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Camurus AB (SE:CAMX)
:CAMX

Camurus AB (CAMX) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:CAMX

Camurus AB

(CAMX)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
kr620.00
▼(-6.77% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
Score driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins, solid cash generation, and very low leverage) and a generally positive earnings outlook with guidance and catalysts. The rating is held back by weak current technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and a relatively expensive valuation (P/E ~44.6).
Positive Factors
High Gross Margins
Sustained gross margins near 89–93% provide durable operating leverage and margin resilience across core products. High, stable gross margins support profitability even if sales fluctuate, enabling reinvestment into launches and R&D without immediate margin erosion.
Strong Cash Generation
Robust operating cash flow and large free cash flow give the company financial flexibility to fund U.S. commercial expansion, late‑stage programs and milestones without heavy reliance on external financing. Improved cash conversion supports sustainable investment and downside protection.
Regulatory & Launch Catalysts
Regulatory approvals and an accepted NDA with a set PDUFA date materially expand addressable markets and create structural revenue diversification. Successful U.S. approval and EU launches shift the company from single-product concentration toward multi-market commercial execution.
Negative Factors
Market-access & Reimbursement Constraints
Structural reimbursement, funding and physician-remuneration barriers in large European markets limit uptake of the core Buvidal franchise. These systemic access issues suppress long-term revenue potential in major markets and slow the pace at which approvals convert to meaningful sales.
Revenue Volatility
Inconsistent top-line trends—despite strong margins—reduce predictability of earnings and cash flow. Periods of negative or volatile revenue increase reliance on milestone timing and new launches to sustain growth, complicating capital allocation and long-term planning.
Milestone & Event Timing Uncertainty
Dependence on milestone payments and event-driven readouts creates structural timing risk: missed or delayed milestones compress near-term cash inflows and make medium-term revenue projections contingent on external partner actions and event accrual rates.

Camurus AB (CAMX) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Camurus AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCamurus AB (publ), a pharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes medicines for severe and chronic conditions in Europe, Australia, the United States, Japan, and internationally. The company offers Buvidal, a buprenorphine injection for the treatment of opioid dependence; episil oral liquid, a medical device for the treatment of inflammatory and painful conditions in the oral cavity; and Brixadi to treat opioid use disorder Its products pipeline also includes CAM2038 for the treatment of chronic pain; CAM2029, which is in phase III clinical trials for the treatment of acromegaly and neuroendocrine tumors, as well as in phase II clinical trial to treat polycystic liver diseases; and CAM2043 that is in phase I clinical trial for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension, as well as in Phase II clinical trial to treat Raynaud's phenomenon. In addition, the company is developing CAM2032, which is in phase II clinical trials for the treatment of prostate cancer; CAM4072 that is in phase III clinical trials for the treatment of genetic obesity disorders; CAM4071, which is in phase I clinical trials for the treatment of endocrine disorder; CAM2047 for the treatment of chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting that is in phase 1 clinical trial; and CAM2048, which is in phase I clinical trial for postoperative pain. Camurus AB (publ) was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Lund, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyCamurus generates revenue primarily through the sale of its proprietary pharmaceutical products, including those developed using its FluidCrystal® technology. The company earns money through direct sales of its products, licensing agreements, and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies. Key revenue streams include royalties from licensed products, milestone payments from partners as they achieve specific development or sales targets, and sales of its marketed products in various global markets. Additionally, Camurus has established strategic partnerships with larger pharmaceutical firms, which enhance its research capacity and market reach, further contributing to its overall earnings.

