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Saxlund Group AB (SE:SAXG)
:SAXG

Saxlund Group AB (SAXG) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:SAXG

Saxlund Group AB

(SAXG)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
kr10.50
▼(-4.55% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—ongoing losses, declining TTM revenue, sharply weaker gross profitability, and persistent cash burn. Technicals are a relative positive with price above key moving averages and positive MACD, but valuation remains unattractive/uncertain given a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / improved balance sheet
Materially lower debt reduces financial risk and interest burden, giving the company more flexibility to fund project-led operations and pursue strategic contracts without immediate refinancing pressure. This durable improvement supports resilience through multi-month project cycles.
Niche renewable engineering expertise
Focused engineering capabilities in biomass handling and energy recovery create a structural competitive edge: high technical barriers, bespoke project work, and potential recurring service/maintenance revenues. This positioning aligns with long-term decarbonization trends and stable demand.
EBITDA modestly positive; losses narrowing
Positive EBITDA and narrowing net losses suggest core operations can generate underlying operating profit before non‑cash items. That stabilization provides a foundation to restore margins and transition toward cash-positive operations if revenue trends and cost controls continue improving.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative operating cash flow
Sustained cash burn forces dependence on external funding or balance-sheet liquidity to execute project deliveries and support working capital. Over months this can constrain bidding ability, delay capex, and elevate refinancing risk, undermining operational continuity if not addressed.
Declining revenue and weaker gross profitability
Falling top-line combined with deteriorating gross margins suggests adverse mix, pricing pressure, or cost inflation on projects. This erodes operating leverage and makes margin recovery harder over a multi‑month horizon, pressuring the path to sustainable profitability.
Ongoing unprofitability and negative returns on equity
Continued net losses and negative ROE indicate the firm is eroding shareholder value, limiting retained capital for reinvestment and weakening the equity base over time. Without consistent profit recovery, competitive investment and long-term growth initiatives are impaired.

Saxlund Group AB (SAXG) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Saxlund Group AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSaxlund Group AB (publ), an environmental technology group, develops, manufactures, and services plants and equipment for the production of environmentally-friendly and resource-efficient energy. The company provides bulk materials handling systems, such as bar feeders, tube feeders, hydraulic rotors, and sliding frames for forest residues, sawmill waste, chips, pellets, sludge, etc.; combustion systems; fixed and transportable heating plants; and purification products, including scrubbers, lamella or tubes, wet electrostatic precipitators (WESP), filter cassettes, hose filters, ESP electrostatic precipitators, injection of lime and activated carbon, and cyclones, as well as plant operator training. It serves electricity; heat and power production; wood and forest; water and waste management; process, recycling, and mining; and other industries. The company was formerly known as Pilum AB (publ.) and changed its name to Saxlund Group AB (publ) in July 2017. Saxlund Group AB (publ) is headquartered in Nacka, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneySaxlund Group AB generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by offering engineered solutions and systems for biomass handling and energy recovery. Their revenue model is based on project-based contracts, where they design, manufacture, and install custom systems for clients in the renewable energy sector. Key revenue streams include the sale of equipment, installation services, and ongoing maintenance and support contracts. Additionally, the company may engage in partnerships with energy producers and waste management companies to provide integrated solutions, which can enhance their market reach and profitability. Factors contributing to their earnings include increasing demand for renewable energy solutions, government incentives for sustainable practices, and strategic collaborations with industry partners.

Saxlund Group AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Saxlund Group AB faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues, negative profit margins, and cash flow issues. The company has a stable balance sheet with low leverage, but profitability remains a concern. Strategic improvements in operational efficiency and revenue growth are necessary to enhance financial performance.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Saxlund Group AB's income statement shows a challenging financial position with declining revenue growth and negative profit margins. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 1.40% and a net profit margin of -2.29%, reflecting operational inefficiencies. The company has experienced a revenue decline of 5.29% in the TTM period, indicating a downward trend. Despite these challenges, the company has managed to maintain a positive EBITDA margin of 1.50% in the TTM, suggesting some operational resilience.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet of Saxlund Group AB reveals a moderate financial structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13 in the TTM, indicating low leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -10.63%, pointing to inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 40.06%, suggesting a stable capital structure, but the negative ROE highlights profitability concerns.
Cash Flow
28
Negative
Saxlund Group AB's cash flow statement shows significant challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM period. The free cash flow growth rate is exceptionally high at 1347.14%, but this is due to a low base effect from previous periods. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.0, suggesting that free cash flow is aligned with net income, albeit both are negative.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue244.58M307.32M308.13M250.04M257.82M160.53M
Gross Profit187.00K89.79M71.74M79.98M79.90M54.15M
EBITDA816.00K-617.00K-13.24M-6.63M9.81M-20.68M
Net Income-8.42M-15.07M-26.68M-10.21M2.12M-28.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets128.26M160.88M198.56M189.79M167.71M123.06M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.06M12.17M3.53M4.47M7.29M13.26M
Total Debt5.63M7.11M34.64M28.81M8.66M8.06M
Total Liabilities75.97M102.92M185.49M151.38M127.21M85.34M
Stockholders Equity52.30M57.96M13.08M38.41M40.50M37.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-13.64M-21.75M-6.83M-15.69M-18.58M-41.55M
Operating Cash Flow-15.12M-19.80M-5.29M-10.82M-14.90M-40.19M
Investing Cash Flow-2.24M-1.95M-1.54M-1.46M-3.68M-1.36M
Financing Cash Flow-14.00K30.88M5.83M9.08M12.60M24.26M

Saxlund Group AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.00
Price Trends
50DMA
9.95
Positive
100DMA
10.02
Positive
200DMA
9.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.20
Positive
RSI
53.85
Neutral
STOCH
7.19
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:SAXG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.40, above the 50-day MA of 9.95, and above the 200-day MA of 9.48, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.19 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:SAXG.

Saxlund Group AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Neutral
kr441.23M13.1613.40%-0.10%426.11%
55
Neutral
$13.29B17.4210.03%0.93%7.13%-12.93%
51
Neutral
kr75.59M-8.81-14.54%-17.38%96.53%
46
Neutral
kr97.23M-9.97-17.60%-27.29%72.72%
44
Neutral
kr69.44M-3.35-115.02%-65.29%-33.93%
41
Neutral
kr67.17M-0.24-81.35%42.35%
* Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:SAXG
Saxlund Group AB
10.30
2.07
25.20%
SE:AXOLOT
Axolot Solutions Holding AB
0.33
0.07
28.29%
SE:BOMILL
BoMill AB
0.58
-0.77
-57.33%
SE:ACRI.B
Acrinova AB Class B
10.00
1.96
24.38%
SE:CI
Cell Impact AB
0.23
-0.52
-69.87%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026