tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
AFRY AB Class B (SE:AFRY)
:AFRY

AFRY AB Class B (AFRY) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
2 Followers

Top Page

SE:AFRY

AFRY AB Class B

(AFRY)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
kr143.00
▲(5.85% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/07/26
The score is driven primarily by solid cash flow and manageable balance-sheet risk, supported by earnings-call indicators of operational stabilization (margin improvement and stronger backlog). These positives are tempered by a clearly weak technical trend and recent fundamental softness (declining revenue/net income) alongside ongoing restructuring and headwinds.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation and liquidity
AFRY's positive free cash flow growth and stronger operating cash flow provide durable funding for project execution, acquisitions and restructuring. Healthy liquidity (SEK 3.8bn) reduces refinancing risk and supports multi-quarter investments in digital and sustainable engineering projects.
Solid balance sheet and equity ratio
A manageable debt-to-equity position and a solid equity ratio underpin AFRY's financial resilience. This structural balance-sheet strength supports bidding for large infrastructure contracts, cushions cyclical downturns and preserves strategic optionality for capex and M&A over the next several quarters.
Order backlog growth and strategic framework wins
An expanding order backlog and a national-grid framework agreement increase revenue visibility and recurring consultancy demand. Long-term public-sector frameworks and project wins anchor steady work volumes, improving predictability for resource planning and supporting stable revenue over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Declining net sales / revenue growth
Sustained revenue contraction signals weaker demand in key markets and reduces scale economics. Persisting top-line decline strains margin recovery efforts, heightens reliance on backlog conversion, and requires sustained commercial execution to restore multi-quarter organic growth.
Eroding gross profit margin
A material drop in gross margin points to structural cost pressures or pricing erosion in project work. Lower project-level profitability reduces operating leverage, leaves less room for reinvestment, and makes EBITA margins more sensitive to volume swings and competitive tendering.
Ongoing restructuring costs and execution risk
Large, multi-quarter restructuring charges will consume cash and management attention while implying operational change is needed. Execution risk is heightened: benefits must materialize to offset near-term cost drag, or margins and return metrics may remain depressed through the restructuring period.

AFRY AB Class B (AFRY) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

AFRY AB Class B Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAfry AB provides engineering, design, and advisory services for the infrastructure, industry, energy, and digitalization sectors in Sweden, Finland, Norway, Switzerland, Denmark, Germany, and internationally. The company operates through five divisions: Infrastructure, Industrial & Digital Solutions, Process Industries, Energy, and Management Consulting. The company offers architecture and design services; automation and manufacturing solutions; automotive and mobility services; building solutions for airports, culture and sports facilities, high security facilities, hospitals, healthcare and research, hotels and restaurants, and housing facilities; defense technology systems; digital solutions, and information and communication technology services; and engineering and consulting services for energy and power applications. It also offers environmental and sustainability solutions; services for food, life science, and pharmaceutical industries; management consulting services; solutions for processing industries, including mining and metals, food and beverage, pulp and paper, chemical, and forest industries; product development services; project management services; transport infrastructure services; and solutions for water management. The company was formerly known as ÅF Pöyry AB (publ) and changed its name to Afry AB in June 2021. Afry AB was founded in 1895 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyAFRY generates revenue through a diversified model primarily based on consulting services, engineering solutions, and project management fees. The company's key revenue streams include contracts with public and private sector clients for infrastructure projects, energy consulting, and industrial engineering services. Additionally, AFRY benefits from long-term partnerships with various stakeholders in the energy and infrastructure sectors, which facilitate ongoing projects and recurring revenue. The company's emphasis on sustainability and innovation also attracts clients seeking to meet regulatory requirements and improve operational efficiency, further bolstering its earnings.

