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Rumble Inc (RUM)
NASDAQ:RUM
US Market

Rumble (RUM) AI Stock Analysis

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RUM

Rumble

(NASDAQ:RUM)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▼(-12.00% Downside)
The score is primarily driven down by weak financial performance (large losses, negative margins, and declining revenue) and pressured cash flow trends. Technicals also remain bearish with the price below key moving averages and a negative MACD. Valuation provides limited support because the negative P/E reflects unprofitability and there is no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / strong equity base
Rumble’s minimal leverage and high equity ratio provide durable financial flexibility, lowering bankruptcy risk and preserving optionality to fund operations, cloud expansion, or strategic deals without immediate debt strain — an advantage during multi-quarter turnarounds.
Diversified revenue streams
Multiple income sources — ad monetization, creator subscriptions and cloud/infrastructure services — create structural diversification. This reduces single-market dependence, supports cross-selling (platform to cloud) and aligns revenue with secular growth in streaming and cloud compute demand.
Strategic expansion into AI / HPC
The Northern Data combination is a structural shift into high-performance computing and AI infrastructure, which can expand Rumble Cloud’s TAM, provide scale for compute-heavy workloads, and reposition the business toward faster-growing enterprise cloud and AI services over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Deep negative margins
Persistently negative gross and net margins reflect structural unprofitability and likely pricing or cost-structure issues. Without sustained margin improvement, the business must rely on external capital and cannot self-fund growth, undermining long-term viability.
Declining revenue trend
A durable top-line decline reduces operating leverage and diminishes the ability to amortize fixed costs in both platform and cloud segments. Continued revenue contraction would impair investment in product, content acquisition, and infrastructure needed to execute medium-term strategies.
Deteriorating free cash flow
Material FCF deterioration signals weakening internal cash generation, limiting the company's capacity to fund operations, infrastructure build-out or acquisitions without dilutive financing. This constrains strategic flexibility over the coming quarters.

Rumble (RUM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rumble Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRumble Inc. operates video sharing platforms. The company operates rumble.com, a platform that enables video creators to host, livestream, manage, distribute, and create OTT feeds, as well as monetize their content. It also operates locals.com, a subscription-based video sharing platform. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Longboat Key, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyRumble generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns money via advertising, where advertisers pay to display ads on videos and throughout the platform. Additionally, Rumble offers a subscription service that allows users to access premium content and ad-free experiences for a monthly fee. The platform also monetizes videos through a revenue-sharing model with content creators, incentivizing them to produce and share more content while Rumble takes a percentage of the ad revenue generated. Strategic partnerships with various content creators and brands further enhance its revenue potential by broadening its audience reach and increasing advertising opportunities.

Rumble Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 10, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Apr 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with strong revenue growth, strategic partnerships, and successful user retention, despite some challenges in advertising revenue and ongoing high content costs. The company is positioned for aggressive growth with the upcoming Rumble Wallet launch and improved EBITDA losses.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Rumble Inc. reported $25.1 million in revenue, marking a 12% increase year-over-year and a sequential quarterly increase. This growth was driven by a $1.7 million increase in audience monetization revenues and a $0.9 million increase in other initiatives.
User Retention
Rumble maintained 51 million monthly active users (MAUs) for the eighth consecutive quarter, despite losing their largest live streamer, Dan Bongino.
ARPU Growth
Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) increased to $0.42, up 24% sequentially, indicating enhanced monetization strategy success through higher subscription and licensing revenue.
Strategic Partnerships
Rumble announced significant partnerships, including agreements with Cumulus Media, a leading AI player for advertising and tech integration, and MoonPay for Rumble Wallet's crypto functionalities.
Rumble Wallet Launch
Rumble plans to launch Rumble Wallet in Q3, allowing for crypto transactions on their platform, in partnership with Tether and MoonPay.
Improvement in EBITDA Loss
Adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $20.5 million from $28.7 million last year, showing an $8.2 million improvement.
Negative Updates
Content and Programming Costs
Cost of services was $26.5 million, though improved 26% year-over-year, indicating ongoing high expenses in programming and content.
Cash Usage
Rumble used $17.5 million of cash and cash equivalents during the quarter, reflecting cash burn despite revenue growth.
Advertising Revenue Challenges
Advertising revenue faced challenges, with the need to enhance connections with SSPs and monetize outside network inventory.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025 earnings call, Rumble Inc. outlined several key performance metrics and strategic initiatives that highlight the company's growth trajectory. Rumble reported revenues of $25.1 million, reflecting a 12% year-over-year increase, driven by a $1.7 million rise in audience monetization revenues and a $0.9 million increase in other initiatives. The company's ARPU increased to $0.42, up 24% sequentially, indicating successful monetization strategies. Despite a decrease in cost of services by 26% to $26.5 million, the company saw an adjusted EBITDA loss improvement to $20.5 million from a loss of $28.7 million in the previous year. Rumble maintained a strong liquidity position with $306.4 million, including $283.8 million in cash and $22.6 million in Bitcoin holdings. The company also sustained its user base at 51 million MAUs for the eighth consecutive quarter. Looking forward, Rumble is focused on creative monetization strategies, including the launch of the Rumble Wallet in Q3 and expanding its cloud business, evidenced by its participation in RFP processes alongside major tech companies.

