflation despite still-healthy gross margin levels in the mid-to-high 20% range.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively positioned with moderate leverage and improving capital structure. Debt relative to equity has declined steadily from 0.52 (2020) to 0.29 (2025), supported by equity growth over time. Returns on equity are positive but have cooled (from 10.85% in 2024 to 7.33% in 2025), reflecting the earnings downshift rather than balance-sheet stress.
Cash Flow
66
Positive
Cash generation is generally supportive, with free cash flow positive each year and improving in 2025 (+9.25%). However, conversion has weakened versus earlier years: free cash flow relative to net income is ~0.54 in 2025 (still reasonable), but operating cash flow relative to sales is lower than the 2023–2024 range (8.39B on 91.58B revenue in 2025). The 2022 dip in free cash flow highlights some volatility, even though the last two years show better normalization.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue91.58B98.72B103.88B96.93B81.73B
Gross Profit24.52B27.37B26.49B24.47B23.27B
EBITDA12.38B14.61B14.34B11.51B13.76B
Net Income3.93B6.47B6.39B4.47B7.33B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets106.42B119.41B111.90B110.92B99.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.47B11.09B13.65B11.22B13.66B
Total Debt15.34B20.04B21.69B21.27B19.21B
Total Liabilities50.75B57.44B56.95B56.88B54.26B
Stockholders Equity53.56B59.65B52.74B51.93B43.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.56B5.70B8.02B428.00M1.36B
Operating Cash Flow8.39B10.79B13.78B5.64B5.25B
Investing Cash Flow-1.50B-5.60B-5.87B-5.35B-3.15B
Financing Cash Flow-8.29B-7.57B-4.51B-3.40B-3.51B

SKF AB Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price247.00
Price Trends
50DMA
246.36
Negative
100DMA
244.06
Negative
200DMA
231.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.19
Positive
RSI
40.76
Neutral
STOCH
24.21
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:SKF.A, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 247 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 248.25, above the 50-day MA of 246.36, and above the 200-day MA of 231.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:SKF.A.

SKF AB Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
kr218.15B26.3720.42%1.84%3.54%20.94%
63
Neutral
kr107.99B27.603.16%-4.16%-12.95%
61
Neutral
kr83.03B23.359.56%1.95%2.73%7.56%
60
Neutral
kr273.81B40.076.71%1.46%-0.93%-34.25%
57
Neutral
kr68.87B24.009.65%0.86%-0.69%269.86%
56
Neutral
kr107.99B27.498.90%3.19%-4.16%-12.95%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:SKF.A
SKF AB Class A
238.00
27.84
13.25%
SE:ALFA
Alfa Laval AB
505.40
28.04
5.87%
SE:HEXA.B
Hexagon AB
99.56
-27.70
-21.77%
SE:NIBE.B
NIBE Industrier AB
34.64
-8.55
-19.80%
SE:SKF.B
SKF AB
239.00
28.96
13.79%
SE:TREL.B
Trelleborg AB
379.70
-22.45
-5.58%

SKF AB Class A Corporate Events

SKF Updates Share and Voting Structure After A-to-B Conversion
Jan 30, 2026

SKF AB has announced an updated share and voting structure following the conversion of a portion of its Series A shares into Series B shares under its Articles of Association. As of 30 January 2026, the company has a total of 455,351,068 shares outstanding, comprising 28,918,320 Series A shares and 426,432,748 Series B shares, corresponding to 71,561,594.8 votes, and confirms that it holds no treasury shares. The change, disclosed under financial market transparency rules, fine-tunes the balance between SKF’s two share classes and may affect the distribution of voting rights among shareholders without altering the company’s overall capital base.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:SKF.A) stock is a Hold with a SEK250.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SKF AB Class A stock, see the SE:SKF.A Stock Forecast page.

SKF boosts margins amid weak auto markets as it accelerates Automotive spin-off plan
Jan 30, 2026

SKF AB reported flat organic sales for the fourth quarter of 2025 as growth in its Industrial division was offset by weakening demand in Automotive, while adjusted operating margin improved to 11.8% despite lower net sales, currency headwinds and soft market conditions. For the full year, the group delivered a resilient adjusted operating margin of 12.7% and solid operating cash flow, supported by cost reductions, rightsizing, footprint optimization and lower material costs, although items affecting comparability, including costs related to the Automotive separation and plant closures, weighed on reported profit and earnings per share. Management highlighted that the ongoing separation of the Automotive business, targeted for listing on Nasdaq Stockholm in the fourth quarter of 2026, is central to creating two fit-for-purpose companies: a higher-margin, pure-play industrial group aiming for an adjusted operating margin above 19% over a business cycle, and an Automotive unit focused on faster-growing, higher-margin segments. Despite geopolitical uncertainty, tariffs and soft demand, SKF expects market conditions in the first quarter of 2026 to remain broadly similar to the fourth quarter but with slightly stronger organic sales on easier comparables, and the board has proposed a dividend of SEK 7.75 per share, underlining confidence in the group’s financial position and long-term value-creation strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:SKF.A) stock is a Hold with a SEK250.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SKF AB Class A stock, see the SE:SKF.A Stock Forecast page.

SKF Announces Strategic Separation of Automotive Business and New Financial Targets
Nov 11, 2025

SKF announced the separation of its Automotive business from the Industrial segment, aiming to unlock significant value by creating two standalone entities. The company set new financial targets for both segments, focusing on organic growth, operating margins, and capital efficiency. SKF’s strategy includes scaling services, accelerating specialized solutions, and optimizing the supply chain for the Industrial business, while the Automotive business will focus on high-growth areas and a leaner setup. The separation is expected to enhance SKF’s market positioning and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:SKF.A) stock is a Hold with a SEK256.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SKF AB Class A stock, see the SE:SKF.A Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 01, 2026