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Atlas Copco AB (SE:ATCO.B)
:ATCO.B

Atlas Copco AB (ATCO.B) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:ATCO.B

Atlas Copco AB

(ATCO.B)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
kr181.00
â–²(18.53% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial fundamentals (durable margins, solid profitability, and conservative leverage), supported by constructive technical trends. The main offset is valuation, with a relatively high P/E despite a modest dividend yield, alongside a near-term 2025 growth and free-cash-flow slowdown.
Positive Factors
Durable high margins
Sustained gross and operating margins at industrial-machinery levels indicate strong pricing power, differentiated products and service mix. High margins support resilient profitability through cycles, enabling reinvestment, R&D and steady cash returns over the medium term.
Conservative leverage with strong ROE
Low leverage and high ROE reflect disciplined capital structure and efficient capital allocation. Conservative debt profiles preserve financial flexibility for capex, acquisitions or downturns, while elevated ROE shows the business converts invested capital into attractive long-term returns.
Diversified, recurring revenue streams
A mix of new equipment sales, aftermarket service agreements and rental offerings creates recurring revenue and higher lifetime customer value. This diversification reduces dependence on one market, stabilizes cash flows, and strengthens customer retention over multiple cycles.
Negative Factors
Near-term growth slowdown
A tangible revenue and profit pullback in 2025 signals cyclical sensitivity and potential demand softening in end markets. If sustained, slower top-line growth can compress reinvestment capacity, slow margin expansion initiatives, and pressure medium-term earnings trajectory.
Weakening free cash flow trend
A decline in FCF growth and variable cash conversion indicate operational volatility and less predictable funding for dividends, buybacks or acquisitions. Persistent FCF erosion would constrain strategic flexibility and heighten reliance on external financing in stress periods.
Earnings per share contraction
Material EPS decline highlights margin or volume pressures and reduces retained earnings for organic investment. Continued EPS contraction undermines shareholder returns, may limit strategic initiatives, and signals vulnerability if end-market recovery lags or competition intensifies.

Atlas Copco AB (ATCO.B) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Atlas Copco AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAtlas Copco AB, together with its subsidiaries, provides productivity solutions. The company operates through Compressor Technique, Vacuum Technique, Industrial Technique, and Power Technique segments. It offers piston compressors, oil-free tooth and scroll compressors, rotary screw compressors, oil-free blowers, oil-free centrifugal compressors, gas and process compressors, air and gas treatment equipment, and medical air solutions primarily for use in the manufacturing and process industries. The company also provides oil-sealed rotary vane, dry, and liquid ring vacuum pumps; and turbomolecular and cryogenic pumps, as well as abatement and integrated systems for the semiconductor and scientific, chemical process, food packaging, and paper handling industries. In addition, it offers pneumatic, hydraulic, and electric assembly tools, as well as control systems and associated software for safety-critical tightening; self-pierce riveting tools, dispensing equipment for adhesives and sealants, and flow drill fastening equipment; material removal tools, drills, and other pneumatic products; and machine vision solutions for customers in the automotive and general industries. Further, the company provides portable compressors, boosters, generators, lighting towers, pumps, and construction and demolition tools for civil engineering, oil and gas, construction, manufacturing, exploration drilling, and demolition industries, as well as specialty rental services. It operates in North America, South America, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, Asia, and Oceania. The company was founded in 1873 and is headquartered in Nacka, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyAtlas Copco generates revenue through multiple key channels, primarily by selling equipment and machinery in its core sectors. The company’s revenue model is structured around three main streams: product sales, service agreements, and rental services. Product sales account for a significant portion of earnings, where the company sells new equipment to various industries, including manufacturing, automotive, and construction. Service agreements, which include maintenance and aftermarket services, provide a steady stream of recurring revenue, enhancing customer loyalty and ensuring long-term relationships. Additionally, Atlas Copco offers rental services for its equipment, allowing customers to access high-quality machinery without upfront capital investment. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and acquisitions to broaden its product offerings and expand into new markets, further contributing to its revenue growth.

Atlas Copco AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong, consistent profitability (gross margin ~42–44%, EBIT margin ~19–22%, net margin mid-teens) and conservative leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.31–0.46) support a high-quality financial profile. The score is tempered by the 2025 slowdown (revenue and profit decline) and softer recent free-cash-flow trend (FCF growth -6.133%).
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Profitability is consistently strong with gross margin holding around ~42–44% and net margin in the mid-teens, alongside solid operating profitability (EBIT margin ~19–22%) across the period. Revenue expanded strongly from 2021–2024, but 2025 revenue declined (-1.869%) and profits stepped down versus 2024, signaling a near-term growth pause despite still-healthy margins.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Leverage looks conservative for the sector with debt-to-equity generally ~0.31–0.46 and improving versus earlier years, supporting financial flexibility. Returns on equity are high (~24–31%), indicating effective capital use, though the slight downshift in 2025 versus prior peak levels suggests returns may be normalizing.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash generation is strong: free cash flow is substantial and consistently covers most of net income (roughly ~0.76–0.87), indicating good earnings quality. However, cash flow conversion is not consistently high (operating cash flow coverage ~0.35–0.71) and free cash flow growth turned negative in 2025 (-6.133%), pointing to some volatility and a softer recent cash-flow trend.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue168.34B176.77B172.66B141.32B110.91B
Gross Profit72.21B75.74B75.12B59.38B46.53B
EBITDA43.64B47.50B45.12B36.07B28.61B
Net Income26.42B29.78B28.04B23.48B18.13B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets202.45B208.54B188.21B172.30B136.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.13B19.33B11.22B11.85B19.58B
Total Debt34.90B34.71B32.71B36.30B24.85B
Total Liabilities92.07B94.78B96.70B92.28B69.05B
Stockholders Equity110.21B113.70B91.45B79.98B67.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.28B30.86B22.63B16.35B19.79B
Operating Cash Flow32.57B36.89B28.08B21.38B23.15B
Investing Cash Flow-17.62B-13.32B-9.39B-15.50B-6.12B
Financing Cash Flow-16.37B-15.86B-18.28B-14.65B-10.32B

Atlas Copco AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price152.70
Price Trends
50DMA
151.01
Positive
100DMA
146.86
Positive
200DMA
140.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.58
Positive
RSI
53.11
Neutral
STOCH
29.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:ATCO.B, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 152.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 160.34, above the 50-day MA of 151.01, and above the 200-day MA of 140.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.58 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SE:ATCO.B.

Atlas Copco AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
kr850.76B29.4026.43%2.03%-2.38%-4.00%
73
Outperform
kr86.61B24.369.56%1.95%2.73%7.56%
71
Outperform
kr209.56B25.1220.42%1.84%3.54%20.94%
70
Outperform
kr434.52B29.5816.39%1.94%-1.77%21.13%
64
Neutral
kr40.88B23.3826.95%1.71%14.48%0.52%
57
Neutral
kr68.40B27.9011.04%0.95%9.08%-3.36%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:ATCO.B
Atlas Copco AB
160.15
-2.02
-1.25%
SE:ALFA
Alfa Laval AB
517.40
32.31
6.66%
SE:MYCR
Mycronic AB
205.80
-15.04
-6.81%
SE:SAND
Sandvik AB
351.70
128.23
57.38%
SE:TREL.B
Trelleborg AB
360.00
-49.38
-12.06%
SE:BEIJ.B
Beijer Ref AB Class B
126.85
-36.62
-22.40%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026