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Rithm Property Trust (RPT)
NYSE:RPT

Rithm Property Trust (RPT) AI Stock Analysis

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RPT

Rithm Property Trust

(NYSE:RPT)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-83.29% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/30/25
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (recent losses, higher leverage, and volatile cash flows). Technicals and the high dividend provide some support, while the earnings call and recent events are mixed—highlighting stabilization and strategic optionality, but also ongoing flat earnings, below-book trading constraints, and reverse-split/liquidity risk.
Positive Factors
Strong Capital Position
A strong liquidity position with $100 million in cash provides Rithm Property Trust with the flexibility to pursue strategic investments and weather financial challenges.
Growth Potential
Investing in high-yield commercial real estate debt positions Rithm Property Trust for potential earnings growth and enhances its revenue-generating capabilities.
Leadership Change
The appointment of a new CFO can bring fresh strategic insights and financial management, potentially improving the company's financial health and operational efficiency.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Declining revenues indicate challenges in maintaining income levels, which could impact the company's ability to sustain operations and growth over the long term.
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk, potentially limiting Rithm Property Trust's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage economic downturns effectively.
Legacy Asset Constraints
Legacy assets that are hard to liquidate can tie up capital, reducing liquidity and flexibility to invest in new, potentially more profitable ventures.

Rithm Property Trust (RPT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rithm Property Trust Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRPT Realty owns and operates a national portfolio of open-air shopping destinations principally located in top U.S. markets. The Company's shopping centers offer diverse, locally-curated consumer experiences that reflect the lifestyles of their surrounding communities and meet the modern expectations of the Company's retail partners. The Company is a fully integrated and self-administered REIT publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange. The common shares of the Company, par value $0.01 per share are listed and traded on the NYSE under the ticker symbol RPT. As of June 30, 2020, our property portfolio consisted of 49 shopping centers (including five shopping centers owned through a joint venture) representing 11.9 million square feet of gross leasable area. As of June 30, 2020, the Company's pro-rata share of the aggregate portfolio was 93.6% leased.
How the Company Makes MoneyRithm Property Trust generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of properties. This involves leasing space to residential tenants, businesses, and retailers, which provides a steady stream of rental payments. The company may also engage in property development and sales, where it constructs and sells properties to earn profits. Additionally, RPT might benefit from strategic partnerships with other real estate firms and financial institutions, enhancing its revenue through joint ventures and investment opportunities. The trust's ability to effectively manage and optimize its property assets contributes significantly to its financial performance.

