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Dometic Group AB (SE:DOM)
:DOM

Dometic Group AB (DOM) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:DOM

Dometic Group AB

(DOM)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
kr40.00
▼(-16.98% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/30/26
The score reflects mixed financial quality (solid free cash flow and manageable leverage, but declining revenue and volatile earnings) and weak technicals (price below all major moving averages with bearish momentum). Valuation is only modestly supportive due to a relatively high P/E despite a mid-level dividend yield, while the latest earnings call points to a gradual 2026 recovery tempered by FX/tariff risks and still-soft demand.
Positive Factors
Diversified product portfolio and OEM/distributor channels
Dometic's broad product set across RV, marine and vehicle segments and entrenched OEM and distributor relationships create durable revenue channels. This diversification reduces reliance on any single market, supports cross-selling and aids resilience through business cycles over the next 2–6 months.
Consistent free cash flow generation
Sustained positive free cash flow even in a weak earnings year demonstrates strong cash conversion and operational cash resilience. This provides the company flexibility to fund restructuring, repay debt, support working-capital programs and maintain strategic investments without immediate external financing.
Restructuring and working-capital progress
Management has delivered meaningful cost and inventory actions—site closures, headcount reductions and inventory cut to SEK4.8bn—improving margins and cash flow. These structural efficiency gains should persist into 2026, supporting margin sustainability and deleveraging objectives.
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue decline and earnings volatility
A persistent revenue downtrend and uneven profitability reduce operating leverage and pricing power. Shrinking top line constrains the ability to absorb fixed costs, increases break-even risk and makes a durable recovery dependent on sustained demand improvement, not just one-time fixes.
Weakened equity base and elevated leverage
Declining equity reduces the balance-sheet cushion versus cyclical shocks, and higher net leverage (3.3x reported) leaves less flexibility for capex or M&A. While manageable for now, a smaller equity base heightens risk if demand or margins deteriorate further.
Material FX, tariff and labor exposures
Significant currency sensitivity and tariff/labor cost pressures are structural risks for an international manufacturer. Volatile FX and trade policy can materially swing margins and cash flow; pricing mitigates some impact but risks depressing volumes and creates ongoing earnings unpredictability.

Dometic Group AB (DOM) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Dometic Group AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDometic Group AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, provides solutions for mobile living in the areas of food and beverage, climate, power and control, safety and security, and hygiene and sanitation in the Americas, Germany, Australia, the United Kingdom, France, Italy, Sweden, the Netherlands, Canada, and internationally. The company offers climate control products, such as air conditioners, awnings, blinds, windows and doors, ventilation products, heaters, furnaces, and patio rooms and tents; food and beverage products, including refrigerators, cool boxes, cooking products, and accessories; and safety and security products comprising carbon monoxide detectors, security locks, safety handrails, safes, alarm systems, and gas detectors, as well as driving support accessories. It also provides power and control solutions, which include energy and lighting, marine control, and marine steering systems products, and control devices, as well as related accessories; and hygiene and sanitation products, such as toilets, pumps, hoses, bio-degradable cleaners, and smart electronic controls, as well as related accessories. In addition, the company offers vessel controls, and fuel and system integration systems to the leisure marine industry; and marine blinds, screens, and soft furnishings for the leisure marine and yacht segments. Dometic Group AB (publ) provides its products for use in recreational vehicles, pleasure boats, workboats, trucks, cars, and others. The company was founded in 1922 and is headquartered in Solna, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyDometic Group AB generates revenue primarily through the sale of its extensive range of products and solutions for mobile living. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of climate control products, such as air conditioners and heating systems, as well as refrigeration and cooking appliances for RVs and marine applications. Additionally, Dometic earns income from providing sanitation solutions and accessories for outdoor living. The company's strong market presence is bolstered by strategic partnerships with original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and distributors, which enhances its distribution channels and product visibility. Factors such as an increasing trend in outdoor recreational activities and a growing global interest in mobile living solutions significantly contribute to Dometic's earnings, alongside ongoing innovation in product development that meets evolving consumer demands.

