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Telia Company AB (SE:TELIA)
:TELIA

Telia Company AB (TELIA) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:TELIA

Telia Company AB

(TELIA)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
kr41.00
▲(9.16% Upside)
Telia Company AB's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and positive earnings call sentiment, despite financial performance challenges and a high P/E ratio. The robust cash flow and attractive dividend yield further support the stock's appeal.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Growth
The robust growth in free cash flow indicates strong cash generation ability, supporting financial stability and enabling future investments.
Customer Satisfaction
Improving customer satisfaction enhances brand loyalty and can lead to increased market share and revenue growth over time.
Operational Efficiency
Enhanced operational efficiency through cost savings strengthens margins and competitiveness, supporting long-term profitability.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Negative revenue growth indicates difficulty in expanding market presence, which could impact future profitability and market position.
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk and limit flexibility, potentially affecting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Profit Margin Decline
A declining profit margin reduces profitability, which can hinder the company's ability to reinvest in the business and maintain competitive advantages.

Telia Company AB (TELIA) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Telia Company AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTelia Company AB (publ) provides communication services in Sweden, Finland, Norway, Denmark, Lithuania, Estonia, and Latvia. The company offers mobile, broadband, television, and fixed-line services to businesses, individuals, families, and communities. It provides networking, cloud and security, mobility, enterprise mobile network, contact center, managed mobility services, collaboration solutions, enterprise telephony, Internet of Things (IoT), carrier ethernet, dedicated internet access, wavelengths, IP Transit, dark fiber, colocation, and IoT connectivity solutions, as well as broadcasting and content production services, and customer financing services. The company markets its products and services under the Telia, halebop, Fello, TV4, C More, MTV, MyCall, OneCall, Phonero, Call me, Mit tele, Diil, Lmt Okarte, Telia Latvija, Cloudy, Tet, and Ezys brands for logistics, public transport, manufacturing, retail, utilities, building, and public sector industries. It has 18.1 million mobile subscriptions, 1.0 million fixed telephony subscriptions, 2.9 fixed million broadband subscriptions, and 3.4 million TV subscriptions. The company was formerly known as TeliaSonera AB (publ) and changed its name to Telia Company AB (publ) in April 2016. Telia Company AB (publ) was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in Solna, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyTelia generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from mobile services, fixed-line telephony, broadband, and digital TV subscriptions. Mobile services, including voice and data plans, contribute significantly to its income, bolstered by a large customer base across its operating regions. Fixed-line services provide steady revenue from both residential and business customers, while broadband subscriptions capitalize on the growing demand for high-speed internet access. Additionally, Telia earns money from value-added services such as cloud computing, cybersecurity solutions, and IoT (Internet of Things) applications for businesses. Strategic partnerships with technology providers and content distributors further enhance its offerings, driving additional revenue through bundled services and promotional packages. Overall, Telia's diversified service portfolio and focus on innovation play a crucial role in its financial performance.

Telia Company AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with numerous highlights, particularly in customer satisfaction improvements, EBITDA growth, and successful execution of the Change Program. However, there were challenges, mainly in Norway, affecting service revenue and EBITDA growth. Overall, the highlights outweigh the lowlights, indicating positive sentiment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Customer Satisfaction
Group-wide Net Promoter Score (NPS) continued to improve, with Telia Sweden winning customer satisfaction awards and strong outcomes in EPSI surveys in Finland and Norway.
Free Cash Flow and Dividend Coverage
Free cash flow increased and covered the SEK 2 billion dividend for the quarter. Full year outlook for free cash flow upgraded to around SEK 8 billion from SEK 7.5 billion.
EBITDA Growth and Margin Expansion
EBITDA growth at 4.4% and margin expansion by 140 basis points compared to the same quarter last year.
Successful Change Program
The Change Program led to tangible savings and improved operational efficiency, reducing the number of employees and resource consultants by almost 25%.
Upgraded Full-Year CapEx Outlook
Full year CapEx outlook lowered from SEK 14 billion to around SEK 13 billion, reflecting strong CapEx discipline.
Successful M&A Activities
Closed TV and Media transaction, signed memorandum of understanding in Latvia, and launched an offer to buy Bredband2 to strengthen the consumer business in Sweden.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Norway
Norway experienced another challenging quarter with negative service revenue and EBITDA growth due to lower mobile wholesale revenue and broadband and TV headwinds.
Service Revenue Decline in Norway
Mobile wholesale decline is expected to be around SEK 95 million in Q4, and fixed business headwinds are being actively addressed.
Enterprise Revenue Decline in Finland
Service revenue trends in Finland showed a decline in Enterprise segment, due to discontinuation of noncore activities and a weak market.
Company Guidance
In the Q3 2025 results presentation call, Telia Company's leadership provided several key metrics and updates. The company reported a group-wide improvement in Net Promoter Score (NPS) and achieved high customer satisfaction survey outcomes in Sweden, Finland, and Norway. Financially, Telia's service revenue grew by 1%, and EBITDA increased by 4.4%, although slightly below their annual ambition. The company upgraded its full-year free cash flow outlook to around SEK 8 billion, reflecting strong capital expenditure (CapEx) discipline, and adjusted its full-year CapEx forecast from SEK 14 billion to around SEK 13 billion. Additionally, Telia's leverage decreased to 1.93x due to increased EBITDA and proceeds from divestments. The company highlighted successful strategic initiatives, including a memorandum of understanding in Latvia, plans to acquire Bredband2, and improvements in customer metrics across various markets. The presentation underscored the company's ongoing commitment to delivering profitable growth and shareholder value while maintaining operational efficiency.

