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SB Financial Group Inc (SBFG)
NASDAQ:SBFG

SB Financial Group (SBFG) AI Stock Analysis

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SBFG

SB Financial Group

(NASDAQ:SBFG)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$22.00
▲(3.72% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/07/26
The score is driven primarily by improving recent financial performance and a constructive earnings outlook (growth, liquidity, and asset quality), supported by attractive valuation (low P/E and ~3% yield). These positives are partially offset by weak current technical momentum and guidance for modest NIM pressure plus noninterest-income variability.
Positive Factors
Consistent profitability
Sustained profitability and meaningful EPS growth demonstrate recurring earnings power and operational resilience. Persistent positive net income supports internal capital generation, funds dividends and buybacks, and creates a durable cushion against cyclical shocks in a regional banking franchise.
Stable core loan and deposit growth
Consistent organic loan expansion funded by core deposits strengthens net interest income sustainability. Repeatable lending momentum and growing customer deposits reduce reliance on wholesale funding, support earning asset expansion, and underpin mid‑term revenue durability.
Improving capital returns and tangible book growth
Rising tangible book and active buybacks plus consecutive dividend increases signal disciplined capital allocation and healthy retained earnings. This track record reflects a stronger capital base that supports shareholder returns while retaining capacity for balance sheet growth.
Negative Factors
Noninterest income volatility
Material swings in mortgage servicing and other fee income reduce revenue diversification and make earnings more rate‑cycle and housing‑supply sensitive. Persistent volatility in noninterest revenue undermines predictability of operating results and complicates medium‑term planning.
NIM pressure from funding costs
Even modest NIM compression directly reduces core net interest income for a community bank reliant on lending spread. Rising deposit costs and competitive funding pressures can persist, limiting margin upside and constraining the translation of loan growth into proportional profit gains.
Historical leverage and cash‑flow volatility
Past swings in leverage and choppy free cash flow weaken predictability of capital stability and make future dividend/buyback pacing riskier. Inconsistent cash generation and episodic leverage increases reduce resilience to stress and complicate multi‑period financial planning.

SB Financial Group (SBFG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SB Financial Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSB Financial Group, Inc. provides a range of commercial banking and wealth management services to individual and corporate customers primarily in Ohio, Indiana, and Michigan. It offers checking, savings, money market accounts, as well as time certificates of deposit; and commercial, consumer, agricultural, and residential mortgage loans. The company also provides automatic teller machine, personal and corporate trust, commercial leasing, bank credit card, safe deposit box rental, internet banking, private client group, and other personalized banking products and services; and various trust and financial services comprising asset management services for individuals and corporate employee benefit plans, as well as brokerage services. In addition, it sells insurance products to retail and commercial customers. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated a network of 22 banking centers in the Ohio counties of Allen, Defiance, Franklin, Fulton, Hancock, Lucas, Paulding, Wood, and Williams; and one banking center in Allen County, Indiana. It also operated five loan production offices in Franklin and Lucas Counties, Ohio; Hamilton and Steuben Counties, Indiana; and Monroe County, Michigan. The company was formerly known as Rurban Financial Corp. and changed its name to SB Financial Group, Inc. in April 2013. SB Financial Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Defiance, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneySB Financial Group generates revenue through multiple key streams. Primarily, the company earns interest income from its banking operations, which include loans, mortgages, and credit products. Service fees from account maintenance, transaction processing, and financial advisory services also contribute significantly to its income. Additionally, SBFG generates revenue from asset management and investment services, charging management fees based on the assets under management. The insurance division earns premiums from policyholders, which adds another layer to its revenue model. Strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and referral agreements enhance its service offerings and broaden its customer base, further driving revenue growth.

