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Dillard's (DDS)
NYSE:DDS

Dillard's (DDS) AI Stock Analysis

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DDS

Dillard's

(NYSE:DDS)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$641.00
▲(11.99% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/25/26
DDS scores as a moderate-quality setup driven primarily by solid financial health (strong balance sheet and ongoing profitability) and supportive shareholder return potential (high dividend yield with a reasonable P/E). The score is held back by weakening operating momentum (declining revenue and softer free-cash-flow trend) and a bearish near-term technical picture with the price below key moving averages.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Dillard's low leverage and sizable equity provide durable financial flexibility. With debt-to-equity near 0.15 and substantial equity relative to assets, the company can withstand retail cyclicality, fund restructuring or opportunistic investments, and maintain capital returns without pressuring liquidity.
Negative Factors
Top-line Weakness
Recurring revenue declines indicate pressure on traffic or merchandise mix that can persist beyond a quarter. Sustained top-line softness reduces operating leverage, limits margin expansion, and constrains capacity to invest in omnichannel growth or remodeling initiatives over the next several months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Dillard's low leverage and sizable equity provide durable financial flexibility. With debt-to-equity near 0.15 and substantial equity relative to assets, the company can withstand retail cyclicality, fund restructuring or opportunistic investments, and maintain capital returns without pressuring liquidity.
Read all positive factors

Dillard's (DDS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dillard's Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Dillard's, Inc. operates retail department stores in the southeastern, southwestern, and midwestern areas of the United States. Its stores offer merchandise, including fashion apparel for women, men, and children; and accessories, cosmetics, home ...
How the Company Makes Money
Dillard's generates revenue primarily through retail sales of merchandise in its department stores. The company has multiple key revenue streams, including sales from its extensive apparel and accessory offerings, home goods, and beauty products. ...

Dillard's Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Stores
Total Stores
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Dillard's Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are solid overall, led by a strong balance sheet (low and improving leverage with debt-to-equity ~0.15 and sizable equity) and continued profitability (~9% net margin). Offsetting this strength are cooling operating trends: revenue declined again in 2026, free cash flow fell ~20% with sub-1x cash-flow coverage of net income in 2025–2026, and results appear cyclical with a notable 2026 profitability mix shift.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
BreakdownJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.56B6.59B6.87B7.00B6.62B
Gross Profit2.47B2.67B2.84B3.01B2.88B
EBITDA874.20M949.10M1.14B1.34B1.33B
Net Income570.60M593.48M738.85M891.64M862.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.50B3.53B3.45B3.33B3.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.07B1.04B956.32M799.24M716.76M
Total Debt557.60M555.32M564.44M555.22M608.73M
Total Liabilities1.73B1.73B1.75B1.73B1.79B
Stockholders Equity1.78B1.80B1.70B1.60B1.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow623.60M609.58M750.65M828.29M1.18B
Operating Cash Flow717.00M714.13M883.59M948.39M1.28B
Investing Cash Flow22.50M-269.73M-115.59M-235.85M-69.79M
Financing Cash Flow-595.90M-534.83M-620.04M-768.97M-853.81M

Dillard's Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price572.36
Price Trends
50DMA
610.31
Negative
100DMA
624.79
Negative
200DMA
566.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-13.57
Negative
RSI
44.01
Neutral
STOCH
46.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DDS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 572.36 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 578.07, below the 50-day MA of 610.31, and above the 200-day MA of 566.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -13.57 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DDS.

Dillard's Risk Analysis

Dillard's disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dillard's reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dillard's Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$4.14B9.1138.98%7.57%1.75%
68
Neutral
$5.53B13.7417.66%11.09%51.51%
65
Neutral
$8.94B16.6130.03%3.99%-1.07%-5.22%
64
Neutral
$9.17B12.7922.98%2.45%0.29%3.65%
62
Neutral
$4.70B8.4414.20%3.23%-2.83%184.32%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
50
Neutral
$1.44B7.196.91%2.33%-6.13%-22.57%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DDS
Dillard's
572.36
279.13
95.19%
ANF
Abercrombie Fitch
92.25
19.54
26.87%
GAP
Gap Inc
24.61
6.48
35.71%
KSS
Kohl's
12.82
6.25
95.22%
M
Macy's
17.82
7.45
71.83%
URBN
Urban Outfitters
64.57
18.44
39.97%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 25, 2026