AFRY AB Class B Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a balanced but improving picture: clear operational and financial stabilization indicators (backlog growth +5.4% currency-adjusted, improved EBITA margin to 8.7%, utilization rebound to 72.8%, strong cash flow, deleveraging and an unchanged dividend) alongside material near-term challenges (negative organic growth -4.3%, total growth -6.2%, sizeable FX and calendar headwinds, and restructuring costs). Management emphasized that restructuring benefits and margin improvements will materialize further in 2026, and strategic wins and strong backlog provide momentum. On balance, the positive operational progress, strengthened balance sheet and validated market positions outweigh the current headwinds and near-term costs.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved EBITA Margin and Q4 Profitability
EBITA excluding items affecting comparability improved to 8.7% in Q4 2025 (up from 8.3% year-over-year). Q4 EBITA excl. IAC totaled SEK 577 million.
Stronger Order Backlog
Order backlog reached SEK 20.4 billion and improved 5.4% adjusted for currency versus last year, indicating stronger near-term revenue visibility across all three divisions.
Utilization Rate Rebound
Utilization increased to 72.8% in Q4 (an improvement of 0.5 percentage points year-over-year) — the first year-over-year utilization increase in 14 quarters and a supporting KPI in the 2028 targets (aiming for full-year 74%).
Solid Cash Flow and Strengthened Balance Sheet
Q4 operating cash flow was in line with record Q4 2024. Available liquidity increased to SEK 4.4 billion, net debt fell below SEK 4 billion and leverage (net debt/EBITDA) was 2.5x, supporting financial flexibility.
Full Year Revenue and EBITA Levels
Rolling 12-month net sales closed at SEK 25.8 billion and EBITA remained just below SEK 1.9 billion, demonstrating sizeable scale despite headwinds.
Strategic Wins and Market Recognition
Won notable client contracts (MEPCO paper machine project, framework agreement with Vattenfall for nuclear/hydro/wind services, Lotschberg railway tunnel). ENR 2025 rankings: #6 in overall industry and energy, #3 in hydro, top-10 entry in solar and continued market-leading position in pulp & paper.
Progress on Restructuring and Operational Efficiency
Launched and advanced a high-paced restructuring agenda and simplified group structure; management reports early signs of improved operational efficiency and better utilization driven by planning, resource management and rightsizing.
Employee Reputation and Attrition Trend
Recognized by Universum as one of Sweden's most attractive employers. Group attrition has declined since 2022 and remained stable during the transformation, supporting talent retention.
Dividend Policy Maintained
Board proposed an unchanged dividend of SEK 6 per share for 2025, signaling confidence in the financial position.
Negative Updates
Negative Organic and Reported Sales Growth
Adjusted organic growth in Q4 was negative 4.3% and total reported growth was -6.2% (Q4 net sales SEK 6.6 billion), reflecting capacity adjustments and continued market pressure.
Significant Currency and Calendar Headwinds
Full-year FX and calendar effects reduced net sales by approximately SEK 700 million and EBITA by about SEK 190 million. The weak calendar specifically impacted EBITA by SEK 128 million; for Q4 currency movements reduced EBITA by ~SEK 20 million.
Restructuring Costs and Near-Term Earnings Impact
Restructuring costs reported as items affecting comparability: SEK 161 million in Q4 and SEK 192 million year-to-date in the program. Management expects total restructuring costs to be at the upper end of guidance (SEK 200–300 million), with most costs being personnel redundancies.
Division-Level Weakness — Transportation & Places
Transportation & Places showed declining net sales in Q4 and a margin decline driven by capacity adjustments and weak markets in parts of the division; restructuring effects were implemented late in the quarter and had limited Q4 margin benefit.
Industry Sales Weakness Despite Margin Improvement
Industry division experienced negative sales growth in the quarter due to mixed markets and macro/geopolitical uncertainty (pulp & paper soft in areas), though restructuring improved division profitability.
Market Price Pressure and Lower Average Pricing
Management reports ongoing market price pressure in some segments and that average price development is lower than earlier in the year, though underlying pricing remained positive.
Capacity Adjustments Affecting Near-Term Revenue
Capacity adjustments made in line with strategic priorities reduced volume and pressured sales development in Q4 as part of the active reshaping of the portfolio.
Uncertain Translation of Backlog to Near-Term Invoicing
Backlog mix includes varying project sizes and timelines, so timing of conversion to invoicing is mixed — management expects visibility to improve but conversion is not immediate.
Company Guidance
Guidance from the call highlighted that AFRY expects total restructuring costs to land at the upper end of its SEK 200–300m guidance (Q4 restructuring SEK 161m; total to date SEK 192m; two quarters remaining), with run‑rate savings largely personnel‑related and an expected ~12‑month payback; the company estimates the 2026 calendar will have a small positive effect on EBITA (notably in Q4 2026) after a SEK 128m negative calendar effect in 2025, and cited full‑year 2025 currency/calendar headwinds of ~SEK 700m on net sales and ~SEK 190m on EBITA (Q4 currency impact ~SEK 20m on EBITA); reported operating metrics: Q4 net sales SEK 6.6bn, EBITA excl. IAC SEK 577m (EBITA margin 8.7% vs 8.3% LY), rolling 12‑month net sales SEK 25.8bn and EBITA just under SEK 1.9bn, order backlog SEK 20.4bn (currency‑adjusted +5.4% y/y), Q4 utilization 72.8% (+0.5 pp y/y) with a 2028 target of 74% full‑year utilization (~+2 pp from mid‑2025), and a strong balance sheet (available liquidity SEK 4.4bn, net debt <SEK 4bn, leverage 2.5x) while the Board proposes an unchanged dividend of SEK 6 per share.

