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Bilia AB Class A (SE:BILI.A)
:BILI.A

Bilia AB Class A (BILI.A) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:BILI.A

Bilia AB Class A

(BILI.A)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
kr133.00
▲(0.15% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/03/26
The score is primarily driven by mixed financial performance: profitability and improved free cash flow are positives, but margin compression, recent revenue softness, and sharply higher leverage increase cyclical risk. Valuation is supportive due to a moderate P/E and strong dividend yield, while technicals are weaker in the near term with stretched momentum.
Positive Factors
Improved cash generation
Operating cash flow improvement and a return to positive free cash flow in 2024–2025 strengthen the company’s ability to fund working capital, service operations and reinvest in workshops. Durable cash generation reduces reliance on external funding through business cycles and supports long-term operational resilience.
Recurring aftermarket and parts revenue
Aftermarket services, spare parts and authorized workshop revenue create recurring, higher-visibility cash flows independent of new-vehicle cycles. This installed-base linkage supports margin stability, steady service utilization and cross-sell (financing/insurance), underpinning long-term revenue predictability.
Profitable operations and healthy returns
Consistent profitability and healthy ROE in recent years indicate an ability to generate returns from core dealership and service operations. Sustained earnings allow reinvestment in service capacity and shareholder distributions, and provide a cushion against cyclical downturns in vehicle sales.
Negative Factors
Sharply increased leverage
A jump to roughly 2.7x debt-to-equity materially reduces financial flexibility in a cyclical auto retail business. Higher leverage raises interest expense sensitivity, refinancing risk and constrains capital allocation, making the company more vulnerable if vehicle demand or margins weaken over the medium term.
Margin compression vs prior years
Sustained margin erosion versus 2021–2022 suggests weaker pricing power or higher cost pressures in core retail and service operations. Lower operating and net margins reduce earnings resilience, limit reinvestment capacity and leave less buffer against cyclical revenue declines or interest cost increases.
Revenue softness and cyclicality
Dependence on new-vehicle sales and cyclical demand leads to uneven revenue; the 2025 revenue decline highlights this sensitivity. When combined with higher leverage and compressed margins, revenue volatility can meaningfully pressure cash flow and limit strategic investments across a 2–6 month to multi-quarter horizon.

Bilia AB Class A (BILI.A) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Bilia AB Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBilia AB (publ) engages in the distribution and service of cars, heavy trucks, and transport vehicles. The company operates through Service, Cars, and Fuels segments. It sells new and used cars primarily of Volvo, BMW, Toyota, Mercedes, Renault, Lexus, MINI, Porsche, Nissan, Dacia, Smart and Alpine cars; and Renault, Toyota, Mercedes, Nissan, and Dacia transport vehicles; and Mercedes heavy trucks. The company also sells petrol, diesel, ethanol, and compressed gas; provides workshop services and spare parts, as well as car dismantling, rim repair, car wash, and wheel sales and storage, store sales and e-commerce; and offers supplementary services, such as financing and insurance services. It operates two online auction sites in Sweden and Norway. The company sells its products through stores and online. It operates approximately 155 facilities in Sweden, Norway, Germany, Luxembourg, and Belgium. The company was incorporated in 1967 and is headquartered in Gothenburg, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyBilia AB generates revenue primarily through the sale of vehicles, both new and used, which constitutes a significant portion of its earnings. In addition to vehicle sales, the company earns income from its extensive service and maintenance operations, which include repairs, parts sales, and vehicle inspections. Financing solutions offered to customers through partnerships with banks and financial institutions also contribute to revenue. Moreover, Bilia's strong relationships with premium automotive brands allow for exclusive dealership rights, enhancing its market position and profitability. Seasonal promotions, trade-in programs, and loyalty incentives further drive customer engagement and sales volume.

