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Dustin Group AB (SE:DUST)
:DUST
Sweden Market

Dustin Group AB (DUST) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:DUST

Dustin Group AB

(DUST)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
kr1.50
â–¼(-19.35% Downside)
Action:UpgradedDate:01/27/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance, with substantial recent losses and thin margins despite improved cash flow and manageable leverage. Earnings-call results show a notable operational and cash-flow recovery, but risks to margins and demand (price pressure and component shortages) temper the outlook. Technicals are neutral and valuation is unattractive due to loss-driven negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Operating cash flow recovery
A large swing to positive operating cash flow reflects material working-capital and inventory actions, giving Dustin durable internal funding for capex, restructuring and buybacks. Sustained cash generation reduces refinancing risk and funds margin-improving investments without relying on external capital.
Leverage reduction
A meaningful drop in leverage improves balance-sheet flexibility and lowers vulnerability to interest or revenue shocks. With debt-to-equity moderate per filings, the company gains room to invest in services, pursue contract renewals and absorb cyclical hardware volatility without immediate capital raises.
Operational profitability improvement
Material adjusted EBITA improvement shows operational leverage from higher volumes and efficiency programs. If sustained, this indicates the business can restore operating margins through cost discipline and scale in B2B services, supporting longer-term profitability even in hardware-led markets.
Negative Factors
Thin and declining gross margin
Low gross margins are structural for a reseller model and the recent decline signals vulnerability to product mix shifts and lower-margin public-sector growth. Persistently thin gross margins constrain operating-profitability upside and limit returns on capital deployed in the business.
Memory component shortage risk
A severe component shortage poses a structural supply-chain risk for a hardware reseller: sharply higher input costs and constrained volumes can compress margins, disrupt framework contracts and erode customer trust, making revenue and margin recovery harder to sustain over several quarters.
Price pressure & contract margin weakness
Persistent competitive price pressure in key geographies and lower-margin framework agreements create structural earnings headwinds. Coupled with SMB volume softness, this reduces pricing power and makes margin recovery dependent on mix shifts to higher‑value services rather than product sales alone.

Dustin Group AB (DUST) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Dustin Group AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDustin Group AB (publ) offers online IT products and services in the Nordic region and the Netherlands. It operates through three segments: Small and Medium-sized Businesses, Large Corporate and Public Sector, and Business to Consumer. It sells hardware, software, and related services and solutions. The company act as a strategic IT partner primarily for small and medium-sized, and large-sized businesses, as well as the public sector and consumers. Dustin Group AB (publ) was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Nacka Strand, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyDustin Group AB generates revenue through the sale of IT products and related services. Its primary revenue streams include the direct sales of hardware and software products, such as computers, peripherals, and software licenses, to businesses and public sector clients. The company also earns from providing IT services, including consulting, installation, maintenance, and managed services that support and optimize client IT infrastructure. Strategic partnerships with major IT manufacturers and distributors enhance its product offerings and competitive positioning, contributing significantly to its earnings. Additionally, Dustin Group's e-commerce platform facilitates efficient product distribution, expanding its market reach and streamlining sales processes.

