New Fortress Energy (NFE) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.05B
• Dividend Yield: 9.65%
• Average Volume (3M): 12.28M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 11.1
• Beta (1Y): 1.40
• Revenue Growth: -15.03%
• EPS Growth: -201.87%
• Country: US
• Employees: 722
• Sector: Utilities
• Sector Strength: 76
• Industry: Regulated Gas
• EPS (TTM): -0.73
• Shares Outstanding: 274,198,300
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 9,265,481
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 12,281,314
• PEG Ratio: 0.03
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.61
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -0.59
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 9.78
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.10
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 12.22
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 5.49
• 1Y Price Target: $6.25
• Price Target Upside: 50.97% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3

• Rating: 56 Neutral
• Price Target: $4.00 ▼(-3.38%Downside)

NFE's overall stock score is driven by financial instability and valuation concerns due to negative profitability and high leverage. The positive sentiment from the earnings call and technical indicators provide some optimism, but corporate compliance issues add to the risk profile.

Positive Factors

EBITDA Contributions

San Juan 5 & 6 should continue to provide $150M-$200M in EBITDA annually.

Gas Delivery Contracts

Barcarena includes a gas delivery contract that should hit a ~$200M run-rate when Celba ramps.

Project Expansion

NFE has multiple projects in Brazil, including the Santa Catarina Terminal, Barcarena Terminal, and two power plants, which are expected to drive long-term growth.

Negative Factors

Debt Concerns

NFE stock is down roughly 65% since the company reported Q1 earnings as investors have increasingly focused on the company's debt stack.

Financial Outlook

Price target falls to $4/sh from $13, indicating decreased confidence in the company's short-term financial outlook.

Volume Challenges

Maintenance in Puerto Rico and Jamaica was a drag on Q1 terminal volumes, and with Jamaica sold, Q2 volumes are expected to be messy.

New Fortress Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

New Fortress Energy (NFE) is a global energy infrastructure company focused on providing modern energy solutions to drive the world's transition to clean energy. It operates primarily in the energy sector, specializing in the production, distribution, and logistics of liquefied natural gas (LNG). NFE is committed to reducing carbon emissions while delivering reliable and affordable energy to diverse markets worldwide.

How the Company Makes Money

New Fortress Energy makes money through its integrated LNG value chain by producing, processing, and distributing liquefied natural gas. The company generates revenue from the sale of LNG to a variety of customers, including utilities, industrial end-users, and transportation companies. Key revenue streams include long-term supply contracts, spot market sales, and infrastructure development projects. NFE also engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to expand its market reach and enhance its service offerings. The company's earnings are significantly impacted by global energy demand, LNG pricing, and its ability to efficiently manage and operate its energy assets.

New Fortress Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

New Fortress Energy faces financial instability with declining revenues and increasing net losses. High leverage and negative free cash flow indicate potential liquidity and solvency risks. While operational cash generation is positive, significant improvements in profitability and cash management are necessary for long-term sustainability.

Income Statement

New Fortress Energy (NFE) exhibits unstable profitability with a fluctuating net income, showing a significant loss in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) period. The gross profit margin remains healthy, but the net profit margin is negative due to substantial net losses. Revenue growth is inconsistent, with recent declines. There is a concerning drop in EBITDA margin in the TTM, indicating operational challenges.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet for NFE reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. However, the equity ratio shows a moderate level of equity financing. Return on equity is negative in the TTM, reflecting recent net losses. Overall, the financial stability is weakened by high liabilities relative to equity.