Dometic Group AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 28, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call conveyed a mixed outlook: the company is showing concrete operational progress (improving gross margins, restructuring savings, inventory reduction, solid full-year cash generation and select segment margin improvements) and management expressed confidence in returning to growth in 2026. However, meaningful near-term headwinds persist — continued negative organic growth, significant FX and tariff/labor cost impacts (notably in Mobile Cooling), a weak Q4 with negative adjusted EPS, higher short-term cash out for restructuring and a modest increase in leverage. Management is optimistic but cautious, expecting low-to-mid single-digit growth next year and further working-capital improvements.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Gross Margin and Cost Control
Gross margin improved to 28.7% from 26.8% year-over-year; restructuring and efficiency actions driving underlying margin improvement despite lower sales.
Restructuring Program Progress
Program running ahead of expectations with SEK 350 million running-rate savings achieved vs SEK 750 million target by end-2026; ~300 employees impacted, 1 manufacturing site and 5 distribution centers closed; cash out ~SEK 270 million to date (SEK ~200m+ for the year).
Full-Year Profitability and Cash Generation
Full-year net sales ~SEK 21 billion with EBITA above SEK 2.2 billion (EBITA margin 10.6% vs 10.8% prior year) and free cash flow above SEK 1.4 billion.
Segment Margin Improvements
Land Vehicles EBITA improved to SEK 66 million (from SEK 23 million year-ago) with a 3.6% margin; Global Ventures EBITA increased to SEK 28 million (from SEK 24 million) and margin improved to 7.1%; Marine maintained a high EBITA level (~SEK 200 million) and defended margins despite lower sales.
Mobile Cooling: Return to Growth
Mobile Cooling returned to organic growth in Q4 with a strong recovery in North America; pricing measures implemented to address tariffs and higher labor (price increases effective from Jan 1).
Working Capital and Inventory Reductions
Inventory reduced to SEK 4.8 billion from SEK 6.5 billion year-over-year; days of inventory down to 119 from 138; working capital LTM 25% of net sales (quarter 23%), moving toward 20% target.
Debt Management Actions
Repaid USD 229 million loan in Q4; extended a USD 233 million term loan to 2029; average debt maturity 2.7 years; clear plan to repay remaining 2026 eurobond using cash on hand.
Sustainability and Innovation Progress
Female managers up to an all-time high 31%; renewable energy operations 37% (beating targets); innovation index increased to 23% from 21%; workplace injuries reduced to near all-time low.
Strong Full-Year Adjusted Earnings
Full-year adjusted EPS of SEK 2.52 and reported EPS of SEK 1.34, demonstrating underlying profitability despite volume declines.
Cash Recovery Programs
Receivables program expected to free up SEK 300–400 million by end-2026; management expects further working capital improvements and continued free cash flow generation in 2026 (albeit somewhat below 2025).
Negative Updates
Continued Negative Organic Growth
Q4 organic growth -3% and full-year organic growth -8%; several segments (Land Vehicles -4% in Q4, Marine -3%, Global Ventures -3%) and Americas exposure showing double-digit declines in some areas (LV Americas -10%, LV APAC -10%).
Quarterly Profitability Pressure and EPS Loss
Q4 EBITA margin fell to 6.0% from 7.3% last year; reported Q4 EPS -SEK 0.67 and adjusted Q4 EPS -SEK 0.39, reflecting quarter weakness.
Material Currency Headwinds
FX had a significant negative impact in Q4 (~2.1 percentage points on EBITA margin) with full-year FX drag ~0.4 percentage points; management warned of potential further dollar/euro volatility and estimated a 5–7% dollar movement could change EBITA by ~SEK 47 million on a full-year basis.
Mobile Cooling Margin Drag
Loss of SEK 63 million duty-drawback one-time benefit from prior year and SEK 30 million negative effect from tariff/labor cost increases and inefficiencies (about 250 new hires added) impacted Mobile Cooling margins in Q4.
Lower Q4 Free Cash Flow and Restructuring Cash Out
Q4 free cash flow only SEK 20 million (down vs prior year) influenced by currency effects (~SEK 250 million impact noted), inventory build for seasonality, later invoicing and SEK ~103 million cash-out for restructuring in the quarter.
Leverage Increased
Net leverage ended at 3.3x vs 3.1x prior year; management target remains ~2.5x and expects reduction in 2026 but acknowledged leverage has ticked up due to lower EBITA.
Market and Demand Uncertainty
Management described consumer confidence and retailer/dealer inventory rebuilding as cautious; OEM channel share down to 39% (from 62% in 2018) and dealer hesitancy causes slower conversion of improved order intake into sales.
Legal and Macro Risks
Igloo court case proceeding to trial (provision in place but legal outcome could be lengthy); potential unspecified tariff policy changes (comment on possible 100% tariffs) and geopolitical risks could negatively affect demand or costs.
Guidance and Cash Flow Caution
Management expects 2026 free cash flow likely slightly below 2025 level and only low- to mid-single-digit revenue growth in the base case, so near-term financial recovery is cautious rather than robust.
Higher Financial Expenses Short-Term
Net interest expense elevated in short term due to temporarily higher debt levels; tax rate impacted by nondeductible interest and a Q4 provision for ongoing audits.
Company Guidance
Management guided to deliver low‑to‑mid single‑digit growth in 2026, with free cash flow expected slightly below 2025’s >SEK1.4bn and a meaningful reduction in leverage from 3.3x (Q4) toward their ~2.5x target (CFO indicated a push toward ~2.0–2.5x); they expect to offset Mobile Cooling tariff/labor headwinds (SEK30m impact in Q4) via price increases effective Jan‑1 (last year’s SEK63m duty‑drawback was non‑recurring). FX is a key risk (a ±5% USD move ≈ SEK47m EBITA, EUR ±5% ≈ SEK37m); Q4 FX cost was ~2.1 percentage points on EBITA margin (full‑year FX ~0.4 pp) and management flagged a possible USD move of -5–7% and EUR -3% into Q1. Working capital is expected to improve toward a 20% net‑sales target (LTM 25% at Q4, quarter 23%; inventory SEK4.8bn vs SEK6.5bn LY; days of inventory 119 vs 138) with an accounts‑receivable program expected to free up ~SEK300–400m by end‑2026. The restructuring program targets SEK750m run‑rate savings by end‑2026 (SEK350m achieved to Dec; ~SEK270m cash‑out to date, ~SEK400m total cash‑out expected), and net financial expense should ease after planned bond repayment in May (current financial net >SEK200m, expected toward ~SEK180m).

