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Telia Company AB (SE:TELIA)
:TELIA
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Telia Company AB (TELIA) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:TELIA

Telia Company AB

(OTC:TELIA)

Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
kr36.00
▲(2.48% Upside)
Telia Company AB's overall stock score reflects strong profitability and operational efficiency, supported by robust EBITDA growth and strategic advancements. However, high leverage, declining revenue growth, and challenges in Norway and Finland weigh on the score. The stock's high valuation is offset by a strong dividend yield.

Telia Company AB (TELIA) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Telia Company AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTelia Company AB (publ) provides communication services in Sweden, Finland, Norway, Denmark, Lithuania, Estonia, and Latvia. The company offers mobile, broadband, television, and fixed-line services to businesses, individuals, families, and communities. It provides networking, cloud and security, mobility, enterprise mobile network, contact center, managed mobility services, collaboration solutions, enterprise telephony, Internet of Things (IoT), carrier ethernet, dedicated internet access, wavelengths, IP Transit, dark fiber, colocation, and IoT connectivity solutions, as well as broadcasting and content production services, and customer financing services. The company markets its products and services under the Telia, halebop, Fello, TV4, C More, MTV, MyCall, OneCall, Phonero, Call me, Mit tele, Diil, Lmt Okarte, Telia Latvija, Cloudy, Tet, and Ezys brands for logistics, public transport, manufacturing, retail, utilities, building, and public sector industries. It has 18.1 million mobile subscriptions, 1.0 million fixed telephony subscriptions, 2.9 fixed million broadband subscriptions, and 3.4 million TV subscriptions. The company was formerly known as TeliaSonera AB (publ) and changed its name to Telia Company AB (publ) in April 2016. Telia Company AB (publ) was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in Solna, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyTelia generates revenue primarily through its telecommunications services, which include mobile subscriptions, fixed broadband services, and digital TV offerings. The company earns recurring income from monthly subscription fees for mobile and internet services, as well as pay-per-view and subscription fees for its television content. Additionally, Telia's business division provides IT and communication solutions to enterprises, contributing to its revenue through contracts and service agreements. The company also benefits from partnerships with content providers and technology firms, which enhance its service offerings and customer experience. Moreover, Telia invests in network infrastructure and technology upgrades, allowing it to maintain competitive pricing and attract new customers, further driving its revenue growth.

Telia Company AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 18, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with significant highlights in EBITDA growth and strategic initiatives, particularly in Sweden and Lithuania. However, challenges in Norway and mixed results in other segments such as Finland's enterprise sector and regulatory uncertainties surrounding acquisitions balanced the narrative.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong EBITDA Growth
EBITDA growth of 6.2% exceeded expectations, with particular strength in Sweden and Finland. The EBITDA margin expanded by 200 basis points.
Successful Strategic Moves
Telia closed the TV and Media transaction, signed a memorandum of understanding for a full exit from Latvia in 2026, and announced a public tender for Bredband2 to strengthen its consumer business in Sweden.
Sweden's Positive Performance
Net mobile subscriber intake in Sweden was the best in over 5 years, driven by consumer customers. Consumer segment grew by 2.3% with strong TV performance.
Lithuania's Financial Strength
Lithuania delivered very healthy service revenue growth, leading to an EBITDA growth of 11% and maintaining a record high level of EBITDA minus CapEx at SEK 1.6 billion.
CapEx Discipline
CapEx spend was well within the frame of less than SEK 14 billion per year, and free cash flow of SEK 2.3 billion was strong.
Negative Updates
Norway's Challenging Quarter
Service revenue and EBITDA in Norway trended down due to lower mobile wholesale revenue and headwinds in broadband and TV.
Mixed Financial Picture
While EBITDA overperformance was noted in Sweden and Finland, a somewhat weaker development was reported in Norway, and overall growth was below the full-year ambition.
Enterprise Challenges in Finland
Enterprise in Finland faced headwinds with the porting out of 35,000 subscriptions due to a lost public contract, impacting net adds and churn.
Regulatory and Market Concerns
Concerns about regulatory approval for the Bredband2 acquisition and its impact on market share were raised.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 2025 results presentation, Telia Company highlighted several key metrics and strategic moves. The company reported an EBITDA growth of 6.2%, surpassing their expectations, despite a mixed performance across regions—with strong results in Sweden and Finland but weaker outcomes in Norway. CapEx spending was contained at below SEK 14 billion annually, and free cash flow was robust at SEK 2.3 billion, supported by a dividend from Tet in Latvia. The company's leverage was reduced to 2.09x due to improved cash flow and proceeds from divestments. Telia's strategic focus included the completion of a TV and Media transaction, planning a Latvian exit by 2026, and a SEK 3 billion bid for Bredband2 to enhance its consumer business in Sweden. The NorthStar innovation program was also expanded, indicating an ongoing commitment to innovation and secure communication. Despite a challenging environment, Telia maintained its full-year outlook, driven by strong operational efficiencies and strategic asset management, while preparing for a softer Q3 followed by a rebound in Q4.