Dustin Group AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 14, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 15, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call showed solid operational recovery: double-digit organic growth (18%), marked adjusted EBITA improvement (SEK 21m to SEK 83m), a strong cash-flow swing to SEK 381m and a meaningful leverage reduction (5.2x to 3.1x). These positives were tempered by a decline in gross margin (13.1% vs 14.3%), persistent price pressure in the Netherlands, SMB revenue decline and an announced risk of memory component shortages in 2026. Management emphasized proactive mitigation, a focus on B2B, standardized services and continued efficiency actions.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Organic Net Sales Growth
Organic net sales grew 18% in Q1 FY2026. Management noted that ~8 percentage points of the growth were attributable to a weak comparative quarter, while strong LCP performance (including public sector demand) contributed meaningfully to the increase.
LCP Segment Outperformance
LCP sales reached SEK 4.0 billion, up 24% vs. last year with organic growth of 28%. Segment result improved to SEK 70 million from SEK 11 million a year ago, and segment margin rose to 1.7% from 0.3%.
Significant Adjusted EBITA Improvement
Adjusted EBITA increased from SEK 21 million to SEK 83 million year-over-year. Adjusted EBITA margin improved to 1.5% from 0.4%, driven by efficiency measures, higher volumes and a weak comparison quarter.
Major Operating Cash Flow Turnaround
Cash flow from operating activities was SEK 381 million versus a negative SEK 42 million a year earlier, driven primarily by a SEK 373 million positive change in net working capital and targeted cash actions.
Leverage Reduction
Net debt to EBITDA fell to 3.1x from 5.2x year-over-year (and 4.3x in Q4), an improvement driven by operational results, net working capital improvement and a small definition update to net debt.
Net Working Capital and Inventory Improvements
Net working capital improved to SEK 139 million from SEK 267 million last year and SEK 477 million in Q4. Inventory reduction accounted for close to SEK 300 million of the improvement.
SMB Segment Profitability Resilience
SMB sales were SEK 1.5 billion (5% below last year; -3% organically), yet segment result increased to SEK 53 million from SEK 50 million and margin improved to 3.6% from 3.2%, supported by price discipline and cost savings.
Sustainability Target Update
Dustin updated its sustainability targets and the revised climate targets have been approved by the Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi), aligning with customer needs and latest research.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin decreased to 13.1% from 14.3% year-over-year (down 1.2 percentage points). Management cited strong public sector growth (lower-margin), a high share of PC sales and price pressure in the Netherlands as drivers.
Price Pressure in the Netherlands
Continued intense price pressure in the Dutch market and specific framework agreements negatively impacted margins; management flagged ongoing work but gave no timing for stabilization.
SMB Revenue Decline
SMB sales fell 5% year-over-year (3% organically excluding FX). Reduced software & services mix (down to 10.7% from 12.4%) and the strategic exit from B2C (approx. 2% of group) contributed to lower volumes.
Foreign Exchange Headwinds
A strengthened SEK had a notable negative ForEx impact, cited as a headwind on reported growth and results across segments.
Memory Component Shortage Risk
Management warned of an expected memory component shortage in 2026 (prices rising ~3–4x in the market), which could increase device prices and reduce volumes; timing and full effect remain uncertain.
Geographic and Contract Margin Pressure
Benelux and some larger contracts exhibited lower margins; Finland was described as more challenging versus other Nordic markets, creating pockets of underperformance.
One-off and Legal Costs
Non-recurring items of about SEK 37 million were reported (severance and a civil case). Management did not provide guidance on future non-recurring costs.
Central Cost and Amortization Clarifications
Group central costs were around SEK 41 million in the quarter (noted as the current run rate). Amortization decreased to SEK 39 million from SEK 63 million last year, with prior-year one-offs affecting comparatives.
Company Guidance
Management's stance was cautious rather than prescriptive: they expect continued market uncertainty in 2026 and warn an anticipated memory‑component shortage could hurt volumes and pricing, so the company is taking a prudent, proactive approach—working closely with customers and partners—and declined to give specific timing for margin recovery in the Netherlands or SMB. For context, Q1 showed organic net sales +18%, LCP sales SEK 4.0bn (+24%, organic +28%) and SMB sales SEK 1.5bn (−5%, organic −3%), gross margin 13.1% (vs 14.3% LY), adjusted EBITA SEK 83m (margin 1.5% vs 0.4% LY), operating cash flow SEK 381m (vs −42m LY) and period cash flow +SEK 289m (vs −149m LY), net working capital SEK 139m (target ~−SEK100m) after ~SEK 300m inventory reduction, CapEx SEK 46m, and leverage (net debt/EBITDA) down to 3.1x (from 5.2x) including a c.0.2 benefit from an updated net‑debt definition; they also noted updated, SBTi‑approved climate targets.

Dustin Group AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability is the key weakness: TTM net income is deeply negative (−2.58B) with a −12.9% net margin and thin gross margin (~13.6%). Offsetting this, leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity ~0.56) and TTM cash generation improved with positive operating cash flow (349M) and free cash flow (254M), though cash flow momentum is volatile.
Income Statement
28
Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue grew (+3.5%), but profitability deteriorated sharply: net income is deeply negative (-2.58B) with a -12.9% net margin. Gross margin remains thin (~13.6%), and operating profitability looks pressured, with EBIT and EBITDA margins very low in TTM. The company has moved from modest profitability in 2022–2024 to significant losses in the latest period, which weighs heavily on the income statement quality.
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Leverage appears moderate in TTM with debt-to-equity around 0.56 and equity of ~5.46B against total assets of ~13.59B, suggesting the balance sheet is not excessively debt-loaded today. However, returns to shareholders are very weak (TTM return on equity is strongly negative), reflecting the recent loss-making profile. Prior years also showed periods of higher leverage (debt-to-equity above 1.0 in 2022–2023), highlighting some historical balance-sheet risk.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Cash generation improved in TTM with positive operating cash flow (349M) and positive free cash flow (254M), a meaningful rebound versus the latest annual period where both were negative. That said, free cash flow growth is sharply negative in TTM, indicating volatility and weaker momentum. With net income deeply negative, the positive free cash flow is a relative strength but also underscores a gap between reported earnings and cash results that investors will want to monitor.
BreakdownTTMAug 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Aug 2022Aug 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.11B20.41B21.48B23.58B23.60B15.88B
Gross Profit2.81B2.77B3.21B3.41B3.46B2.48B
EBITDA341.00M2.83B762.70M894.40M1.17B898.60M
Net Income-2.58B-2.63B53.00M173.90M477.70M357.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.59B13.40B15.82B16.13B15.85B14.32B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments970.00M676.00M883.90M1.11B766.80M847.40M
Total Debt2.99B3.07B4.19B5.90B5.28B5.06B
Total Liabilities8.12B7.90B8.81B10.74B10.77B9.64B
Stockholders Equity5.46B5.51B7.01B5.39B5.08B4.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow254.00M-87.00M-97.90M379.10M393.40M83.60M
Operating Cash Flow349.00M-74.00M147.10M619.20M584.30M168.60M
Investing Cash Flow-165.00M-169.00M-244.30M-240.10M-211.60M-3.17B
Financing Cash Flow32.00M21.00M-148.90M26.70M-434.60M3.10B

Dustin Group AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.86
Price Trends
50DMA
1.70
Negative
100DMA
1.79
Negative
200DMA
1.80
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
32.68
Neutral
STOCH
16.99
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:DUST, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.57, above the 50-day MA of 1.70, and above the 200-day MA of 1.80, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.99 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:DUST.

