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Robinsons Retail (RRETY)
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Robinsons Retail (RRETY) AI Stock Analysis

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RRETY

Robinsons Retail

(OTC:RRETY)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▲(18.44% Upside)
Robinsons Retail's overall stock score reflects stable financial performance with challenges in profitability and cash flow, offset by attractive valuation metrics. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, which could present a risk. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data limits additional insights.

Robinsons Retail (RRETY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Robinsons Retail Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRobinsons Retail Holdings, Inc. operates as a multi-format retail company in the Philippines. The company operates through Supermarkets, Department Stores, DIY Stores, Convenience Stores, Drug Stores, and Specialty Stores segments. It operates supermarkets under the Robinsons Supermarket brand that offer health and wellness, and fresh food products; and department stores under the Robinsons Department Store brand, which provide children's apparel, accessories; homes, snacks and stationery; shoes, bags, luggage and sportswear; ladies and men's apparel, beauty accessories, and furnishings. The company also operates do-it-yourself (DIY) stores under the Handyman Do it Best, True Value, True Home, Robinsons Builders, Home Plus, De Oro Pacific Home Plus, and A.M. Builders' Depot brands that offer DIY and home improvement products; operates and franchises convenience stores under the Ministop name that provide fresh and ready to eat products; and operates drug stores under the South Star Drug name that offer prescription and over-the-counter pharmaceutical products, as well as food, personal care, and other products. In addition, it operates toys and juvenile products under Toys 'R' Us name; consumer electronics and appliances stores under Robinsons Appliances and Saver's Appliance name; beauty products under the Benefit, Shiseido, and Elizabeth Arden brands; mass merchandise stores under the Daiso Japan, Arcova, and Super50 name; pet retail under the Pet Lovers Centre name; and discount store under the No Brand name. It operates 2,208 stores, including 286 supermarkets, 52 department stores, 227 DIY stores, 456 convenience stores, 899 drug stores, and 288 specialty stores. Robinsons Retail Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Pasig City, the Philippines.
How the Company Makes MoneyRobinsons Retail generates revenue primarily through the sale of consumer goods across its various retail formats. Key revenue streams include grocery sales from its supermarkets, pharmacy sales from its drugstores, and convenience store sales. The company also benefits from partnerships with suppliers and manufacturers, allowing for competitive pricing and exclusive product offerings. Additionally, Robinsons Retail leverages loyalty programs and promotional campaigns to drive customer retention and increase sales. Seasonal promotions and e-commerce initiatives further contribute to its earnings by expanding its market reach and improving overall customer engagement.

Robinsons Retail Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture with notable growth in the Food and Drugstore segments and recognition for corporate excellence. However, challenges were evident with declines in net income, department store sales, and increased debt levels. Despite strong sales performances in certain areas, the significant drop in net income and department store performance, along with the increased debt, create a balanced sentiment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Overall Sales Growth
Consolidated net sales increased by 4.3% in Q3 2025, reaching PHP 149.3 billion, with same-store sales growth of 1.6%.
Core Earnings Increase
Core net earnings increased by 33% to PHP 1.5 billion in Q3 2025.
Food Segment Performance
Food segment sales rose by 4.5% in Q3 2025 to PHP 31.1 billion, driven by same-store sales growth of 2.8%.
Drugstore Segment Growth
Net sales in the Drugstore segment increased by 9.8% to PHP 28.9 billion year-to-date September 2025.
Specialty Segment Growth
Specialty Segment sales rose by 7.1% in Q3 2025.
Positive Cash Conversion Cycle
Cash conversion cycle rose to 29.9 days due to higher inventory days to meet strong demand for the peak season.
Recognition and Awards
Company recognized as one of the best companies of 2025 for excellence in employee satisfaction and revenue growth.
Negative Updates
Net Income Decline
Net Income to Parent decreased by 123.5% to PHP 807.2 billion in Q3 2025 due to high expenses from the DFI buyback.
Department Store Sales Decline
Department store net sales declined by 11.7% to PHP 3.3 billion in Q3 2025 due to school opening shifts and competition.
DIY Segment Challenges
DIY segment EBITDA declined to PHP 916 million in the first 9 months due to higher sector costs.
Increased Debt
Net debt increased to PHP 30.1 billion due to the acquisition loan for the DFI retail share repurchase.
Company Guidance
In the earnings call for Robinsons Retail, the company provided guidance for the remainder of 2025, highlighting several key metrics. They are targeting the opening of 130 to 170 new stores, primarily in the Food and Drugstore segments, with the majority of these openings expected in the fourth quarter. The company aims for a same-store sales growth (SSSG) of 4% and is looking to expand gross margins by 20 to 30 basis points. Capital expenditures (CapEx) for the year are projected to be between PHP 5 billion and PHP 7 billion, focused on organic growth. Additionally, Robinsons Retail plans to maintain a 40% dividend payout ratio based on the previous year's net income. Despite some challenges, such as a decline in department store sales due to changes in school opening schedules and competitive pressures, the company remains optimistic about the upcoming holiday season and expects a rebound in performance.