SB Financial Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 29, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominantly positive performance narrative: strong earnings, meaningful loan and deposit growth, improved tangible book value, healthy liquidity and solid asset quality. Management demonstrated disciplined expense control and capital returns. Offsetting items include weaker noninterest income due to MSR/OMSR impacts, a missed mortgage budget, some deposit pricing pressure and slower-than-desired credit resolution on isolated exposures. Overall, the positive operating and capital trends and management’s articulated plans for continued growth and cost discipline outweigh the headwinds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings and EPS Growth
Net income of $3.9 million for the quarter; diluted EPS $0.63, up $0.08 (~15%) YoY. Full-year GAAP EPS $2.19, a 27% increase vs 2024 and 18% above 2025 budget; 60th consecutive quarter of profitability.
Net Interest Income and Margin Expansion
Quarterly net interest income $12.7 million, up ~17% YoY; full-year NII $48.4 million, up 21% YoY. NIM reported at ~3.51%; yield on earning assets improved 17 bps YoY to 5.32% and loan yield was 5.94% (+19 bps YoY). Management attributes ~50% of revenue growth to larger balance sheet and ~50% to wider margins.
Sustained Loan and Deposit Growth
Quarter loan growth of $70 million (25% annualized); full-year loan growth +$133.9 million (+12.8% YoY) marking 7 consecutive quarters of sequential loan growth. Deposits increased $45 million in the quarter (14% annualized) and ~+$155 million (13% YoY); excluding acquisition deposits, deposits grew 9.3% YoY.
Strong Liquidity and Balance Sheet Position
Total assets reached $3.6 billion (bank assets $1.5B; residential servicing ~$1.5B; wealth $566M). Held ~ $50 million in excess liquidity, $160 million in outstanding debt capacity and contingent liquidity/access to wholesale markets of over $550 million. Loan-to-deposit ratio at 90.3%, inside target 90–95%.
Capital Management and Shareholder Returns
Tangible book value per share $18, up 12.5% YoY; adjusted tangible book value $21.44. Repurchased ~32,000 shares in Q4 and ~$5.5 million YTD in buybacks. Announced dividend of $0.155/share (~2.8% yield), representing ~25% of earnings and the 13th consecutive year of increases.
Revenue Diversification and Business-Line Wins
Recurring net interest margin revenue now ~75% of total revenue. Peak Title revenue improved 25% to $2.0 million with net income +60% to $583k. Total assets under care expanded and the bank reported its highest gain-on-sale mortgage revenue since 2021.
Operating Discipline and Positive Operating Leverage
Operating expenses declined ~2.3% QoQ; full-year expense growth (excluding one-time merger costs) 7.7% vs full-year revenue growth 15.1% resulting in ~2x core operating leverage. Management expects expense growth ~3.5–4% in 2026 with continued positive operating leverage (1.5–2x).
Solid Asset Quality Metrics
Nonperforming loans to total loans declined to 0.39%. Nonperforming assets totaled $4.7 million. Charge-offs were 2 basis points for 2025 (4 bps in Q4). Allowance for credit losses 1.36% of loans, providing 352% coverage of nonperforming assets.
Negative Updates
Noninterest Income Decline and OMSR Impairment
Noninterest income for the quarter $3.7 million, down 18.6% YoY and 12.6% QoQ driven by decreased mortgage servicing rights and an OMSR impairment. Fee-based revenue contribution fell from historical ~35% to ~26% of total revenue.
Mortgage Volume Missed Budget and Headwinds
Full-year mortgage volume $278 million missed budget by ~28% despite being +8% YoY. Q4 originations $72.4 million were down YoY; management notes pipeline fluidity and limited housing inventory as constraints on faster improvement.
Funding Cost Pressure and Margin Outlook
Total interest expense for the quarter $6.6 million, up >10% YoY. Management expects NIM to gradually decline ~5–7 bps in 2026 due to higher funding cost mix and deposit pricing pressure; deposit competition and pricing requests noted during the quarter.
Credit Resolution Delays and Slight Rise in Delinquencies
Management acknowledged isolated credit pressure with resolution taking longer than desired. Total delinquencies increased 4 bps QoQ to 49 bps. While classified loans fell modestly YoY, management expects continued work to resolve remaining problem credits.
Reserve Ratio Moderately Diluted by Rapid Loan Growth
Allowance for credit losses increased ~$171,000 in Q4 but allowance as a percentage of loans declined ~8 bps as loan growth outpaced reserve builds, indicating modest dilution of reserve coverage even though coverage vs NPA remains robust.
Concentration of Growth in Select Markets
A meaningful portion of recent commercial growth was concentrated in the Greater Columbus market (~$73 million for the year). Management acknowledges concentration risk and the need to replicate success across other regions to diversify growth.
Mortgage Banking and Noninterest Revenue Variability
Mortgage banking contribution (~$1.5 million this quarter) was down vs prior year. Management flagged reliance on opportunistic hedging and gains-on-sale; noninterest revenue remains volatile and below prior-year quarter levels.
Pipeline and Staffing Uncertainty for Aggressive Mortgage Targets
Management noted plans to add mortgage lenders to expand capacity, but current 2026 mortgage guidance is modest (low-to-mid single-digit growth base case ~$310–$330M). Achieving higher targets requires additional hires and execution; budget shortfall in 2025 underscores the risk.
Company Guidance
Management guided that NIM of 3.51% will face modest pressure — a 5–7 bps decline expected in 2026 — while roughly $125–$140 million of loans are contractually slated to reprice in the first nine months; they expect continued organic loan growth (after 2025 Y/Y loan growth of 12.8% and seven consecutive quarters of growth) funded by core deposits (total deposits $1.3B, excluding Marblehead +9.3% Y/Y; Marblehead added $47M at a 1.35% WAC) and excess liquidity (~$50M) plus $160M debt capacity and >$550M contingent liquidity. Mortgage production guidance ranged from a baseline ~$310–$330M (low‑to‑mid single‑digit growth) with upside to $350–$375M if additional lenders are added (management also noted scenarios for faster growth), mortgage sales to remain near 85%, recurring NII to remain ~75% of revenue, loan yields ~5.94% and earning asset yield 5.32%, funding cost 2.34%, loan‑to‑deposit target 90–95%, allowance at 1.36% (coverage 352% of NPAs), NPAs $4.7M, and reserves/provision expected roughly flat (reserve ratio may decline ~3–4 bps); expense growth forecast ~3.5–4% with positive operating leverage ~1.5–2x, a 2026 net income target toward $15M, and a $0.155/share dividend (≈2.8% yield, 25% of earnings).