Dustin Group AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
kr1.53B20.3915.90%1.13%10.92%-2.56%
62
Neutral
kr2.71B50.9614.35%2.13%-4.36%-31.55%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
kr1.08B17.3627.44%6.29%4.00%-12.08%
58
Neutral
kr3.02B-2.352.38%2.03%-9.85%-38.24%
50
Neutral
kr1.97B-22.97――-5.00%-1757.14%
43
Neutral
kr300.23M35.361.19%―13.21%-97.19%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:DUST
Dustin Group AB
1.47
-0.79
-35.04%
SE:SOF.B
Softronic AB Class B
21.25
-0.39
-1.81%
SE:B3
B3 Consulting Group AB
36.25
-25.05
-40.86%
SE:EXS
Exsitec Holding AB
112.50
-3.78
-3.25%
SE:KNOW
Knowit AB
110.80
-48.04
-30.24%
SE:PACT
Proact IT Group AB
102.60
-14.47
-12.36%

Dustin Group AB Corporate Events

Dustin reshapes management to boost regional sales focus and IT transformation
Feb 19, 2026

Dustin Group is sharpening its regional structure and technology leadership as it pursues higher sales and closer customer relationships in its core Nordic and Benelux markets. The company, a major online IT solutions provider with a strong corporate focus, aims to leverage its extensive product portfolio and services to keep clients at the forefront of digitalisation.

The group is splitting responsibility for relationship sales between the Nordic region and Benelux, with current EVP Relation Sales Pontus Cederberg assuming the new role of EVP Relation Sales Nordic while recruitment for an EVP Relation Sales Benelux is underway. At the same time, Dustin has appointed former Nuuday CTO Monika Gullin as Chief Technology Officer and member of the management team from 13 April 2026, moves CEO Samuel Skott says are designed to accelerate IT modernisation, boost customer value and drive further efficiency across the organisation.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:DUST) stock is a Hold with a SEK1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dustin Group AB stock, see the SE:DUST Stock Forecast page.

Dustin Delivers Strong Organic Growth and Cuts Leverage Despite Ongoing Market Uncertainty
Jan 14, 2026

Dustin Group reported a strong rebound in the first quarter of 2025/26 with net sales rising to SEK 5.49 billion from SEK 4.78 billion, driven by 18.1% organic growth, notably a 28.4% surge in its Large Corporate/Public segment, while SMB sales declined slightly. Profitability improved as adjusted EBITA climbed to SEK 83 million and cash flow from operating activities swung to SEK 381 million, although gross margin narrowed and the company still posted a net loss of SEK 26 million. Leverage decreased significantly, with net debt to adjusted EBITDA falling to around 3.1 times, signalling improved balance-sheet strength and financial flexibility despite a continued uncertain market environment.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:DUST) stock is a Hold with a SEK1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dustin Group AB stock, see the SE:DUST Stock Forecast page.

Dustin to Present First-Quarter 2025/26 Interim Report on 14 January
Dec 22, 2025

Dustin Group has scheduled a conference call and webcast on 14 January at 09:00 CET for investors, analysts and media to present and discuss its interim report for the first quarter of the 2025/26 financial year. CEO Samuel Skott and CFO Julia Lagerqvist will lead the English-language presentation, which will follow the publication of the interim report at 08:00 CET the same morning, with supporting materials made available on the company’s investor website and options for participants to join either via webcast or teleconference for a live Q&A, underscoring the group’s ongoing efforts to maintain transparent communication with the capital markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:DUST) stock is a Hold with a SEK1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dustin Group AB stock, see the SE:DUST Stock Forecast page.

Dustin Group AB’s AGM 2024/25: Strategic Resolutions and Leadership Updates
Dec 11, 2025

Dustin Group AB’s Annual General Meeting for 2024/25 saw the re-election of several board members and the election of Carl Mellander as a new board member, with Tomas Franzén appointed as Chair. The AGM approved the annual report, decided against dividend payments, and discharged the board and CEO from liability for the financial year. Key resolutions included the approval of a long-term performance share plan and a warrant program for 2026, aimed at incentivizing the executive management and CEO. These decisions reflect Dustin’s strategic focus on enhancing shareholder value and aligning management incentives with company performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:DUST) stock is a Hold with a SEK1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dustin Group AB stock, see the SE:DUST Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 27, 2026