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New Fortress Energy (NFE)
NASDAQ:NFE
US Market

New Fortress Energy (NFE) AI Stock Analysis

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NFE

New Fortress Energy

(NASDAQ:NFE)

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Underperform 39 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-17.36% Downside)
New Fortress Energy's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial challenges and recent corporate events indicating financial distress. The technical analysis suggests bearish momentum, and the valuation is unattractive due to negative earnings and lack of dividends. These factors collectively result in a low stock score, reflecting significant risks and uncertainties.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships expand NFE's market reach and revenue potential, leveraging external expertise and resources to meet growing energy demands.
Infrastructure Development
Infrastructure development supports long-term revenue through asset utilization and service fees, positioning NFE to capitalize on energy infrastructure needs.
Market Position in LNG
NFE's focus on LNG logistics and distribution positions it well in a growing market for cleaner energy solutions, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk, limiting flexibility and potentially leading to financial distress, impacting long-term stability.
Declining Revenue Growth
Negative revenue growth indicates challenges in market demand or operational efficiency, necessitating strategic changes to regain growth momentum.
Loan Defaults and Forbearance
Loan defaults and reliance on forbearance agreements indicate financial distress, increasing the risk of restructuring and adverse impacts on shareholders.

New Fortress Energy (NFE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

New Fortress Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNew Fortress Energy Inc. operates as an integrated gas-to-power infrastructure company that provides energy and development services to end-users worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Terminals and Infrastructure, and Ships. The Terminals and Infrastructure segment engages in the natural gas procurement and liquefaction; and shipping, logistics, facilities and conversion, or development of natural gas-fired power generation. The Ships segment offers floating storage and regasification units, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers which are leased to customers under long-term or spot arrangements. The company operates LNG storage and regasification facility at the Port of Montego Bay, Jamaica; marine LNG storage and regasification facility in Old Harbour, Jamaica; landed micro-fuel handling facility in San Juan, Puerto Rico; marine LNG storage and regasification facility in Sergipe, Brazil; and LNG receiving facility in La Paz, Mexico, as well as Miami facility. New Fortress Energy Inc. was founded in 1998 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyNew Fortress Energy generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from the sale of liquefied natural gas and related services. The company earns money by sourcing LNG from producers and transporting it to its terminals for regasification and distribution. Additional revenue comes from long-term contracts with customers, providing stable cash flow. NFE also engages in infrastructure development, which includes building and operating LNG terminals and pipelines, generating income from both asset utilization and service fees. Strategic partnerships with gas suppliers and utility companies further enhance its market reach and revenue potential, allowing NFE to capitalize on the growing demand for cleaner energy sources.

New Fortress Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

New Fortress Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive achievements, such as the successful sale of the Jamaica asset and strong liquidity, alongside challenges like lower-than-expected quarterly earnings and project delays. The company is actively addressing these through strategic refinancing and asset sales, but some uncertainties remain, particularly regarding the timing of auctions and project completions.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Jamaica Sale Completion
The sale was completed for $1.055 billion, resulting in net proceeds of $800 million and a gain of $430 million. This transaction exceeded initial forecasts.
Strong Liquidity Position
The company ended Q1 with $448 million in cash and a pro forma liquidity of over $1.1 billion after the Jamaica sale. This positions the company well for near-term financial obligations.
Brazil Project Advancements
Significant progress has been made on power plants in Brazil, with CELBA at 95% completion and PortoCem at 54%. Both projects are on track for commercial operation dates in late 2025 and mid-2026, respectively.
High-Value Long-Term Contracts
The company has secured long-term contracts in Brazil, providing stable and predictable cash flows, particularly with Norsk Hydro and CELBA 2, which are inflation-linked and protected from gas price volatility.
EBITDA Guidance Increase
EBITDA plus gains are expected to be $1.25 billion to $1.5 billion for the year, which is higher than the previous estimate.
Negative Updates
Lower-than-Expected Quarterly Earnings
Q1 adjusted EBITDA was $82 million, lower than forecasted due to the absence of one-time gains and a $200 million net loss reported for GAAP.
Delayed Auctions in Brazil
The capacity auction scheduled for June was postponed, leading to some uncertainty, although it is expected to occur in 2025.
Challenges in Puerto Rico
Puerto Rico's energy system is outdated and under-invested, with a lack of sufficient reserve and high reliance on diesel for power generation, leading to inefficiencies and higher costs.
FLNG 2 Project Delays
No significant progress was made on the FLNG 2 project over the last 60 days, with focus diverted to other priorities such as the Jamaica sale.
Company Guidance
During the NFE First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported consistent core earnings, with figures of $110 million, $177 million, $109 million, and $116 million over recent quarters, despite a decrease in EBITDA due to the absence of one-off results. For 2025, NFE forecasts EBITDA plus gains between $1.25 billion and $1.5 billion, with the sale of its Jamaica assets already contributing $800 million in net proceeds and a $430 million gain. The company has also highlighted its focus on debt reduction, asset sales, and leveraging long-term, high-quality cash flows, aiming to refinance its corporate debt structure. Key financial metrics include a $1.055 billion sale price for Jamaican assets and $778 million in net proceeds, while notable contracts, such as FSRU charters, are expected to add approximately $50 million in annual EBITDA. NFE's liquidity stood at over $1.1 billion at the end of Q1 2025, with plans to utilize this position to address near-term debt maturities and capitalize on growth opportunities in Brazil and Puerto Rico.

