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Thule Group AB (SE:THULE)
:THULE

Thule Group AB (THULE) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:THULE

Thule Group AB

(THULE)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
kr206.00
▼(-9.01% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is led by solid operating performance (revenue rebound and stronger gross margin) but is held back by a notable 2025 step-down in operating/free cash flow and higher leverage versus prior years. Technical signals are neutral-to-soft, while valuation is supported by a ~3.6% dividend yield despite a mid-range P/E.
Positive Factors
Strong brand & global distribution
Thule's well-established brand and broad global distribution create durable demand and channel diversity. Premium positioning and wide retailer/distributor reach support stable wholesale and growing DTC exposure, helping sustain volumes and pricing over multiple cycles.
Revenue rebound and improving gross margin
A 2025 revenue rebound with materially higher gross margin reflects improved pricing, mix, or cost control that supports operating profit durability. Sustained gross-margin recovery enhances cash generation potential and provides buffer against future cost or demand variability.
Accessory sales drive repeat purchases
Recurring accessory and replacement-part demand adds higher-frequency revenue streams and strengthens customer lifetime value. This product-ecosystem effect reduces dependence on one-off purchases, supports aftermarket margins, and enhances resilience in seasonal or cyclical downturns.
Negative Factors
Weakened cash generation
A sharp decline in operating and free cash flow indicates weaker cash conversion and possible working-capital or investment swings. Persistently lower cash generation reduces ability to fund capex, dividends, or strategic moves, and increases reliance on external financing over the medium term.
Rising leverage reduces flexibility
Higher leverage materially narrows financial flexibility and raises interest and refinancing exposure. Coupled with weaker cash flow, increased indebtedness constrains investment capacity and heightens downside risk during demand shocks or margin pressure in the next several quarters.
Earnings power below prior-cycle peaks
A marked decline in net margin versus earlier peaks suggests structural mix shifts or persistent expense pressure that depress long-term profitability. Lower earnings power limits internal capital formation, reducing ability to build buffers or fund growth initiatives without external financing.

Thule Group AB (THULE) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Thule Group AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThule Group AB (publ) operates as a sports and outdoor company. It offers roof racks; roof boxes; carriers for transporting bikes, water, and winter sports equipment and rooftop tents; awnings, bike carriers, and tents for RVs and caravans; bike trailers, child bike seats, and strollers; luggage, backpacks, and laptop and sport bags; and hiking backpacks, camera bags, and cases for consumer electronics. The company offers its products primarily under the Thule and Case Logic brands. It operates in Sweden, other Nordic countries, Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, other North America, Central/South America, the Asia/Pacific Rim, and internationally. Thule Group AB (publ) was founded in 1942 and is headquartered in Malmö, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyThule Group makes money primarily by selling branded physical products. Its core revenue stream comes from wholesale sales to retailers, distributors, and other channel partners that then sell Thule products to end consumers; in some markets it also generates revenue through direct-to-consumer sales via its own e-commerce and branded retail presence (where applicable). The company’s revenue is driven by volume and mix of products such as roof racks, roof boxes, bike carriers, and other gear-transport and protection solutions, typically priced at a premium due to brand positioning, design, safety, and compatibility with a wide range of vehicles and use-cases. Additional earnings are supported by accessory and replacement-part sales (e.g., fitting kits and add-ons that expand compatibility or functionality), which can create repeat purchases over time as consumers change vehicles or add new activities. Operationally, results are influenced by factors such as consumer demand for outdoor recreation and travel, retailer inventory cycles, seasonality (stronger demand in certain outdoor seasons), and product innovation/launch cadence that refreshes the assortment and sustains pricing.

