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Holmen AB (SE:HOLM.A)
:HOLM.A
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Holmen AB (HOLM.A) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:HOLM.A

Holmen AB

(HOLM.A)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
kr335.00
▼(-4.56% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/30/26
The score is primarily supported by strong financial resilience from a low-leverage balance sheet and positive cash generation, but it is held back by weakening fundamentals (declining revenue and unusually weak TTM gross profit) and a clearly negative technical trend with weak momentum. Valuation is mixed: a reasonable dividend yield offsets a less-compelling P/E.
Positive Factors
Low leverage and strong equity base
Holmen's very low leverage and large equity base materially reduce financial risk, preserve borrowing flexibility and lower refinancing pressure. This structural resilience supports operations through forestry cycles, funds capex and cushions against commodity-driven revenue volatility over months.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue trend
Sustained negative top-line growth signals weakening demand or competitive pressure in key product lines. Over several quarters this erodes operating leverage, limits ability to recover fixed costs and reduces margin upside, making earnings and cash generation more sensitive to further volume declines.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low leverage and strong equity base
Holmen's very low leverage and large equity base materially reduce financial risk, preserve borrowing flexibility and lower refinancing pressure. This structural resilience supports operations through forestry cycles, funds capex and cushions against commodity-driven revenue volatility over months.
Read all positive factors

Holmen AB (HOLM.A) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Holmen AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Holmen AB (publ) produces and sells paperboards, papers, wood products, and renewable energy in Sweden, Germany, the United Kingdom, France, Italy, rest of Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company's Forest segment offers logs, pulpwood, and ...
How the Company Makes Money
Holmen makes money through multiple operating segments. (1) Paperboard: It sells paperboard (cartonboard) used largely for consumer packaging to brand owners, packaging converters, and distributors; revenue is driven by shipment volumes and paperb...

Holmen AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet (low leverage and high equity base) and solid positive operating/free cash flow support resilience. Offsetting this, revenue has been drifting down and the TTM swing to a negative gross profit margin versus prior years is a notable earnings-quality risk.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
71
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.56B22.06B22.76B22.80B23.95B19.48B
Gross Profit-2.29B366.00M10.24B12.12B13.75B9.83B
EBITDA4.39B4.76B5.15B6.16B8.85B5.00B
Net Income2.75B2.88B2.86B3.70B5.87B3.00B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets82.30B80.86B81.55B79.72B81.44B68.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.60B390.00M234.00M1.20B1.94B507.00M
Total Debt6.07B5.10B3.68B3.17B3.15B4.34B
Total Liabilities27.65B25.46B24.18B22.80B24.49B21.11B
Stockholders Equity54.65B55.41B57.37B56.92B56.95B46.99B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.63B1.71B1.20B4.10B4.09B1.52B
Operating Cash Flow4.31B3.85B3.32B5.80B5.48B3.23B
Investing Cash Flow-1.66B-2.12B-2.07B-1.65B-1.35B-1.31B
Financing Cash Flow-2.61B-1.58B-2.22B-4.89B-2.71B-1.76B

Holmen AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price351.00
Price Trends
50DMA
335.89
Negative
100DMA
335.99
Negative
200DMA
342.62
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
46.92
Neutral
STOCH
15.45
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:HOLM.A, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 351 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 328.10, above the 50-day MA of 335.89, and above the 200-day MA of 342.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.45 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:HOLM.A.

Holmen AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
kr50.45B20.925.12%2.60%-6.33%-1.97%
59
Neutral
kr73.72B50.253.09%2.49%-3.98%-23.70%
58
Neutral
kr82.72B11.437.23%3.80%-5.66%5.97%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
55
Neutral
kr81.05B12.153.46%-0.29%
52
Neutral
kr15.67B-20.672.55%3.81%-12.11%-95.84%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:HOLM.A
Holmen AB
315.00
-54.29
-14.70%
SE:BILL
BillerudKorsnas AB
63.00
-36.18
-36.48%
SE:SSAB.B
SSAB Corporation
83.24
22.69
37.48%
SE:STE.R
Stora Enso Oyj
102.70
15.77
18.14%
SE:SCA.B
Svenska Cellulosa SCA AB
105.00
-15.99
-13.21%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 30, 2026