Rithm Property Trust Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 13, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a mixed but constructive picture: RPT has a solid liquidity position, a sizable internal origination pipeline (Genesis), identified near-term accretive assets (~$1B), and a clear strategic plan (reverse split, repositioning, targeted EPS/dividend outcomes). However, near-term operating results were flat (Q4 diluted EPS about -$0.06), investment activity was light, and the plan is heavily contingent on a market-dependent recapitalization while the stock trades at a significant discount to book. The tone is patient and opportunistic, balancing current weakness with credible paths to earnings accretion.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Liquidity Position
Rithm Property Trust ended the quarter with approximately $100 million of cash and liquidity and total equity of about $300 million, providing flexibility for opportunistic investments and a potential recapitalization.
Book Value and Trading Discount
Book value was reported at roughly $300 million or about $31 per diluted share, while the common shares were trading at roughly 50% of book (stock ~ $15–$16), highlighting an asset-rich balance sheet despite market discounting.
GAAP Earnings and EPS
GAAP earnings for Q4 were $2.5 million. After adjustments (EAD approximately -$0.5 million), the quarter produced a diluted loss per share of about -$0.06.
High Dividend Yield
The company continues to pay a common stock dividend with an indicated yield of 8.7%, and management targets a future state trading roughly ~9% dividend yield as part of its recapitalization thesis.
Strategic Reverse Split to Improve Market Perception
Management completed a 6:1 reverse share split, moving the per-share price from roughly $2 pre-split to the current ~$15–$16 quote, intended to attract more investor interest.
Large Origination Growth at Genesis
Genesis origination volume is projected to grow to roughly $6–7 billion this year versus $1.7 billion in 2022 (an approximate 250%–312% increase), creating a deep internal pipeline of loans that can be accretive to RPT's balance sheet.
Identified Near-Term Accretive Assets
Management identified roughly $1 billion of loans/assets that could be placed onto RPT's balance sheet (subject to board approval), which would be expected to generate an immediate earnings uplift with no J-curve.
Participation in Paramount Transaction
RPT holds approximately $50 million of the Paramount acquisition (parent transaction ~ $1.6 billion with ~$300 million NOI), entitling RPT to a pro rata share of returns from that investment.
Diversified Sourcing and Distribution Capabilities
Rithm and affiliates have multiple sourcing channels (Genesis, Paramount, third-party originators, funds/SMAs, partnerships like Sculptor) and have launched fund distribution on a wirehouse, supporting scale and third-party capital inflows.
Forward Earnings Target
Management articulated a path (contingent on successful recapitalization) to increase RPT earnings to an estimated $1.60–$1.70 per share with an implied book value target near $20 post-recapitalization assumptions.
Negative Updates
Flat Near-Term Financial Performance
Fourth-quarter results were essentially flat with a small GAAP profit offset by adjustments resulting in a diluted loss of about -$0.06 per share, indicating limited near-term earnings momentum absent a capital raise or asset deployment.
Heavy Dependence on Successful Recapitalization
RPT's growth plan and the pathway to $1.60–$1.70 EPS are conditional on a recapitalization and capital formation; timing and terms remain uncertain and are described as market-dependent, creating execution risk.
Shares Trading at a Significant Discount
Despite a healthy balance sheet, the common stock is trading at roughly 50% of book value, signaling market skepticism and limiting the company’s ability to use common equity at attractive terms.
Limited Investment Activity in the Quarter
Investment activity in Q4 was light aside from a small RPT investment in the Paramount transaction, which constrains immediate earnings upside from new deployed capital.
Sector Headwinds and Market Volatility
Management cited a dislocated commercial real estate sector and broad weakness among REITs/BDCs (including pressure from macro/AI-driven market moves), which complicates timing for capital raises and asset transactions.
Potential Dilution and Capital Strategy Constraints
Management noted reluctance to issue common equity given current discounts and will consider preferred or third-party capital but wants to avoid highly dilutive transactions; this limits rapid balance sheet expansion until market conditions improve.
Company Guidance
Management said that, contingent on a successful recapitalization, Rithm Property Trust could move from flat earnings to roughly $1.60–$1.70 of EPS and trade at about a 9% dividend yield with a book value near $20 per share; today the company has roughly $100M of cash and liquidity, total equity of ~$300M (book value ≈ $31/share), and the common stock is trading around $15–$16 (~50% of book) after a 6:1 reverse split. Quarterly results showed Q4 GAAP earnings of $2.5M and EAD of about –$0.5M (≈ –$0.06/diluted), a current dividend yield of ~8.7%, and RPT holds $50M of the $1.6B Paramount transaction (Rithm-level NOI ~ $300M); management also identified ~ $1B of loans that could be deployed to RPT, expects Genesis production of $6–$7B this year (up from $1.7B in 2022), and noted Genesis-style loans can be levered to yields well north of 15%.

Rithm Property Trust Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals dominate: recent years show sizable net losses, highly volatile revenue, rising leverage (debt-to-equity ~2.93x in 2024), and inconsistent/weak operating cash flow (near breakeven in 2024 after materially negative 2023). Earlier periods of profitability exist, but the latest two-year deterioration is the key takeaway.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Profitability has deteriorated materially. In 2024 (annual), the company reported a sizable net loss (-$91.8M) with deeply negative margins, following another net loss in 2023. Revenue has been highly volatile, swinging from positive levels in 2022 to negative in 2023 and then back to positive in 2024, with a very large reported year-over-year decline in 2024. While 2019–2021 showed periods of strong profitability, the last two years’ losses and sharp revenue instability weigh heavily on the income statement quality.
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Leverage has increased and balance-sheet cushioning has weakened. Debt-to-equity rose to ~2.93x in 2024 (annual) from ~2.01x in 2023 and ~0.94x in 2022, indicating a more levered risk profile. Equity has also stepped down versus prior years, and returns on equity are negative in 2022–2024, consistent with recent losses. The balance sheet is not imminently distressed based on assets versus equity, but rising leverage and negative shareholder returns are clear pressure points.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash generation is inconsistent and recently weak. Operating cash flow was near breakeven in 2024 (annual) (~$0.3M) after being meaningfully negative in 2023 (-$46.5M), while 2021 and 2019 showed strong positive operating cash flow. Free cash flow also swung from strongly positive in 2022 (~$68.3M) to negative in 2023 and only marginally positive in 2024, with a very large decline reported for 2024. Overall, cash flow volatility and the recent stretch of weak/negative cash generation reduce confidence in near-term funding flexibility.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue52.80M47.22M-16.86M217.66M75.76M
Gross Profit44.58M-61.07M-16.86M150.95M68.33M
EBITDA38.92M-44.43M0.00116.94M0.00
Net Income1.47M-91.83M-47.07M-15.01M41.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.04B977.34M1.34B1.95B1.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments79.32M64.25M184.39M5.41M84.43M
Total Debt741.82M722.57M621.57M907.38M678.41M
Total Liabilities750.43M730.57M1.03B967.79M1.26B
Stockholders Equity291.55M246.92M308.93M960.51M497.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00290.00K-46.46M68.27M64.72M
Operating Cash Flow0.00290.00K-46.46M1.14M92.86M
Investing Cash Flow0.00297.27M172.82M-63.73M-167.13M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-286.15M-121.37M-42.10M-123.18M

Rithm Property Trust Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.96
Price Trends
50DMA
15.68
Negative
100DMA
15.12
Negative
200DMA
15.08
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.38
Positive
RSI
47.66
Neutral
STOCH
31.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RPT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.96 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.10, below the 50-day MA of 15.68, and below the 200-day MA of 15.08, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RPT.