Thule Group AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement is solid (revenue rebound and improving gross margin), but profitability remains below prior-cycle peaks. Balance sheet is manageable yet less conservative as leverage has risen. The main drag is 2025 cash-flow deterioration versus 2024, with weaker cash conversion and materially lower free cash flow.
Income Statement
73
Positive
Revenue rebounded in 2025 (+~9% vs. 2024) after a softer 2023, but the longer-term growth pattern is uneven. Profitability remains solid with gross margin improving to ~46% in 2025 (from ~43% in 2024 and ~41% in 2023), supporting healthy operating profit levels. The main weakness is earnings power trending below earlier peaks: net margin is down to ~10.7% in 2025 versus ~17.2% in 2021, signaling some mix/expense pressure despite the gross-margin recovery.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Leverage has moved higher over time, with debt-to-equity rising to ~0.59 in 2025 from ~0.32 in 2023 and ~0.21 in 2020, reducing balance-sheet flexibility. Equity remains sizable (7.2B in 2025), but it declined from 2024 (8.1B), and total assets also stepped down in 2025 vs. 2024. Overall, the balance sheet looks manageable but is less conservative than it was a few years ago.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash generation weakened meaningfully in 2025: operating cash flow fell to 1.13B from 2.31B in 2024, and free cash flow dropped to 0.78B from 2.05B (down ~32% per the provided growth figure). Cash conversion also deteriorated, with operating cash flow covering only ~0.75x of net income in 2025 (vs. ~1.37x in 2024) and free cash flow at ~0.69x of net income. Positively, 2023–2024 showed strong cash flow performance, but the 2025 step-down raises questions on working-capital/investment swings and sustainability.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.43B9.54B9.13B10.14B10.39B
Gross Profit4.79B4.07B3.74B3.86B4.16B
EBITDA1.64B1.89B1.84B1.93B2.50B
Net Income1.11B1.12B1.10B1.27B1.79B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.74B14.96B10.97B11.68B10.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments218.00M405.00M94.00M176.00M149.00M
Total Debt4.27B4.37B2.17B3.06B1.62B
Total Liabilities6.51B6.86B4.12B5.13B4.38B
Stockholders Equity7.23B8.10B6.85B6.55B5.82B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow784.00M2.05B1.60B172.00M621.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.13B2.31B1.85B616.00M1.13B
Investing Cash Flow-335.00M-3.10B-251.00M-464.00M-503.00M
Financing Cash Flow-965.00M1.10B-1.68B-136.00M-1.19B

Thule Group AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price226.40
Price Trends
50DMA
221.66
Negative
100DMA
232.54
Negative
200DMA
244.96
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.31
Positive
RSI
33.63
Neutral
STOCH
7.39
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:THULE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 226.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 216.26, above the 50-day MA of 221.66, and below the 200-day MA of 244.96, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.39 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:THULE.

Thule Group AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
kr23.49B9.4342.23%1.88%9.30%38.37%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
kr21.18B23.2114.62%3.54%8.93%-12.56%
59
Neutral
kr5.67B78.0223.68%1.85%23.02%32.69%
56
Neutral
kr7.77B34.982.85%-13.49%60.49%
54
Neutral
kr20.11B15.045.76%2.20%-1.74%-0.59%
48
Neutral
kr69.58M57.97-17.87%24.34%39.30%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:THULE
Thule Group AB
196.40
-113.05
-36.53%
SE:CLAS.B
Clas Ohlson AB
370.80
155.85
72.51%
SE:HUSQ.B
Husqvarna AB
35.14
-14.46
-29.15%
SE:DOM
Dometic Group AB
24.96
-21.30
-46.05%
SE:MIPS
MIPS AB
214.20
-186.08
-46.49%
SE:USWE
USWE Sports AB
9.75
0.85
9.55%

Thule Group AB Corporate Events

Thule Group Schedules Pre‑Q1 Investor Update Ahead of April Results
Mar 16, 2026

Thule Group, a global sports and outdoor equipment maker known for products ranging from roof racks and roof boxes to child transport solutions, RV accessories, and luggage, operates nine production facilities and 35 sales offices worldwide. The company serves 138 markets and reported sales of SEK 10.4 billion in 2025, reflecting its broad international footprint and focus on consumer-driven innovation and sustainable design.

Thule has invited investors to a pre‑Q1 conference call and web presentation on March 30, 2026, at 16:00 CEST, where CEO Mattias Ankarberg and CFO Toby Lawton will provide a brief business update before the closed period. The session, held in English and including a Q&A, aims to enhance transparency ahead of Q1 results due April 29, with presentation materials and a recording to be published on the company’s website the same day, offering stakeholders early insight into current performance trends.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:THULE) stock is a Hold with a SEK243.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thule Group AB stock, see the SE:THULE Stock Forecast page.

