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New Fortress Energy (NFE)
NASDAQ:NFE
US Market

New Fortress Energy (NFE) AI Stock Analysis

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New Fortress Energy

(NASDAQ:NFE)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲(9.49%Upside)
New Fortress Energy's overall score is weighed down by financial leverage issues, negative technical indicators, and regulatory risks. Despite some positive strategic moves and liquidity improvements, these factors are overshadowed by significant challenges.
Positive Factors
Contract Opportunities
The extension of the 80 TBtu island-wide contract in Puerto Rico for another year is aimed at converting it to a longer-term agreement linked to Henry Hub.
Debt Management
Recycling cash from the Jamaica sale into near-term maturities is a big step in the right direction.
Growth Potential
NFE has registered significant capacity for upcoming power auctions in Brazil, indicating growth potential in the region.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
NFE reported 1Q results meaningfully below consensus and estimates, while forward 'core EBITDA' guidance fell approximately 30% below prior estimate.
Leverage Concerns
NFE's debt load continues to be a near-term overhang with net debt to LTM EBITDA at approximately 11x.
Stock Price Impact
NFE is down roughly 30% in aftermarket trading after reporting 1Q25 earnings with EBITDA coming approximately 66% below consensus.

New Fortress Energy (NFE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

New Fortress Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNew Fortress Energy Inc. operates as an integrated gas-to-power infrastructure company that provides energy and development services to end-users worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Terminals and Infrastructure, and Ships. The Terminals and Infrastructure segment engages in the natural gas procurement and liquefaction; and shipping, logistics, facilities and conversion, or development of natural gas-fired power generation. The Ships segment offers floating storage and regasification units, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers which are leased to customers under long-term or spot arrangements. The company operates LNG storage and regasification facility at the Port of Montego Bay, Jamaica; marine LNG storage and regasification facility in Old Harbour, Jamaica; landed micro-fuel handling facility in San Juan, Puerto Rico; marine LNG storage and regasification facility in Sergipe, Brazil; and LNG receiving facility in La Paz, Mexico, as well as Miami facility. New Fortress Energy Inc. was founded in 1998 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyNew Fortress Energy makes money primarily through the sale of natural gas and LNG. The company's revenue streams include the production and delivery of LNG to power plants and industrial customers, where it is used as a cleaner alternative to coal and oil. NFE also generates income by operating liquefaction facilities that convert natural gas into LNG for easier storage and transport. Additionally, it earns from long-term purchase agreements and infrastructure development partnerships with energy providers and governments, facilitating the growth of LNG infrastructure and expanding its market reach.

New Fortress Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -59.59%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights several positive developments, including a successful asset sale in Jamaica, strong progress in Brazil, and robust liquidity. However, these are balanced by challenges such as lower-than-expected earnings, delays in Brazil's capacity auction, and ongoing challenges in Puerto Rico's energy system.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Jamaica Asset Sale
The company completed the sale of its Jamaica assets for $1.055 billion, resulting in net proceeds of $800 million and a $430 million gain.
Strong Performance in Brazil
Progress in Brazil with key assets nearing operational status: a 624-megawatt power plant expected to reach COD in the second half of 2025, and a 1.6 gigawatt plant on track for mid-2026. Contracts in Brazil are inflation-linked and provide stable cash flows.
Robust Liquidity Position
Ending Q1 2025 with $448 million in cash, $275 million available under revolving credit facilities, and $393 million from asset sales, totaling over $1.1 billion in pro forma liquidity.
FSRU Charter Contracts
New FSRU contracts signed, generating approximately $200 million in future earnings and increasing annual cash flow by up to $50 million.
Positive Construction Updates
Construction progress in Brazil with CELBA plant at 95% completion and PortoCem at 54% despite challenging weather conditions.
Negative Updates
Lower-than-Expected Earnings
Q1 2025 adjusted EBITDA was $82 million, lower than initial forecasts due to delays in recognizing certain expected payments.
Postponed Brazil Capacity Auction
The Brazil capacity auction, originally scheduled for June 2025, was delayed, creating short-term uncertainty.
Puerto Rico Energy System Challenges
Puerto Rico's energy system is under-invested and antiquated, with over 50% of power generated from oil and diesel.
Restricted Cash for Brazil CapEx
Significant amounts of cash are restricted for CapEx in Brazil, limiting flexibility in the use of funds.
Company Guidance
During the NFE First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, CEO Wes Edens provided detailed financial guidance and operational updates. Core earnings were consistent with expectations, ranging from $109 million to $177 million over recent quarters, and are projected to accelerate in the second half as new assets, particularly in Brazil, come online. The forecast for EBITDA, including gains, is elevated to $1.25 billion to $1.5 billion for the year. The recent $1.055 billion Jamaica sale generated $800 million in net proceeds and a $430 million gain, contributing to this forecast. The company anticipates resolving a $659 million FEMA claim soon and has secured $143 million in profit from re-letting surplus FSRU assets. Additionally, NFE has planned asset sales and debt reduction strategies to simplify the balance sheet, with an aim to extend debt duration and lower costs. Long-term contracts in Brazil and Puerto Rico are expected to generate $500 million in annual margin, highlighting NFE's focus on maintaining stable, long-duration cash flows.