Dometic Group AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: multi-year revenue decline and volatile profitability (large loss in 2024, small profit in 2025) weigh on the score. Offsetting this, leverage is described as manageable and free cash flow remained positive (1.75B in 2025), though both equity and cash flow have stepped down from prior peaks.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Revenue has been declining for several years (down again in 2025 and 2024), and profitability has been volatile. After solid profits in 2021–2023, 2024 swung to a large loss, while 2025 returned to a small profit but with low earnings power (net income of 428M on 21.0B revenue). A positive is that operating profit (EBIT) rebounded in 2025 versus the 2024 loss, but the overall trajectory shows weakening scale and inconsistent bottom-line performance.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Leverage looks manageable for an industrial/leisure products business: debt-to-equity was ~0.69–0.71 in 2023–2024, and equity remains substantial (20.9B in 2025). However, the balance sheet has weakened at the margin, with equity down from 25.5B (2024) to 20.9B (2025) and assets also lower, which reduces cushion if operating conditions soften. Overall solvency appears acceptable, but the declining equity base is a key watch item.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash generation is a relative strength: the company remained free-cash-flow positive across the period, including 2025 (1.75B) despite weaker earnings. That said, cash flow has cooled meaningfully from 2023–2024 levels (free cash flow down ~34% in 2025 and down ~17% in 2024), signaling pressure on underlying operating momentum and/or working-capital/timing benefits reversing. Still, the ability to produce solid cash in a difficult profit year supports the score.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.04B24.62B27.77B29.76B21.52B
Gross Profit5.61B6.82B7.10B7.88B6.36B
EBITDA3.22B2.54B4.41B4.53B3.72B
Net Income428.00M-2.30B1.33B1.78B1.73B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets45.81B52.82B54.12B57.45B52.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.86B4.21B4.35B4.40B4.41B
Total Debt17.90B17.62B18.44B19.73B17.21B
Total Liabilities24.88B27.36B28.13B31.04B29.58B
Stockholders Equity20.93B25.46B25.99B26.41B22.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.75B3.49B4.23B1.28B740.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.11B3.87B4.85B1.87B1.15B
Investing Cash Flow-331.00M-519.00M-1.17B-1.43B-8.76B
Financing Cash Flow-369.00M-3.54B-3.69B-570.00M4.03B