Cash Flow

NFE's cash flow statement indicates negative free cash flow growth and a substantial free cash flow deficit, highlighting liquidity challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains positive, suggesting that the company generates operational cash despite net losses. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, underscoring ongoing cash management issues.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.36B	2.41B	2.37B	1.32B	451.65M
Gross Profit	1.09B	1.14B	1.19B	581.81M	125.30M
EBITDA	317.51M	1.11B	440.85M	350.45M	-160.19M
Net Income	-249.04M	547.88M	194.48M	97.10M	-182.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	12.87B	10.50B	7.71B	6.88B	1.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	492.88M	155.41M	675.49M	187.51M	601.52M
Total Debt	9.50B	7.37B	4.89B	4.14B	1.36B
Total Liabilities	10.87B	8.72B	6.26B	4.88B	1.53B
Stockholders Equity	1.88B	1.64B	1.29B	1.79B	366.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-2.03B	-2.21B	-818.90M	-584.58M	-282.56M
Operating Cash Flow	586.74M	824.76M	355.11M	84.77M	-125.57M
Investing Cash Flow	-2.07B	-2.90B	-82.73M	-2.27B	-157.63M
Financing Cash Flow	2.22B	1.53B	321.96M	1.82B	819.50M

New Fortress Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 4.14
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NFE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.78, above the 50-day MA of 3.30, and below the 200-day MA of 8.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NFE.

New Fortress Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CPK	76 Outperform	$2.83B	22.37	9.04%	2.15%	20.41%	13.64%
NWN	73 Outperform	$1.67B	16.43	7.36%	4.80%	3.88%	11.80%
OGS	71 Outperform	$4.38B	17.79	8.08%	3.64%	7.73%	2.36%
SPH	66 Neutral	$1.20B	12.83	14.42%	7.03%	4.02%	-14.66%
Sector *	57 Neutral	AU$887.24M	4.31	-2.37%	5.07%	21.41%	-109.15%
NFE	56 Neutral	$1.05B	11.07	-28.26%	9.65%	-15.03%	-201.87%
CTRI	47 Neutral	$1.84B	1,981.90	0.11%	―	―	―

New Fortress Energy Corporate Events

New Fortress Energy Elects Directors at Annual Meeting

At the 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on June 18, 2025, New Fortress Energy Inc. elected three Class III directors to serve until the 2028 Annual Meeting. Additionally, stockholders ratified the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and financial oversight strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (NFE) stock is a Hold with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on New Fortress Energy stock, see the NFE Stock Forecast page.

New Fortress Energy Faces Nasdaq Non-Compliance Notice

On May 20, 2025, New Fortress Energy Inc. received a notice from Nasdaq indicating non-compliance with Nasdaq Listing Rule 5250(c)(1) due to the delayed filing of its Form 10-Q for the period ended March 31, 2025. The company has 60 days to submit a compliance plan, with potential for an extension until November 11, 2025, if accepted. The notice does not immediately affect the company’s stock listing, but failure to comply could lead to delisting. New Fortress Energy is working to file the report promptly.

The most recent analyst rating on (NFE) stock is a Hold with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on New Fortress Energy stock, see the NFE Stock Forecast page.

New Fortress Energy Sells Jamaican Business for $1.055B

On May 14, 2025, New Fortress Energy Inc. and Atlantic Energy Holdings LLC completed the sale of their Jamaican business to Excelerate Energy Limited Partnership for $1.055 billion in cash. This acquisition, initially announced on March 26, 2025, is expected to impact New Fortress Energy’s operations and market positioning by divesting its assets in Jamaica.

The most recent analyst rating on (NFE) stock is a Hold with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on New Fortress Energy stock, see the NFE Stock Forecast page.

New Fortress Energy Amends Credit Agreements for Sale

New Fortress Energy has entered into several amendments to its credit agreements in anticipation of closing the sale of its Jamaican business to Excelerate Energy Limited Partnership on May 12, 2025. These amendments, including the Twelfth Amendment to the Credit Agreement, the Fifth Amendment to the Credit Agreement, and the Eighth Amendment to the Uncommitted Letter of Credit and Reimbursement Agreement, adjust financial covenants and allow the company to use proceeds from the asset sale to reinvest in its business and repay debt. The amendments provide flexibility in financial management by waiving certain repayment requirements and adjusting covenants, potentially impacting the company’s financial strategy and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (NFE) stock is a Hold with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on New Fortress Energy stock, see the NFE Stock Forecast page.