AFRY AB Class B Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash generation is a key strength with consistently positive and improving free cash flow, and leverage is described as manageable. Offsetting this, revenue and net income weakened in 2025, ROE softened, and gross margin volatility reduces confidence in earnings consistency.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Revenue has been broadly stable but is losing momentum (near-flat in 2024 and down in 2025), which is a near-term headwind. Profitability is moderate for the sector with EBIT and EBITDA margins generally in the mid-to-high single digits, but net profit has declined versus 2024 (lower net margin). A key concern is the large year-to-year volatility in reported gross margin, which reduces confidence in earnings quality/consistency even though operating margins look steadier.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Leverage looks manageable with debt-to-equity consistently around the mid-0.5x to ~0.7x range, suggesting no outsized balance-sheet strain. Equity has remained sizable and relatively stable, supporting resilience. Returns on equity have been decent but have softened in 2025 versus prior years, indicating weaker profitability translating to lower shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash generation is a relative strength: free cash flow has been positive every year provided and improved again in 2025, and free cash flow is close to net income, suggesting earnings are broadly cash-backed. Operating and free cash flow rebounded strongly after a weaker 2022, although cash flow growth has been volatile year-to-year, which introduces some planning risk.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue25.76B27.16B26.98B23.55B20.10B
Gross Profit1.65B21.46B5.08B18.66B16.19B
EBITDA2.50B2.92B2.79B2.26B2.37B
Net Income800.00M1.23B1.10B974.00M1.13B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets27.04B28.30B28.17B28.00B25.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.38B1.27B1.17B1.09B2.11B
Total Debt7.49B7.25B7.86B7.80B7.65B
Total Liabilities14.36B15.15B15.72B15.82B14.92B
Stockholders Equity12.68B13.13B12.45B12.18B10.99B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.13B1.86B1.62B891.00M1.38B
Operating Cash Flow2.22B1.99B1.79B1.04B1.50B
Investing Cash Flow-329.00M-383.00M-756.00M-873.00M-1.21B
Financing Cash Flow-1.68B-1.47B-942.00M-1.01B-12.00M

AFRY AB Class B Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price135.10
Price Trends
50DMA
143.03
Negative
100DMA
151.84
Negative
200DMA
154.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.61
Negative
RSI
47.14
Neutral
STOCH
70.98
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:AFRY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 135.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 134.32, below the 50-day MA of 143.03, and below the 200-day MA of 154.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SE:AFRY.

AFRY AB Class B Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
kr114.40B20.1210.45%3.18%6.02%26.26%
65
Neutral
kr52.10B23.4118.65%2.20%2.79%14.00%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
kr31.33B22.4110.55%3.26%-4.93%10.91%
59
Neutral
kr15.21B19.136.97%4.09%-3.73%-22.34%
57
Neutral
kr21.52B17.484.22%-4.21%10.63%
54
Neutral
kr19.59B151.8020.30%4.17%5.68%27.52%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:AFRY
AFRY AB Class B
135.10
-45.76
-25.30%
SE:NCC.B
NCC AB
220.40
33.68
18.04%
SE:PEAB.B
Peab AB
106.20
27.14
34.33%
SE:SKA.B
Skanska AB
278.00
34.26
14.06%
SE:SWEC.B
Sweco AB
144.60
-37.65
-20.66%
SE:BRAV
Bravida Holding AB
105.20
16.47
18.57%

AFRY AB Class B Corporate Events

AFRY Holds Dividend Steady Despite Lower 2025 Sales and Earnings
Feb 5, 2026

AFRY AB reported weaker financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, with net sales falling 6.2% in the quarter and 5.2% for the year, and negative organic growth after calendar adjustments. Profitability softened year-on-year, as EBITA and earnings per share declined, although the EBITA margin excluding items affecting comparability improved slightly in the fourth quarter, indicating some efficiency gains from ongoing efforts to focus, simplify and harmonise the business. Despite lower earnings, the Board proposes maintaining the dividend at SEK 6.00 per share, signalling confidence in the company’s financial resilience and its long-term strategy to improve operations in a challenging market environment.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:AFRY) stock is a Hold with a SEK153.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AFRY AB Class B stock, see the SE:AFRY Stock Forecast page.

AFRY to Present 2025 Year-End Results on 5 February 2026
Jan 22, 2026

AFRY has announced that it will present its year-end report for 2025 on Thursday, 5 February 2026 at 10:00 CET, led by President and CEO Linda Pålsson and CFO Bo Sandström, with the report itself to be published earlier that morning. Investors, analysts and media can follow the event live via a Teams meeting, which allows questions during a Q&A session, or via a YouTube webcast, and all related materials and the recorded presentation will be made available afterward on the company’s investor relations website, underscoring AFRY’s continued emphasis on transparency and proactive engagement with the financial market.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:AFRY) stock is a Hold with a SEK168.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AFRY AB Class B stock, see the SE:AFRY Stock Forecast page.

AFRY Appoints Richard Beard as EVP of Transportation & Places
Dec 17, 2025

AFRY has appointed Richard Beard as the new Executive Vice President and Head of the Global Division Transportation & Places, effective January 19, 2026. Richard Beard brings over 35 years of leadership experience in consulting and engineering, with a strong background in strategic business development and transformational change. His appointment is expected to drive growth and enhance collaboration within the division, benefiting AFRY’s operations and stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:AFRY) stock is a Hold with a SEK168.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AFRY AB Class B stock, see the SE:AFRY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026