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Renault SA (RNLSY)
OTHER OTC:RNLSY

Renault SA (RNLSY) AI Stock Analysis

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RNLSY

Renault SA

(OTC:RNLSY)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▼(-17.51% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/01/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance—2025 profitability deterioration, higher leverage, and negative free cash flow. Technicals also remain soft with the stock below longer-term averages. These are partially offset by supportive income characteristics (high dividend yield) and a relatively positive earnings call with clearer margin/FCF targets, but risks still dominate.
Positive Factors
EV and Hybrid Momentum
Rapid EV and hybrid adoption represents a durable structural shift in Renault’s product mix, strengthening competitiveness in Europe. Higher EV mix supports future scale on electrified platforms, aligns with regulations, and can improve per‑vehicle cost and margin over multiple years.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
A multi-year surge in debt materially reduces financial flexibility and increases refinancing and interest-rate vulnerability. High leverage constrains strategic optionality, raises default or covenant risk in downturns, and limits the firm's ability to invest opportunistically over the next 2–6 months.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
EV and Hybrid Momentum
Rapid EV and hybrid adoption represents a durable structural shift in Renault’s product mix, strengthening competitiveness in Europe. Higher EV mix supports future scale on electrified platforms, aligns with regulations, and can improve per‑vehicle cost and margin over multiple years.
Read all positive factors

Renault SA (RNLSY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Renault SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Renault SA designs, manufactures, sells, and distributes vehicles in France and internationally. The company operates through Automotive, AVTOVAZ, Sales Financing, and Mobility Services segments. It offers passenger and light commercial, and elect...
How the Company Makes Money
Renault primarily makes money by selling new vehicles (passenger cars and light commercial vehicles) through wholesale to dealers/distributors and direct/other channels in certain markets, with revenue recognized from vehicle deliveries. A signifi...

Renault SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a largely positive operational and financial picture: Renault Group delivered on its July guidance with a 6.3% operating margin, record automotive net cash of EUR 7.4 billion, resilient free cash flow (EUR 1.5 billion), accelerating electrified vehicle sales (EVs +72%–77% in Europe) and a record Mobilize Financial Services result. Product launches and international rollouts showed tangible traction. Key negatives are sizable non-cash accounting and provision items (notably the EUR 9.3 billion Nissan accounting loss), FX headwinds, H2 warranty/recall costs, and ongoing commercial/price pressure in Europe; these temper headline results but are largely manageable within the announced strategy. On balance, operational momentum, cash strength and clear midterm targets outweigh the transitory and structural headwinds.
Positive Updates
Operating Margin Delivered and Strong Profitability
Group operating profit of EUR 3.63 billion, representing a 6.3% operating margin (delivering July guidance). Automotive operating margin EUR 2.18 billion (4.2% of auto revenue).
Negative Updates
Large Non-Cash Accounting Charge Related to Nissan
Other operating income and expenses negative at EUR 11.5 billion, including a EUR 9.3 billion non-cash loss linked to the change in accounting treatment of Renault Group's stake in Nissan recorded in H1 2025, contributing materially to below-the-line weakness.
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Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Operating Margin Delivered and Strong Profitability
Group operating profit of EUR 3.63 billion, representing a 6.3% operating margin (delivering July guidance). Automotive operating margin EUR 2.18 billion (4.2% of auto revenue).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Renault guided 2026 to deliver an operating margin of circa 5.5% and free cash flow of about EUR 1.0 billion (including an expected EUR 350 million dividend from Mobilize Financial Services), assuming stable European markets and growth in South Korea, India and South America with consolidation of RNAIPL; the company also proposed a EUR 2.20 per‑share dividend for 2025. Over the midterm Renault targets a 5–7% group operating margin, steady mid‑single‑digit revenue growth and average free cash flow >EUR 1.5 billion per year, supported by annual cost reductions of around EUR 400 per vehicle, R&D/CapEx and supplier entry ticket below 8% of revenues, up to a 40% reduction in new‑project entry ticket, MFS dividends normalizing to ~EUR 500 million p.a., and additional dividend contribution from Horse Powertrain beginning in 2027.

Renault SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite strong revenue growth into 2025, results are weighed down by a sharp 2025 earnings collapse (deep net loss and negative margin), a significant leverage step-up since 2023 (debt-to-equity rising to ~2.2–3.3x), and deteriorating cash generation in 2025 with free cash flow turning negative.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Balance Sheet
33
Negative
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue57.92B56.23B52.38B46.39B41.66B
Gross Profit11.05B11.73B10.96B8.27B6.87B
EBITDA-5.64B5.10B6.39B7.59B4.80B
Net Income-10.93B752.00M2.20B-354.00M888.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets121.01B129.37B121.91B118.32B113.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.28B22.09B20.20B22.36B22.82B
Total Debt68.94B70.27B65.08B14.91B15.94B
Total Liabilities98.71B98.26B91.28B88.78B85.85B
Stockholders Equity20.79B30.31B29.75B28.95B27.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-705.00M4.20B1.40B929.00M-277.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.34B7.16B4.46B3.61B2.41B
Investing Cash Flow-3.30B-2.04B-2.23B-3.29B-1.62B
Financing Cash Flow-1.33B-3.23B-3.08B-478.00M-629.00M

Renault SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price7.88
Price Trends
50DMA
7.08
Positive
100DMA
7.62
Negative
200DMA
7.88
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
65.33
Neutral
STOCH
85.99
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RNLSY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 7.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.64, above the 50-day MA of 7.08, and below the 200-day MA of 7.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.99 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for RNLSY.

Renault SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
$31.47B9.644.09%4.19%0.32%-25.51%
55
Neutral
$19.10B109.051.55%-9.99%-54.75%
51
Neutral
$69.37B27.725.13%0.69%-1.29%-49.96%
48
Neutral
$48.59B-6.38-18.91%5.64%3.75%33.37%
47
Neutral
$18.79B-66.53%28.21%44.43%
44
Neutral
$10.63B-0.88-53.75%6.00%9.04%-946.19%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RNLSY
Renault SA
7.36
-1.58
-17.65%
F
Ford Motor
12.18
3.14
34.81%
GM
General Motors
76.74
31.46
69.48%
HMC
Honda Motor Company
24.50
-2.55
-9.44%
LI
Li Auto
18.63
-2.51
-11.87%
RIVN
Rivian Automotive
15.14
3.37
28.63%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 01, 2026