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Ovzon AB (SE:OVZON)
:OVZON

Ovzon AB (OVZON) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:OVZON

Ovzon AB

(OVZON)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
kr62.00
▲(63.16% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/20/26
The score is primarily supported by the strong technical uptrend and a materially improved 2025 financial profile (profitability and free cash flow). Offsetting this, valuation is demanding with a high P/E, and the financial turnaround still needs to prove consistency after several volatile years.
Positive Factors
2025 Operational Turnaround
A full-year operational turnaround in 2025 — revenue growth to 735M and a positive net income — indicates the business can scale into profitability. If sustained, this shift supports reinvestment, contract competitiveness and long-term margin improvement versus prior loss-making years.
Improved Cash Generation
Material positive operating and free cash flow in 2025 shows the earnings rebound is translating into liquidity. Durable cash generation strengthens funding for satellites, reduces refinancing risk, and enables funding of contracts or capex without constant equity raises if the trend persists.
Defensive End-Market & Recurring Model
Focus on government/defense and managed satellite services creates recurring, mission-critical revenue with high switching costs and long contract durations. This end-market positioning supports durable demand and pricing resilience in remote/contested environments over a multi-year horizon.
Negative Factors
Historic Earnings Volatility
Prior multi-year losses and episodic negative free cash flow indicate the company's profitability is not yet proven cyclical resilience. If 2025 proves temporary, investment plans and margin targets could be reversed, raising execution risk over the next 2–6 months and beyond.
Fluctuating Leverage
While 2025 shows an equity cushion, historic swings in debt levels mean leverage and refinancing needs can change quickly. Variable leverage raises funding and interest-rate risk if cash generation weakens, potentially pressuring capital structure and investment plans.
Concentration on Contract Awards
Heavy reliance on contract wins and renewals, particularly in public-sector procurement, creates cyclicality and award risk. Long procurement cycles and competitive tendering can produce lumpy revenue and margin pressure, challenging consistent multi-quarter growth.

Ovzon AB (OVZON) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Ovzon AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOvzon AB (OVZON) is a Swedish satellite communication company that specializes in providing high-speed mobile broadband services primarily for the defense, maritime, and media sectors. The company leverages its proprietary satellite technology to deliver reliable connectivity solutions in remote and challenging environments, facilitating both voice and data communications. Ovzon's core offerings include satellite terminals and a cloud-based service platform that enhances user experience and operational efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyOvzon generates revenue primarily through the sale of satellite communication services and equipment. The company's revenue model is based on subscription fees for access to its satellite network, as well as one-time fees for the sale and leasing of satellite terminals. Key revenue streams include long-term contracts with government and defense agencies, partnerships with commercial enterprises in maritime and broadcasting sectors, and the provision of tailored communication solutions. Additionally, Ovzon may benefit from collaborations with other technology and communication companies that enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach.

Ovzon AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
2025 shows a sharp operational turnaround with higher revenue, positive net income, and strong operating/free cash flow. However, results have been volatile with sizeable losses and negative free cash flow in several prior years, so durability of the improvement remains a key risk.
Income Statement
62
Positive
The income statement shows a sharp turnaround in 2025 (annual): revenue rose to 735M (up ~30%) and profitability flipped positive with net income of 137M after losses in 2021–2024. However, the track record is still volatile—2024 posted a sizable net loss (-162M) and negative operating profit—so the quality of earnings and durability of the 2025 step-change remains the key watch item.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet looks reasonably supportive: equity is substantial (1.79B in 2025) versus total debt (436M), implying moderate leverage and a stronger cushion than many smaller telecom peers. That said, debt has moved around materially over time (e.g., higher in 2024), and the company has a history of losses, which can pressure equity if profitability doesn’t hold.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash generation improved meaningfully in 2025 with operating cash flow of 337M and free cash flow of 299M (strong growth versus the prior year), indicating the recent earnings rebound is translating into cash. The main concern is consistency: free cash flow was negative in several prior years (including 2024 and 2023), highlighting execution and timing risk.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue735.00M334.00M290.00M356.99M191.38M
Gross Profit131.00M162.00M85.00M124.69M24.60M
EBITDA282.00M7.00M-37.00M-12.62M-74.07M
Net Income137.00M-162.00M-60.00M-36.19M-83.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.82B2.77B2.54B1.92B1.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments171.00M126.00M247.00M275.61M406.08M
Total Debt436.00M775.00M657.00M478.05M323.67M
Total Liabilities1.03B1.18B765.00M528.85M403.05M
Stockholders Equity1.79B1.59B1.78B1.39B1.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow299.00M-108.00M-689.00M-275.26M-349.74M
Operating Cash Flow337.00M51.00M-14.00M-112.16M-75.93M
Investing Cash Flow-49.00M-158.00M-668.00M-150.65M-273.81M
Financing Cash Flow-243.00M-17.00M651.00M101.51M558.62M

Ovzon AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price38.00
Price Trends
50DMA
49.07
Positive
100DMA
41.50
Positive
200DMA
40.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.18
Negative
RSI
67.34
Neutral
STOCH
83.41
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:OVZON, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.08, below the 50-day MA of 49.07, and below the 200-day MA of 40.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.41 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:OVZON.

