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Centuri Holdings, Inc. (CTRI)
NYSE:CTRI
US Market

Centuri Holdings, Inc. (CTRI) AI Stock Analysis

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CTRI

Centuri Holdings, Inc.

(NYSE:CTRI)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$35.00
▲(3.73% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/21/26
CTRI scores in the upper-50s primarily due to improving financial results and significant recent balance-sheet de-risking, reinforced by constructive 2026 guidance and strong backlog. The score is held back by inconsistent cash generation (negative 2025 free cash flow) and a demanding valuation (very high P/E), while technicals are neutral with a long-term uptrend but near-term consolidation.
Positive Factors
Backlog & Pipeline
A $5.9B backlog covering >85% of 2026 base revenue plus a $13B pipeline gives multi-quarter revenue visibility. Durable project demand from regulated utility capital programs and a deep bid funnel reduce revenue volatility and support sustained organic growth.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow despite positive operating cash flow highlights weak cash conversion after investments and working capital timing. This reduces financial flexibility for deleveraging, fleet funding, or returns to shareholders absent continued capital raises or improved collections.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Backlog & Pipeline
A $5.9B backlog covering >85% of 2026 base revenue plus a $13B pipeline gives multi-quarter revenue visibility. Durable project demand from regulated utility capital programs and a deep bid funnel reduce revenue volatility and support sustained organic growth.
Read all positive factors

Centuri Holdings, Inc. (CTRI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Centuri Holdings, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Centuri Holdings, Inc. operates as a utility infrastructure services company in North America. The company operates through four segments: U.S. Gas Utility Services; Canadian Gas Utility Services; Union Electric Utility Services; and Non-Union Ele...
How the Company Makes Money
Centuri primarily makes money by providing contracted infrastructure services to utility customers (and, where applicable, other energy/industrial customers) and recognizing revenue as it performs construction and maintenance work. Key revenue str...

Centuri Holdings, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strong set of operational and financial accomplishments—record revenue, robust bookings and backlog growth, meaningful base revenue and base gross profit expansion, segment-level outperformance (notably in nonunion electric and Canada), and improved leverage and cash generation initiatives. Management acknowledged near-term challenges including Q1 seasonality in the gas business, working-capital and DSO improvement needs, persistent fleet and CapEx demands, and some slower-than-expected early data-center wins. On balance, positive momentum, conservative guidance, and concrete initiatives to address weaknesses suggest the company is positioned for continued progress into 2026.
Positive Updates
Record Full-Year Revenue
Centuri delivered record 2025 revenue of $3.0 billion, a 13% increase versus 2024, and Q4 revenue of $859 million, up 20% year over year.
Negative Updates
Q4 Adjusted Net Income Slight Decline
Q4 2025 adjusted net income was $16 million (or $0.17 per share) down from $18 million (or $0.21 per share) in Q4 2024, reflecting some near-term margin and timing differences despite higher revenue.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Full-Year Revenue
Centuri delivered record 2025 revenue of $3.0 billion, a 13% increase versus 2024, and Q4 revenue of $859 million, up 20% year over year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Centuri initiated full‑year 2026 guidance calling for base revenue of $3.15–$3.45 billion and base gross profit of $255–$285 million (base gross margin midpoint ~8.2%; including the assumed three‑year average storm contribution of $88M revenue and $28M gross profit lifts the midpoint to about 8.8%), total revenue of $3.24–$3.54 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $280–$310 million, adjusted net income of $55–$75 million, and net CapEx of $75–$90 million. Management also forecasted fleet investments of $150–$180 million (targeting ~50/50 buy vs. lease and at least 20% fleet efficiency improvement), expects net debt/adjusted EBITDA to fall to ~2.0x by year‑end 2026 (from 2.5x at year‑end 2025) with interest expense roughly 30% lower versus 2025, and reiterated a longer‑term free cash flow conversion target of about 50% of adjusted EBITDA. The guidance is underpinned by a year‑end backlog of ~$5.9 billion (up $2.2B, +59% YoY) that should cover >85% of 2026 base revenue, bookings YTD of ~ $1.1 billion, a $13.0 billion opportunity pipeline (580 bid opportunities totaling ~$6.7B, $2.8B of near‑term active proposals, and near‑term opportunity around $1.3B), and a data‑center pipeline of ~20+ opportunities (~$1.4B, with prospects up to ~$2.0B).

Centuri Holdings, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Results improved in 2025 with a return to positive net income and a sharply de-risked balance sheet as debt declined and equity expanded. Offsetting this, profitability remains thin/volatile and free cash flow turned negative in 2025 despite positive operating cash flow, indicating weaker cash conversion and reduced flexibility.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.89B2.64B2.90B2.76B2.16B
Gross Profit246.57M220.67M273.44M214.61M186.05M
EBITDA231.81M243.19M85.32M67.50M229.05M
Net Income22.39M-6.72M-186.18M-168.15M40.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.41B2.07B2.19B2.45B2.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments126.63M49.02M33.41M63.97M114.71M
Total Debt321.24M1.01B1.31B1.33B1.36B
Total Liabilities1.53B1.51B1.86B1.91B1.89B
Stockholders Equity872.97M555.55M225.99M386.75M479.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.20M58.90M60.81M-34.96M-937.00K
Operating Cash Flow78.12M158.23M167.47M94.63M109.48M
Investing Cash Flow-88.20M-89.38M-94.85M-117.06M-916.58M
Financing Cash Flow88.76M-52.62M-103.45M-27.45M883.54M

Centuri Holdings, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.74
Price Trends
50DMA
30.24
Positive
100DMA
27.81
Positive
200DMA
24.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.82
Negative
RSI
67.85
Neutral
STOCH
98.65
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CTRI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.53, above the 50-day MA of 30.24, and above the 200-day MA of 24.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.82 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 98.65 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CTRI.

Centuri Holdings, Inc. Risk Analysis

Centuri Holdings, Inc. disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Centuri Holdings, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
The price of our common stock may fluctuate significantly. Q4, 2025
2.
Our ability to use our net operating loss carryforwards and other tax attributes may be limited due to certain provisions of the Internal Revenue Code or state tax law. Q4, 2025

Centuri Holdings, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$5.64B17.598.13%3.45%15.06%12.27%
70
Outperform
$6.74B21.1711.62%3.07%-23.15%157.45%
68
Neutral
$2.31B16.857.78%4.18%11.27%20.04%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$5.58B12.848.27%3.82%-4.50%2.49%
64
Neutral
$3.15B20.808.31%2.15%17.15%15.00%
58
Neutral
$3.40B103.123.50%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CTRI
Centuri Holdings, Inc.
33.74
16.50
95.71%
CPK
Chesapeake Utilities
128.86
-3.32
-2.51%
SR
Spire
92.39
18.64
25.27%
NWN
Northwest Gas
54.58
14.00
34.51%
SWX
Southwest Gas
91.39
20.84
29.54%
OGS
ONE Gas
88.44
14.38
19.42%

Centuri Holdings, Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Centuri Holdings Expands Board With Independent Director Appointment
Positive
Mar 20, 2026
On March 20, 2026, Centuri Holdings, Inc.’s board expanded from eight to nine members and elected specialty contracting veteran Steven E. Nielsen as an independent director, effective immediately. Nielsen, who spent 31 years at Dycom Industr...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 21, 2026