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Repsol (REPYY)
OTHER OTC:REPYY
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Repsol
(OTC:REPYY)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$17.00
â–²(12.21%Upside)
Repsol (REPYY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$17.35B
Dividend Yield5.1%
Average Volume (3M)76.08K
Price to Earnings (P/E)14.3
Beta (1Y)0.43
Revenue Growth-5.07%
EPS Growth-59.50%
CountryUS
Employees25,136
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength54
IndustryOil & Gas Integrated
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.55
Shares Outstanding1,157,396,000
10 Day Avg. Volume96,727
30 Day Avg. Volume76,076
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.06
Price to Book (P/B)0.83
Price to Sales (P/S)0.00
P/FCF Ratio4.90
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$13.91Price Target Upside-8.18% Downside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering0
Repsol Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionRepsol, S.A. operates as an integrated energy company worldwide. Its Exploration and Production segment engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas reserves. The company's Industrial segment is involved in refining activities and petrochemicals business; the trading and transportation of crude oil and oil products; and the sale, transportation, and regasification of natural gas and liquefied natural gas (LNG). Its Commercial and Renewables segment engages in the low carbon power generation and renewable sources; sale of gas and power; mobility and sale of oil products; and liquified petroleum gas activities. The company also offers asphalt products; installs, operates, and manages service stations; provides maritime services; constructs and operates oil refineries; refines and markets hydrocarbons; offers human resource services; distributes and supplies electricity; and develops new energy source, solar, and wind projects, as well as produces and markets chemical products, lubricants, and biofuels. Further, it is involved in fuel and special products marketing, research, trading and transport, insurance and reinsurance, technology development, and financing activities; develops nanoparticles and nanofibers for material, energy, and biomedicine applications; provides blockchain technology for retail, energy, and automotive sectors; produces synthetic oil cloths; invests in liquefaction plant project; and offers water treatment technology management services. The company was formerly known as Repsol YPF, S.A. and changed its name to Repsol, S.A. in May 2012. Repsol, S.A. was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Madrid, Spain.
How the Company Makes MoneyRepsol generates revenue through several key streams, primarily within the oil and gas industry. Its upstream segment is responsible for exploring and producing crude oil and natural gas, which are sold in the global market. The downstream segment includes refining operations that process crude oil into various petroleum products, such as gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, which are then distributed and sold through retail networks, mainly in Europe and Latin America. Additionally, Repsol is expanding its portfolio in the renewable energy sector, investing in wind and solar projects, which contribute to its earnings. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures in both traditional and renewable energy sectors also play a significant role in enhancing Repsol's revenue potential.
Repsol Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
| % Change Since: 25.21%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted strategic advancements in upstream and renewables, alongside solid cash flow and shareholder returns. However, increased debt and challenges in refining and production presented notable concerns.Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Upstream Expansion with NEO Energy
Repsol formed a joint venture with NEO Energy to merge their UK North Sea assets, creating one of the largest operators in the region with a projected production of 130,000 barrels per day in 2025.
Successful Asset Rotations
Completed a fifth asset rotation in Spain and the first in the U.S., validating the growth strategy in renewables. The U.S. rotation included a 46% stake in a 777 MW portfolio valued at $795 million.
Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Cash flow from operations excluding working capital movements was EUR 1.6 billion. A share buyback program equivalent to EUR 350 million was implemented, and a dividend of EUR 0.5 per share was confirmed.
Resilient Customer Division
Adjusted income was EUR 160 million, a 3% increase over Q1 2024. EBITDA improved by 24% year-over-year.
Growth in Low Carbon Generation
Adjusted income was EUR 5 million compared to a loss of EUR 6 million a year ago, driven by higher power prices and renewable production.
Negative Updates
Increased Net Debt
Net debt increased by EUR 0.8 billion to EUR 5.8 billion since December, driven by seasonal working capital increases and shareholder remuneration.
Refining Margin Decline
Industrial division's adjusted income dropped significantly to EUR 131 million from EUR 731 million in Q1 2024, primarily due to lower refining margins.
