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AFRY AB Class B (SE:AFRY)
:AFRY

AFRY AB Class B (AFRY) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:AFRY

AFRY AB Class B

(AFRY)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
kr127.00
▼(-3.64% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/07/26
The score is driven primarily by solid cash flow and manageable balance-sheet risk, supported by earnings-call indicators of operational stabilization (margin improvement and stronger backlog). These positives are tempered by a clearly weak technical trend and recent fundamental softness (declining revenue/net income) alongside ongoing restructuring and headwinds.
Positive Factors
Consistent Free Cash Flow
AFRY's recurring positive free cash flow and its improvement in 2025 indicate the business converts earnings to cash reliably. Durable cash generation supports reinvestment, dividend continuity, deleveraging and flexibility to fund restructuring paybacks or selective bids over a multi‑year horizon.
Manageable Leverage & Strong Equity Base
Reported leverage around mid‑0.5x–0.7x and a stable equity base provide balance‑sheet resilience. This structural financial strength lowers refinancing risk, supports countercyclical investment and preserves capacity to absorb restructuring costs while maintaining strategic bids and client service levels.
Order Backlog and Market Position
A growing backlog (+5.4% adj.) combined with notable contracts and high ENR industry rankings underpin durable demand and market leadership in key verticals. Strong backlog and reputation improve medium‑term revenue visibility and support cross‑selling across energy, infrastructure and industry segments.
Negative Factors
Declining Organic and Reported Sales
Sustained negative organic growth and declining reported sales weaken scale and utilization, pressuring margins and fee negotiating leverage. If demand recovery is slow, structural top‑line erosion could impair long‑term margin restoration and prolong the payback timeline for restructuring investments.
Restructuring Costs and Execution Risk
Planned personnel‑led restructuring yields medium‑term run‑rate savings but requires near‑term cash outlays and execution across divisions. High end of cost guidance and implementation complexity raise execution risk; delayed or lower-than-expected savings would prolong earnings recovery and cash efficiency gains.
Margin Volatility and Division-Level Weakness
Volatile gross margins and specific division sales weakness point to inconsistent project mix and pricing pressure. Structural margin variability undermines predictability of profitability, complicates capacity planning and could erode client pricing power if competitive or macro pressures persist.

AFRY AB Class B (AFRY) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

AFRY AB Class B Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAfry AB provides engineering, design, and advisory services for the infrastructure, industry, energy, and digitalization sectors in Sweden, Finland, Norway, Switzerland, Denmark, Germany, and internationally. The company operates through five divisions: Infrastructure, Industrial & Digital Solutions, Process Industries, Energy, and Management Consulting. The company offers architecture and design services; automation and manufacturing solutions; automotive and mobility services; building solutions for airports, culture and sports facilities, high security facilities, hospitals, healthcare and research, hotels and restaurants, and housing facilities; defense technology systems; digital solutions, and information and communication technology services; and engineering and consulting services for energy and power applications. It also offers environmental and sustainability solutions; services for food, life science, and pharmaceutical industries; management consulting services; solutions for processing industries, including mining and metals, food and beverage, pulp and paper, chemical, and forest industries; product development services; project management services; transport infrastructure services; and solutions for water management. The company was formerly known as ÅF Pöyry AB (publ) and changed its name to Afry AB in June 2021. Afry AB was founded in 1895 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyAFRY primarily makes money by selling professional services—engineering, consulting, design, and project services—under client contracts. Revenue is mainly generated from (1) time-and-materials consulting assignments where clients pay based on billable hours and agreed rates for AFRY’s specialists, and (2) fixed-price or milestone-based project delivery where AFRY is paid per deliverable, stage, or completion of defined project scope. A significant portion of earnings comes from long-running framework agreements and repeat business with large industrial companies and public authorities that procure ongoing engineering and advisory capacity. AFRY also earns revenue from multidisciplinary project work that combines advisory/strategy, engineering/design, and project management across sectors such as energy, infrastructure, and process industries. If any material revenue contributions from software licensing, proprietary products, or specific named partnerships are required, they are null.

