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Sodexo SA (SDXAY)
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Sodexo SA (SDXAY) AI Stock Analysis

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SDXAY

Sodexo SA

(OTC:SDXAY)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(22.95% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:07/03/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (growth and improving net profitability) and supportive technical strength (price above major moving averages with positive MACD), plus favorable income/valuation (5.16% yield with a moderate P/E). These positives are tempered by the latest earnings call’s weaker guidance, margin pressure, and higher leverage, which increase near-term execution and balance-sheet risk.
Positive Factors
Recurring multi‑year contracts
Sodexo’s core model of multi‑year, on‑site service contracts creates predictable, recurring revenue and high client switching costs. That structural contract profile supports steady cash flows, easier forecasting, and cross‑sell opportunities (food + FM) that bolster revenue durability and client retention over quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Leverage running near ~2.7x net debt/EBITDA and above stated targets reduces balance‑sheet flexibility. Elevated debt increases vulnerability to refinancing or interest cost shocks, limits capacity for M&A or cushion for cyclical revenue swings, and lengthens the horizon for achieving target capital structure.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring multi‑year contracts
Sodexo’s core model of multi‑year, on‑site service contracts creates predictable, recurring revenue and high client switching costs. That structural contract profile supports steady cash flows, easier forecasting, and cross‑sell opportunities (food + FM) that bolster revenue durability and client retention over quarters.
Read all positive factors

Sodexo SA (SDXAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sodexo SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Sodexo S.A. operates as a global service provider, delivering a comprehensive range of on-site management, employee benefits and rewards, and personal and home care solutions around the world. The company's on-site operations cater to diverse clie...
How the Company Makes Money
Sodexo primarily makes money by contracting with institutions and enterprises to manage recurring, on-site services. Its main revenue stream is service-contract revenue from (1) food services—operating cafeterias, patient/resident dining, school/u...

Sodexo SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 10, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The call presented a mixed picture: management has enacted a decisive strategic and organizational reset with targeted investments and early signs of improved commercial intensity, but H1 financials reveal meaningful execution shortfalls (margin compression, negative net new business, North America weakness), sizeable one-off provisions/charges and a recalibration of FY26 guidance. Short-term financial headwinds and higher leverage outweigh the early operational positives, though the company emphasizes that actions underway are intended to restore sustainable performance.
Positive Updates
Leadership Reset and Strategic Program
New CEO Thierry Delaporte initiated a rapid leadership reshuffle (about two-thirds of North America leadership changed), simplified global structure (removed zone layer), pushed decision-making closer to clients and launched the 'shift and grow' program to restore execution, commercial intensity and accountability.
Negative Updates
Underlying Operating Profit Margin Decline
H1 underlying operating profit margin was 3.7%, down ~140–150 basis points year-on-year; management attributes the decline to operations/mix/leverage (~-50 bps), accelerated investments (~-20 bps) and the contract/asset review (~-70 bps).
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Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Leadership Reset and Strategic Program
New CEO Thierry Delaporte initiated a rapid leadership reshuffle (about two-thirds of North America leadership changed), simplified global structure (removed zone layer), pushed decision-making closer to clients and launched the 'shift and grow' program to restore execution, commercial intensity and accountability.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Sodexo recalibrated FY‑26 guidance to organic growth of +0.5%–+1.0% and an underlying operating profit margin of 3.2%–3.4%; H1 metrics were organic growth +1.7% (pricing ≈+2.4%, like‑for‑like volumes ≈+0.2%), net new business ≈‑0.6%, retention 93.4% and development 5.3%, with H1 underlying OPM at 3.7% (down ~140–150 bps YoY driven roughly by operations/mix/leverage ≈‑50 bps, accelerated investments ≈‑20 bps and the contract/asset review ≈‑70 bps). Management expects a full‑year FX headwind of ~‑3% on reported revenue (H1 FX was ‑5.3%), a ~+0.5% revenue lift from M&A (Mediterránea), an annualized contract reclassification impact of ~‑100 bps (weighing more in H2), other operating income/expenses around ‑€300m (≈half restructuring), net financial expense ~‑€140m, an effective tax rate ~26%, and continues to expect seasonally stronger cash generation in H2 after H1 free cash flow of ‑€243m, operating cash flow €616m and net debt €3.6bn (net debt/EBITDA 2.7x, likely to finish the year above the 1–2x target).

Sodexo SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are solid: strong revenue growth (+9.45%) and improved net margin (to 2.89%) support profitability momentum. Offsetting this, leverage remains elevated (debt-to-equity 1.44) and EBIT/EBITDA margin slippage suggests operational efficiency still needs improvement, while cash conversion is decent but not exceptional (FCF to net income 0.65).
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMAug 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Aug 2022Aug 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.18B22.60B23.80B22.64B21.13B17.43B
Gross Profit2.52B2.63B2.85B2.72B3.04B2.42B
EBITDA1.31B1.55B1.65B1.38B1.30B966.00M
Net Income439.81M763.76M168.00M794.00M695.00M139.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.83B17.38B15.02B20.79B20.92B18.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.18B2.45B2.14B2.02B3.23B4.60B
Total Debt5.42B6.37B5.47B6.38B6.66B7.03B
Total Liabilities11.21B12.93B11.23B16.24B16.50B15.82B
Stockholders Equity3.61B4.43B3.78B4.54B4.42B3.17B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow593.00M592.32M962.00M1.04B690.00M686.00M
Operating Cash Flow939.69M904.90M1.32B1.38B1.03B982.00M
Investing Cash Flow-595.96M-366.00M-1.05B-526.00M-386.00M-317.00M
Financing Cash Flow-512.24M-498.00M-1.35B-646.00M-1.11B803.00M

Sodexo SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.98
Price Trends
50DMA
10.93
Positive
100DMA
10.65
Positive
200DMA
10.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Positive
RSI
67.27
Neutral
STOCH
46.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SDXAY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.58, above the 50-day MA of 10.93, and above the 200-day MA of 10.70, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 67.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SDXAY.

Sodexo SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$8.96B17.3712.16%4.27%4.88%-28.57%
67
Neutral
$2.59B16.968.94%2.20%6.53%107.41%
67
Neutral
$1.88B13.838.32%28.34%67.93%
65
Neutral
$1.51B50.365.44%-49.16%-91.38%
65
Neutral
$14.80B41.3911.23%1.14%10.15%3.07%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$14.94B38.606.51%2.20%-0.33%20.26%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SDXAY
Sodexo SA
12.24
0.37
3.08%
ABM
ABM Industries
44.27
-2.41
-5.17%
CBZ
CBIZ
35.12
-38.64
-52.39%
PRSU
Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality
55.40
25.27
83.87%
ARMK
ARAMARK Holdings
56.29
13.98
33.04%
RTO
Rentokil Initial
29.99
6.30
26.57%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2026