Production Challenges and Maintenance
Production was 550,000 barrels equivalent per day, 3% lower quarter-over-quarter, impacted by maintenance in the UK and divestments.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Repsol reported adjusted income of EUR 651 million, reflecting a 1% increase from the previous quarter, with cash flow from operations excluding working capital movements totaling EUR 1.6 billion. The company maintained its guidance for the year, even under a stress scenario with Brent crude at $65 per barrel, Henry Hub at $3.5 per million BTU, and a $4 refining margin indicator, projecting cash flow from operations between EUR 5.5 billion and EUR 6 billion. Organic CapEx was at EUR 1.2 billion, the lowest since the first quarter of 2023, while net CapEx after disposals stood at EUR 1 billion. Repsol completed EUR 0.7 billion of its expected EUR 2 billion disposals for 2025, with EUR 0.4 billion already cashed in. The company also confirmed a EUR 0.5 per share dividend payment for January 2026, alongside a EUR 350 million share buyback program. In the Upstream sector, Repsol's production averaged 550,000 barrels equivalent per day, 3% lower quarter-over-quarter, but current production is around 560,000 barrels per day. The strategic joint venture with NEO Energy in the U.K. is projected to produce 130,000 barrels per day in 2025. Repsol also continued its renewable asset rotation strategy, completing transactions in Spain and the U.S., indicating ongoing progress towards its strategic priorities.Repsol Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Repsol's financial performance shows moderate revenue growth and a stable balance sheet with low debt levels. However, declining profit margins and reduced cash flow generation signal profitability pressures and operational challenges.Income Statement
Repsol's income statement reflects moderate revenue growth, with a revenue increase from €53.12 billion in 2023 to €57.12 billion in 2024, marking a growth rate of 7.52%. However, there is a notable decline in gross profit margin, from 27.94% in 2023 to 19.09% in 2024, indicating increased cost pressures. The net profit margin also decreased from 5.96% to 3.07%, reflecting reduced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have weakened, suggesting operational challenges.78
Positive
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet indicates a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.46 in 2024, showcasing prudent leverage use. The return on equity (ROE) decreased from 12.10% in 2023 to 6.63% in 2024, suggesting declining efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio remains robust at 41.92%, indicating a healthy capital structure.82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement shows a significant decrease in operating cash flow from €6.51 billion in 2023 to €4.97 billion in 2024, impacting overall liquidity. Free cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating limited free cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow growth rate is modest at 8.01%, signaling challenges in translating earnings into cash.65
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 70.04B | 57.12B | 58.95B | 69.29B | 49.74B | 33.28B |
| Gross Profit | 11.84B | 10.91B | 12.52B | 16.11B | 10.10B | 7.01B |
| EBITDA | 5.07B | 5.61B | 7.25B | 9.93B | 6.74B | -557.00M |
| Net Income | 1.32B | 1.76B | 3.17B | 4.25B | 2.50B | -3.29B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 61.59B | 63.19B | 61.63B | 59.96B | 56.25B | 49.30B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 6.55B | 6.43B | 8.43B | 9.01B | 7.84B | 5.51B |
| Total Debt | 0.00 | 12.19B | 10.56B | 13.36B | 14.49B | 15.56B |
| Total Liabilities | 32.91B | 34.09B | 32.56B | 33.99B | 33.46B | 28.76B |
| Stockholders Equity | 26.16B | 26.49B | 26.20B | 25.29B | 22.41B | 20.30B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 408.00M | 240.00M | 2.22B | 4.30B | 2.77B | 852.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 4.75B | 4.96B | 6.51B | 7.83B | 4.68B | 2.74B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -2.19B | -2.69B | -5.85B | -4.10B | -2.93B | 222.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -2.65B | -1.64B | -3.05B | -2.83B | -529.00M | -1.61B |
Repsol Technical Analysis
Positive
15.15
Price Trends
13.36
Positive
12.91
Positive
12.52
Positive
Market Momentum
0.41
Positive
74.00
Negative
73.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For REPYY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.30, above the 50-day MA of 13.36, and above the 200-day MA of 12.52, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.41 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 74.00 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for REPYY.
Repsol Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | $140.30B | 10.29 | 11.75% | 4.53% | -9.86% | -32.59% | |
76 Outperform | $17.35B | 14.27 | 4.69% | 5.10% | -5.07% | -59.50% | |
75 Outperform | $79.74B | 9.93 | 11.25% | 25.78% | -10.84% | -61.73% | |
73 Outperform | $50.13B | 18.38 | 4.78% | 3.38% | -2.17% | -25.00% | |
73 Outperform | $64.49B | 8.09 | 18.28% | 5.71% | 3.96% | -1.69% | |
65 Neutral | $80.49B | 186.20 | -1.87% | 6.14% | -7.70% | -113.83% | |
52 Neutral | C$2.91B | -1.09 | -3.26% | 6.12% | 5.32% | -43.41% |
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
REPYY
Repsol
15.15
0.30
2.02%
BP
BP
30.93
-3.50
-10.17%
E
Eni SPA
32.79
3.37
11.45%
PBR
Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras
13.06
-0.10
-0.76%
EQNR
Equinor ASA
25.69
0.12
0.47%
TTE
TotalEnergies
62.72
-3.87
-5.81%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.