Telia Company AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Telia Company AB shows strong profitability with solid gross and EBIT margins. However, challenges include declining revenue growth and high leverage, which could impact financial stability. The cash flow position is stable, but the decrease in free cash flow growth warrants attention.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Telia Company AB's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by -2.95%, reflecting challenges in maintaining revenue momentum. However, the company maintains a solid gross profit margin of 63.91% and an EBIT margin of 14.22%, indicating efficient cost management and operational profitability. The net profit margin has decreased to 5.02% from 7.94% in the previous year, suggesting pressure on net earnings. Overall, while profitability metrics are strong, the negative revenue growth is a concern.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.81, indicating significant leverage which could pose financial risks. The return on equity (ROE) has decreased to 7.98% from 12.77% in the previous year, reflecting reduced efficiency in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 25.42%, suggesting a moderate level of equity financing. While the company has a stable asset base, the high leverage and declining ROE are potential concerns.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a decrease in free cash flow growth by -2.17% in the TTM period, indicating challenges in generating cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.52, suggesting a moderate ability to convert earnings into cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.41, indicating a reasonable level of cash generation relative to net income. Despite the decline in free cash flow growth, the company maintains a stable cash conversion capability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue85.30B89.13B88.78B90.83B88.34B89.19B
Gross Profit54.51B55.65B40.22B30.88B30.03B32.16B
EBITDA30.97B35.11B31.17B14.02B40.15B14.06B
Net Income4.28B7.08B303.00M-14.16B11.68B-22.48B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets195.57B204.27B226.47B222.79B237.03B226.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.78B10.93B19.85B9.18B20.45B10.96B
Total Debt90.03B94.38B112.57B53.72B40.58B47.63B
Total Liabilities142.19B144.91B169.47B155.12B153.48B162.73B
Stockholders Equity49.71B55.44B53.47B64.24B80.73B62.84B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.56B7.31B9.21B8.09B11.73B15.11B
Operating Cash Flow23.43B21.20B24.67B24.00B27.38B28.82B
Investing Cash Flow-4.33B4.11B-22.06B-9.94B-10.91B-3.47B
Financing Cash Flow-15.01B-27.34B2.65B-21.78B-10.60B-23.10B

Telia Company AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.13
Price Trends
50DMA
34.45
Positive
100DMA
34.89
Positive
200DMA
33.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.27
Positive
RSI
50.84
Neutral
STOCH
43.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:TELIA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.19, above the 50-day MA of 34.45, and above the 200-day MA of 33.19, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:TELIA.

Telia Company AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$44.05B4.50-12.81%4.08%1.86%-43.08%
60
Neutral
$135.76B32.5511.23%5.63%-3.89%1.42%
kr114.83B27.3920.92%
$2.65B-20.55%
€299.33M34.89-6.84%
€1.28B57.1227.03%
68
Neutral
kr3.12B28.06
2.76%9.75%12.84%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:TELIA
Telia Company AB
35.13
5.57
18.84%
GB:0QE6
Tele2 AB
164.55
55.47
50.85%
CLCMF
Sinch AB
3.13
0.68
27.76%
DE:0PN
Acast AB
1.62
0.20
14.08%
DE:ICQ
INVISIO AB
27.75
7.02
33.86%
SE:BRE2
Bredband2 i Skandinavien AB
3.26
1.24
61.39%

Telia Company AB Corporate Events

Telia Company Reports Revenue Growth and Strategic Divestments in Q2 2025
Jul 18, 2025

Telia Company reported a 1.2% increase in revenue for Q2 2025, driven by strong service revenue growth in Sweden and the Baltics. The company’s adjusted EBITDA rose by 6.2% due to increased service revenue and reduced operational expenses. Despite a decline in net income and earnings per share, the company improved its free cash flow and reduced CAPEX. Strategic moves included the completion of a TV and Media divestment and plans to sell shares in Tet and LMT, along with a public offer for Bredband2 AB, indicating a focus on optimizing its portfolio and strengthening its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:TELIA) stock is a Buy with a SEK40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telia Company AB stock, see the SE:TELIA Stock Forecast page.

Telia Announces Cash Offer to Acquire Bredband2
Jul 18, 2025

Telia Company AB has announced a recommended cash offer to acquire Bredband2 i Skandinavien AB for SEK 3.25 per share, valuing the company at approximately SEK 3,111 million. The acquisition aims to strengthen both companies by combining their capabilities, offering a broader product range, and enhancing operational efficiency, with no expected material changes to Bredband2’s operations or brand.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:TELIA) stock is a Hold with a SEK32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telia Company AB stock, see the SE:TELIA Stock Forecast page.

Telia Company to Divest Latvian Operations
Jul 17, 2025

Telia Company has signed a memorandum of understanding to divest its shares in Latvian fixed network operator Tet and mobile network operator LMT to the Republic of Latvia, Latvenergo, and LVRTC. This move is expected to streamline operations and enhance value creation, allowing Tet and LMT to develop under a new ownership model, benefiting customers and stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:TELIA) stock is a Hold with a SEK29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telia Company AB stock, see the SE:TELIA Stock Forecast page.

Telia Company Sells TV & Media Business to Schibsted
Jul 1, 2025

Telia Company has completed the sale of its TV & Media business to Schibsted for SEK 6.55 billion, as part of its strategy to simplify operations and focus on its core connectivity services. The proceeds from the sale will be used to reduce debt, positioning Telia’s net debt/adjusted EBITDA at the lower end of its target range, thereby strengthening its financial stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:TELIA) stock is a Buy with a SEK40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telia Company AB stock, see the SE:TELIA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2025