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Dillard's (DDS)
NYSE:DDS
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Dillard's (DDS) AI Stock Analysis

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DDS

Dillard's

(NYSE:DDS)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$594.00
▼(-1.94% Downside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:05/15/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial strength and cash flow alongside an attractive low P/E and high dividend yield. These positives are offset by weak technicals, with the stock in a clear downtrend and negative momentum indicators.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Dillard’s low and falling debt-to-equity (~0.14) and a materially larger equity base provide durable financial flexibility. This capital strength supports investment, dividends or buybacks and cushions operating volatility in the cyclical department-store sector without relying on external financing.
Negative Factors
Margin Normalization
Material margin compression versus prior periods reduces earnings resilience. Lower gross and operating margins make profits more sensitive to small sales or mix shifts, constraining ability to finance growth or dividends from core operations during softer retail cycles.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Dillard’s low and falling debt-to-equity (~0.14) and a materially larger equity base provide durable financial flexibility. This capital strength supports investment, dividends or buybacks and cushions operating volatility in the cyclical department-store sector without relying on external financing.
Read all positive factors

Dillard's Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Stores
Total Stores
Counts the number of retail locations, reflecting the company's physical presence and potential market reach.
Chart InsightsDillard's has been strategically reducing its store count since 2020, with a slight uptick in closures observed in late 2024. This steady decline suggests a focus on optimizing store performance and possibly reallocating resources to enhance profitability. The absence of recent earnings call commentary leaves the rationale speculative, but the trend aligns with broader retail shifts towards digital channels and cost efficiency.
Data provided by:The Fly

Dillard's (DDS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dillard's Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Dillard's, Inc. operates retail department stores in the southeastern, southwestern, and midwestern areas of the United States. Its stores offer merchandise, including fashion apparel for women, men, and children; and accessories, cosmetics, home ...
How the Company Makes Money
Dillard’s primarily makes money by selling merchandise to consumers through its physical department stores and online store. Its core revenue stream is retail sales across major product categories (including women’s, men’s, and children’s apparel;...

Dillard's Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are solid with conservative and improving leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.14), a stronger equity base, and robust cash generation (TTM FCF ~$751M). The main drag is the clear margin downshift versus prior years (gross margin ~27.7%, operating margin ~7.3%), indicating normalization and potentially higher earnings sensitivity if demand weakens.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.61B6.56B6.59B6.87B7.00B6.62B
Gross Profit2.50B2.47B2.67B2.84B3.01B2.88B
EBITDA886.50M874.20M949.10M1.14B1.34B1.33B
Net Income657.40M570.60M593.48M738.85M891.64M862.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.14B3.50B3.53B3.45B3.33B3.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.42B1.07B1.04B956.32M799.24M716.76M
Total Debt555.40M557.60M555.32M564.44M555.22M608.73M
Total Liabilities2.11B1.73B1.73B1.75B1.73B1.79B
Stockholders Equity2.03B1.78B1.80B1.70B1.60B1.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow751.30M623.60M609.58M750.65M828.29M1.18B
Operating Cash Flow845.01M717.00M714.13M883.59M948.39M1.28B
Investing Cash Flow-95.87M22.50M-269.73M-115.59M-235.85M-69.79M
Financing Cash Flow-492.04M-595.90M-534.83M-620.04M-768.97M-853.81M

Dillard's Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price605.77
Price Trends
50DMA
576.23
Negative
100DMA
607.12
Negative
200DMA
590.28
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-15.48
Positive
RSI
35.70
Neutral
STOCH
18.55
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DDS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 605.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 562.00, above the 50-day MA of 576.23, and above the 200-day MA of 590.28, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -15.48 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.55 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DDS.

Dillard's Risk Analysis

Dillard's disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dillard's reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dillard's Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$8.28B8.8033.85%3.99%0.62%16.32%
69
Neutral
$3.23B6.4838.98%6.42%-3.25%
68
Neutral
$5.96B16.5017.66%11.07%18.69%
63
Neutral
$7.57B15.2622.98%2.45%1.86%-2.54%
63
Neutral
$4.88B2.6814.20%3.23%-1.67%15.12%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
56
Neutral
$1.32B3.916.91%2.33%-4.28%146.27%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DDS
Dillard's
531.00
144.13
37.25%
ANF
Abercrombie Fitch
72.14
-0.47
-0.65%
GAP
Gap Inc
20.78
-5.96
-22.29%
KSS
Kohl's
11.74
4.21
55.87%
M
Macy's
19.05
7.94
71.51%
URBN
Urban Outfitters
68.88
9.27
15.56%

Dillard's Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Dillard’s Announces Merger and Capital Structure Reorganization
Neutral
Mar 20, 2026
On March 20, 2026, Dillard’s, Inc. agreed to merge with W.D. Company, Inc., a private Arkansas family holding company that owns a large block of Dillard’s Class A and high-vote Class B shares but conducts no operating business. Under t...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026