Nordic Paper Holding AB (NPAPER) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: kr3.22B
• Dividend Yield: 8.32%
• Average Volume (3M): 58.87K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 8.6
• Beta (1Y): 0.46
• Revenue Growth: 3.95%
• EPS Growth: -10.26%
• Country: SE
• Employees: 693
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 67
• Industry: Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
• EPS (TTM): 1.54
• Shares Outstanding: 66,908,800
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 97,936
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 58,873
• PEG Ratio: 2.78
• Price to Book (P/B): 3.29
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -182.72
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: kr61.36
• Price Target Upside: 5.43% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 61 Neutral
• Price Target: kr49.00 ▼(-15.81%Downside)

The overall stock score is primarily influenced by solid financial performance and an attractive valuation, with the company demonstrating strong profitability and an appealing dividend yield. However, technical analysis suggests a bearish trend with weak momentum, reducing the overall score.

Nordic Paper Holding AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nordic Paper Holding AB (NPAPER) is a Swedish company specializing in the production of kraft and greaseproof paper. With a focus on sustainability, the company operates within the paper and forest products sector, providing high-quality paper solutions for various industrial and consumer applications. Its core products are used in packaging, food preparation, and other specialty applications, catering to a global market with an emphasis on environmentally friendly practices.

How the Company Makes Money

Nordic Paper Holding AB generates revenue primarily through the sale of its kraft and greaseproof paper products. The company's key revenue streams include supplying paper products to packaging manufacturers, food service companies, and other industrial clients that require specialized paper solutions. Nordic Paper benefits from long-term contracts and relationships with key clients, contributing to stable and recurring income. Additionally, its commitment to sustainable practices and environmentally friendly production processes enhances its appeal to eco-conscious markets, potentially opening further revenue opportunities.

Nordic Paper Holding AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Nordic Paper Holding AB presents a strong financial performance with solid profitability metrics and efficient equity utilization. Revenue growth is steady, though margin pressures are noted. The balance sheet is stable but slightly leveraged, posing potential risks if market conditions worsen. Cash flow management needs attention due to negative free cash flow, but operating cash flow remains robust.

Income Statement

Nordic Paper Holding AB demonstrates solid profitability with a strong gross profit margin of 42.5% and a healthy net profit margin of 10.2% for the TTM. The company's revenue growth rate from the previous annual report is 1.46%, which indicates stable growth. However, the slight decline in gross profit from 2024 to the TTM suggests potential margin pressures. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust, supporting overall profitability.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.01, suggesting a balanced capital structure. The return on equity (ROE) of 31.7% is encouraging, reflecting efficient use of equity capital. However, the equity ratio of 37% indicates a reliance on debt, which could pose risks in volatile market conditions. Overall, the balance sheet shows stability with some leverage concerns.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.87, indicating effective conversion of earnings into cash. However, the free cash flow is negative due to substantial capital expenditures, which may impact short-term liquidity. The free cash flow to net income ratio is -0.06, highlighting the negative free cash flow. The company needs to manage its capital expenditures to improve cash flow stability.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	4.74B	4.67B	4.47B	4.44B	3.08B	2.90B
Gross Profit	2.01B	2.40B	2.35B	2.39B	1.64B	1.68B
EBITDA	853.00M	822.00M	763.00M	902.00M	402.00M	447.00M
Net Income	484.00M	465.00M	416.00M	566.00M	144.00M	258.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.13B	4.14B	3.84B	3.63B	3.25B	2.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	261.00M	398.00M	496.00M	325.00M	360.00M	415.00M
Total Debt	1.54B	1.59B	1.23B	1.26B	1.65B	1.13B
Total Liabilities	2.60B	2.77B	2.64B	2.58B	2.67B	1.76B
Stockholders Equity	1.53B	1.36B	1.19B	1.04B	584.00M	593.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-27.46M	-169.00M	557.00M	415.00M	228.00M	250.00M
Operating Cash Flow	419.99M	333.00M	765.00M	560.00M	408.00M	352.00M
Investing Cash Flow	-449.46M	-504.00M	-223.00M	-92.00M	-824.00M	-102.00M
Financing Cash Flow	471.29K	60.00M	-346.00M	-534.00M	361.00M	-70.00M

Nordic Paper Holding AB Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 58.20
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:NPAPER, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 58.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 57.84, above the 50-day MA of 50.03, and above the 200-day MA of 43.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.61 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:NPAPER.

