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Rgc Resources (RGCO)
NASDAQ:RGCO
US Market

Rgc Resources (RGCO) AI Stock Analysis

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RGCO

Rgc Resources

(NASDAQ:RGCO)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$23.50
▲(9.25% Upside)
RGC Resources' overall stock score reflects solid financial performance and a positive earnings call, highlighting strong growth and refinancing success. However, technical indicators suggest a neutral market sentiment, and valuation metrics indicate fair pricing. The anticipated fourth quarter loss and high leverage are potential risks to monitor.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business operations, supporting long-term financial stability.
Net Income Growth
Significant net income growth reflects improved profitability and efficient cost management, enhancing shareholder value over time.
Refinancing Success
Successful refinancing at favorable rates reduces interest expenses and enhances financial flexibility, supporting future investments.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk, limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and withstand economic downturns.
Anticipated Fourth Quarter Loss
Anticipated losses in the fourth quarter could signal operational challenges and impact investor confidence, affecting future financial performance.
Delayed Expansion Plans
Delays in expansion plans may hinder growth prospects and limit the company's ability to capitalize on new market opportunities in the near term.

Rgc Resources (RGCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rgc Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRGC Resources, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an energy services company. It sells and distributes natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers in Roanoke, Virginia, and the surrounding localities. The company also provides various unregulated services. It operates approximately 1,157 miles of transmission and distribution pipeline; and a liquefied natural gas storage facility, as well as owns and operates 6 metering stations. RGC Resources, Inc. was founded in 1883 and is based in Roanoke, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyRgc Resources generates revenue primarily through the sale and distribution of natural gas to its customers. The company earns money by charging customers for the volume of natural gas consumed, with rates regulated by state authorities. Additionally, RGCO offers energy efficiency programs that may include incentives and rebates, enhancing customer loyalty and driving additional revenue. The company may also benefit from partnerships with local governments and organizations focused on renewable energy projects, which can contribute to its earnings through grants or collaborative projects aimed at enhancing energy efficiency and sustainability.

Rgc Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 19, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong performance for fiscal 2025 with record gas delivery and increased net income, alongside strategic debt refinancing. However, there were challenges such as a seasonal loss in the fourth quarter and inflationary cost pressures. While the highlights indicate robust operational achievements, the presence of non-recurring gains and cost challenges balance out the sentiment.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Gas Delivery
Achieved a new gas delivery record with heating degree days up 18% and total volumes increased by 14% compared to last year.
Strong Financial Performance
Net income for fiscal 2025 was $13.3 million or $1.29 per share, an increase of 15% from fiscal 2024.
Debt Refinancing
Refinanced the debt that supports the investment in MVP for the long term, extending maturity to 2032 with reasonable amortization.
Growth in Customer Base
Connected over 700 new services, with a customer count expected to reach approximately 65,000 by the end of the second quarter.
Capital Expenditure Management
Total spending was $20.7 million, down 6% compared to fiscal 2024, continuing to invest in extending and renewing the system.
Negative Updates
Seasonal Loss in Fourth Quarter
Experienced a net loss of $204,000 or $0.02 per share due to traditionally weaker fourth quarter and higher expenses from inflation.
Non-Recurring Gains
Gains of approximately $0.06 per share each year from housing authority donations will not recur in 2026.
Inflationary Cost Increases
Faced higher expenses due to ongoing inflationary pressures, affecting financial performance.
Lower Equity Earnings from MVP
Lower equity earnings from the company's investment in the Mountain Valley Pipeline due to absence of AFUDC.
Company Guidance
During the RGC Resources' 2025 Fourth Quarter and Year-end Results call, the guidance for the fiscal year 2026 was detailed with several key metrics and projections. The company plans to maintain a capital expenditure (CapEx) budget of $22 million, similar to previous years, focusing on system enhancements and renewals. Customer growth remains steady, averaging over 660 new customers per year, and the company expects the customer count to reach approximately 65,000 by the end of the second quarter of 2026. The fiscal year 2025 saw record gas deliveries, with total volumes increasing by 14% due to colder weather and higher consumption by an industrial customer, but these record volumes are not anticipated to recur in 2026. A new rate case filed in December seeks a $4.3 million increase in annual revenues, with new rates expected to take effect on January 1, 2026, although these are subject to future adjustments. Additionally, the company refinanced its debt related to the Mountain Valley Pipeline, extending maturity to 2032, and authorized a dividend increase to $0.87 per share, reflecting confidence in strong future performance.

