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NCC AB (SE:NCC.B)
:NCC.B
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NCC AB (NCC.B) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:NCC.B

NCC AB

(NCC.B)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
kr205.00
▼(-7.82% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/07/26
The score is held back primarily by weak and volatile 2025 profitability and a sharp step-down in cash flow versus 2024, despite improving leverage. Technically, the stock has a supportive uptrend with neutral momentum, but valuation is a notable risk due to the very high P/E, only partly balanced by the dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Improving leverage and balance-sheet flexibility
A materially lower debt-to-equity (~0.49 in 2025) increases financial resilience in a cyclical construction sector. This improves bidding flexibility on large projects, reduces refinancing pressure, and gives room to fund working-capital swings or opportunistic investments without compromising credit capacity.
Negative Factors
Sharply weakened profitability in 2025
Net margin collapsing to around 0.25% in 2025 leaves almost no buffer for cost overruns or contract disputes. For a low-margin industry, this magnitude of deterioration threatens ROE, limits retained earnings for reinvestment, and raises the risk of future earnings volatility if execution or pricing doesn't improve.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving leverage and balance-sheet flexibility
A materially lower debt-to-equity (~0.49 in 2025) increases financial resilience in a cyclical construction sector. This improves bidding flexibility on large projects, reduces refinancing pressure, and gives room to fund working-capital swings or opportunistic investments without compromising credit capacity.
Read all positive factors

NCC AB (NCC.B) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

NCC AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
NCC AB (publ) operates as a construction and property development company in Sweden, Norway, Denmark, and Finland. It operates through five segments: NCC Infrastructure, NCC Building Sweden, NCC Building Nordic, NCC Industry, and NCC Property Deve...
How the Company Makes Money
NCC primarily makes money by delivering construction and civil engineering projects under contract for customers and recognizing revenue as project work is performed. Its core revenue streams typically come from (1) building construction contracti...

NCC AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: the balance sheet is a relative strength (declining debt-to-equity to ~0.49 by 2025), but operating results are pressured. 2025 showed a revenue decline (-7.31%) and a sharp drop in profitability (net margin ~0.25%), while cash generation also fell materially versus 2024 (free cash flow down ~63%), highlighting execution and working-capital/project timing volatility.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue55.72B61.61B56.93B54.20B53.41B
Gross Profit5.47B5.28B4.69B4.00B4.52B
EBITDA2.11B3.36B3.08B2.60B3.11B
Net Income142.00M1.57B1.57B1.07B1.51B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets30.58B32.03B31.95B29.57B29.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.51B3.72B1.41B1.00B3.48B
Total Debt3.88B5.08B5.29B4.30B4.21B
Total Liabilities22.66B23.36B24.63B22.38B23.58B
Stockholders Equity7.92B8.66B7.32B7.18B5.84B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.54B3.94B99.00M-707.00M1.49B
Operating Cash Flow1.91B4.64B807.00M265.00M2.26B
Investing Cash Flow-761.00M-647.00M-446.00M-401.00M-363.00M
Financing Cash Flow-3.17B-1.79B-187.00M-1.90B-1.49B

NCC AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price222.40
Price Trends
50DMA
215.05
Positive
100DMA
217.92
Positive
200DMA
207.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.83
Negative
RSI
65.57
Neutral
STOCH
90.36
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:NCC.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 222.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 212.20, above the 50-day MA of 215.05, and above the 200-day MA of 207.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.83 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.36 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:NCC.B.

NCC AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
kr101.65B18.2610.45%3.18%0.10%2.25%
63
Neutral
kr45.18B24.4318.52%2.20%2.68%0.49%
61
Neutral
kr26.12B7.3110.55%3.26%-4.41%-43.08%
61
Neutral
kr12.63B19.306.31%4.09%-6.24%-29.72%
57
Neutral
kr19.19B14.914.22%-4.87%16.68%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
54
Neutral
kr17.88B151.661.79%4.17%-9.56%-90.96%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:NCC.B
NCC AB
201.00
30.43
17.84%
SE:PEAB.B
Peab AB
88.55
11.08
14.31%
SE:SKA.B
Skanska AB
247.00
35.51
16.79%
SE:SWEC.B
Sweco AB
125.00
-40.08
-24.28%
SE:AFRY
AFRY AB Class B
112.20
-46.91
-29.48%
SE:BRAV
Bravida Holding AB
93.80
5.61
6.37%