SB Financial Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Recent fundamentals improved (strong 2025 revenue acceleration, solid mid-teens net margin, and a sharp 2025 rebound in operating/free cash flow). Offsets include multi-year margin compression versus 2020–2021, uneven growth/cash-flow consistency across years, and historically volatile leverage (though improved in 2024–2025).
Income Statement
66
Positive
Revenue has accelerated in the most recent year (2025 up strongly vs. 2024), and profitability remains solid with a mid‑teens net margin and near-19% operating margin in 2025. However, the longer-term trend shows meaningful margin compression versus 2020–2021 levels, and revenue growth has been uneven across the cycle (including declines in 2021–2022). Overall: improving top-line momentum recently, but profitability is not as strong as prior peak years.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Leverage looks manageable in the latest period with debt at about half of equity in 2024–2025, a clear improvement from the higher leverage seen in 2022–2023. Equity has grown steadily, and returns on equity are fairly consistent around ~9–10% recently. The key weakness is the historical volatility in leverage (rising sharply in 2022–2023 before pulling back), which suggests the capital structure has not been fully stable over time.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash generation improved sharply in 2025 with operating cash flow and free cash flow both rising strongly and fully covering net income (free cash flow roughly matching earnings). That said, cash flow has been choppy: free cash flow declined in 2023 and 2024 before rebounding, and operating cash flow in 2024 was comparatively weak versus earnings. Overall: strong latest-year rebound, but consistency is a concern.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue91.03M81.37M75.87M62.80M72.60M
Gross Profit64.54M56.81M56.68M57.63M67.53M
EBITDA17.25M17.41M18.28M19.33M28.94M
Net Income13.97M11.47M12.10M12.52M18.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.55B1.38B1.34B1.34B1.33B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments79.46M199.25M244.21M268.73M415.41M
Total Debt74.28M65.28M116.63M94.52M40.37M
Total Liabilities1.40B1.25B1.22B1.22B1.19B
Stockholders Equity141.24M127.51M124.34M118.43M144.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow24.04M8.22M13.03M23.67M14.83M
Operating Cash Flow24.04M9.45M13.99M25.57M17.26M
Investing Cash Flow-68.08M-28.95M-17.39M-165.67M-71.99M
Financing Cash Flow89.66M22.46M-1.45M18.41M63.55M

SB Financial Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.21
Price Trends
50DMA
21.47
Negative
100DMA
21.03
Negative
200DMA
20.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.30
Positive
RSI
37.37
Neutral
STOCH
35.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SBFG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.04, below the 50-day MA of 21.47, and above the 200-day MA of 20.19, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.30 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SBFG.

SB Financial Group Risk Analysis

SB Financial Group disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SB Financial Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SB Financial Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$170.14M10.477.43%2.93%6.10%59.32%
74
Outperform
$107.41M9.7815.11%6.08%14.52%27.90%
70
Outperform
$168.02M12.1011.84%1.96%11.36%25.07%
68
Neutral
$126.65M35.781.57%0.88%9.43%166.36%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$128.30M10.1510.12%2.69%10.78%21.72%
55
Neutral
$142.59M-9.56-35.87%-11.99%63.64%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SBFG
SB Financial Group
20.37
1.68
8.97%
EBMT
Eagle Bancorp Montana
21.40
4.88
29.56%
FCAP
First Capital
50.19
13.17
35.58%
PNBK
Patriot National Bancorp
1.24
0.19
18.10%
UNB
Union Bankshares
23.44
-3.53
-13.08%
SRBK
SR Bancorp, Inc.
16.72
5.23
45.52%

SB Financial Group Corporate Events

Dividends
SB Financial Group Raises Quarterly Dividend by Seven Percent
Positive
Jan 23, 2026

On January 23, 2026, SB Financial Group, Inc. announced that its board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.155 per common share, payable on February 27, 2026, to shareholders of record as of February 13, 2026. The payout represents a 7% increase over the prior-year quarterly dividend of $0.145 per share, lifting the total dividend for the past four quarters to $0.61 per share from $0.57 per share, and equating to a stated yield of 2.7%, signaling continued capital returns and a modestly strengthened shareholder payout profile.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBFG) stock is a Buy with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SB Financial Group stock, see the SBFG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
SB Financial Group announces board transition and new director
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

On December 17, 2025, SB Financial Group implemented a planned transition on its board of directors as longtime director Rita A. Kissner retired after more than 21 years of service and was honored with the title of director emeritus, while the board simultaneously appointed veteran advisory board member and local entrepreneur Sue A. Strausbaugh to fill the resulting vacancy, a move announced publicly on December 19, 2025. The change maintains continuity in governance by elevating Strausbaugh, who brings more than 13 years of experience on the company’s Defiance Advisory Board and extensive community and nonprofit involvement, underscoring SB Financial’s emphasis on local market expertise, strong oversight and long-term shareholder value while confirming there are no related-party or conflict-of-interest concerns tied to her appointment.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBFG) stock is a Buy with a $24.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SB Financial Group stock, see the SBFG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 07, 2026