AFRY AB Class B Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a balanced but improving picture: clear operational and financial stabilization indicators (backlog growth +5.4% currency-adjusted, improved EBITA margin to 8.7%, utilization rebound to 72.8%, strong cash flow, deleveraging and an unchanged dividend) alongside material near-term challenges (negative organic growth -4.3%, total growth -6.2%, sizeable FX and calendar headwinds, and restructuring costs). Management emphasized that restructuring benefits and margin improvements will materialize further in 2026, and strategic wins and strong backlog provide momentum. On balance, the positive operational progress, strengthened balance sheet and validated market positions outweigh the current headwinds and near-term costs.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved EBITA Margin and Q4 Profitability
EBITA excluding items affecting comparability improved to 8.7% in Q4 2025 (up from 8.3% year-over-year). Q4 EBITA excl. IAC totaled SEK 577 million.
Stronger Order Backlog
Order backlog reached SEK 20.4 billion and improved 5.4% adjusted for currency versus last year, indicating stronger near-term revenue visibility across all three divisions.
Utilization Rate Rebound
Utilization increased to 72.8% in Q4 (an improvement of 0.5 percentage points year-over-year) — the first year-over-year utilization increase in 14 quarters and a supporting KPI in the 2028 targets (aiming for full-year 74%).
Solid Cash Flow and Strengthened Balance Sheet
Q4 operating cash flow was in line with record Q4 2024. Available liquidity increased to SEK 4.4 billion, net debt fell below SEK 4 billion and leverage (net debt/EBITDA) was 2.5x, supporting financial flexibility.
Full Year Revenue and EBITA Levels
Rolling 12-month net sales closed at SEK 25.8 billion and EBITA remained just below SEK 1.9 billion, demonstrating sizeable scale despite headwinds.
Strategic Wins and Market Recognition
Won notable client contracts (MEPCO paper machine project, framework agreement with Vattenfall for nuclear/hydro/wind services, Lotschberg railway tunnel). ENR 2025 rankings: #6 in overall industry and energy, #3 in hydro, top-10 entry in solar and continued market-leading position in pulp & paper.
Progress on Restructuring and Operational Efficiency
Launched and advanced a high-paced restructuring agenda and simplified group structure; management reports early signs of improved operational efficiency and better utilization driven by planning, resource management and rightsizing.
Employee Reputation and Attrition Trend
Recognized by Universum as one of Sweden's most attractive employers. Group attrition has declined since 2022 and remained stable during the transformation, supporting talent retention.
Dividend Policy Maintained
Board proposed an unchanged dividend of SEK 6 per share for 2025, signaling confidence in the financial position.
Negative Updates
Negative Organic and Reported Sales Growth
Adjusted organic growth in Q4 was negative 4.3% and total reported growth was -6.2% (Q4 net sales SEK 6.6 billion), reflecting capacity adjustments and continued market pressure.
Significant Currency and Calendar Headwinds
Full-year FX and calendar effects reduced net sales by approximately SEK 700 million and EBITA by about SEK 190 million. The weak calendar specifically impacted EBITA by SEK 128 million; for Q4 currency movements reduced EBITA by ~SEK 20 million.
Restructuring Costs and Near-Term Earnings Impact
Restructuring costs reported as items affecting comparability: SEK 161 million in Q4 and SEK 192 million year-to-date in the program. Management expects total restructuring costs to be at the upper end of guidance (SEK 200–300 million), with most costs being personnel redundancies.
Division-Level Weakness — Transportation & Places
Transportation & Places showed declining net sales in Q4 and a margin decline driven by capacity adjustments and weak markets in parts of the division; restructuring effects were implemented late in the quarter and had limited Q4 margin benefit.
Industry Sales Weakness Despite Margin Improvement
Industry division experienced negative sales growth in the quarter due to mixed markets and macro/geopolitical uncertainty (pulp & paper soft in areas), though restructuring improved division profitability.
Market Price Pressure and Lower Average Pricing
Management reports ongoing market price pressure in some segments and that average price development is lower than earlier in the year, though underlying pricing remained positive.
Capacity Adjustments Affecting Near-Term Revenue
Capacity adjustments made in line with strategic priorities reduced volume and pressured sales development in Q4 as part of the active reshaping of the portfolio.
Uncertain Translation of Backlog to Near-Term Invoicing
Backlog mix includes varying project sizes and timelines, so timing of conversion to invoicing is mixed — management expects visibility to improve but conversion is not immediate.
Company Guidance
Guidance from the call highlighted that AFRY expects total restructuring costs to land at the upper end of its SEK 200–300m guidance (Q4 restructuring SEK 161m; total to date SEK 192m; two quarters remaining), with run‑rate savings largely personnel‑related and an expected ~12‑month payback; the company estimates the 2026 calendar will have a small positive effect on EBITA (notably in Q4 2026) after a SEK 128m negative calendar effect in 2025, and cited full‑year 2025 currency/calendar headwinds of ~SEK 700m on net sales and ~SEK 190m on EBITA (Q4 currency impact ~SEK 20m on EBITA); reported operating metrics: Q4 net sales SEK 6.6bn, EBITA excl. IAC SEK 577m (EBITA margin 8.7% vs 8.3% LY), rolling 12‑month net sales SEK 25.8bn and EBITA just under SEK 1.9bn, order backlog SEK 20.4bn (currency‑adjusted +5.4% y/y), Q4 utilization 72.8% (+0.5 pp y/y) with a 2028 target of 74% full‑year utilization (~+2 pp from mid‑2025), and a strong balance sheet (available liquidity SEK 4.4bn, net debt <SEK 4bn, leverage 2.5x) while the Board proposes an unchanged dividend of SEK 6 per share.