NCC AB Corporate Events

NCC Holds Stable in Seasonally Weak Quarter as Orders and Dividends Support Outlook
Apr 29, 2026
NCC reported a seasonally weak but broadly stable first quarter of 2026, with orders received rising to SEK 14.8 billion while net sales declined and operating loss widened slightly, reflecting a colder-than-usual winter and normal seasonal patter...
NCC Wins SEK 200 Million Low-Carbon Paving Framework in Lund
Apr 21, 2026
NCC has secured a framework agreement with Lund Municipality and municipal property company LKF for asphalt paving and related civil engineering services in Lund, Sweden. The deal, valid for up to four years and capped at approximately SEK 200 mil...
NCC Names New General Counsel and Elevates Focus on Green Industry Transformation
Apr 17, 2026
NCC has appointed Mattias Andersson as its new General Counsel, with a latest start date of October 2026, and he will join the Senior Management Team. He brings extensive legal and commercial experience from roles at Stegra, Kinnevik, SKF and majo...
NCC Schedules Q1 2026 Interim Report and Investor Webcast
Apr 15, 2026
NCC will publish its interim report for the first quarter of 2026 on April 29, with the release scheduled for early morning on the company’s investor relations website. Later the same morning, CEO Tomas Carlsson and CFO Susanne Lithander wil...
NCC Wins Major Partnering Contract for New Kiruna Hospital
Apr 15, 2026
NCC AB has been awarded a partnering contract by Region Norrbotten to develop a new hospital in Kiruna, one of Sweden’s largest geographical healthcare regions. The project leverages NCC’s extensive experience in large, complex hospita...
NCC Wins SEK 650m Contract for New Mon Waterworks in Skutskär
Apr 1, 2026
Nordic construction group NCC has secured a contract from municipal utility Gästrike Vatten to build a new waterworks in Mon, Skutskär, Sweden, as part of a broader program to reinforce water supply in the Gävle and Älvkarleby ...
NCC AB Calls 2026 AGM With Dividend Hike, Incentive Plans and Buyback Mandate on the Agenda
Mar 31, 2026
NCC AB has called shareholders to its Annual General Meeting in Stockholm on May 5, 2026, setting out procedures for registration, proxy voting and participation, including requirements for trustee-registered shareholders to secure voting rights. ...
NCC Wins SEK 650 Million LKAB Groundworks Contract for New Gällivare Sorting Plant
Mar 31, 2026
NCC has secured a contract worth about SEK 650 million from mining company LKAB to execute initial groundworks, foundation engineering and extensive concreting for a new sorting plant in Vitåfors, Gällivare, adjacent to the existing faci...
NCC Wins SEK 700 Million Contract for New Östersund Waterworks
Mar 31, 2026
NCC has secured a partnering contract worth about SEK 700 million from Östersund Municipality to build a new Minnesgärde waterworks, adjacent to the existing facility, with construction starting immediately and completion expected in 202...
NCC wins SEK 580m contract to build multi-purpose arena in Fredrikstad
Mar 30, 2026
NCC has secured a SEK 580 million contract from Fredrikstad Municipality in Norway to build Arena Fredrikstad, a new ice center and multi-purpose sports arena that will replace the municipality’s existing ice facility. The arena will feature...
NCC Wins SEK 260 Million Contract to Reinforce Key Roads in Norrbotten
Mar 30, 2026
NCC has secured a contract worth approximately SEK 260 million from the Swedish Transport Administration to reinforce and repave nine secondary roads in Norrbotten County, in the municipalities of Överkalix, Kalix, Pajala and Jokkmokk. The tw...
NCC Wins SEK 500 Million Contract for New Järfälla Waterworks Groundworks
Mar 26, 2026
NCC has secured a contract from water utility Norrvatten for the initial earth and groundworks of a new waterworks in Järfälla, north of Stockholm, a facility designed to bolster drinking water capacity for 14 municipalities. The order i...
NCC Wins SEK 200 Million Contract for New Elderly Care Facility in Svalöv
Mar 24, 2026
NCC has been commissioned by Svalövs Samhällslokaler to build Lantlyckan, a modern residential care facility in Svalöv with 56 apartments tailored for people with special housing needs. The turnkey partnering contract, valued at aro...
NCC Wins SEK 285 Million Sustainable Road Maintenance Contract in Sweden
Mar 13, 2026
NCC has secured a two-year contract worth about SEK 285 million from the Swedish Transport Administration to carry out road maintenance and paving works across Dalarna and Gävleborg counties from summer 2026. The project covers several key re...
NCC Wins SEK 800 Million Contract to Refurbish Historic Laksegade Block in Copenhagen
Mar 11, 2026
NCC has secured an approximately SEK 800 million contract from Danish real estate company Thylander to carry out the first phase of refurbishing the historic Laksegade city block in central Copenhagen. The project covers five offices and two store...
NCC Brings Forward Q2 2026 Report and Updates Financial Calendar
Mar 4, 2026
NCC, a major Nordic construction group active in building and infrastructure contracts, asphalt and stone materials production, and commercial property development, reported 2025 sales of about SEK 56 billion and employs roughly 11,500 people. The...
NCC’s Nomination Committee Proposes New Board Line-Up for 2026
Feb 26, 2026
NCC’s Nomination Committee has proposed a seven-member Board of Directors without deputies for 2026, including the re-election of Chairman Alf Göransson and five existing directors, underscoring continuity in the company’s governa...
NCC Wins SEK 300 Million Contract to Upgrade Key E4 Stretch in Northern Sweden
Feb 25, 2026
NCC has secured a contract worth about SEK 300 million from the Swedish Transport Administration to upgrade the E4 expressway between Hörnefors and Stöcksjö, a key traffic artery south of Umeå in northern Sweden. The project, b...
NCC wins major student housing project at Chalmers in Gothenburg
Feb 24, 2026
NCC has secured a contract from Chalmers Student Housing to build the Nya Holtermanska student and researcher housing complex next to Chalmers University of Technology in Gothenburg, adding three residential buildings with 386 apartments and space...
NCC Wins SEK 180 Million Road Paving Contracts in Norway
Feb 12, 2026
NCC has secured two asphalt paving contracts from Innlandet County Municipality in Norway, with a combined value of approximately SEK 180 million, covering key municipal road stretches including Gudbrandalen, Valdres, Norra Østerdalen, Rendal...
NCC Delivers Record Operating Earnings in Key Units but Books Property Impairment and Retains Industry Arm In-House
Feb 5, 2026
NCC reported strong underlying profitability for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, with operating profit before items affecting comparability at SEK 692 million in Q4 and SEK 1,938 million for the year, driven by record earnings in the Indust...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026