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Telia Company AB (SE:TELIA)
:TELIA
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Telia Company AB (TELIA) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:TELIA

Telia Company AB

(TELIA)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
kr41.00
▲(9.83% Upside)
Telia Company AB's overall stock score reflects strong earnings call sentiment and positive technical analysis, offset by high valuation concerns and financial performance challenges. The company's profitability and operational efficiency are strengths, but declining revenue growth and high leverage are risks.

Telia Company AB (TELIA) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Telia Company AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTelia Company AB (publ) provides communication services in Sweden, Finland, Norway, Denmark, Lithuania, Estonia, and Latvia. The company offers mobile, broadband, television, and fixed-line services to businesses, individuals, families, and communities. It provides networking, cloud and security, mobility, enterprise mobile network, contact center, managed mobility services, collaboration solutions, enterprise telephony, Internet of Things (IoT), carrier ethernet, dedicated internet access, wavelengths, IP Transit, dark fiber, colocation, and IoT connectivity solutions, as well as broadcasting and content production services, and customer financing services. The company markets its products and services under the Telia, halebop, Fello, TV4, C More, MTV, MyCall, OneCall, Phonero, Call me, Mit tele, Diil, Lmt Okarte, Telia Latvija, Cloudy, Tet, and Ezys brands for logistics, public transport, manufacturing, retail, utilities, building, and public sector industries. It has 18.1 million mobile subscriptions, 1.0 million fixed telephony subscriptions, 2.9 fixed million broadband subscriptions, and 3.4 million TV subscriptions. The company was formerly known as TeliaSonera AB (publ) and changed its name to Telia Company AB (publ) in April 2016. Telia Company AB (publ) was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in Solna, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyTelia generates revenue primarily through its telecommunications services, which include mobile subscriptions, fixed broadband services, and digital TV offerings. The company earns recurring income from monthly subscription fees for mobile and internet services, as well as pay-per-view and subscription fees for its television content. Additionally, Telia's business division provides IT and communication solutions to enterprises, contributing to its revenue through contracts and service agreements. The company also benefits from partnerships with content providers and technology firms, which enhance its service offerings and customer experience. Moreover, Telia invests in network infrastructure and technology upgrades, allowing it to maintain competitive pricing and attract new customers, further driving its revenue growth.

Telia Company AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with numerous highlights, particularly in customer satisfaction improvements, EBITDA growth, and successful execution of the Change Program. However, there were challenges, mainly in Norway, affecting service revenue and EBITDA growth. Overall, the highlights outweigh the lowlights, indicating positive sentiment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Customer Satisfaction
Group-wide Net Promoter Score (NPS) continued to improve, with Telia Sweden winning customer satisfaction awards and strong outcomes in EPSI surveys in Finland and Norway.
Free Cash Flow and Dividend Coverage
Free cash flow increased and covered the SEK 2 billion dividend for the quarter. Full year outlook for free cash flow upgraded to around SEK 8 billion from SEK 7.5 billion.
EBITDA Growth and Margin Expansion
EBITDA growth at 4.4% and margin expansion by 140 basis points compared to the same quarter last year.
Successful Change Program
The Change Program led to tangible savings and improved operational efficiency, reducing the number of employees and resource consultants by almost 25%.
Upgraded Full-Year CapEx Outlook
Full year CapEx outlook lowered from SEK 14 billion to around SEK 13 billion, reflecting strong CapEx discipline.
Successful M&A Activities
Closed TV and Media transaction, signed memorandum of understanding in Latvia, and launched an offer to buy Bredband2 to strengthen the consumer business in Sweden.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Norway
Norway experienced another challenging quarter with negative service revenue and EBITDA growth due to lower mobile wholesale revenue and broadband and TV headwinds.
Service Revenue Decline in Norway
Mobile wholesale decline is expected to be around SEK 95 million in Q4, and fixed business headwinds are being actively addressed.
Enterprise Revenue Decline in Finland
Service revenue trends in Finland showed a decline in Enterprise segment, due to discontinuation of noncore activities and a weak market.
Company Guidance
In the Q3 2025 results presentation call, Telia Company's leadership provided several key metrics and updates. The company reported a group-wide improvement in Net Promoter Score (NPS) and achieved high customer satisfaction survey outcomes in Sweden, Finland, and Norway. Financially, Telia's service revenue grew by 1%, and EBITDA increased by 4.4%, although slightly below their annual ambition. The company upgraded its full-year free cash flow outlook to around SEK 8 billion, reflecting strong capital expenditure (CapEx) discipline, and adjusted its full-year CapEx forecast from SEK 14 billion to around SEK 13 billion. Additionally, Telia's leverage decreased to 1.93x due to increased EBITDA and proceeds from divestments. The company highlighted successful strategic initiatives, including a memorandum of understanding in Latvia, plans to acquire Bredband2, and improvements in customer metrics across various markets. The presentation underscored the company's ongoing commitment to delivering profitable growth and shareholder value while maintaining operational efficiency.