AFRY AB Class B Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash generation is a key strength with consistently positive and improving free cash flow, and leverage is described as manageable. Offsetting this, revenue and net income weakened in 2025, ROE softened, and gross margin volatility reduces confidence in earnings consistency.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Revenue has been broadly stable but is losing momentum (near-flat in 2024 and down in 2025), which is a near-term headwind. Profitability is moderate for the sector with EBIT and EBITDA margins generally in the mid-to-high single digits, but net profit has declined versus 2024 (lower net margin). A key concern is the large year-to-year volatility in reported gross margin, which reduces confidence in earnings quality/consistency even though operating margins look steadier.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Leverage looks manageable with debt-to-equity consistently around the mid-0.5x to ~0.7x range, suggesting no outsized balance-sheet strain. Equity has remained sizable and relatively stable, supporting resilience. Returns on equity have been decent but have softened in 2025 versus prior years, indicating weaker profitability translating to lower shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash generation is a relative strength: free cash flow has been positive every year provided and improved again in 2025, and free cash flow is close to net income, suggesting earnings are broadly cash-backed. Operating and free cash flow rebounded strongly after a weaker 2022, although cash flow growth has been volatile year-to-year, which introduces some planning risk.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue25.76B27.16B26.98B23.55B20.10B
Gross Profit1.65B21.46B5.08B18.66B16.19B
EBITDA2.50B2.92B2.79B2.26B2.37B
Net Income800.00M1.23B1.10B974.00M1.13B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets27.04B28.30B28.17B28.00B25.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.38B1.27B1.17B1.09B2.11B
Total Debt6.61B7.25B7.86B7.80B7.65B
Total Liabilities14.36B15.15B15.72B15.82B14.92B
Stockholders Equity12.68B13.13B12.45B12.18B10.99B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.13B1.86B1.62B891.00M1.38B
Operating Cash Flow2.22B1.99B1.79B1.04B1.50B
Investing Cash Flow-329.00M-383.00M-756.00M-873.00M-1.21B
Financing Cash Flow-1.68B-1.47B-942.00M-1.01B-12.00M

AFRY AB Class B Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price131.80
Price Trends
50DMA
136.45
Negative
100DMA
145.91
Negative
200DMA
151.51
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.62
Positive
RSI
30.81
Neutral
STOCH
11.73
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:AFRY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 131.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 128.61, below the 50-day MA of 136.45, and below the 200-day MA of 151.51, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.73 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:AFRY.