Rgc Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
RGC Resources demonstrates solid financial health with consistent revenue growth and strong profitability margins. The balance sheet shows improvement in leverage, though high debt levels remain a concern. Cash flow generation is improving, supporting operational stability. Overall, the company is well-positioned but should monitor leverage and cash flow to ensure long-term sustainability.
Income Statement
Rgc Resources shows a stable revenue growth with a 3.07% increase in TTM, indicating a positive trend compared to the previous year's decline. The company maintains healthy profitability margins with a gross profit margin of 31.4% and a net profit margin of 14.5% in TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 26.3% and 34.7% respectively, reflecting efficient operational management. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin from the previous year suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a moderate risk profile with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.20, indicating a high leverage but an improvement from previous years. The return on equity is strong at 12.0%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio of 35.8% suggests a reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks if interest rates rise.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trend with a 12.6% growth in free cash flow, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.38 suggests strong cash conversion from earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.26 indicates limited free cash flow relative to net income, which could constrain reinvestment opportunities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue94.12M84.64M97.44M84.17M75.17M68.62M
Gross Profit33.22M30.29M29.77M26.15M25.49M28.15M
EBITDA35.57M32.48M30.40M-29.46M26.58M20.74M
Net Income13.63M11.76M11.30M-31.73M10.10M10.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets324.76M320.70M303.73M290.31M310.11M281.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.13M894.18K1.51M4.90M1.52M291.07K
Total Debt142.28M148.64M141.17M137.00M140.47M123.82M
Total Liabilities208.50M212.56M203.00M197.22M210.41M192.79M
Stockholders Equity116.26M108.14M100.73M93.09M99.70M88.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.39M-4.66M-1.51M-9.91M-8.40M-10.09M
Operating Cash Flow28.65M17.43M23.80M15.55M11.57M12.82M
Investing Cash Flow-21.25M-22.03M-27.40M-30.62M-25.85M-30.72M
Financing Cash Flow-7.82M3.98M218.94K18.44M15.51M16.56M

Rgc Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.51
Price Trends
50DMA
21.77
Negative
100DMA
21.79
Negative
200DMA
21.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.38
Positive
RSI
34.88
Neutral
STOCH
11.48
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RGCO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.82, below the 50-day MA of 21.77, and above the 200-day MA of 21.38, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.48 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RGCO.

Rgc Resources Risk Analysis

Rgc Resources disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rgc Resources reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rgc Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.92B18.317.20%4.18%11.27%20.04%
69
Neutral
$4.85B18.658.20%3.82%-4.50%2.49%
68
Neutral
$215.29M16.1511.98%3.75%12.63%10.99%
68
Neutral
$1.23B11.6318.60%6.97%7.94%43.23%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
47
Neutral
$440.42M119.527.03%-86.15%
39
Underperform
$358.54M-0.26-96.21%-27.23%-634.60%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RGCO
Rgc Resources
20.81
1.50
7.77%
SR
Spire
81.54
16.69
25.74%
NWN
Northwest Gas
46.02
8.44
22.46%
SPH
Suburban Propane
18.89
0.98
5.47%
NFE
New Fortress Energy
1.26
-13.65
-91.55%
OPAL
OPAL Fuels
2.51
-0.64
-20.32%

Rgc Resources Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
RGC Resources Discusses Q4 and Fiscal Year Results
Neutral
Dec 4, 2025

RGC Resources, Inc. held a conference call with analysts to discuss its fourth quarter and fiscal year results ending September 30, 2025. The call aimed to provide insights into the company’s financial performance and operational outcomes, although specific details of the results were not disclosed in the release.

The most recent analyst rating on (RGCO) stock is a Hold with a $23.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rgc Resources stock, see the RGCO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
RGC Resources Reports Fiscal Year Earnings Rise
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

RGC Resources, Inc. reported a significant rise in earnings for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2025, with a net income of $13.3 million compared to $11.8 million the previous year. This increase was driven by record gas deliveries and higher operating margins, despite challenges such as inflationary costs and reduced equity earnings from the Mountain Valley Pipeline. The company also experienced a net loss of $204,000 in the fourth quarter of 2025, attributed to seasonal factors and increased expenses.

The most recent analyst rating on (RGCO) stock is a Hold with a $23.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rgc Resources stock, see the RGCO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 25, 2025