Ovzon AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
kr14.27B65.8521.88%0.87%5.69%4.82%
67
Neutral
kr6.58B48.38-1.33%77.67%68.35%
66
Neutral
kr131.90B28.8820.60%4.15%0.51%14.15%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
54
Neutral
$17.11B81.22-1.23%-1.62%94.01%
54
Neutral
kr175.81B35.9710.93%5.14%-5.76%-10.05%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:OVZON
Ovzon AB
59.00
39.40
201.02%
SE:TEL2.B
Tele2 AB
189.85
67.39
55.03%
SE:SINCH
Sinch AB
22.18
-1.66
-6.96%
SE:TELIA
Telia Company AB
45.87
12.74
38.45%
SE:IVSO
INVISIO AB
309.00
-97.46
-23.98%

Ovzon AB Corporate Events

Ovzon posts strong 2025 turnaround as NATO and FMV deals boost satellite order book
Feb 19, 2026

Ovzon AB reported a sharp improvement in profitability for 2025, with full‑year revenue more than doubling to 735 MSEK and EBITDA turning positive to 291 MSEK after breaking even the previous year. Operating profit swung to 140 MSEK from a loss, profit after tax rose to 137 MSEK, earnings per share reached 1.23 SEK, and the equity ratio strengthened, although the board proposed no dividend to support continued expansion.

Fourth‑quarter momentum was strong, with revenue climbing to 277 MSEK and order intake reaching 297 MSEK, driven by SATCOM services and mobile terminal sales. Key wins included a 58 MSEK supplementary order from Sweden’s FMV for additional mobile satellite terminals and a 240 MSEK agreement with a European NATO customer, lifting the order book to 1,025 MSEK and underlining Ovzon’s growing role in mission‑critical defense and security communications.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:OVZON) stock is a Hold with a SEK60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ovzon AB stock, see the SE:OVZON Stock Forecast page.

Ovzon schedules webcast for 2025 year-end results
Feb 12, 2026

Ovzon will publish its year-end report for 2025 on 19 February 2026 at 08:00 CET, followed by a webcast telephone conference at 10:00 CET led by CEO Per Norén and CFO André Löfgren. The English-language presentation, with questions also possible in Swedish via live chat, and related materials will be made available on the company’s website, underscoring Ovzon’s efforts to maintain transparency and engagement with investors around its first full year of commercial service on the Ovzon 3 satellite.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:OVZON) stock is a Hold with a SEK60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ovzon AB stock, see the SE:OVZON Stock Forecast page.

Ovzon adjusts share capital to fund long-term incentive programs
Jan 30, 2026

Ovzon AB has increased its total number of shares and votes through the issuance of 764,178 C-shares during January 2026, raising its share capital by SEK 76,418. These C-shares were immediately repurchased by the company and are intended to serve the LTIP 2024 and LTIP 2025 long-term incentive programs, bringing the total number of outstanding shares to 112,294,694 and total votes to 111,606,934 at the end of January, a move that fine-tunes Ovzon’s capital structure to support employee and management incentives without materially altering control for existing shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:OVZON) stock is a Hold with a SEK57.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ovzon AB stock, see the SE:OVZON Stock Forecast page.

Ovzon strengthens leadership as satellite veteran Martin Eriksson becomes CTO
Jan 20, 2026

Ovzon AB has appointed long-time executive Martin Eriksson as its new Chief Technology Officer and member of Group Management, effective immediately, emphasizing continuity in technical leadership as the company scales its satellite communications offering. Eriksson, who has been with Ovzon since 2008 and led the design, production and launch of its first satellite as Space Systems Manager, will oversee further development of the company’s space systems and capabilities, while a streamlined five-person Group Management team and the reassignment of former executives to key technical and business development roles aim to strengthen integration, focus and support Ovzon’s profitable growth strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:OVZON) stock is a Buy with a SEK61.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ovzon AB stock, see the SE:OVZON Stock Forecast page.

Ovzon Issues and Repurchases C-Shares to Fund Long-Term Incentive Programs
Jan 9, 2026

Ovzon AB’s board has resolved, under existing AGM authorization, to conduct a directed issue of 764,178 C-shares linked to its long-term incentive programs LTIP 2024 and LTIP 2025, all of which will be subscribed by Danske Bank at par value, immediately repurchased by Ovzon, and later converted into common shares for delivery to program participants. The transaction is designed to secure shares for employee and management incentives and to cover related social security costs, using non-dividend-bearing, low-vote C-shares, thereby supporting the company’s long-term retention and alignment strategy without materially altering its dividend obligations while modestly affecting its capital and voting structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:OVZON) stock is a Hold with a SEK40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ovzon AB stock, see the SE:OVZON Stock Forecast page.

Ovzon wins 240 MSEK NATO defense SATCOM contract
Dec 19, 2025

Ovzon has secured a 240 MSEK (approximately 25.2 MUSD) contract with a European NATO country’s defense organization for its full Ovzon 3-based SATCOM solution, including satellite network services for an initial six-month period starting in the first quarter of 2026, mobile satellite terminals and dedicated customer support. Around 60 percent of the order value relates to deliveries of Ovzon’s mobile terminals, to be rolled out progressively during 2026, underscoring rising demand for the company’s high-performance, resilient communications in contested environments and strengthening its order backlog and positioning in the European defense SATCOM market as regional collective defense efforts intensify.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:OVZON) stock is a Hold with a SEK31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ovzon AB stock, see the SE:OVZON Stock Forecast page.

Ovzon Secures Additional 58 MSEK Order from FMV for Satellite Terminals
Dec 18, 2025

Ovzon AB has secured a supplementary order worth 58 MSEK from the Swedish Defence Materiel Administration (FMV) for its mobile satellite terminals, to be delivered in the first half of 2026. This follows a broader existing contract with FMV and underscores Ovzon’s market position as a provider of mission-critical, high-performance communication solutions, further solidifying its partnership with FMV and its role in robust, reliable communication services in challenging environments.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:OVZON) stock is a Hold with a SEK31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ovzon AB stock, see the SE:OVZON Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 20, 2026