Societe Generale (SCGLY)
:SCGLY
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Societe Generale (SCGLY) AI Stock Analysis

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SCGLY

Societe Generale

(OTC:SCGLY)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:―
Societe Generale's overall score is bolstered by strong financial performance, highlighted by impressive revenue growth and profitability. Technical analysis supports a positive outlook, although caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. Valuation metrics indicate the stock is fairly priced, and the recent earnings call reinforces confidence in the company's strategic direction despite macroeconomic risks.

Societe Generale (SCGLY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Societe Generale Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSociété Générale S.A. is a leading European financial services group, headquartered in Paris, France. Established in 1864, the company operates across three main business sectors: French Retail Banking, International Retail Banking and Financial Services, and Global Banking and Investor Solutions. Société Générale offers a wide range of products and services, including retail banking, corporate and investment banking, asset management, and private banking, serving individuals, businesses, and institutional clients worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneySociété Générale generates revenue through a diversified model consisting of several key streams. In French Retail Banking, income is derived from interest on loans and mortgages, fees for account maintenance, and transaction services. International Retail Banking and Financial Services contribute to earnings through a similar mix of interest income and service fees, but also include specialized financial services like vehicle leasing and fleet management. The Global Banking and Investor Solutions segment provides substantial revenue through investment banking activities, including advisory services, capital markets, trading, and risk management solutions. Additionally, Société Générale benefits from its asset management and securities services, which earn fees based on assets under management and transaction volumes. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures in various financial markets enhance these revenue streams, alongside a focus on digital innovation to improve customer experience and operational efficiency.

Societe Generale Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with significant revenue growth, improved cost efficiency, and a robust capital position. However, there are concerns about increasing bankruptcy rates in France, a decline in equities revenues, and potential regulatory and tax changes that could impact future performance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenues grew by 6.7% over the first nine months of 2025 compared to last year, reaching EUR 20.5 billion, excluding asset disposals.
Improved Cost Efficiency
Costs decreased by more than 2% for the first nine months of 2025 versus the same period in 2024, leading to a cost-to-income ratio of 63.3%, better than the 2025 target of below 65%.
Solid Capital Position
CET1 ratio increased by 20 basis points this quarter and stands at 13.7%, above the Basel IV target of 13%.
High ROTE Achievement
Group return on tangible equity reached 10.5%, a 3.4 percentage point increase versus the same period in 2024.
Successful Share Buyback
Completed a EUR 1 billion additional share buyback program, contributing to a strong capital position.
BoursoBank Client Growth
BoursoBank gained 1.5 million clients since Q3 2024, reaching its CMD target of 8 million clients 18 months ahead of schedule.
Negative Updates
Increased Bankruptcy Rates in France
Slight increase in bankruptcy rates impacting SME segment cost of risk, though overall risk remains contained.
Equities Revenue Decline
Equities revenues decreased by 7% due to a strong comparison base from Q3 2024 and negative impacts from FX and day one accounting adjustments.
Pressure from Potential Tax Changes
Concerns regarding potential tax changes on share buybacks and dividends, which might affect capital distribution strategies.
Regulatory Challenges
Potential cap on banking fees in France discussed in Parliament, which could impact revenues in the French retail segment.
Company Guidance
During the Societe Generale conference call, CEO Slawomir Krupa and CFO Leopoldo Alvear detailed the bank's impressive third-quarter and nine-month results for 2025. The bank achieved a 6.7% revenue increase over the first nine months, totaling EUR 20.5 billion, while costs decreased by over 2%, resulting in a cost-to-income ratio of 63.3%, better than the 2025 target of below 65%. The group reported a net income of EUR 4.6 billion, and the return on tangible equity rose by 3.4 percentage points to 10.5%. The CET1 ratio improved by 20 basis points to 13.7%, exceeding the target of 13%, despite a slight rise in organic RWA. The call highlighted significant positive jaws, disciplined cost control, and robust asset quality, with a cost of risk in line with guidance at 25 basis points. These strong financials have supported a EUR 1 billion share buyback program, further boosting shareholder value.

Societe Generale Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Societe Generale exhibits strong revenue growth and profitability, despite mixed cash flow results. The balance sheet is robust with improved equity ratios and reduced leverage, enhancing financial stability. However, cash flow management is a concern, highlighting a need for improved liquidity strategies.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Societe Generale's revenue growth rate from 2023 to 2024 is approximately 18.37%, indicating a reasonable growth trajectory. The gross profit margin is 100%, showing effective cost management. However, net profit margin decreased slightly from 5.62% in 2023 to 8.00% in 2024, which is still strong. The absence of EBIT and EBITDA figures for 2024 could indicate a shift in reporting or operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The equity ratio improved to 4.46% in 2024 from 4.24% in 2023, reflecting a stable equity base. The debt-to-equity ratio is virtually zero due to the absence of reported total debt in 2024, potentially indicating conservative financial management. Return on equity decreased from 3.78% in 2023 to 5.98% in 2024, suggesting improved profitability relative to shareholder equity.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
The operating cash flow turned negative in 2024, indicating cash management challenges. Free cash flow also turned negative, impacting financial flexibility. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, pointing to potential liquidity issues. However, the company managed to reduce the financing cash outflows, suggesting efforts to stabilize cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue35.14B25.26B24.08B53.99B25.72B18.83B
Gross Profit35.56B52.51B24.08B25.51B25.72B18.83B
EBITDA8.35B0.0012.84B9.58B13.48B0.00
Net Income5.47B4.20B2.49B1.82B5.64B-258.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.55T1.57T1.55T1.49T1.46T1.46T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments212.56B317.62B327.40B289.83B284.55B245.79B
Total Debt172.72B112.62B179.81B89.00B41.76B83.84B
Total Liabilities1.47T1.49T1.48T1.41T1.39T1.38T
Stockholders Equity68.29B70.26B65.97B66.97B65.07B61.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-21.53B25.56B29.50B13.83B75.20B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-10.10B37.42B39.09B20.29B80.79B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-13.74B-12.07B-9.01B-10.12B-6.86B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-1.27B-3.90B-214.00M-3.63B2.13B

Societe Generale Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.35
Price Trends
50DMA
12.88
Positive
100DMA
12.54
Positive
200DMA
10.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Negative
RSI
63.84
Neutral
STOCH
99.99
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SCGLY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.68, below the 50-day MA of 12.88, and above the 200-day MA of 10.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 99.99 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SCGLY.

Societe Generale Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$73.30B12.0611.31%3.53%1.79%30.93%
77
Outperform
$44.90B9.887.25%1.05%-13.59%182.59%
76
Outperform
$22.26B11.1711.43%4.00%4.00%28.54%
74
Outperform
$77.16B10.5419.90%5.92%11.82%3.41%
70
Outperform
$71.96B16.467.85%3.37%-20.94%-18.71%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$81.81B14.208.69%1.40%-2.22%24.37%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SCGLY
Societe Generale
13.56
8.20
152.99%
ITUB
Itau Unibanco
7.64
2.65
53.11%
LYG
Lloyds Banking
5.03
2.40
91.25%
MFG
Mizuho Financial
6.80
2.28
50.44%
PNC
PNC Financial
186.91
-14.92
-7.39%
RF
Regions Financial
25.39
0.35
1.40%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 02, 2025