Robinsons Retail Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Robinsons Retail shows stable revenue growth but faces challenges in profitability margins and cash flow generation. The balance sheet is solid with manageable leverage, but declining return on equity indicates potential areas for improvement in shareholder returns.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Robinsons Retail shows a stable revenue growth trajectory with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.41%, indicating resilience in the department store sector. The gross profit margin is healthy at 21.87% for TTM, though it has slightly decreased from the previous year. The net profit margin has also decreased to 2.96% in TTM from 5.16% in the previous year, suggesting some challenges in cost management or increased expenses. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also seen a decline, indicating potential pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.49 in TTM, reflecting a balanced approach to leverage. However, the return on equity has decreased to 6.70% in TTM from 11.61% in the previous year, indicating reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Robinsons Retail's cash flow performance shows some weaknesses, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth rate at -22.69% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.30, indicating moderate cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.64, suggesting that while the company is generating cash, it is not as robust as in previous periods.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue204.26B199.17B193.32B178.82B153.33B151.07B
Gross Profit49.87B48.11B45.63B42.28B35.23B32.90B
EBITDA18.49B22.76B16.80B17.15B14.32B13.73B
Net Income5.73B10.28B4.10B5.85B4.53B3.22B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets170.41B169.95B155.02B141.53B134.23B141.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.31B13.14B13.17B17.77B16.17B21.34B
Total Debt64.03B46.33B45.41B34.43B33.57B36.91B
Total Liabilities92.18B77.34B75.65B64.95B57.72B64.01B
Stockholders Equity75.08B88.54B75.28B72.43B71.97B73.05B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.28B7.67B8.45B10.53B4.73B5.75B
Operating Cash Flow11.13B12.43B14.96B16.08B7.18B7.61B
Investing Cash Flow-3.72B-2.53B-21.43B-4.59B-270.34M-4.94B
Financing Cash Flow-8.59B-9.94B1.89B-9.90B-12.09B-1.64B

Robinsons Retail Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.91
Price Trends
50DMA
6.14
Negative
100DMA
6.44
Negative
200DMA
6.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
39.92
Neutral
STOCH
23.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RRETY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.00, below the 50-day MA of 6.14, and below the 200-day MA of 6.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RRETY.

Robinsons Retail Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$1.82B8.885.36%5.38%-7.23%-27.81%
$9.37B16.5529.76%4.34%-2.44%-10.74%
$653.87M7.697.21%6.22%3.79%-32.37%
$834.75M1.9361.33%51.76%
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
$5.23B11.0711.31%3.85%-3.43%169.28%
$660.76M-37.6118.74%74.01%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RRETY
Robinsons Retail
5.91
-0.47
-7.37%
DDS
Dillard's
600.08
240.98
67.11%
KSS
Kohl's
16.27
-0.55
-3.27%
M
Macy's
19.49
5.03
34.79%
LIND
Lindblad Expeditions Holdings
12.06
2.71
28.98%
LUXE
LuxExperience
9.79
3.60
58.16%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025