Rumble Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statements indicate material weakness: sharply negative profitability (gross margin -25.99%, net margin -289.37%) and declining revenue growth (-28.3%). Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.0077) and a high equity ratio (89.65%) help, but very negative ROE (-159.17%) and deteriorating free cash flow growth (-39.5%) keep the score low.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Rumble's income statement shows significant challenges with negative margins across the board. The TTM data reveals a gross profit margin of -25.99% and a net profit margin of -289.37%, indicating substantial losses. Revenue growth is negative at -28.3%, suggesting declining sales. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also deeply negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies. Overall, the company is struggling to achieve profitability and growth.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet presents a mixed picture. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.0077, indicating minimal leverage, which is a positive aspect. However, the return on equity is highly negative at -159.17%, reflecting poor returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 89.65%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to assets. Despite low leverage, the company's inability to generate returns is concerning.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights significant issues, with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -39.5% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 2.97, indicating some ability to convert income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, showing cash flow challenges. Overall, cash flow management needs improvement to support operations and growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue103.78M95.49M80.96M39.38M9.47M4.56M
Gross Profit-16.42M-42.98M-65.19M-4.36M1.66M1.84M
EBITDA-89.34M-326.76M-131.47M-32.40M-10.37M-1.16M
Net Income-285.89M-338.36M-116.42M-11.40M-13.41M-1.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets367.17M195.31M295.71M366.98M55.80M2.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments269.76M114.02M219.47M338.27M46.85M1.45M
Total Debt2.25M1.80M2.61M1.42M1.51M424.99K
Total Liabilities64.94M258.43M44.09M27.35M25.43M3.02M
Stockholders Equity302.23M-63.12M251.62M339.63M30.37M-340.94K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-56.45M-89.68M-107.48M-41.33M-7.15M-17.61K
Operating Cash Flow-53.36M-87.01M-92.91M-32.29M-5.31M51.19K
Investing Cash Flow-27.26M-15.64M-23.77M-10.14M1.58M-68.81K
Financing Cash Flow219.59M-1.67M-2.15M332.79M49.13M-423.52K

Rumble Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.25
Price Trends
50DMA
6.37
Negative
100DMA
6.63
Negative
200DMA
7.59
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Negative
RSI
46.35
Neutral
STOCH
50.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RUM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.93, below the 50-day MA of 6.37, and below the 200-day MA of 7.59, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RUM.

Rumble Risk Analysis

Rumble disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rumble reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rumble Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$10.32B26.828.78%16.79%819.94%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
55
Neutral
$7.99B-17.82-19.46%11.75%49.19%
53
Neutral
$1.92B-28.93-171.54%28.97%-4.18%
51
Neutral
$308.90M-1.42-25.34%-7.43%61.36%
42
Neutral
$2.51B-4.38-122.08%21.17%-108.27%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RUM
Rumble
5.88
-5.24
-47.12%
SNAP
Snap
4.88
-5.80
-54.31%
PINS
Pinterest
16.38
-23.18
-58.59%
GRND
Grindr
10.72
-7.25
-40.35%
BMBL
Bumble
2.70
-2.77
-50.64%

Rumble Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Rumble Announces Business Combination with Northern Data
Neutral
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Rumble Inc. and Northern Data AG entered a business combination agreement, where Rumble will offer an exchange of shares to Northern Data shareholders. This agreement, approved by both companies’ boards, includes a potential cash payment contingent on the sale of Northern Data’s Corpus Christi location. The transaction aims to enhance Rumble’s market position in high-power computing, subject to regulatory approvals and other conditions. Additionally, Rumble has entered into agreements with Tether and other stakeholders to support the transaction, including equity commitments and marketing agreements, which could significantly impact the companies’ operations and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (RUM) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rumble stock, see the RUM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Rumble Announces Business Combination with Northern Data
Neutral
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Rumble announced a business combination agreement with Northern Data AG, aiming to enhance its position in AI and high-performance computing infrastructure. This strategic move involves a voluntary public exchange offer to Northern Data shareholders, potentially impacting Rumble’s market positioning and stakeholder interests. Additionally, Rumble reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a slight revenue decrease to $24.8 million and a reduction in net loss to $16.3 million compared to the previous year. The company also noted a strategic partnership with Cumulus Media and a collaboration with Perplexity to integrate AI search capabilities, indicating ongoing efforts to expand its service offerings and market reach.

The most recent analyst rating on (RUM) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rumble stock, see the RUM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026