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Schneider Electric (SBGSY)
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Schneider Electric SE (SBGSY) AI Stock Analysis

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SBGSY

Schneider Electric SE

(OTC:SBGSY)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$65.00
â–²(12.34% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:03/01/26
The score is driven primarily by strong operating profitability and reliable free-cash-flow generation, reinforced by upbeat 2026 guidance and strong backlog-driven visibility. Offsetting factors are elevated valuation (high P/E with modest yield) and technically overextended momentum signals that raise near-term downside risk, alongside rising leverage and recent revenue softness.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow & conversion
Consistent, large FCF (EUR4.6B) and very high cash conversion provide durable funding for capex, R&D, debt reduction and shareholder returns. Reliable cash generation reduces execution risk and supports strategic investments and simplification plans over the next several years.
Record backlog & data‑center visibility
A >€25bn backlog giving 18–24 months of visibility materially improves revenue predictability and resource planning, underpinning the 2026 growth targets. Backlog strength reduces near-term demand uncertainty and supports margin management across project-heavy segments.
Digital & recurring revenue momentum
A large and growing recurring/software & services base (62% digital, AVEVA ARR growth) shifts mix toward higher‑visibility, sticky revenue. This structural move improves lifetime customer value, supports margin resilience, and aligns with secular demand for energy/automation digitalization.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
Growing debt ratios reduce financial flexibility and increase sensitivity to cashflow swings. With leverage up materially since 2021, Schneider needs sustained strong FCF to delever; otherwise higher interest costs or constrained M&A/return policies could limit strategic optionality.
Gross margin pressure
Persistent input-cost inflation, tariffs and adverse mix can structurally compress gross margins if pricing pass-through lags. Management expects H1 pressure, meaning margin recovery relies on effective pricing and cost programs; failure would erode operating leverage.
Slowing top‑line momentum
A deceleration to flat/negative organic revenue and softer reported net income weakens operating leverage. If top‑line momentum doesn't reaccelerate, margin gains and cash flow must offset growth shortfalls, making targets and deleveraging plans harder to achieve.

Schneider Electric SE (SBGSY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Schneider Electric SE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSchneider Electric S.E. provides energy and automation digital solutions worldwide. It operates through two segments, Energy Management and Industrial Automation. The company offers busway and cable support products, circuit breakers and switches, contactors and protection relays, electrical protection and control products, energy management software solutions, transfer switches, surge protection and power conditioning products, power monitoring and control products, power quality and power factor correction products, pushbuttons, switches, pilot lights and joysticks, software products, and switchboards and enclosures. It also provides access control, building management, fire detection, sensors and room units, valve and valve actuator, and variable and frequency speed drive. In addition, the company offers feeder automation, grid automation and SCADA software products, medium voltage switchgears and transformers, outdoor equipment, substation automation products, and switchgear components. Further, it provides critical power and cooling services, data center software, IT power distribution products, prefabricated data center modules, racks and accessories, and security and environmental monitoring products; home automation and security, installation materials and systems, light switches and electrical sockets, and uninterruptible power supply products; and human machine interface, industrial automation software, industrial communication, measurement and instrumentation, motion control and robotics, signaling units, programmable logic and automation controllers, power supply and protection, process control and safety, RFID systems, signaling devices, and other industrial automation and control products, as well as solar and energy storage. The company was founded in 1836 and is headquartered in Rueil-Malmaison, France.
How the Company Makes MoneySchneider Electric generates revenue primarily through the sale of its products, services, and software solutions. Key revenue streams include the sale of electrical equipment and systems, industrial automation products, and software licenses, with significant contributions from ongoing service contracts and maintenance agreements. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with other technology firms, enabling it to integrate its solutions into broader ecosystems. Additionally, Schneider Electric's focus on sustainability and energy efficiency aligns with growing market demand, further enhancing its earning potential.

