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Catena Media plc (SE:CTM)
:CTM
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Catena Media (CTM) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:CTM

Catena Media

(OTC:CTM)

Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
kr2.00
▼(-4.31% Downside)
Catena Media's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, characterized by declining revenues and persistent losses. While technical analysis shows some short-term bullish momentum, the long-term outlook remains bearish. The negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield further weigh down the stock's attractiveness. Improvements in cash flow provide a glimmer of hope, but significant strategic changes are needed to enhance financial health and investor confidence.

Catena Media (CTM) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Catena Media Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCatena Media (CTM) is a performance marketing company that specializes in online lead generation, primarily in the iGaming and financial services sectors. Founded in 2012 and headquartered in Malta, Catena Media operates a portfolio of websites that provide users with information, reviews, and comparisons related to online gambling, including sports betting, casinos, and poker. The company's core services include affiliate marketing, where it drives traffic to partner operators and earns commissions based on user actions.
How the Company Makes MoneyCatena Media generates revenue primarily through its affiliate marketing model. The company partners with online gambling operators and financial service providers, promoting their services on its websites. It earns commissions based on a variety of user actions, such as clicks, sign-ups, and deposits made by referred customers. Key revenue streams include cost-per-acquisition (CPA) and revenue share agreements, where Catena Media receives a percentage of the revenue generated by players it referred. Additionally, the company benefits from significant traffic and user engagement on its platforms, which enhances its attractiveness to partners. Strategic partnerships with leading operators in the iGaming industry also bolster its revenue potential, while ongoing investments in search engine optimization (SEO) and content marketing help to maintain and grow its market presence.

Catena Media Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted significant cost savings and improvements in adjusted EBITDA and debt reduction. However, these positive aspects were overshadowed by a substantial decline in revenue, particularly in the Sports segment, and a large noncash impairment charge. The company's strategy to reduce reliance on new state launches and focus on organic growth is a positive step, but the current financial challenges present a concerning outlook.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Cost Savings from Organizational Restructuring
The restructuring, including a reduction of 29 employees, will generate an annual cost saving of around EUR 2.2 million starting in Q4.
Adjusted EBITDA Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA improved 97% quarter-on-quarter with the margin improving from 5% in Q2 to 13% in Q3, peaking at 18% at the end of the quarter.
Debt Reduction
Net interest debt decreased year-over-year by 43% to EUR 14.6 million, and the company holds a net cash position of EUR 7.4 million when including future proceeds from divested assets.
Negative Updates
Significant Revenue Decline
Q3 revenue from continued operations was EUR 10.7 million, down 33% from the previous year, and North America Casino revenue decreased 12% year-on-year.
Sports Segment Underperformance
Sports revenue decreased to EUR 2.5 million versus EUR 5.7 million for Q3 2023, with NDCs decreasing by 57%.
Noncash Impairment Charge
A noncash impairment charge of EUR 40 million was related to a write-down in the book value of certain Sports and Casino assets.
Company Guidance
During Catena Media's Q3 2024 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance focusing on cost-saving measures, revenue trends, and strategic outlook. The executive team highlighted a new organizational structure that resulted in the layoff of 29 employees, saving EUR 2.2 million annually starting in Q4. The financial summary revealed a 33% decline in Q3 revenue from continued operations to EUR 10.7 million, while adjusted EBITDA dropped 58% year-on-year to EUR 1.3 million. However, EBITDA improved 97% quarter-on-quarter, with margins rising from 5% in Q2 to 13% in Q3. North America contributed 89% of group revenue, indicating a regional focus. The company also noted a significant EUR 40 million non-cash impairment charge to adjust the book value of certain assets. Despite challenging market conditions, particularly in the sports segment, Catena Media remains committed to diversifying its revenue streams and focusing on organic growth, targeting double-digit growth in 2025. The strategic plan emphasizes people, product, and profitability, aiming to build a sustainable revenue model less reliant on new market launches.

Catena Media Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Catena Media faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and persistent losses impacting profitability. While the balance sheet shows manageable leverage, the negative return on equity and declining asset base are concerning. Cash flow improvements are a positive sign, but the company needs to address its operational inefficiencies and enhance revenue generation to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Catena Media's income statement shows significant challenges, with declining revenue and negative profit margins. The TTM data indicates a revenue decline of 7.39% and a net profit margin of -107.06%, reflecting substantial losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating operational inefficiencies. Historical data shows a consistent downward trend in revenue and profitability, highlighting the need for strategic improvements.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18 in the TTM period, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating positive returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, but the declining equity and asset base over time are concerning.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows some positive aspects, with a significant increase in free cash flow growth of 57.81% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.19, indicating limited cash generation relative to net losses. Despite the positive free cash flow growth, the overall cash flow position is strained due to ongoing losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue40.24M49.64M76.75M110.12M136.11M105.99M
Gross Profit33.20M38.65M63.31M98.74M120.62M95.91M
EBITDA-37.46M-40.59M-11.21M49.05M-405.00K33.77M
Net Income-43.03M-48.21M-38.24M25.62M-7.17M12.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets122.89M146.81M242.03M322.63M366.17M340.86M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.63M8.48M38.51M23.87M26.96M28.75M
Total Debt177.00K21.85M57.59M76.66M88.75M90.50M
Total Liabilities3.28M23.98M66.84M100.11M137.65M100.74M
Stockholders Equity119.61M122.83M175.18M222.52M228.52M240.12M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.59M137.00K19.91M26.87M22.45M37.30M
Operating Cash Flow5.53M2.66M20.04M56.38M65.80M48.98M
Investing Cash Flow20.87M11.62M34.34M-30.91M-43.36M-10.45M
Financing Cash Flow-38.79M-44.74M-34.88M-27.66M-24.18M-19.58M

Catena Media Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.09
Price Trends
50DMA
1.97
Positive
100DMA
1.90
Positive
200DMA
2.76
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Positive
RSI
50.92
Neutral
STOCH
7.59
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:CTM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.25, above the 50-day MA of 1.97, and below the 200-day MA of 2.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.59 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SE:CTM.

