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Rumble (RUM)
NASDAQ:RUM
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Rumble (RUM) AI Stock Analysis

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RUM

Rumble

(NASDAQ:RUM)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▼(-3.85% Downside)
Rumble's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges and bearish technical indicators. While the earnings call highlighted some positive developments, such as revenue growth and strategic initiatives, these are overshadowed by ongoing financial instability and valuation concerns. The company's ability to improve profitability and cash flow management will be crucial for future performance.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The consistent revenue growth indicates successful monetization strategies and expanding user engagement, which are crucial for long-term business sustainability.
User Retention
Strong user retention underscores the platform's appeal and stability, providing a solid foundation for future growth and monetization opportunities.
Strategic Partnerships
These partnerships enhance Rumble's technological capabilities and market reach, potentially driving further revenue and user engagement.
Negative Factors
Negative Margins
Persistently negative margins indicate operational inefficiencies and challenges in achieving profitability, which could hinder long-term financial health.
Cash Flow Challenges
Ongoing cash flow issues limit Rumble's ability to invest in growth initiatives and may strain financial resources, impacting future operations.
Advertising Revenue Challenges
Struggles in advertising revenue reflect difficulties in monetizing the platform effectively, which could affect long-term revenue growth.

Rumble (RUM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rumble Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRumble (RUM) is a video-sharing platform that emphasizes free speech and user-generated content. Founded in 2013, Rumble provides a space for creators to upload, share, and monetize their videos across various genres, including news, entertainment, and education. The platform primarily targets users looking for alternative views and content not typically found on mainstream platforms, thus carving out a niche in the online media landscape.
How the Company Makes MoneyRumble generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns money via advertising, where advertisers pay to display ads on videos and throughout the platform. Additionally, Rumble offers a subscription service that allows users to access premium content and ad-free experiences for a monthly fee. The platform also monetizes videos through a revenue-sharing model with content creators, incentivizing them to produce and share more content while Rumble takes a percentage of the ad revenue generated. Strategic partnerships with various content creators and brands further enhance its revenue potential by broadening its audience reach and increasing advertising opportunities.

Rumble Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 10, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Apr 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with strong revenue growth, strategic partnerships, and successful user retention, despite some challenges in advertising revenue and ongoing high content costs. The company is positioned for aggressive growth with the upcoming Rumble Wallet launch and improved EBITDA losses.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Rumble Inc. reported $25.1 million in revenue, marking a 12% increase year-over-year and a sequential quarterly increase. This growth was driven by a $1.7 million increase in audience monetization revenues and a $0.9 million increase in other initiatives.
User Retention
Rumble maintained 51 million monthly active users (MAUs) for the eighth consecutive quarter, despite losing their largest live streamer, Dan Bongino.
ARPU Growth
Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) increased to $0.42, up 24% sequentially, indicating enhanced monetization strategy success through higher subscription and licensing revenue.
Strategic Partnerships
Rumble announced significant partnerships, including agreements with Cumulus Media, a leading AI player for advertising and tech integration, and MoonPay for Rumble Wallet's crypto functionalities.
Rumble Wallet Launch
Rumble plans to launch Rumble Wallet in Q3, allowing for crypto transactions on their platform, in partnership with Tether and MoonPay.
Improvement in EBITDA Loss
Adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $20.5 million from $28.7 million last year, showing an $8.2 million improvement.
Negative Updates
Content and Programming Costs
Cost of services was $26.5 million, though improved 26% year-over-year, indicating ongoing high expenses in programming and content.
Cash Usage
Rumble used $17.5 million of cash and cash equivalents during the quarter, reflecting cash burn despite revenue growth.
Advertising Revenue Challenges
Advertising revenue faced challenges, with the need to enhance connections with SSPs and monetize outside network inventory.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025 earnings call, Rumble Inc. outlined several key performance metrics and strategic initiatives that highlight the company's growth trajectory. Rumble reported revenues of $25.1 million, reflecting a 12% year-over-year increase, driven by a $1.7 million rise in audience monetization revenues and a $0.9 million increase in other initiatives. The company's ARPU increased to $0.42, up 24% sequentially, indicating successful monetization strategies. Despite a decrease in cost of services by 26% to $26.5 million, the company saw an adjusted EBITDA loss improvement to $20.5 million from a loss of $28.7 million in the previous year. Rumble maintained a strong liquidity position with $306.4 million, including $283.8 million in cash and $22.6 million in Bitcoin holdings. The company also sustained its user base at 51 million MAUs for the eighth consecutive quarter. Looking forward, Rumble is focused on creative monetization strategies, including the launch of the Rumble Wallet in Q3 and expanding its cloud business, evidenced by its participation in RFP processes alongside major tech companies.