Schneider Electric SE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall the call was constructive and optimistic: Schneider reported record revenues (>EUR 40B), strong Q4 acceleration, robust free cash flow (EUR 4.6B) and a record backlog (>EUR 25B), alongside digital and sustainability progress. Management acknowledged material near-term headwinds — gross margin pressure from raw materials, tariffs and mix, FX translation impacts, restructuring and some impairments, and ongoing China deflation — but provided concrete 2026 targets (organic revenue 7–10%, adjusted EBITA growth 10–15%, margin expansion 50–80 bps) and action plans (pricing ramp, simplification, regionalization, gross‑margin initiatives) intended to address these issues. Given the magnitude and number of positive operating and financial achievements and the clear mitigation plans, the highlights outweigh the disclosed challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Annual Revenue
Schneider Electric exceeded EUR 40 billion in full-year 2025 revenues (EUR 40.2B), up +9% organic year-over-year — the first time the company surpassed the EUR 40B milestone.
Strong Q4 Finish
Q4 revenues reached ~EUR 11 billion, with quarter organic growth of ~10.7%–11% and strong sequential acceleration across both businesses (systems +19% in Q4, software & services +10% organic in Q4).
Record Backlog and Data Center Visibility
Year-end backlog exceeded EUR 25 billion, up ~18% (not constant currency), providing 18–24 months of visibility in data center projects and supporting revenue visibility into 2026–2027.
Profitability and Margin Progress
Adjusted EBITA grew +12.3% (within the 10–15% target) and the group delivered a +50 basis-point expansion in adjusted EBITDA margin organically for 2025.
Strong Free Cash Flow and Cash Conversion
Free cash flow of EUR 4.6 billion with a cash conversion ratio slightly above 110% (reported conversion ~106% or 111% including noncash impairments), marking the third consecutive year above EUR 4B.
Digital & Recurring Revenue Momentum
Digital flywheel revenue reached EUR 25 billion (62% of total revenue) and grew +15% year-over-year; services and software are close to 20% of the portfolio with AVEVA ARR growth of +12%.
Business Mix Strength — Energy Management & Industrial Automation
Energy Management grew slightly above +10% for the year (fifth consecutive year of double-digit growth); Industrial Automation returned to full-year growth (+3%) with H2 growth of +7% supporting recovery.
Sustainability & People Metrics
Reported cumulative 'saved and avoided' CO2 of 862 million tonnes since program inception and expanded access-to-clean-energy reach to 61 million people; employee share ownership strong (63% participation globally).
2026 Financial Targets and Strategic Guidance
Management set 2026 targets: organic revenue growth 7–10%, adjusted EBITA growth 10–15%, and organic adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of 50–80 bps (full-year margin target ~19.1–19.4%); reiterated strategic priorities (AI, regional hubs, gross‑margin programs).
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Pressure
Group gross margin came in at 42.1%, down ~40 basis points organically versus prior year; management cited tariffs, raw material inflation (notably copper and silver), and negative mix (systems vs. products) as primary headwinds.
FX Headwinds
Currency movements (USD depreciation) produced a negative FX impact in 2025 and management expects a continued 2026 revenue headwind of approximately -€850M to -€950M and ~-10 bps on adjusted EBITDA margin at current rates.
Net Income and Non‑operational Charges
Reported net income declined ~-2% (reported) with adjusted net income up +4% reported (+14% organic); non-operational items included ~EUR 100M of H2 impairments and higher financing/PPA costs impacting reported profitability.
Restructuring and Near‑term Costs
Restructuring and simplification costs rose to nearly EUR 300M in 2025 tied to the simplification program; these are front-loaded to drive future SFC-to-sales reductions (-1.5 to -2 pts target between 2026–2030).
Industrial Automation Margin Lag
Industrial Automation adjusted EBITDA margin remained modest at ~14.2% (improvement only ~10 bps organic) with prior-period operating deleverage in H1 2025 and ongoing mix and transition impacts (AVEVA subscription transition) constraining margin expansion.
China Deflation and Market Headwinds
China remained deflationary in 2025 (low single-digit growth there for the year) with building/construction markets subdued; management noted tentative signs of pricing starting, but China deflation was a headwind to group pricing/margins.
Timing of Price Cost Pass‑Through
While management plans to be net price positive in 2026 and turn gross margin positive during the year, they warned of flat-to-negative gross margin progression in H1 2026 given timing of pricing, tariffs, and raw material moves.
Software Transition and Short‑term Disruption Risk
AVEVA/OSI subscription transitions and the broader move to more AI-driven software models create short-term margin and monetization complexity (token/flex pricing models being adopted), with potential disruption risks to certain UI-based software layers.
Company Guidance
Schneider guided 2026 to 7–10% organic revenue growth and 10–15% adjusted EBITA growth, targeting an organic adjusted EBITDA margin improvement of 50–80 basis points (implying a full‑year margin of roughly 19.1–19.4%); management expects gross margin to turn positive during 2026 as pricing is ramped (H1 may remain flat/negative due to tariff/RMI timing), will be supported by a record backlog >€25bn (up 18%) and strong data‑center visibility, and flags an FX headwind of ~€850–950m on revenues (≈‑10bps on adjusted EBITDA) — cash conversion is targeted around 100% (after €4.6bn FCF and ~106–111% conversion in 2025) while ongoing simplification (≈€300m restructuring in 2025) aims to deliver −1.5 to −2.0pp improvement in SFC‑to‑sales through 2030.

