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ARAMARK Holdings (ARMK)
NYSE:ARMK

ARAMARK Holdings (ARMK) AI Stock Analysis

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ARAMARK Holdings

(NYSE:ARMK)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$43.00
▲(7.29%Upside)
Aramark Holdings' overall score is driven by solid financial performance and a positive outlook from the earnings call, highlighting strong client retention and international revenue growth. Technical indicators show bullish momentum, albeit with caution due to overbought signals. The valuation suggests the stock is somewhat expensive, which tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Client Retention
Strong client retention at 98% and new client wins of $760M fiscal YTD contribute to management's confidence in the full-year guide.
Market Share
ARMK holds a significant 20% market share among major U.S. sports, outperforming Sodexo at 4%.
Negative Factors
Contract Decline
The number of ARMK's major professional U.S. sports contracts has declined by 29% since 2019.
Organic Growth
Organic growth came in below expectations, with a quarterly increase of 4.7%, missing the market estimate of 6.6%.

ARAMARK Holdings (ARMK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ARAMARK Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAramark provides food, facilities, and uniform services to education, healthcare, business and industry, sports, leisure, and corrections clients in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Food and Support Services United States, Food and Support Services International, and Uniform and Career Apparel. The company offers food-related managed services, including dining, catering, food service management, and convenience-oriented retail services; non-clinical support services, such as patient food and nutrition, retail food, and procurement services; and plant operations and maintenance, custodial/housekeeping, energy management, grounds keeping, and capital project management services. It also provides on-site restaurants, catering, convenience stores, and executive dining services; beverage and vending services; and facility management services comprising landscaping, transportation, payment, and other facility consulting services relating to building operations. In addition, the company offers concessions, banquet, and catering services; retail services and merchandise sale, recreational, and lodging services; and facility management services at sports, entertainment, and recreational facilities. Further, the company offers correctional food; and operates commissaries, laundry facilities, and property rooms. Additionally, it provides design, sourcing and manufacturing, delivery, cleaning, maintenance, and marketing services for uniforms and accessories; provides managed restroom services; and rents uniforms, work clothing, outerwear, particulate-free garments, and non-garment items and related services that include mats, shop towels, and first aid supplies. The company was formerly known as ARAMARK Holdings Corporation and changed its name to Aramark in May 2014. Aramark was founded in 1959 and is based in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyAramark Holdings generates revenue primarily through its three main segments: Food and Support Services (FSS) United States, FSS International, and Uniform and Career Apparel. In the FSS segments, the company earns money by providing food services, facilities management, and other support services to a diverse client base, including schools, hospitals, businesses, and stadiums. Revenue is generated through long-term contracts and partnerships with these institutions, where Aramark supplies and manages dining services, catering, and facility operations. The Uniform and Career Apparel segment contributes to revenue by offering rental, sale, and cleaning services for uniforms and workwear across various industries. This segment benefits from ongoing contracts and the need for companies to maintain professional and hygienic work environments. Key factors contributing to Aramark's earnings include its strong client relationships, diversified service offerings, and its ability to adapt to client needs through innovation and operational efficiency.

ARAMARK Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 17.50%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call indicates strong performance and growth across Aramark's business, especially in client retention and international revenue. Despite some challenges from facility exits and weather-related issues, the company shows confidence in continued growth and profitability.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Client Retention Rate
Aramark reported a client retention rate above 98% in both FSS US and international, a level usually not seen at this point in the fiscal calendar.
Revenue Growth
Revenue growth accelerated monthly in the second quarter, continuing into April with a 6% growth rate. Organic revenue grew to $4.3 billion, a 3% increase year-over-year.
Record AOI Profitability
Aramark experienced record AOI profitability for any second quarter in global FSS history, with over 20% adjusted EPS growth on a constant currency basis.
International Segment Performance
International organic revenue increased to $1.3 billion, a 10% year-over-year increase, with the UK, Spain, Chile, and Canada leading the way.
New Client Wins
Aramark secured new client wins totaling $760 million fiscal year-to-date, with significant new business opportunities ahead.
Negative Updates
Facilities Accounts Exit Impact
The exit of some facilities accounts last year impacted revenue by approximately 3% during the second quarter.
Weather and Calendar Shifts
Revenue was negatively affected by a calendar shift in education and temporary weather-related client site closures in the Southeast United States.
Company Guidance
During Aramark's Second Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Results Conference Call, guidance for the remainder of the fiscal year was outlined with a focus on sustaining strong performance metrics. Key highlights included a client retention rate above 98% and new client wins totaling $760 million year-to-date, supporting a net new business growth target of 4% to 5%. Organic revenue grew to $4.3 billion, a 3% increase, with 6% revenue growth continuing into April. Aramark reported record AOI profitability for any second quarter, with over 20% adjusted EPS growth on a constant currency basis. The company anticipates double-digit revenue growth in the second half of fiscal '25, driven by a strong sales pipeline, higher base business volume, and continued operational excellence, while maintaining its financial performance outlook for the year.