Nordic Paper Holding AB Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
HOLM.A	71 Outperform	kr59.69B	20.44	5.07%	0.80%	3.23%	-5.41%
GRNG	71 Outperform	kr14.60B	14.74	10.50%	2.24%	18.20%	-0.10%
SCA.B	69 Neutral	kr86.46B	22.89	3.64%	2.31%	12.89%	15.29%
BILL	64 Neutral	kr21.50B	11.70	6.73%	3.99%	6.04%	162.11%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.49B	10.77	1.52%	2.68%	2.24%	-33.79%
NPAPER	61 Neutral	kr3.22B	8.56	26.92%	8.32%	3.95%	-10.26%
STE.A	51 Neutral	kr84.45B	―		0.24%	4.81%	―

Nordic Paper Holding AB Corporate Events

Nordic Paper Reports Q2 2025 Results Amid Market Challenges

Nordic Paper reported a 6% decline in net sales for Q2 2025 compared to the previous year, with a decrease in EBITDA and operating profit margins. Despite market uncertainties and softening demand, the company is making strategic investments in environmental projects and secured new long-term financing, positioning itself for future growth and sustainability. The company also approved an extraordinary dividend for shareholders, reflecting confidence in its financial stability.

Nordic Paper Announces Extraordinary Dividend

Nordic Paper Holding AB announced an extraordinary dividend of SEK 12.00 per share, approved at their extraordinary general meeting. The dividend will be distributed to shareholders on July 23, 2025, with a record date of July 18, 2025, reflecting the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

Nordic Paper to Present Q2 2025 Interim Report

Nordic Paper Holding AB has announced that it will release its interim report for the second quarter of 2025 on July 16. The company’s CEO and CFO will present the report in an audiocasted telephone conference on July 17, which will include a Q&A session. This event is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction.

Nordic Paper Announces Extraordinary General Meeting and Dividend Proposal

Nordic Paper Holding AB has announced an extraordinary general meeting scheduled for July 16, 2025, in Stockholm. The meeting will address a proposed extraordinary dividend of SEK 12.00 per share, totaling approximately SEK 803 million, with a record date of July 18, 2025, and payment on July 23, 2025.

Nordic Paper Proposes Extraordinary Dividend Amid New Financing

Nordic Paper’s board of directors has proposed an extraordinary dividend of SEK 12 per share following the establishment of a new long-term financing agreement. This proposal, amounting to approximately SEK 803 million, will be decided at an extraordinary general meeting on 16 July 2025. The decision reflects the company’s secured permanent financing and leaves room for ongoing investments, indicating a positive outlook for stakeholders.

Nordic Paper Secures Long-Term Financing to Refinance Debt

Nordic Paper has secured a long-term financing agreement with a consortium of financial institutions, involving a EUR 275 million term loan B and a EUR 65 million revolving credit facility. This financing will be used to refinance existing debt, with the term loan B having a seven-year tenor and the revolving credit facility a six and a half-year tenor. The transaction, advised by Santander and involving J.P. Morgan and Standard Chartered, will result in one-off costs of SEK 37 million due to the early discharge of existing financing, impacting the company’s financial results for the second quarter of 2025.

Nordic Paper Considers Long-Term Financing and Potential Dividend

Nordic Paper is exploring the possibility of securing long-term financing through a EUR 275 million term loan and a revolving credit facility of at least EUR 65 million. This potential financing could enable the company to consider an extra dividend, contingent on the distributable reserves, which were SEK 814 million as of December 2024. This move could impact the company’s financial strategy and shareholder returns.

Nordic Paper Holding AB Annual Meeting Resolutions

Nordic Paper Holding AB’s annual general meeting resulted in several key resolutions, including the decision not to distribute dividends for the financial year 2024, re-election of board members, and authorizations for the board to repurchase and transfer shares. These resolutions aim to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and capital structure, potentially impacting shareholder value and strategic operations.