Catena Media Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$46.60B4.15-11.40%4.15%1.85%-42.71%
46
Neutral
$167.75M-38.74%-33.18%10.56%
kr21.92B9.9723.10%4.63%
$384.70M43.804.76%
€17.94M-71.93%
€15.06M-541.56%
€9.93M-295.85%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:CTM
Catena Media
2.09
-5.25
-71.53%
GB:0A37
Betsson AB
157.26
36.23
29.93%
KMBIF
Kambi Group
13.61
1.93
16.52%
DE:7NG
Acroud AB
0.01
-0.02
-66.67%
DE:5WF
Gaming Corps AB
0.09
0.03
50.00%
DE:5ZD0
Fragbite Group AB
1.32
0.62
88.57%

Catena Media Corporate Events

Catena Media Reports Improved Profitability Amidst Revenue Stability
Aug 12, 2025

Catena Media’s interim report for Q2 2025 highlights a stable revenue performance and significant profitability improvements due to business optimization measures. Despite a 25% decline in revenue compared to the previous year, the company achieved a 104% increase in adjusted EBITDA, reflecting the positive impact of cost-cutting and operational restructuring. The company is focusing on diversifying revenue sources, investing in growth, and adapting to technological advancements to ensure long-term resilience and profitability.

Catena Media to Announce Q2 2025 Results
Aug 5, 2025

Catena Media is set to release its interim report for the second quarter of 2025 on August 12, followed by a webcast and teleconference hosted by CEO Manuel Stan and CFO Michael Gerrow. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market position and investor relations.

Catena Media Reports Strong Growth and Strategic Acquisitions in 2025
Jul 4, 2025

Catena Media reported significant financial growth in the first half of 2025, with rental income and net operating surplus both rising substantially. The company made strategic acquisitions, including logistics facilities in Denmark and Sweden, to strengthen its market position and support sustainable development. These moves are expected to enhance Catena’s operations and provide long-term value for stakeholders.

Catena Expands Logistics Space with Jönköping Acquisition
Jul 3, 2025

Catena has acquired a logistics facility in Jönköping for SEK 1,275 million, expanding its logistics space to over 200,000 m² with Elgiganten as the tenant. This acquisition strengthens Catena’s collaboration with Elgiganten and aligns with its strategic objectives by enhancing its presence in a prime logistics location. The facility is fully leased to Elgiganten until 2033 and is expected to generate a net operating income of approximately SEK 80 million. The location benefits from excellent transport links, including a new rail connection and proximity to the E4 motorway. Access to the property will be granted on 1 September 2025.

Catena’s Joint Venture Sells Gothenburg Logistics Facility
Jun 17, 2025

Catena, through its joint venture Sörred Logistics Park with Platzer, has agreed to sell a newly built logistics facility in Gothenburg to Savills IM’s European Urban Logistics & Industrial Fund for SEK 385 million. The facility, fully leased to Volvo Personvagnar AB, is set to be transferred on 1 July 2025, and features a BREEAM-SE Excellent certification and a 500 kW photovoltaic system.

Catena Expands Logistics Facility and Extends Boozt Lease
Jun 16, 2025

Catena is expanding a logistics facility in Ängelholm for Boozt, an e-commerce company, and extending Boozt’s lease by five years until 2037. The 5,850 square metre extension at Norra Varalöv 31:11 will support Boozt’s growth and is expected to be completed by the second quarter of 2026, enhancing Catena’s collaboration with Boozt in a prime logistics location.

Catena Expands MTN Program to Support Growth
May 30, 2025

Catena has updated its Medium Term Notes (MTN) program prospectus, increasing the framework amount from SEK 5 billion to SEK 8 billion. This move, approved by the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority, supports Catena’s growth strategy by enabling flexible and effective funding, with Swedbank and other major banks as dealers.

Catena Expands Logistics Portfolio with Copenhagen Acquisition
May 28, 2025

Catena has acquired a logistics facility in Brøndby, Greater Copenhagen, for approximately DKK 285 million, with PostNord as the tenant. This strategic acquisition enhances Catena’s presence in a prime location for efficient city logistics, leveraging its existing relationship with PostNord, and is expected to generate a net operating surplus of DKK 16.7 million.

Catena Media’s 2025 AGM Decisions and Incentive Program
May 21, 2025

At the 2025 Annual General Meeting, Catena Media approved its financial statements for 2024, decided against declaring dividends, and elected a new board member. The meeting also approved an incentive program with share options and warrants, continuing a similar structure from the previous year, and appointed KPMG Malta as auditors.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 05, 2025