Telia Company AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Telia Company AB shows strong profitability with solid gross and EBIT margins. However, challenges include declining revenue growth and high leverage, which could impact financial stability. The cash flow position is stable, but the decrease in free cash flow growth warrants attention.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Telia Company AB's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by -2.95%, reflecting challenges in maintaining revenue momentum. However, the company maintains a solid gross profit margin of 63.91% and an EBIT margin of 14.22%, indicating efficient cost management and operational profitability. The net profit margin has decreased to 5.02% from 7.94% in the previous year, suggesting pressure on net earnings. Overall, while profitability metrics are strong, the negative revenue growth is a concern.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.81, indicating significant leverage which could pose financial risks. The return on equity (ROE) has decreased to 7.98% from 12.77% in the previous year, reflecting reduced efficiency in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 25.42%, suggesting a moderate level of equity financing. While the company has a stable asset base, the high leverage and declining ROE are potential concerns.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a decrease in free cash flow growth by -2.17% in the TTM period, indicating challenges in generating cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.52, suggesting a moderate ability to convert earnings into cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.41, indicating a reasonable level of cash generation relative to net income. Despite the decline in free cash flow growth, the company maintains a stable cash conversion capability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue85.30B89.13B88.78B90.83B88.34B89.19B
Gross Profit54.51B55.65B40.22B30.88B30.03B32.16B
EBITDA30.97B35.11B31.17B14.02B40.15B14.06B
Net Income4.28B7.08B303.00M-14.16B11.68B-22.48B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets195.57B204.27B226.47B222.79B237.03B226.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.78B10.93B19.85B9.18B20.45B10.96B
Total Debt90.03B94.38B112.57B53.72B40.58B47.63B
Total Liabilities142.19B144.91B169.47B155.12B153.48B162.73B
Stockholders Equity49.71B55.44B53.47B64.24B80.73B62.84B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.56B7.31B9.21B8.09B11.73B15.11B
Operating Cash Flow23.43B21.20B24.67B24.00B27.38B28.82B
Investing Cash Flow-4.33B4.11B-22.06B-9.94B-10.91B-3.47B
Financing Cash Flow-15.01B-27.34B2.65B-21.78B-10.60B-23.10B

Telia Company AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price37.33
Price Trends
50DMA
35.78
Positive
100DMA
35.06
Positive
200DMA
34.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.38
Negative
RSI
62.14
Neutral
STOCH
85.88
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:TELIA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.98, above the 50-day MA of 35.78, and above the 200-day MA of 34.48, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.88 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:TELIA.

Telia Company AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
kr105.65B24.3420.60%4.17%0.51%14.15%
$143.08B34.3310.93%5.36%-5.76%-10.05%
kr2.78B25.005.16%9.75%12.84%
€13.55B53.0221.88%0.71%5.69%4.82%
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
$27.98B-4.34-20.55%-0.30%-3365.84%
€3.90B-53.43-6.84%21.20%37.02%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:TELIA
Telia Company AB
37.33
7.54
25.30%
SE:TEL2.B
Tele2 AB
152.30
45.11
42.09%
SE:SINCH
Sinch AB
33.19
1.74
5.53%
SE:ACAST
Acast AB
21.70
6.00
38.22%
SE:IVSO
INVISIO AB
321.00
60.63
23.28%
SE:BRE2
Bredband2 i Skandinavien AB
2.90
1.03
55.08%

Telia Company AB Corporate Events

Telia Company AB Reports Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Oct 24, 2025

Telia Company AB is a leading telecommunications operator in the Nordics and Baltics, providing world-class communication services through sustainable and secure networks to millions of people, businesses, and societies.

Telia Company AB’s Positive Earnings Call Highlights
Oct 24, 2025

Telia Company AB’s recent earnings call conveyed a generally positive sentiment, highlighting significant achievements in customer satisfaction, EBITDA growth, and the successful execution of its Change Program. Despite facing challenges in Norway that impacted service revenue and EBITDA growth, the overall tone of the call was optimistic, with the positives outweighing the negatives.

Telia Extends Offer Period for Bredband2 Acquisition Amid Regulatory Review
Oct 17, 2025

Telia Company AB has extended the acceptance period for its cash offer to acquire all shares of Bredband2 i Skandinavien AB until January 30, 2026, due to a pending competition review by the Swedish Competition Authority. This extension reflects Telia’s strategic move to strengthen its market position in the Nordic telecommunications sector, while awaiting regulatory approvals necessary to finalize the acquisition.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:TELIA) stock is a Hold with a SEK40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telia Company AB stock, see the SE:TELIA Stock Forecast page.

Telia Company to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results
Oct 9, 2025

Telia Company has announced it will release its Q3 2025 financial results on October 23, 2025, followed by a presentation and conference call hosted by CEO Patrik Hofbauer and CFO Eric Hageman. This announcement is a routine disclosure aimed at keeping stakeholders informed about the company’s financial performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:TELIA) stock is a Hold with a SEK37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telia Company AB stock, see the SE:TELIA Stock Forecast page.

Telia Company AB Announces Acquisition Offer for Bredband2
Aug 29, 2025

Telia Company AB has published the offer document for its proposed acquisition of all shares in Bredband2 i Skandinavien AB, marking a significant step in its expansion strategy. The acceptance period for the offer begins on September 1, 2025, and ends on October 17, 2025, with settlement expected around October 24, 2025, potentially impacting Telia’s market positioning and shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:TELIA) stock is a Hold with a SEK36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telia Company AB stock, see the SE:TELIA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 24, 2025