Schneider Electric SE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and improving profitability (EBIT margin rising to ~17.5% by 2025) and consistently solid free cash flow conversion (~82.5% of net income in 2025). Offsetting these strengths are slowing momentum (2025 revenue -1.9% and net income down vs 2024) and higher leverage (debt-to-equity up to ~0.73 in 2025), which reduces flexibility if growth remains soft.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Schneider Electric shows solid profitability for an industrial company, with gross margin holding around ~39–43% and operating profitability improving versus 2020 (EBIT margin rising from ~12.0% in 2020 to ~17.5% in 2025). Net margin remains healthy around ~10–11% across most years. The main watch-out is growth momentum: revenue expanded strongly from 2021–2023, but slowed in 2024 and turned slightly negative in 2025 (-1.9%), and net income also dipped versus 2024 despite higher operating margins.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is generally sound with good profitability on shareholder capital (return on equity in the mid-teens, ~16.5% in 2025). Leverage is moderate but trending higher: debt-to-equity increased from ~0.44 (2021) to ~0.73 (2025), driven by rising debt and lower equity versus 2024. Total assets are stable, but the leverage uptick reduces flexibility if the softer revenue trend persists.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
Cash generation is a strength: free cash flow is consistently positive and closely tracks earnings (free cash flow is ~75–83% of net income across the period, ~82.5% in 2025). 2025 free cash flow growth is strong (+15.6%), following generally steady performance in prior years. A weaker point is that cash flow is not large relative to the debt load (operating cash flow covers ~32% of total debt in 2025), so the company benefits from maintaining strong cash conversion to keep leverage in check.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue40.15B38.15B35.90B34.18B28.91B
Gross Profit16.49B16.27B14.62B13.40B11.35B
EBITDA8.68B7.39B7.19B6.36B5.34B
Net Income4.16B4.27B4.00B3.48B3.20B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets62.48B65.94B58.90B58.37B54.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.63B6.89B4.70B3.99B2.63B
Total Debt17.74B16.31B13.93B11.73B10.84B
Total Liabilities38.03B34.66B31.73B32.27B26.44B
Stockholders Equity24.19B30.49B26.46B25.44B24.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.86B4.63B4.54B3.26B2.74B
Operating Cash Flow5.89B5.58B5.91B4.35B3.62B
Investing Cash Flow-7.93B-1.99B-1.05B-1.41B-5.17B
Financing Cash Flow293.92M-1.62B-3.82B-1.45B-3.09B

Schneider Electric SE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price57.86
Price Trends
50DMA
58.23
Positive
100DMA
56.78
Positive
200DMA
54.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
48.44
Neutral
STOCH
19.49
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SBGSY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 57.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 61.08, below the 50-day MA of 58.23, and above the 200-day MA of 54.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.49 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SBGSY.

Schneider Electric SE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$113.87B32.8225.65%0.79%0.22%26.66%
79
Outperform
$49.36B31.9714.26%0.59%3.67%10.44%
76
Outperform
$135.24B30.2421.67%1.29%8.24%6.21%
73
Outperform
$165.25B31.6016.28%1.51%8.49%11.63%
69
Neutral
$74.33B30.8111.61%1.58%2.97%18.14%
68
Neutral
$40.25B35.9427.69%1.33%0.98%-7.51%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SBGSY
Schneider Electric SE
58.71
10.45
21.64%
AME
Ametek
215.57
43.82
25.51%
ETN
Eaton
348.64
68.38
24.40%
EMR
Emerson Electric Company
132.18
24.77
23.06%
PH
Parker Hannifin
902.17
315.94
53.89%
ROK
Rockwell Automation
358.20
106.76
42.46%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 01, 2026