Dometic Group AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price48.18
Price Trends
50DMA
43.91
Negative
100DMA
44.88
Negative
200DMA
45.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.42
Positive
RSI
33.28
Neutral
STOCH
11.50
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:DOM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 48.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.70, above the 50-day MA of 43.91, and above the 200-day MA of 45.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.50 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:DOM.

Dometic Group AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
kr25.28B22.6814.62%3.54%8.93%-12.56%
55
Neutral
kr12.06B28.192.85%-13.49%60.49%
54
Neutral
kr6.30B116.832.04%6.24%-2.98%-30.48%
53
Neutral
kr18.37B29.4621.87%5.28%1.45%34.85%
52
Neutral
kr13.67B17.4512.33%3.12%2.80%-8.84%
47
Neutral
kr20.65B23.536.30%0.24%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:DOM
Dometic Group AB
37.76
-10.88
-22.37%
SE:THULE
Thule Group AB
234.40
-96.07
-29.07%
SE:FOI.B
Fenix Outdoor International AG
468.50
-147.31
-23.92%
SE:ELUX.B
Electrolux AB
76.38
-15.00
-16.41%
SE:NEWA.B
New Wave Group AB Class B
103.00
-2.13
-2.03%
SE:SHOT
Scandic Hotels Group AB
85.40
2.83
3.43%

Dometic Group AB Corporate Events

Dometic Holds Margins as Q4 Sales Fall in Tough Market
Jan 28, 2026

Dometic reported a weak fourth quarter in 2025, with net sales down 15% to SEK 4,058 million, driven mainly by adverse currency effects and a modest 3% organic decline, while EBITA margin held at 6.0% and underlying profitability improved thanks to restructuring‑driven efficiency gains and a stronger gross margin. Despite lower quarterly cash flow, higher leverage and a net loss for the period, management highlighted resilient full‑year margins, solid annual free cash flow used to reduce net debt, early signs of demand stabilization across channels, and a proposed reduced dividend of SEK 1.00 per share paid in two installments, as the company pushes ahead with cost cuts, new product launches and its global restructuring program to strengthen its position in the mobile living market.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:DOM) stock is a Hold with a SEK48.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dometic Group AB stock, see the SE:DOM Stock Forecast page.

Dometic Sets 2026 Financial Reporting Calendar and AGM Date
Dec 22, 2025

Dometic Group AB has published its 2026 financial reporting calendar, setting out dates for its year-end 2025 report on January 28 and interim reports for the first, second and third quarters of 2026 on April 23, July 14 and October 22, respectively, while scheduling its Annual General Meeting in Stockholm for April 14. The timetable gives investors and other stakeholders clear visibility on upcoming disclosures and corporate governance events, supporting planning around the company’s financial communications in the year ahead.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:DOM) stock is a Hold with a SEK41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dometic Group AB stock, see the SE:DOM Stock Forecast page.

Dometic Group AB Announces CFO Departure
Oct 31, 2025

Dometic Group AB announced the departure of its Chief Financial Officer, Stefan Fristedt, who will leave for another position outside the company by the end of April 2026. Fristedt played a key role in strategic initiatives and the company’s growth, and the search for his successor has begun, indicating a significant transition phase for Dometic.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:DOM) stock is a Hold with a SEK49.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dometic Group AB stock, see the SE:DOM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026