Thule Group Launches SEK 5 Billion MTN Programme to Diversify Funding
Feb 27, 2026

Thule Group AB has established a SEK 5 billion medium-term note program, allowing the company to issue unsecured bonds with maturities of at least one year and minimum denominations of EUR 100,000 or the equivalent in SEK. The base prospectus for the program has been approved by the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority, with Danske Bank acting as arranger and several Nordic banks serving as dealers.

Management describes the MTN program as a natural step in Thule’s financing strategy, aimed at increasing flexibility and diversifying its funding sources. This expanded access to the capital markets is intended to support sustainable long-term value creation, underpinning the company’s growth ambitions and strengthening its financial position in the competitive global sports and outdoor segment.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:THULE) stock is a Hold with a SEK243.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thule Group AB stock, see the SE:THULE Stock Forecast page.

Thule Group Nomination Committee Proposes Refreshed Board and Auditor Line-Up
Feb 18, 2026

Thule Group’s nomination committee has proposed a refreshed seven-member board ahead of the upcoming annual general meeting, responding to the decision by current directors Sarah McPhee and Anders Jensen not to stand for re-election. The committee recommends reappointing chair Hans Eckerström and four other incumbents, while adding seasoned executives Per-Arne Blomquist as vice chair and former Peak Performance CEO Sara Molnar to bolster financial, telecoms and consumer-brand expertise.

In line with the audit committee’s advice, the committee also proposes re-electing PricewaterhouseCoopers AB as the company’s auditor through 2027, with authorized public accountant Erik Bergh set to take over as auditor in charge. The moves signal Thule’s intent to strengthen governance and strategic capabilities as it pursues growth across its global markets and navigates evolving demands in the sports and outdoor equipment sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:THULE) stock is a Hold with a SEK270.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thule Group AB stock, see the SE:THULE Stock Forecast page.

Thule Group Lifts Sales and Margins on Acquisitions but Sees Cash Flow Decline in 2025
Feb 10, 2026

Thule Group reported a 9.4% rise in fourth-quarter net sales to SEK 1,835m, driven entirely by acquisitions amid flat organic growth and negative currency effects, while its gross margin strengthened to 44.9%. Operating income swung back to profit, net income turned positive, and the board proposed maintaining the dividend at SEK 8.30 per share, signaling confidence despite weaker operating cash flow.

For the full year 2025, net sales grew 9.3% to SEK 10,429m, largely supported by acquisitions, as organic sales slipped 1.3% and currency headwinds weighed on results. Profitability stayed solid with a 16.0% adjusted operating margin and only a slight dip in earnings per share, though cash flow from operations halved, highlighting the financial impact of expansion and restructuring in North America.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:THULE) stock is a Hold with a SEK232.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thule Group AB stock, see the SE:THULE Stock Forecast page.

Thule Group Sets February Date for Year-End 2025 Results and Investor Call
Jan 27, 2026

Thule Group will publish its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results on 10 February 2026 at 07:45 CET and will host a conference call and webcast at 10:00 CET the same day, where CEO and President Mattias Ankarberg and CFO Toby Lawton will present and comment on the figures in English, followed by a Q&A for participants on the call. The results presentation, along with a live webcast, subsequent recording and transcript, will be made available on the company’s website, underscoring Thule’s efforts to maintain transparency and active dialogue with investors and other stakeholders around its financial performance and strategic development in the global sports and outdoor market.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:THULE) stock is a Hold with a SEK239.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thule Group AB stock, see the SE:THULE Stock Forecast page.

Thule Group Schedules Pre–Q4 Investor Update Ahead of February Results
Jan 5, 2026

Thule Group, a global sports and outdoor equipment manufacturer known for its Sport & Cargo, Active with Kids & Dogs, RV Products and Bags & Mounts ranges, operates in 138 markets with around 2,800 employees and generated SEK 9.5 billion in sales in 2024. The company has invited investors to a pre–Q4 update conference call and web presentation on January 9, 2026, where CEO Mattias Ankarberg and CFO Toby Lawton will provide a brief business update and take questions ahead of the firm’s closed period, with materials and a recording to be made available on Thule’s website the same day, setting expectations in the run-up to the publication of its fourth-quarter and full-year results on February 10.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:THULE) stock is a Hold with a SEK260.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thule Group AB stock, see the SE:THULE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026