AFRY AB Class B Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
kr99.84B14.1910.45%3.18%6.02%26.26%
65
Neutral
kr47.99B24.4318.52%2.20%2.79%14.00%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
kr27.92B17.8610.55%3.26%-4.93%10.91%
59
Neutral
kr13.69B21.236.31%4.09%-3.73%-22.34%
57
Neutral
kr19.83B14.914.22%-4.21%10.63%
54
Neutral
kr18.23B151.661.79%4.17%5.68%27.52%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:AFRY
AFRY AB Class B
121.60
-68.12
-35.90%
SE:NCC.B
NCC AB
205.40
23.69
13.04%
SE:PEAB.B
Peab AB
94.65
18.34
24.04%
SE:SKA.B
Skanska AB
242.60
8.36
3.57%
SE:SWEC.B
Sweco AB
133.10
-51.01
-27.71%
SE:BRAV
Bravida Holding AB
96.95
8.51
9.62%

AFRY AB Class B Corporate Events

AFRY Sets 2026 AGM to Decide on Governance, Dividend and New Share Mandate
Mar 23, 2026

AFRY AB has convened its 2026 Annual General Meeting for 28 April at its Solna head office, giving shareholders the option to participate either in person, by proxy, or via postal voting in line with its Articles of Association. Shareholders must be registered with Euroclear Sweden by 20 April and confirm their participation or submit postal votes by 22 April, with specific procedures for nominee-registered and corporate shareholders.

The AGM agenda covers the approval of the annual and consolidated financial statements, discharge of liability for the board and CEO, approval of the remuneration report, and decisions on dividend allocation. Shareholders will also vote on board and auditor elections, board and auditor remuneration, a performance-based long-term cash programme for 2026, and an authorization for the board to issue new shares, measures that collectively shape AFRY’s governance, capital structure, and long-term incentive framework for the coming years.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:AFRY) stock is a Buy with a SEK134.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AFRY AB Class B stock, see the SE:AFRY Stock Forecast page.

AFRY Highlights Sustainability Focus in 2025 Annual and Sustainability Report
Mar 18, 2026

AFRY has released its Annual and Sustainability Report 2025, emphasizing its promise to unlock transitions toward a more sustainable and resilient society. The report underlines AFRY’s role in delivering long-lasting solutions that support generational change, reinforcing its strategic positioning as a key partner for clients seeking sustainability-driven transformation.

By highlighting its blend of global capabilities and local market insight, AFRY positions the new report as a showcase of how its sector expertise translates into practical, future-oriented projects. The communication strengthens the company’s brand around “Making Future,” signaling continued commitment to sustainability as a core driver of its operations and relationships with stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:AFRY) stock is a Buy with a SEK210.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AFRY AB Class B stock, see the SE:AFRY Stock Forecast page.

AFRY Holds Dividend Steady Despite Lower 2025 Sales and Earnings
Feb 5, 2026

AFRY AB reported weaker financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, with net sales falling 6.2% in the quarter and 5.2% for the year, and negative organic growth after calendar adjustments. Profitability softened year-on-year, as EBITA and earnings per share declined, although the EBITA margin excluding items affecting comparability improved slightly in the fourth quarter, indicating some efficiency gains from ongoing efforts to focus, simplify and harmonise the business. Despite lower earnings, the Board proposes maintaining the dividend at SEK 6.00 per share, signalling confidence in the company’s financial resilience and its long-term strategy to improve operations in a challenging market environment.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:AFRY) stock is a Hold with a SEK153.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AFRY AB Class B stock, see the SE:AFRY Stock Forecast page.

AFRY to Present 2025 Year-End Results on 5 February 2026
Jan 22, 2026

AFRY has announced that it will present its year-end report for 2025 on Thursday, 5 February 2026 at 10:00 CET, led by President and CEO Linda Pålsson and CFO Bo Sandström, with the report itself to be published earlier that morning. Investors, analysts and media can follow the event live via a Teams meeting, which allows questions during a Q&A session, or via a YouTube webcast, and all related materials and the recorded presentation will be made available afterward on the company’s investor relations website, underscoring AFRY’s continued emphasis on transparency and proactive engagement with the financial market.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:AFRY) stock is a Hold with a SEK168.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AFRY AB Class B stock, see the SE:AFRY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026