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Telia Company AB (SE:TELIA)
:TELIA
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Telia Company AB (TELIA) AI Stock Analysis

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Telia Company AB

(OTC:TELIA)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
kr38.00
▲(8.70%Upside)
Telia's overall score is supported by strong earnings call outcomes and solid financial performance, particularly in cash flow generation. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to current bearish trends, and high leverage poses financial risks. Valuation remains attractive with a strong dividend yield, providing some stability.

Telia Company AB (TELIA) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Telia Company AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTelia Company AB (publ) provides communication services in Sweden, Finland, Norway, Denmark, Lithuania, Estonia, and Latvia. The company offers mobile, broadband, television, and fixed-line services to businesses, individuals, families, and communities. It provides networking, cloud and security, mobility, enterprise mobile network, contact center, managed mobility services, collaboration solutions, enterprise telephony, Internet of Things (IoT), carrier ethernet, dedicated internet access, wavelengths, IP Transit, dark fiber, colocation, and IoT connectivity solutions, as well as broadcasting and content production services, and customer financing services. The company markets its products and services under the Telia, halebop, Fello, TV4, C More, MTV, MyCall, OneCall, Phonero, Call me, Mit tele, Diil, Lmt Okarte, Telia Latvija, Cloudy, Tet, and Ezys brands for logistics, public transport, manufacturing, retail, utilities, building, and public sector industries. It has 18.1 million mobile subscriptions, 1.0 million fixed telephony subscriptions, 2.9 fixed million broadband subscriptions, and 3.4 million TV subscriptions. The company was formerly known as TeliaSonera AB (publ) and changed its name to Telia Company AB (publ) in April 2016. Telia Company AB (publ) was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in Solna, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyTelia Company AB generates revenue primarily through its telecommunications services, which include mobile and fixed telephony, broadband, and television services. The company earns money by providing subscription-based services to individual consumers, as well as packages tailored to business clients. Key revenue streams include mobile service subscriptions, data plans, fixed broadband, and digital TV offerings. Additionally, Telia engages in partnerships with other technology and content providers to enhance its service offerings and drive customer engagement. The company's financial performance is significantly influenced by its ability to attract and retain subscribers in its core markets, as well as its capacity to innovate and adapt to changing consumer preferences and technological advancements.

Telia Company AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 18, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.76%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected strong operational performance and strategic advancements, particularly in Sweden, with robust EBITDA growth and successful M&A activities supporting future growth. However, challenges in Norway and flat revenue in Finland present significant headwinds, balancing the overall sentiment.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong EBITDA Growth
The company achieved an EBITDA growth of 6.2% in Q2, slightly ahead of expectations. EBITDA margin expanded by 200 basis points.
Successful M&A Activity
Closed the TV and Media transaction, signed an MOU for exiting Latvia by 2026, and announced a public tender for Bredband2 shares to strengthen the consumer business in Sweden.
Innovation and Partnerships
Extended the NorthStar innovation program by partnering with the Swedish Armed Forces to advance secure communication and 5G applications.
Strong Performance in Sweden
Service revenue growth was robust in Sweden, with the best net mobile subscriber intake in over 5 years and consumer segment growth of 2.3%.
Improved Free Cash Flow and Leverage
Generated a free cash flow of SEK 2.3 billion, with improved leverage at 2.09x, supported by EBITDA growth and proceeds from divestments.
Negative Updates
Challenging Market in Norway
Both service revenue and EBITDA declined in Norway due to lower mobile wholesale revenue and broadband and TV headwinds, with expectations of worsening in Q3.
Flat Revenue in Finland
Service revenue in Finland was flat due to the ramp down of non-core activities and the loss of a large public contract, impacting net adds and churn.
Headwinds in Macroeconomic Growth
Enterprise growth was impacted by low macroeconomic growth, particularly in Finland and Norway, posing challenges for future revenue stabilization.
Company Guidance
In the call, Telia Company provided guidance for the remainder of the fiscal year, maintaining its full-year outlook as largely unchanged. The company's EBITDA growth was 6.2% for Q2, slightly above expectations, with a noted overperformance in Sweden and Finland, but weaker results in Norway. Service revenue growth was strong in Sweden and the Baltics, although offset by a slowdown in Norway. CapEx remained within the target of less than SEK 14 billion annually, and free cash flow was reported at SEK 2.3 billion, aided by a dividend from Tet in Latvia. The company's leverage improved to 2.09x, supported by EBITDA growth and proceeds from asset divestments. Telia also announced a public tender for Bredband2 shares, a SEK 3 billion transaction expected to enhance its consumer business in Sweden. The company aims for continued expansion in convergence, with converged customers now comprising 57% of its base, and average revenue per household growing by over 5% annually, surpassing SEK 600.