Camurus AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a broadly positive strategic and financial picture for Camurus: full-year revenue and operating profitability improved materially, net cash increased significantly, regulatory approvals and U.S. FDA acceptance (PDUFA set) support upcoming launches, Brixadi royalties showed strong growth, and early-stage R&D (CAM2056) delivered compelling data. At the same time, the company faces notable short-term headwinds: Q4 revenue and product sales were down due to a U.K. distribution change and FX effects, quarter operating profit contracted, access/reimbursement barriers in several large European markets constrain Buvidal upside, and timing uncertainty remains for the SORENTO readout and some milestone revenues. Management provided constructive 2026 guidance while flagging planned increases in OpEx tied to U.S. launch preparation. Overall, strengths in commercial traction, cash position, approvals, and pipeline momentum outweigh the near-term operational and market-access challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Full-Year Revenue Growth
Full year 2025 revenue of SEK 2.27 billion (presented elsewhere as SEK 2.3 billion), up from SEK 1.87 billion, representing ~21% growth year-over-year (30% at constant exchange rates).
Strong Profitability and Operating Result
Profit before tax increased to just above SEK 0.9 billion for 2025. Operating result for the full year increased 86% to SEK 874 million, demonstrating sustained profitability since 2022.
Brixadi U.S. Royalty Momentum
Quarterly Brixadi royalty income in Q4 reached SEK 122 million, up 47% year-over-year (and up 82% at constant exchange rates in one reference). Full-year Brixadi royalty growth was reported significantly (examples cited: +87% and +113% at constant exchange rates versus 2024).
Improved Cash Position
Net cash position of SEK 3.7 billion at year-end, up ~30% year-over-year. Cash increased by SEK 211 million in the quarter; operating activities contributed SEK 111 million and working capital changes added SEK 144 million.
Regulatory and Launch Milestones (Oczyesa & Oclaiz)
Oczyesa received EU and U.K. approvals for acromegaly and was launched in Germany (initial uptake ~20 patients, ~1% share in first month). The NDA resubmission for Oclaiz was accepted by FDA with a PDUFA date of 10 June 2026.
Promising Early-Stage Clinical Data (CAM2056)
Positive Phase Ib results for monthly semaglutide formulation CAM2056: by day 85 Group 4 achieved 9.3% weight reduction vs 5.2% for weekly semaglutide; A1c reductions were 0.44% vs 0.12%, with similar safety/tolerability. Phase IIb planned for H2 2026.
Progress in CAM2029 / SORENTO and POSITANO
CAM2029 clinical program nearing completion across indications. SORENTO (GEP‑NET) remains on track for primary efficacy readout in H2 2026 (targeting 194 progression-free events). POSITANO open-label extension continues following positive core-phase results.
Cost Discipline and R&D Efficiency
R&D costs reduced by ~24% for the full year and 20–25% in the quarter (attributable to completion of CAM2029 and CAM2056 trials), while marketing & distribution expenses decreased 12% in the quarter (though up 7% for the year due to expansion).
Positive 2026 Financial Guidance
2026 guidance: revenue SEK 2.6–2.9 billion (≈+21% at constant exchange rates) and operating result SEK 0.9–1.2 billion (≈+20%), with planned investments to support U.S. launches and R&D.
Negative Updates
Q4 Revenue and Product Sales Decline
Quarterly revenue fell to SEK 464 million from SEK 553 million, a 16% decline year-over-year. Quarterly product sales dropped to SEK 342 million, a 27% decrease, primarily attributed to a change in the U.K. distribution model and FX effects.
Quarterly Operating Result Down
Operating result for the quarter decreased 32% to SEK 113 million compared with the prior-year quarter.
UK Distribution Transition and Inventory Repurchase
Change in the U.K. distribution model led to a one-time repurchase of SEK 93 million of inventory from a U.K. wholesaler and temporarily reduced reported invoice sales.
FX Headwinds and Currency Volatility
Significant currency fluctuations (USD and AUD vs SEK) created material FX headwinds impacting reported sales; management highlighted exposure to the U.S. dollar and incorporated currency scenarios into guidance.
Access and Reimbursement Constraints in Key European Markets
Buvidal penetration remains constrained in larger markets (England, France, Germany, Spain) due to reimbursement, funding prioritization, physician remuneration (Germany), and access restrictions; these market-access barriers limit near-term upside.
Timing Uncertainty for SORENTO Readout
SORENTO is event-driven and timing uncertainty remains for the H2 2026 readout (dependent on accrual/event rates); delays could push key clinical milestones and associated value creation later than expected.
Planned Increase in 2026 Operating Expenses
Guidance flags increased OpEx: an additional SEK 200 million for U.S. commercial expansion and roughly SEK 150 million higher R&D spend in 2026 — raising short-term cost and margin pressure despite growth plans.
Milestone Revenue Uncertainty (Braeburn)
A potential milestone payment from Braeburn related to Brixadi is expected in 2026 but was not realized in 2025; timing and size remain uncertain and not explicitly included in core guidance.
UK Funding-to-Clinic Lag
Although public funding commitments exist for England, there has been a lag in funds reaching community clinics (growth so far primarily from prisons); uncertainty on the timing and pace at which community access/funding will translate into patient starts.
Company Guidance
Camurus guided 2026 revenues of SEK 2.6–2.9 billion (around +21% at constant exchange rates) and an operating result of SEK 0.9–1.2 billion (around +20%), reporting operating result rather than profit before tax and excluding potential license income; management flagged that revenues will consist of product sales, royalties and milestones (noting a Braeburn/Brixadi milestone now expected in 2026) and emphasized the outlook is given at constant FX. They expect OpEx to increase—driven by organizational expansion and higher R&D—with an extra SEK 200 million allocated to U.S. commercial expansion for the planned mid‑2026 Oclaiz launch and roughly SEK 150 million higher R&D spend, and warned that currency/FX exposure and pricing/reimbursement dynamics are key risks that could affect the guidance.