New Fortress Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
New Fortress Energy faces financial challenges with declining revenue, negative profitability, and high leverage. While there are periods of positive growth and profitability in the past, current financials indicate the need for strategic improvements to enhance stability and reduce financial risk.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
New Fortress Energy has experienced declining revenue growth in recent periods, with a negative growth rate of -5.89% in the TTM. The company also shows negative net profit and EBIT margins, indicating challenges in profitability. However, historical data shows periods of positive growth and profitability, suggesting potential for recovery.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 7.40 in the TTM, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is negative, reflecting recent losses. However, the equity ratio is relatively stable, suggesting some balance sheet strength.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow metrics indicate challenges, with negative free cash flow and a low operating cash flow to net income ratio. The free cash flow to net income ratio is significantly negative, highlighting cash flow issues. Historical data shows some improvement in operating cash flow, but overall cash flow remains a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.78B2.36B2.41B2.37B1.32B451.65M
Gross Profit575.35M1.09B1.14B1.19B581.81M125.30M
EBITDA-153.11M317.51M1.11B440.85M350.45M-175.66M
Net Income-1.28B-249.04M547.88M194.48M97.10M-182.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.91B12.87B10.50B7.71B6.88B1.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments145.24M492.88M155.41M675.49M187.51M601.52M
Total Debt9.31B9.50B7.37B4.89B4.14B1.36B
Total Liabilities10.78B10.87B8.72B6.26B4.88B1.53B
Stockholders Equity995.39M1.88B1.64B1.29B1.79B366.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.73B-2.03B-2.21B-818.90M-584.58M-282.56M
Operating Cash Flow-134.65M586.74M824.76M355.11M84.77M-125.57M
Investing Cash Flow-570.44M-2.07B-2.90B-82.73M-2.27B-157.63M
Financing Cash Flow869.42M2.22B1.53B321.96M1.82B819.50M

New Fortress Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.21
Price Trends
50DMA
1.41
Negative
100DMA
1.87
Negative
200DMA
3.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Positive
RSI
44.92
Neutral
STOCH
31.75
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NFE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.21 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.28, below the 50-day MA of 1.41, and below the 200-day MA of 3.53, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NFE.

New Fortress Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.23B11.4118.60%7.01%7.94%43.23%
73
Outperform
$1.93B18.517.20%4.22%11.27%20.04%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
$2.96B22.149.13%2.15%17.15%15.00%
56
Neutral
$2.60B933.210.45%
51
Neutral
$357.19M98.107.03%-86.15%
39
Underperform
$344.31M-0.25-96.21%-27.23%-634.60%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NFE
New Fortress Energy
1.21
-10.75
-89.88%
CPK
Chesapeake Utilities
125.11
8.12
6.94%
NWN
Northwest Gas
46.52
8.74
23.13%
SPH
Suburban Propane
18.54
2.32
14.30%
OPAL
OPAL Fuels
2.06
-0.93
-31.10%
CTRI
Centuri Holdings, Inc.
26.13
5.84
28.78%

New Fortress Energy Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingLegal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
New Fortress Energy Enters Forbearance Amid Loan Defaults
Negative
Dec 19, 2025

New Fortress Energy Inc. disclosed that it failed to make interest payments due December 10, 2025, on both its Term Loan B (approximately $30.6 million) and Term Loan A (approximately $1.6 million), triggering events of default on December 17, 2025, and has also told Term Loan B lenders it does not intend to make certain principal payments due on December 31, 2025. On December 17, 2025, the company entered into separate forbearance agreements with required lenders under both its Term Loan B and Term Loan A facilities, running through January 9, 2026, under which lenders agreed temporarily not to accelerate the debt or exercise remedies, but if further forbearance or debt restructuring is not reached, substantially all of the company’s debt could be accelerated and become payable on demand, potentially forcing broader restructuring steps with adverse consequences for shareholders.

Also on December 17, 2025, New Fortress executed amendments to its letter of credit facility, revolving credit facility and Term Loan A credit agreement, tying defaults under these instruments to the continued effectiveness of the Term Loan A and Term Loan B forbearance agreements and tightening covenants by restricting dividends, new indebtedness, asset sales, intercompany transfers and investments. These cross-default provisions and covenant restrictions increase the financial pressure on the company and heighten the risk that, if lenders ultimately accelerate these obligations, New Fortress may need to undertake significant out-of-court or in-court restructuring initiatives, with material implications for creditors and stockholders.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
New Fortress Energy Extends Forbearance Agreement Deadline
Neutral
Dec 17, 2025

New Fortress Energy has extended its forbearance agreement related to its 12.000% Senior Secured Notes due 2029. Originally set to expire on December 15, 2025, the agreement has been extended to January 9, 2026, allowing the company additional time to negotiate a restructuring with stakeholders following a missed semiannual interest payment. Additionally, the company amended its Letter of Credit Facility on December 12, 2025, canceling a planned reduction in commitments under the agreement. This amendment maintains the facility’s commitments at $195 million, offering continued financial stability and liquidity for the business.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
New Fortress Energy Amends Credit Agreement, Extends Maturity
Negative
Nov 20, 2025

On November 14, 2025, New Fortress Energy Inc. entered into the Eleventh Amendment Agreement to extend the maturity date of its Letter of Credit Agreement to March 31, 2026, and implement several financial covenant changes. This amendment could lead to significant financial restructuring if certain conditions are not met, potentially impacting shareholders adversely.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 20, 2025