Telia Company AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Telia Company AB shows strong operational efficiency with a high gross profit margin, but faces challenges with declining net profit margin and negative revenue growth. The balance sheet indicates high leverage, posing potential financial risks, while cash flow is robust, supporting financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Telia Company AB's income statement shows mixed results. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is strong at 64%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has declined to 5% from 7.9% in the previous year, reflecting reduced profitability. Revenue growth is negative at -2.2%, suggesting challenges in maintaining sales momentum. Despite these issues, the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, indicating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.81 in the TTM, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity has decreased to 7.98% from 12.77% in the previous year, reflecting reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure. However, the high leverage could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a positive trend with a 16.7% growth in free cash flow in the TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is stable, suggesting consistent cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 40.8%, reflecting strong cash flow relative to earnings. Overall, the cash flow position is robust, supporting financial stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue206.54B89.13B88.78B90.83B88.34B89.19B
Gross Profit134.06B55.65B40.22B30.88B30.03B32.16B
EBITDA78.56B35.11B29.53B14.02B40.15B14.06B
Net Income13.32B7.08B303.00M-14.16B11.68B-22.48B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets193.54B204.27B226.47B222.79B237.03B226.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.50B10.93B19.85B9.18B20.45B10.96B
Total Debt89.20B94.38B112.57B53.72B40.58B47.63B
Total Liabilities137.05B144.91B169.47B155.12B153.48B162.73B
Stockholders Equity52.74B55.44B53.47B64.24B80.73B62.84B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow30.17B7.31B9.21B8.09B11.73B15.11B
Operating Cash Flow64.88B21.20B24.67B24.00B27.38B28.82B
Investing Cash Flow4.93B4.11B-22.06B-9.94B-10.91B-3.47B
Financing Cash Flow-41.26B-27.34B2.65B-21.78B-10.60B-23.10B

Telia Company AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price37.56
Price Trends
50DMA
36.89
Positive
100DMA
35.90
Positive
200DMA
35.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.24
Positive
RSI
50.91
Neutral
STOCH
19.05
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:TELIA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.59, above the 50-day MA of 36.89, and above the 200-day MA of 35.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.05 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:TELIA.

Telia Company AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
kr104.34B24.0320.60%4.31%0.51%14.15%
66
Neutral
$144.42B34.6510.93%5.32%-5.76%-10.05%
66
Neutral
kr2.79B25.375.13%9.72%4.26%
63
Neutral
€5.19B-133.19-3.84%26.82%76.68%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
57
Neutral
€13.76B64.9121.88%0.86%5.69%4.82%
51
Neutral
$28.74B-4.46-1.23%-1.62%94.01%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:TELIA
Telia Company AB
37.56
8.82
30.68%
SE:TEL2.B
Tele2 AB
147.30
38.49
35.37%
SE:SINCH
Sinch AB
31.05
9.14
41.72%
SE:ACAST
Acast AB
32.65
17.20
111.33%
SE:IVSO
INVISIO AB
268.50
-3.30
-1.21%
SE:BRE2
Bredband2 i Skandinavien AB
2.93
1.11
61.51%

Telia Company AB Corporate Events

Telia Extends Offer for Bredband2 with New Supplement
Nov 5, 2025

Telia Company AB has announced a supplement to its offer document regarding a cash offer to acquire all shares of Bredband2 i Skandinavien AB. The supplement includes Bredband2’s interim report for January to September 2025, and the acceptance period for the offer has been extended until January 30, 2026. This move is part of Telia’s strategic efforts to expand its market presence and enhance its service offerings in the telecommunications sector.

Telia Extends Offer Period for Bredband2 Acquisition Amid Regulatory Review
Oct 17, 2025

Telia Company AB has extended the acceptance period for its cash offer to acquire all shares of Bredband2 i Skandinavien AB until January 30, 2026, due to a pending competition review by the Swedish Competition Authority. This extension reflects Telia’s strategic move to strengthen its market position in the Nordic telecommunications sector, while awaiting regulatory approvals necessary to finalize the acquisition.

Telia Company to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results
Oct 9, 2025

Telia Company has announced it will release its Q3 2025 financial results on October 23, 2025, followed by a presentation and conference call hosted by CEO Patrik Hofbauer and CFO Eric Hageman. This announcement is a routine disclosure aimed at keeping stakeholders informed about the company’s financial performance and strategic direction.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 27, 2025