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Svenska Cellulosa SCA AB (SE:SCA.B)
:SCA.B
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Svenska Cellulosa SCA AB (SCA.B) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:SCA.B

Svenska Cellulosa SCA AB

(SCA.B)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
kr111.00
▲(5.92% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/23/26
Overall score reflects solid financial stability driven by a conservative balance sheet, but offset by weaker and more volatile recent operating performance and deteriorating cash conversion in TTM. Technicals add modest support as short-to-medium term momentum is positive, while valuation (higher P/E with only moderate dividend yield) limits the upside in the score.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
SCA's very low debt-to-equity (~0.12–0.16) and large equity cushion provide durable financial flexibility. This reduces refinancing and solvency risk across cycles, allowing the company to fund forestry capex, weather cyclical demand, and prioritize strategic investments without forcing distress financing.
Negative Factors
Volatile revenue trend
Revenue volatility and a sharp TTM decline signal material cyclicality and weaker demand capture. For a capital-intensive forest products company, this undermines predictability of utilization and pricing, complicates capacity planning and investment timing, and increases risk to medium-term earnings resilience.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
SCA's very low debt-to-equity (~0.12–0.16) and large equity cushion provide durable financial flexibility. This reduces refinancing and solvency risk across cycles, allowing the company to fund forestry capex, weather cyclical demand, and prioritize strategic investments without forcing distress financing.
Read all positive factors

Svenska Cellulosa SCA AB (SCA.B) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Svenska Cellulosa SCA AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) operates as a prominent forest products company, focusing on the creation, manufacture, and sale of a diverse range of forest, wood, pulp, and containerboard items. Its extensive catalog includes various w...
How the Company Makes Money
SCA makes money primarily by monetizing its forest assets and converting harvested timber into higher-value products. Key revenue streams include: (1) Sale of wood products: SCA generates revenue from producing and selling solid-wood products (e.g...

Svenska Cellulosa SCA AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financially stable but pressured fundamentals. The balance sheet is a clear strength with low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.12–0.16) supporting a higher sub-score, but operating performance has cooled: revenue has been volatile with a sharp TTM decline, margins have compressed versus 2021–2022, and ROE has fallen to ~2.7% TTM. Cash-flow quality is a concern as TTM operating cash flow is well below net income (coverage ~0.37) and free cash flow is uneven with a steep TTM decline, reducing confidence in earnings quality.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.78B20.43B20.23B18.08B20.79B18.82B
Gross Profit-30.00M1.83B17.10B12.51B17.96B15.59B
EBITDA4.74B6.61B7.19B6.83B10.22B9.08B
Net Income2.22B3.21B3.64B3.67B6.75B5.94B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets147.67B146.46B149.26B147.95B137.35B118.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments162.00M590.00M1.33B502.00M836.00M1.06B
Total Debt15.54B13.54B14.58B12.77B12.21B9.87B
Total Liabilities46.47B44.94B45.23B43.67B41.00B35.18B
Stockholders Equity101.18B101.52B104.03B104.28B96.36B83.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.58B1.20B1.31B759.00M364.00M863.00M
Operating Cash Flow3.62B4.02B3.49B3.89B6.33B5.97B
Investing Cash Flow-1.70B-2.60B-1.70B-3.10B-6.52B-4.93B
Financing Cash Flow-1.83B-2.14B-959.00M-1.12B-30.00M-1.27B

Svenska Cellulosa SCA AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price104.80
Price Trends
50DMA
103.07
Positive
100DMA
103.80
Positive
200DMA
110.39
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.22
Positive
RSI
60.12
Neutral
STOCH
37.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:SCA.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 104.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 107.69, above the 50-day MA of 103.07, and below the 200-day MA of 110.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:SCA.B.

Svenska Cellulosa SCA AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
kr48.61B18.154.92%3.09%-6.33%-1.97%
63
Neutral
kr48.61B18.153.06%-6.33%-1.97%
60
Neutral
kr76.84B34.602.18%2.86%-5.47%-41.24%
59
Neutral
kr84.55B13.195.30%3.46%-3.82%
56
Neutral
kr84.55B13.195.30%2.50%-3.82%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
50
Neutral
kr19.30B-448.82-0.15%2.69%-11.64%-102.28%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:SCA.B
Svenska Cellulosa SCA AB
109.30
-14.56
-11.75%
SE:BILL
BillerudKorsnas AB
76.30
-8.19
-9.69%
SE:HOLM.A
Holmen AB
317.00
-34.80
-9.89%
SE:STE.A
Stora Enso Oyj
108.00
-2.65
-2.40%
SE:STE.R
Stora Enso Oyj
107.00
-0.20
-0.19%
SE:HOLM.B
Holmen AB
322.00
-32.35
-9.13%

Svenska Cellulosa SCA AB Corporate Events

SCA Half-Year Profit Slumps on Prices and FX Despite Q2 Rebound
Jul 22, 2026
SCA reported weaker financial results for the first half of 2026 versus a year earlier, as net sales fell 6 percent to SEK 9.9 billion and EBITDA dropped 35 percent to SEK 2.4 billion, pressured by lower selling prices, adverse currency movements ...
SCA schedules Q2 2026 results and webcast press conference
Jun 22, 2026
SCA has announced it will publish its interim report for the second quarter of 2026 on July 22 at around 08:00 CEST, followed by a webcast and telephone press conference at 10:00 CEST. President and CEO Ulf Larsson and CFO Andreas Ewertz will pres...
SCA Names Klas Nilsson as New SVP for Sustainability and Communications
May 4, 2026
Svenska Cellulosa SCA has appointed Klas Nilsson as its new Senior Vice President for Sustainability and Communications, effective in autumn 2026, when he will also join the company’s management team. Nilsson brings significant experience in...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 23, 2026