Camurus AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
High-quality fundamentals with exceptionally strong and stable gross margins (~89–93%), strong 2025 profitability (net margin ~32%, EBIT margin ~39%), solid and improving free cash flow (~731m in 2025), and a very low-debt balance sheet (~2.5% D/E). Main risk is inconsistent top-line momentum, including slightly negative revenue growth in 2025.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Profitability has improved materially versus earlier loss years (2020–2021), with strong 2025 net margin (~32%) and robust operating profitability (EBIT margin ~39%). Gross margins remain exceptionally high and stable (~89–93%) across the period, supporting durable earnings power. The main weakness is growth volatility: revenue surged in 2022–2024 but turned slightly negative in 2025 (-3.8%), indicating a less consistent top-line trajectory.
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively financed with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.5%–3.0% historically; ~2.5% in 2025) and a sizable equity base that has expanded significantly over time. This provides strong financial flexibility and downside protection. A modest negative is that returns on equity have been variable (negative in 2020–2021, strong in 2023, and not provided for 2025), reflecting earlier earnings instability rather than balance-sheet strain.
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
Cash generation is strong and improving: 2025 operating cash flow (~869m) and free cash flow (~731m) are both solid, with free cash flow up ~20.8% in 2025 after a dip in 2024. Cash conversion is healthy, with free cash flow running at ~84% of net income in 2025 (and near/above net income in prior years). The key watch-out is prior volatility—cash flow was negative in 2020–2021 and coverage of net income by operating cash flow was weaker in 2024 before rebounding strongly in 2025.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.27B1.87B1.72B956.34M600.57M
Gross Profit2.11B1.74B1.59B853.08M515.22M
EBITDA909.18M568.24M562.54M87.59M-97.72M
Net Income735.57M428.39M431.44M55.55M-90.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.74B3.76B1.91B1.31B1.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.73B2.85B1.19B565.54M411.57M
Total Debt106.03M17.04M24.51M26.22M25.66M
Total Liabilities504.56M467.33M414.82M310.82M232.99M
Stockholders Equity4.24B3.29B1.49B994.67M848.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow730.78M358.62M596.75M99.29M-148.37M
Operating Cash Flow869.30M387.99M606.88M101.20M-143.43M
Investing Cash Flow-138.52M-29.37M-10.13M5.38M-4.94M
Financing Cash Flow158.30M1.30B28.76M43.70M98.90M

Camurus AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price665.00
Price Trends
50DMA
619.97
Negative
100DMA
623.57
Negative
200DMA
637.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-42.91
Positive
RSI
28.70
Positive
STOCH
11.93
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:CAMX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 665 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 572.87, above the 50-day MA of 619.97, and above the 200-day MA of 637.71, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -42.91 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.70 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.93 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:CAMX.

Camurus AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
kr29.03B39.0620.86%39.37%189.04%
71
Outperform
kr26.81B26.1768.77%1046.53%
56
Neutral
kr3.26B-4.98-5.69%21.58%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
kr1.46B-4.38-36.52%533.73%20.92%
44
Neutral
kr2.82B-5.03-71.87%-91.85%-6.65%
44
Neutral
kr1.07B-5.76-35.03%25.14%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:CAMX
Camurus AB
484.80
-145.70
-23.11%
SE:HNSA
Hansa Biopharma AB
32.08
8.88
38.28%
SE:BINV
BioInvent International AB
22.15
-2.85
-11.40%
SE:BIOA.B
BioArctic AB Class B
302.40
86.20
39.87%
SE:VICO
Vicore Pharma Holding AB
10.00
2.48
32.98%
SE:XSPRAY
Xspray Pharma AB
25.60
-4.01
-13.55%

Camurus AB Corporate Events

Camurus Strengthens Executive Team With New Corporate Development Chief
Feb 17, 2026

Camurus, a biopharmaceutical company specializing in long-acting treatments for severe and chronic conditions, develops new drug products based on its proprietary FluidCrystal technology and maintains a diversified pipeline in dependence, pain, cancer, and endocrine diseases. Headquartered in Lund, Sweden, the company operates across Europe, the US, and Australia and is listed on Nasdaq Stockholm under the ticker CAMX.