ARAMARK Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aramark Holdings demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth and profitability. While the company effectively manages its cash flows, high leverage remains a potential risk. Overall, Aramark appears well-positioned in its industry, with opportunities to enhance profitability and reduce financial risk.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Aramark Holdings exhibits strong revenue growth with a 7.94% increase in the most recent fiscal year, indicating robust market demand and business expansion. The gross profit margin is stable at 7.85% for TTM, reflecting effective cost management. However, net profit margin remains modest at 1.97%, suggesting room for improvement in operational efficiency. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, at 4.38% and 7.08% respectively, indicating strong core profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 2.27, indicating a relatively high leverage, which might pose financial risk if not managed carefully. The return on equity is 11.52%, reflecting decent returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is 22.39%, highlighting a stable asset base but also indicating a reliance on debt for financing.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Aramark's free cash flow increased by 24.07% in the latest TTM period, showcasing strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.39, indicating efficient cash generation relative to reported profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.07, suggesting effective conversion of profits into cash.
Breakdown
TTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
17.62B17.40B18.85B16.33B12.10B12.83B
Gross Profit
1.38B1.43B1.82B1.56B1.09B835.89M
EBIT
771.91M706.51M862.93M628.37M191.44M-66.32M
EBITDA
1.25B1.17B1.53B1.16B580.74M310.67M
Net Income Common Stockholders
348.01M262.52M674.11M194.48M-92.22M-461.44M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
920.46M714.83M2.07B329.45M532.59M2.51B
Total Assets
13.49B12.67B16.87B15.08B14.38B15.71B
Total Debt
6.84B5.57B8.63B7.79B7.83B9.69B
Net Debt
5.92B4.89B6.66B7.46B7.30B7.18B
Total Liabilities
10.46B9.63B13.15B12.04B11.64B12.97B
Stockholders Equity
3.02B3.04B3.71B3.03B2.72B2.74B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
371.05M299.09M305.02M329.74M281.74M-187.75M
Operating Cash Flow
831.11M726.51M766.43M694.50M657.08M176.68M
Investing Cash Flow
-608.51M-415.86M208.91M-831.29M-634.39M-361.12M
Financing Cash Flow
338.38M-1.56B653.65M-37.69M-2.01B2.44B

ARAMARK Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price40.08
Price Trends
50DMA
36.42
Positive
100DMA
36.42
Positive
200DMA
37.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.88
Positive
RSI
60.93
Neutral
STOCH
61.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARMK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 40.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.83, above the 50-day MA of 36.42, and above the 200-day MA of 37.27, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.88 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ARMK.

ARAMARK Holdings Risk Analysis

ARAMARK Holdings disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ARAMARK Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ARAMARK Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
UNUNF
77
Outperform
$3.35B22.937.17%0.76%5.04%31.69%
76
Outperform
$90.27B51.5040.15%0.70%7.79%19.09%
RTRTO
76
Outperform
$11.95B30.067.44%3.27%3.96%-17.48%
CBCBZ
74
Outperform
$3.76B46.846.25%32.27%-40.50%
71
Outperform
$10.57B30.8511.77%1.05%-3.47%-45.03%
66
Neutral
$4.47B12.225.40%3.65%4.14%-12.00%
ABABM
61
Neutral
$2.80B35.974.30%2.36%3.52%-67.27%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARMK
ARAMARK Holdings
40.08
6.75
20.25%
ABM
ABM Industries
44.93
-4.66
-9.40%
CBZ
CBIZ
68.86
-7.25
-9.53%
CTAS
Cintas
221.98
46.45
26.46%
UNF
UniFirst
184.45
29.69
19.18%
RTO
Rentokil Initial
23.39
-5.26
-18.36%

ARAMARK Holdings Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Aramark Holdings Announces Senior Notes Redemption Plan
Neutral
Jan 17, 2025

On January 17, 2025, Aramark Services, Inc., an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of Aramark, announced its decision to redeem the entire $551,538,000 principal amount of its 5.000% Senior Notes due 2025. The redemption, conditioned upon securing new indebtedness, will occur on February 18, 2025, at a price equal to the full principal amount plus accrued interest. In tandem with this redemption, Aramark has successfully syndicated new U.S. dollar denominated term loans amounting to $1,395 million, due June 2030. The proceeds from these loans are expected to be used for the redemption, refinancing existing loans, and covering related expenses, while maintaining a net leverage neutral position for the company.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.