Rithm Property Trust Risk Analysis

Rithm Property Trust disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rithm Property Trust reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
The Exchange Ratio is fixed and will not be adjusted in the event of any change in the stock prices of either Kimco or RPT. Q3, 2023
2.
The market price of Kimco common stock may decline as a result of the Mergers. Q3, 2023
3.
The market price and trading volume of the Kimco common stock after the Mergers may be volatile. Q3, 2023

Rithm Property Trust Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$195.92M8.675.72%13.82%-18.06%-18.94%
57
Neutral
$95.52M135.424.55%21.65%22.14%
53
Neutral
$69.12M13.654.14%23.03%-31.69%-72.10%
51
Neutral
$107.51M-38.770.31%9.13%-2.17%98.78%
47
Neutral
$135.44M19.466.58%-18.37%18.80%
45
Neutral
$81.06M-1.48-7.12%7.97%-28.13%62.49%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RPT
Rithm Property Trust
14.96
-3.14
-17.34%
ACR
ACRES Commercial Realty
18.65
-2.32
-11.06%
SEVN
Seven Hills Realty Trust
8.78
-2.59
-22.81%
LFT
Lument Finance Trust
1.34
-1.24
-48.14%
CHMI
Cherry Hill Mortgage
2.63
-0.45
-14.61%
GPMT
Granite Point Mortgage
1.76
-0.98
-35.72%

Rithm Property Trust Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and ComplianceStock Split
Rithm Property Trust Completes 1-for-6 Reverse Stock Split
Neutral
Dec 30, 2025

On December 30, 2025, Rithm Property Trust Inc. implemented a 1-for-6 reverse stock split of its common stock, reducing the number of issued and outstanding shares from 45,401,123 to approximately 7,566,853 and making corresponding adjustments to common units in its operating partnership and to shares available and terms of awards under its equity incentive and director equity plans. The reverse split, which treated all common shareholders uniformly and left ownership percentages essentially unchanged aside from minor effects from the cash settlement of fractional shares, was executed via two charter amendments filed in Maryland, and the company expects its shares to begin trading on a reverse-split-adjusted basis on the NYSE on December 31, 2025 under the existing ticker with a new CUSIP, a move that consolidates the share count and may affect trading dynamics and perception among investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (RPT) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rithm Property Trust stock, see the RPT Stock Forecast page.

Stock Split
Rithm Property Trust Announces One-for-Six Reverse Split
Negative
Dec 19, 2025

On December 19, 2025, Rithm Property Trust announced that its board had unanimously approved a one-for-six reverse stock split of its common stock and the common units of its operating partnership, to take effect at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time on December 30, 2025. The move will reduce the number of outstanding common shares from about 45.4 million to roughly 7.6 million, with trading on a split-adjusted basis set to begin on the NYSE on December 31, 2025 under a new CUSIP, and shareholders receiving cash in lieu of any fractional shares, leaving ownership percentages and voting rights largely unchanged aside from minor adjustments tied to those cash payments. The company cautioned that the reverse split could reduce liquidity and potentially lower its overall market capitalization if the share price does not rise proportionally, highlighting the risk that investor perception and trading dynamics may not move in tandem with the reduced share count.

The most recent analyst rating on (RPT) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rithm Property Trust stock, see the RPT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Rithm Property Trust Gains Minority Stake in Paramount Portfolio
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

On December 19, 2025, Rithm Property Trust acquired an indirect minority interest in Paramount Group Operating Partnership LP as part of Rithm Capital Corp.’s acquisition of Paramount Group, subscribing for approximately 3.9% of the limited partnership interests in two Rithm PGRE Aggregator entities for $50 million in cash, with a further commitment of up to $7.5 million. The investment gives Rithm Property Trust exposure to a portfolio of ten Class A office properties in New York and San Francisco, while the remaining partnership interests and management control are retained by Rithm Capital affiliates, underscoring the close operational ties and shared leadership between Rithm Property Trust and its external manager without any other material related-party relationships beyond the described transactions.

The most recent analyst rating on (RPT) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rithm Property Trust stock, see the RPT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025