Telia Company AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Telia demonstrates strong operational and cash flow performance, but faces challenges with revenue growth and high leverage. While profitability margins are solid, the company should focus on reducing debt levels to enhance financial stability. Continued emphasis on cash flow generation will support long-term strategic investments and debt management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Telia's TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is healthy at 50.6%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin stands at 8%, showing room for improvement in profitability. Revenue growth is slightly negative at -1.4% from the previous annual period, suggesting a need for stronger top-line growth. The EBIT margin is strong at 13.5%, and the EBITDA margin is robust at 35.2%, demonstrating solid operational performance.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Telia's balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.60, pointing to significant leverage which increases financial risk. The return on equity (ROE) is moderate at 12.5%, indicating reasonable profitability for equity holders. The equity ratio is at 28.5%, showing a stable capital structure but with a high level of liabilities relative to assets.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Telia's free cash flow has grown by 33.7% from the previous annual period, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 3.43, indicating efficient cash conversion from earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.40, suggesting good cash flow relative to earnings, supporting future growth and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue87.89B89.13B88.78B90.83B88.34B89.19B
Gross Profit44.52B55.65B40.22B30.88B30.03B32.16B
EBITDA30.91B35.11B31.17B14.02B40.15B14.06B
Net Income6.99B7.08B303.00M-14.16B11.68B-22.48B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets196.25B204.27B226.47B222.79B237.03B226.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.39B10.93B19.85B9.18B20.45B10.96B
Total Debt89.13B94.38B112.57B53.72B40.58B47.63B
Total Liabilities136.73B144.91B169.47B155.12B153.48B162.73B
Stockholders Equity55.85B55.44B53.47B64.24B80.73B62.84B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.77B7.31B9.21B8.09B11.73B15.11B
Operating Cash Flow23.97B21.20B24.67B24.00B27.38B28.82B
Investing Cash Flow189.00M4.11B-22.06B-9.94B-10.91B-3.47B
Financing Cash Flow-19.97B-27.34B2.65B-21.78B-10.60B-23.10B

Telia Company AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price34.96
Price Trends
50DMA
35.36
Negative
100DMA
35.18
Negative
200DMA
32.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.47
Negative
RSI
57.50
Neutral
STOCH
36.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:TELIA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 34.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.03, below the 50-day MA of 35.36, and above the 200-day MA of 32.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:TELIA.

Telia Company AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$126.75B18.7711.23%6.05%-3.89%1.42%
62
Neutral
€3.44B-0.913.90%5.06%5.62%-157.00%
kr94.72B24.5420.92%4.69%
$2.52B-20.56%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:TELIA
Telia Company AB
34.96
6.24
21.71%
GB:0QE6
Tele2 AB
149.38
48.59
48.21%
CLCMF
Sinch AB
2.87
0.60
26.43%

Telia Company AB Corporate Events

Telia Company Reports Revenue Growth and Strategic Divestments in Q2 2025
Jul 18, 2025

Telia Company reported a 1.2% increase in revenue for Q2 2025, driven by strong service revenue growth in Sweden and the Baltics. The company’s adjusted EBITDA rose by 6.2% due to increased service revenue and reduced operational expenses. Despite a decline in net income and earnings per share, the company improved its free cash flow and reduced CAPEX. Strategic moves included the completion of a TV and Media divestment and plans to sell shares in Tet and LMT, along with a public offer for Bredband2 AB, indicating a focus on optimizing its portfolio and strengthening its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:TELIA) stock is a Buy with a SEK40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telia Company AB stock, see the SE:TELIA Stock Forecast page.

Telia Announces Cash Offer to Acquire Bredband2
Jul 18, 2025

Telia Company AB has announced a recommended cash offer to acquire Bredband2 i Skandinavien AB for SEK 3.25 per share, valuing the company at approximately SEK 3,111 million. The acquisition aims to strengthen both companies by combining their capabilities, offering a broader product range, and enhancing operational efficiency, with no expected material changes to Bredband2’s operations or brand.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:TELIA) stock is a Hold with a SEK32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telia Company AB stock, see the SE:TELIA Stock Forecast page.

Telia Company to Divest Latvian Operations
Jul 17, 2025

Telia Company has signed a memorandum of understanding to divest its shares in Latvian fixed network operator Tet and mobile network operator LMT to the Republic of Latvia, Latvenergo, and LVRTC. This move is expected to streamline operations and enhance value creation, allowing Tet and LMT to develop under a new ownership model, benefiting customers and stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:TELIA) stock is a Hold with a SEK29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telia Company AB stock, see the SE:TELIA Stock Forecast page.

Telia Company Sells TV & Media Business to Schibsted
Jul 1, 2025

Telia Company has completed the sale of its TV & Media business to Schibsted for SEK 6.55 billion, as part of its strategy to simplify operations and focus on its core connectivity services. The proceeds from the sale will be used to reduce debt, positioning Telia’s net debt/adjusted EBITDA at the lower end of its target range, thereby strengthening its financial stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:TELIA) stock is a Buy with a SEK40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telia Company AB stock, see the SE:TELIA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 18, 2025