Bilia AB Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitable operations and improved cash generation (FCF positive again in 2024–2025), but recent revenue softness and multi-year margin compression reduce earnings quality. Balance-sheet risk is elevated as leverage stepped up sharply by 2025, lowering flexibility in a cyclical dealership business.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Revenue has been relatively stable but uneven, with a return to modest growth in 2024 followed by a decline in 2025. Profitability remains positive, but margins have compressed versus 2021–2022 levels (notably lower operating and net margins), signaling weaker pricing/promo dynamics and/or higher cost pressure. Still, the company is generating consistent earnings and maintains solid gross profit stability for an auto retail model.
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Leverage has risen materially, with debt-to-equity increasing from roughly 1.2–1.6x (2020–2023) to ~1.9x in 2024 and ~2.7x in 2025, reducing balance-sheet flexibility. Equity is fairly steady, and returns on equity remain healthy in 2024–2025, but the higher debt load increases sensitivity to demand swings and financing costs—an important risk for a cyclical dealership business.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash generation improved in 2024–2025, with operating cash flow rising and free cash flow turning positive again after negative free cash flow in 2022–2023. However, free cash flow conversion vs. earnings is mixed (stronger in 2024, weaker in 2025), and operating cash flow relative to revenue remains modest, suggesting working-capital swings can meaningfully impact reported cash results.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue40.41B39.15B38.51B35.34B35.51B
Gross Profit6.70B6.41B6.14B6.06B6.01B
EBITDA2.84B2.81B2.91B3.49B3.25B
Net Income760.00M662.00M931.00M1.62B1.46B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.23B20.66B19.39B20.00B17.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments438.00M331.00M265.00M456.00M754.00M
Total Debt13.60B9.26B7.69B6.94B5.53B
Total Liabilities15.23B15.72B14.55B15.11B12.78B
Stockholders Equity5.00B4.94B4.84B4.89B4.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow600.00M816.00M-498.00M-862.00M730.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.35B2.05B1.59B676.00M1.99B
Investing Cash Flow-261.00M-1.20B-972.00M-343.00M-1.25B
Financing Cash Flow-2.00B-795.00M-810.00M-653.00M-2.05B

Bilia AB Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price132.80
Price Trends
50DMA
130.63
Negative
100DMA
126.68
Negative
200DMA
122.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.40
Positive
RSI
41.14
Neutral
STOCH
11.59
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:BILI.A, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 132.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 131.76, above the 50-day MA of 130.63, and above the 200-day MA of 122.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.59 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:BILI.A.

Bilia AB Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
kr13.23B-8.4316.20%1.79%1.80%28.19%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
kr11.08B13.6915.18%4.43%3.59%0.80%
55
Neutral
kr11.03B-17.492.85%-13.49%60.49%
54
Neutral
kr6.12B123.282.04%6.24%-2.98%-30.48%
52
Neutral
kr13.05B19.4212.33%3.12%2.80%-8.84%
47
Neutral
kr3.58B112.960.68%5.42%2.16%-90.31%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:BILI.A
Bilia AB Class A
126.00
-2.30
-1.79%
SE:DOM
Dometic Group AB
35.52
-11.15
-23.89%
SE:FOI.B
Fenix Outdoor International AG
478.00
-140.65
-22.73%
SE:MEKO
Mekonomen AB
67.00
-49.11
-42.30%
SE:SKIS.B
SkiStar AB Class B
175.50
15.22
9.50%
SE:NEWA.B
New Wave Group AB Class B
99.00
-4.29
-4.15%

Bilia AB Class A Corporate Events

Bilia lifts 2025 profit and cash flow on Nordic strength, raises dividend
Feb 5, 2026

Bilia AB reported largely stable fourth-quarter 2025 net turnover of SEK 10.2 billion, with operational earnings rising to SEK 450 million, mainly driven by stronger results in Norway, and operating profit of SEK 370 million despite SEK 23 million in costs from an ongoing efficiency programme. For the full year 2025, net turnover increased 3% to SEK 40.4 billion, operating profit improved to SEK 1.27 billion, net profit rose to SEK 760 million, and operating cash flow strengthened to SEK 2.1 billion, supported by property divestments, allowing the board to propose a higher dividend of SEK 6.00 per share, underscoring solid cash generation and shareholder returns despite weaker results in Sweden.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:BILI.A) stock is a Hold with a SEK135.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bilia AB Class A stock, see the SE:BILI.A Stock Forecast page.

Bilia to Present Q4 2025 Results in Audiocast and Teleconference
Jan 23, 2026

Bilia AB, a major European full-service automotive retail and service group, operates a comprehensive network of around 170 facilities in Northern Europe, offering vehicle sales, servicing, parts, fuel and related mobility services underpinned by a broad multi-brand portfolio. The company announced it will publish its fourth-quarter 2025 report on 5 February 2026 and will host press and analyst meetings the same day via audiocast and teleconference, where senior management will present the results and take questions, underscoring Bilia’s ongoing investor outreach and transparency with the capital markets.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:BILI.A) stock is a Hold with a SEK135.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bilia AB Class A stock, see the SE:BILI.A Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 03, 2026