Camurus has appointed industry veteran Jane Buus Laursen as Chief Corporate Development Officer and member of the executive management team, effective 23 March 2026, bringing more than two decades of business and corporate development experience from Novo Nordisk and AstraZeneca. The new role positions her to drive strategic development, licensing, M&A, and long-term growth initiatives at a time of ongoing expansion for Camurus, underlining the company’s focus on scaling its global footprint and enhancing shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:CAMX) stock is a Buy with a SEK760.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Camurus AB stock, see the SE:CAMX Stock Forecast page.

Camurus Posts Strong 2025 Earnings, Expands Long-Acting Endocrine Portfolio
Feb 12, 2026

Camurus reported strong full-year 2025 results, with total revenues up 21% to SEK 2.27 billion, product sales up 6%, and royalties up 87%, driving a 69% rise in profit before tax to SEK 933 million and a 31% increase in net cash to SEK 3.7 billion. The fourth quarter showed a 16% revenue decline and weaker profit versus the prior year, largely explained by a one-off UK inventory repurchase tied to a distribution model change, while operating expenses fell and the balance sheet remained robust.

Strategically, the company advanced its endocrine and metabolic portfolio, launching Oczyesa for acromegaly in Germany, resubmitting the US regulatory filing for Oclaiz in acromegaly, and reporting positive Phase 1b data for a monthly semaglutide depot in overweight or obese participants. A new collaboration and license agreement with Gubra to develop a long-acting hypoparathyroidism treatment broadens Camurus’s endocrine footprint, supporting future growth prospects and reinforcing its positioning in long-acting therapies despite short-term quarterly volatility.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:CAMX) stock is a Buy with a SEK760.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Camurus AB stock, see the SE:CAMX Stock Forecast page.

Camurus’ acromegaly drug Oclaiz gains FDA review date after resubmitted US filing
Jan 9, 2026

Camurus has announced that the US Food and Drug Administration has accepted for review the resubmitted New Drug Application for Oclaiz (CAM2029), a once-monthly, subcutaneous, extended-release octreotide injection for treating acromegaly, and has set a Prescription Drug User Fee Act target action date of 10 June 2026. The filing, which follows an earlier Complete Response Letter tied to cGMP issues at a third-party manufacturer rather than clinical concerns, is backed by seven clinical studies including two Phase 3 trials demonstrating improved biochemical control, symptom reduction and quality-of-life benefits versus standard of care, and follows the product’s 2025 approval and ongoing launch in the EU and UK under the name Oczyesa, underscoring Camurus’ bid to expand its endocrine portfolio and US presence while advancing CAM2029 in additional indications such as GEP-NET and polycystic liver disease.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:CAMX) stock is a Buy with a SEK691.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Camurus AB stock, see the SE:CAMX Stock Forecast page.

Camurus Increases Share Capital After Employee Stock Option Exercise
Dec 30, 2025

Camurus has reported a minor increase in its share capital after employees exercised 7,350 stock options under the company’s ESOP 2022/2026 program during December 2025, resulting in the issuance of an equivalent number of new registered shares. Following this transaction, the total number of shares and votes in Camurus rose from 59,872,834 to 59,880,184, a small dilution that reflects ongoing use of equity-based incentives to retain and motivate staff, with limited immediate impact on ownership structure but signalling continued alignment of employees with shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:CAMX) stock is a Buy with a SEK691.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Camurus AB stock, see the SE:CAMX Stock Forecast page.

Camurus Increases Shares and Votes Following Employee Stock Option Exercise
Nov 28, 2025

Camurus has announced an increase in its number of shares and votes following the exercise of 24,200 employee stock options from its ESOP 2022/2026 program. This increase reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to employee participation and could potentially enhance its market positioning by aligning employee interests with corporate growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:CAMX) stock is a Buy with a SEK691.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Camurus AB stock, see the SE:CAMX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026