New Fortress Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
New Fortress Energy shows strength in revenue generation and operational cash flow, but faces challenges with profitability and leverage. High debt levels and negative net profit margin are key concerns. Strategic improvements in efficiency and debt management are essential.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
New Fortress Energy shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The gross profit margin is strong, indicating good cost management, but the net profit margin is negative, highlighting issues in profitability. Although there is some revenue growth over the years, the recent decline from 2023 to 2024 is concerning. EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low, suggesting room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. Return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's struggle to generate profits from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a reliance on debt financing over equity.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates challenges in free cash flow generation, with negative free cash flow growth. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting that cash flows from operations are relatively healthy compared to net income. The company needs to focus on improving its free cash flow position to ensure financial stability.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.36B2.41B2.37B1.32B451.65M
Gross Profit
1.09B1.14B1.19B581.81M125.30M
EBIT
538.64M942.67M385.66M238.88M-155.36M
EBITDA
317.51M1.11B440.85M350.45M-160.19M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-249.04M547.88M194.48M97.10M-263.96M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
492.88M155.41M675.49M187.51M601.52M
Total Assets
12.87B10.50B7.71B6.88B1.91B
Total Debt
9.50B7.37B4.89B4.14B1.36B
Net Debt
9.01B7.22B4.22B3.95B757.84M
Total Liabilities
10.87B8.72B6.26B4.88B1.53B
Stockholders Equity
1.88B1.64B1.29B1.79B366.96M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-2.03B-2.21B-818.90M-584.58M-282.56M
Operating Cash Flow
586.74M824.76M355.11M84.77M-125.57M
Investing Cash Flow
-2.07B-2.90B-82.73M-2.27B-157.63M
Financing Cash Flow
2.22B1.53B321.96M1.82B819.50M

New Fortress Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.74
Price Trends
50DMA
4.58
Negative
100DMA
8.01
Negative
200DMA
9.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.58
Negative
RSI
37.81
Neutral
STOCH
61.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NFE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.74 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.86, below the 50-day MA of 4.58, and below the 200-day MA of 9.53, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.58 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NFE.

New Fortress Energy Risk Analysis

New Fortress Energy disclosed 71 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. New Fortress Energy reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

New Fortress Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NWNWN
71
Outperform
$1.62B15.777.36%4.87%3.88%11.80%
CPCPK
67
Neutral
$2.80B22.239.04%2.11%20.41%13.64%
OGOGS
65
Neutral
$4.43B17.548.08%3.62%7.73%2.36%
64
Neutral
$8.62B10.394.24%4.63%4.07%-13.04%
SPSPH
63
Neutral
$1.19B12.6014.42%7.09%4.02%-14.66%
55
Neutral
$2.05B2,144.760.11%
NFNFE
51
Neutral
$877.38M11.07-28.47%13.38%-15.03%-201.87%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NFE
New Fortress Energy
2.74
-18.36
-87.01%
CPK
Chesapeake Utilities
119.39
16.27
15.78%
NWN
Northwest Gas
39.74
5.94
17.57%
SPH
Suburban Propane
18.17
0.14
0.78%
OGS
ONE Gas
72.60
14.08
24.06%
CTRI
Centuri Holdings, Inc.
21.98
-4.09
-15.69%

New Fortress Energy Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
New Fortress Energy Faces Nasdaq Non-Compliance Notice
Negative
May 27, 2025

On May 20, 2025, New Fortress Energy Inc. received a notice from Nasdaq indicating non-compliance with Nasdaq Listing Rule 5250(c)(1) due to the delayed filing of its Form 10-Q for the period ended March 31, 2025. The company has 60 days to submit a compliance plan, with potential for an extension until November 11, 2025, if accepted. The notice does not immediately affect the company’s stock listing, but failure to comply could lead to delisting. New Fortress Energy is working to file the report promptly.

The most recent analyst rating on (NFE) stock is a Hold with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on New Fortress Energy stock, see the NFE Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
New Fortress Energy Sells Jamaican Business for $1.055B
Neutral
May 21, 2025

On May 14, 2025, New Fortress Energy Inc. and Atlantic Energy Holdings LLC completed the sale of their Jamaican business to Excelerate Energy Limited Partnership for $1.055 billion in cash. This acquisition, initially announced on March 26, 2025, is expected to impact New Fortress Energy’s operations and market positioning by divesting its assets in Jamaica.

The most recent analyst rating on (NFE) stock is a Hold with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on New Fortress Energy stock, see the NFE Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
New Fortress Energy Amends Credit Agreements for Sale
Neutral
May 12, 2025

New Fortress Energy has entered into several amendments to its credit agreements in anticipation of closing the sale of its Jamaican business to Excelerate Energy Limited Partnership on May 12, 2025. These amendments, including the Twelfth Amendment to the Credit Agreement, the Fifth Amendment to the Credit Agreement, and the Eighth Amendment to the Uncommitted Letter of Credit and Reimbursement Agreement, adjust financial covenants and allow the company to use proceeds from the asset sale to reinvest in its business and repay debt. The amendments provide flexibility in financial management by waiving certain repayment requirements and adjusting covenants, potentially impacting the company’s financial strategy and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (NFE) stock is a Hold with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on New Fortress Energy stock, see the NFE Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
New Fortress Energy Sells Jamaican Assets for $1.055 Billion
Neutral
Mar 27, 2025

On March 26, 2025, New Fortress Energy Inc. announced the sale of its Jamaican assets and operations to Excelerate Energy Limited Partnership for $1.055 billion. This transaction, expected to close in the second quarter of 2025, is part of New Fortress Energy’s strategy to optimize its asset portfolio and enhance financial flexibility. The sale includes an LNG import terminal, offshore floating storage and regasification terminal, and a 150 MW Combined Heat and Power Plant in Jamaica. This move marks a significant step in New Fortress Energy’s efforts to streamline operations while Excelerate Energy aims to expand its global market presence and continue providing sustainable energy solutions in Jamaica.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.