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Dillard's (DDS)
NYSE:DDS
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Dillard's (DDS) AI Stock Analysis

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DDS

Dillard's

(NYSE:DDS)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$566.00
▲(8.10% Upside)
Dillard's stock is supported by strong financial performance, particularly in profitability and cash flow generation, which is the most significant factor. The technical analysis suggests strong momentum but warns of overbought conditions, while the valuation is reasonable with a high dividend yield.

Dillard's (DDS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dillard's Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDillard's, Inc. (DDS) is a leading retail department store chain based in the United States, operating primarily in the fashion and home goods sectors. The company offers a wide range of products including apparel, accessories, cosmetics, and home furnishings, catering to a diverse customer base. Dillard's operates its stores in a traditional department store format, as well as through an online platform, providing customers with a seamless shopping experience.
How the Company Makes MoneyDillard's generates revenue primarily through the sale of merchandise in its department stores and online. The company's key revenue streams include women's, men's, and children's apparel, footwear, accessories, and home goods. Additionally, Dillard's earns income from its private label credit card program, which offers financing options to customers while generating interest income. Seasonal sales events, promotions, and clearance sales also contribute to revenue by attracting customers and increasing foot traffic. The company maintains partnerships with various brands and designers, enhancing its product offerings and driving sales. Furthermore, Dillard's leverages its loyalty programs and marketing initiatives to retain customers and encourage repeat purchases.

Dillard's Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dillard's demonstrates strong profitability with high gross and net profit margins, a healthy balance sheet with low leverage, and robust cash flow generation. Despite volatile revenue growth, the company maintains high-profit margins and a stable financial structure.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Dillard's demonstrates strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 39.23% and a net profit margin of 8.85% for the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), showcasing efficient management of cost of goods sold and expenses. Revenue growth has been volatile, with a decline in recent periods, but the company maintains solid EBIT and EBITDA margins of 11.12% and 14.15%, respectively, indicating robust operational performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company has a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15, suggesting low leverage and financial stability. Return on equity (ROE) is strong at 23.89%, highlighting effective use of equity. The equity ratio stands at 61.87%, pointing to significant shareholder equity relative to total assets, which provides a cushion against liabilities.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Dillard's cash flow is solid, with a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.22, indicating good cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also favorable at 1.07, reflecting effective capital expenditure management and cash generation capabilities. Free cash flow growth has been positive, supporting further investment opportunities and shareholder returns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.55B6.48B6.75B7.00B6.62B4.43B
Gross Profit2.53B2.56B2.84B3.01B2.88B1.36B
EBITDA923.17M947.44M1.14B1.34B1.33B112.52M
Net Income577.24M593.48M738.85M891.64M862.47M-71.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.91B3.53B3.45B3.34B3.25B3.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.16B1.04B956.32M799.20M716.80M360.30M
Total Debt553.94M555.32M564.44M555.20M608.80M613.70M
Total Liabilities2.05B1.73B1.75B1.73B1.79B1.65B
Stockholders Equity1.86B1.80B1.70B1.61B1.45B1.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow616.17M609.58M750.65M828.20M1.18B192.50M
Operating Cash Flow702.32M714.13M883.59M948.30M1.28B252.90M
Investing Cash Flow16.35M-269.73M-115.59M-69.79M-69.79M-48.38M
Financing Cash Flow-636.07M-534.83M-620.04M-768.97M-853.81M-121.30M

Dillard's Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price523.58
Price Trends
50DMA
449.24
Positive
100DMA
405.15
Positive
200DMA
414.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
15.17
Negative
RSI
72.83
Negative
STOCH
74.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DDS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 523.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 485.21, above the 50-day MA of 449.24, and above the 200-day MA of 414.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 15.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.83 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DDS.

Dillard's Risk Analysis

Dillard's disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dillard's reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dillard's Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$8.05B14.2229.76%5.04%-2.44%-10.73%
77
Outperform
$3.48B6.4812.92%5.37%-3.77%4607.98%
76
Outperform
$4.47B9.2446.98%12.54%25.47%
75
Outperform
$6.95B16.2419.55%8.38%52.18%
67
Neutral
$1.54B12.763.19%9.16%-7.03%-56.59%
61
Neutral
C$4.70B7.1215.29%3.62%3.22%5.80%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DDS
Dillard's
523.58
192.30
58.05%
ANF
Abercrombie Fitch
95.69
-70.36
-42.37%
KSS
Kohl's
13.64
-4.44
-24.56%
M
Macy's
13.27
-3.58
-21.25%
URBN
Urban Outfitters
76.73
36.49
90.68%

Dillard's Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Dillard’s Eliminates Series A Preferred Stock Designation
Neutral
Jul 21, 2025

On July 18, 2025, Dillard’s, Inc. filed a Certificate of Elimination with the Secretary of State of Delaware to eliminate the Certificate of Designations related to its Series A Junior Participating Preferred Stock. This stock was reserved for a shareholder rights plan that expired in 2012, and no shares were issued. The elimination allows these shares to revert to undesignated status, impacting the company’s stock structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (DDS) stock is a Sell with a $194.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dillard’s stock, see the DDS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Dillard’s Stockholders Approve Key Governance Decisions
Neutral
May 20, 2025

On May 17, 2025, Dillard’s, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders in Little Rock, Arkansas, where stockholders voted on several matters. Key outcomes included the election of directors for both Class A and Class B nominees, all of whom were successfully elected. Additionally, the stockholders ratified the selection of KPMG LLP as the company’s independent registered public accounting firm for 2025. These decisions are expected to maintain stability in the company’s governance and financial auditing processes.

The most recent analyst rating on (DDS) stock is a Sell with a $194.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dillard’s stock, see the DDS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 25, 2025