Rumble Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rumble faces significant financial challenges with negative margins and declining revenues. The income statement shows substantial losses, and the balance sheet reflects poor returns for shareholders despite low leverage. Cash flow management is also problematic, indicating a need for strategic improvements.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Rumble's income statement shows significant challenges with negative margins across the board. The TTM data reveals a gross profit margin of -25.99% and a net profit margin of -289.37%, indicating substantial losses. Revenue growth is negative at -28.3%, suggesting declining sales. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also deeply negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies. Overall, the company is struggling to achieve profitability and growth.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet presents a mixed picture. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.0077, indicating minimal leverage, which is a positive aspect. However, the return on equity is highly negative at -159.17%, reflecting poor returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 89.65%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to assets. Despite low leverage, the company's inability to generate returns is concerning.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights significant issues, with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -39.5% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 2.97, indicating some ability to convert income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, showing cash flow challenges. Overall, cash flow management needs improvement to support operations and growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue103.78M95.49M80.96M39.38M9.47M4.56M
Gross Profit-16.42M-42.98M-65.19M-4.36M1.66M1.84M
EBITDA-89.34M-326.76M-131.47M-32.40M-10.37M-1.16M
Net Income-285.89M-338.36M-116.42M-11.40M-13.41M-1.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets367.17M195.31M295.71M366.98M55.80M2.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments269.76M114.02M219.47M338.27M46.85M1.45M
Total Debt2.25M1.80M2.61M1.42M1.51M424.99K
Total Liabilities64.94M258.43M44.09M27.35M25.43M3.02M
Stockholders Equity302.23M-63.12M251.62M339.63M30.37M-340.94K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-56.45M-89.68M-107.48M-41.33M-7.15M-17.61K
Operating Cash Flow-53.36M-87.01M-92.91M-32.29M-5.31M51.19K
Investing Cash Flow-27.26M-15.64M-23.77M-10.14M1.58M-68.81K
Financing Cash Flow219.59M-1.67M-2.15M332.79M49.13M-423.52K

Rumble Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price6.76
Price Trends
50DMA
6.91
Negative
100DMA
7.54
Negative
200DMA
8.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Negative
RSI
56.01
Neutral
STOCH
93.48
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RUM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.06, below the 50-day MA of 6.91, and below the 200-day MA of 8.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.48 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for RUM.

Rumble Risk Analysis

Rumble disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rumble reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rumble Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$17.27B8.8651.49%16.79%819.94%
61
Neutral
$1.31B1,046.670.35%-0.67%-95.68%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
$13.08B-22.38%11.75%49.19%
48
Neutral
$2.39B-171.54%28.97%-4.18%
47
Neutral
$400.22M-25.34%-7.43%61.36%
44
Neutral
$2.94B-122.08%21.17%-108.27%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RUM
Rumble
6.77
-0.11
-1.60%
SNAP
Snap
7.68
-4.43
-36.58%
PINS
Pinterest
26.12
-4.31
-14.16%
GRND
Grindr
12.83
-2.33
-15.37%
BMBL
Bumble
3.55
-5.33
-60.02%
VMEO
Vimeo
7.85
1.24
18.76%

Rumble Corporate Events

Rumble Inc. Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 11, 2025

Rumble Inc. is a video-sharing platform and cloud services provider known for its commitment to a free and open internet, operating primarily in the digital media and technology sector. In its third-quarter 2025 earnings report, Rumble Inc. highlighted a slight decrease in revenue compared to the previous year, alongside a notable improvement in net loss figures. Key financial metrics revealed a revenue of $24.8 million, a 1% decrease from the same quarter in 2024, and a net loss of $16.3 million, significantly improved from a $31.5 million loss in the previous year. The company also reported a 7% increase in Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) to $0.45, despite a decline in Monthly Active Users (MAUs) to 47 million. Rumble’s strategic initiatives included partnerships with Cumulus Media and Perplexity AI, aiming to expand distribution and enhance content discoverability. Looking ahead, Rumble Inc. remains focused on leveraging its strong liquidity position and strategic partnerships to drive growth and improve monetization opportunities.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Rumble Announces Business Combination with Northern Data
Neutral
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Rumble Inc. and Northern Data AG entered a business combination agreement, where Rumble will offer an exchange of shares to Northern Data shareholders. This agreement, approved by both companies’ boards, includes a potential cash payment contingent on the sale of Northern Data’s Corpus Christi location. The transaction aims to enhance Rumble’s market position in high-power computing, subject to regulatory approvals and other conditions. Additionally, Rumble has entered into agreements with Tether and other stakeholders to support the transaction, including equity commitments and marketing agreements, which could significantly impact the companies’ operations and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (RUM) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rumble stock, see the RUM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Rumble Announces Business Combination with Northern Data
Neutral
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Rumble announced a business combination agreement with Northern Data AG, aiming to enhance its position in AI and high-performance computing infrastructure. This strategic move involves a voluntary public exchange offer to Northern Data shareholders, potentially impacting Rumble’s market positioning and stakeholder interests. Additionally, Rumble reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a slight revenue decrease to $24.8 million and a reduction in net loss to $16.3 million compared to the previous year. The company also noted a strategic partnership with Cumulus Media and a collaboration with Perplexity to integrate AI search capabilities, indicating ongoing efforts to expand its service offerings and market reach.

The most recent analyst rating on (RUM) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rumble stock, see the RUM Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Rumble Board Member Nancy Armstrong Resigns
Neutral
Sep 8, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Nancy Armstrong resigned from the Board of Directors of Rumble Inc. Her resignation was not due to any disagreements with the company, and the board size was subsequently reduced to six directors.

The most recent analyst rating on (RUM) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rumble stock, see the RUM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 25, 2025