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Repsol SA (REPYY)
:REPYY
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Repsol (REPYY) AI Stock Analysis

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REPYY

Repsol

(OTC:REPYY)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$21.00
â–²(24.78% Upside)
Repsol's overall stock score is driven by strong technical analysis and positive earnings call sentiment, indicating bullish momentum and robust financial performance. However, the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, and financial performance shows profitability pressures with declining margins and cash flow challenges. The attractive dividend yield provides a counterbalance, offering income potential for investors.

Repsol (REPYY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Repsol Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRepsol S.A. is a global energy company headquartered in Madrid, Spain, engaged in the exploration, production, refining, and distribution of oil and natural gas. The company operates across various sectors, including upstream (exploration and production), downstream (refining, marketing, and distribution of petroleum products), and renewable energy. Repsol's core products and services include crude oil, natural gas, gasoline, diesel, and petrochemicals, as well as renewable energy solutions such as solar and wind power.
How the Company Makes MoneyRepsol generates revenue primarily through the sale of oil and gas products, including crude oil, natural gas, and refined products. The upstream segment contributes significantly to its earnings, with revenue derived from exploration and production activities in various geographical regions. The downstream segment generates income from refining operations, marketing of fuel products, and petrochemical production. Additionally, Repsol is investing in renewable energy projects, which are expected to become increasingly important in its revenue model. The company has established partnerships and joint ventures with other energy firms and organizations to enhance its capabilities and expand its market reach, further contributing to its overall profitability.

Repsol Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Repsol displayed a strong financial performance with significant growth in adjusted income and operational cash flow. The customer and refining divisions showed robust results. However, challenges in the petrochemical market and an increase in net debt were noted. The sentiment is balanced with strong highlights but notable lowlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Repsol's adjusted income totaled EUR 820 million, 17% above the second quarter and 47% higher than the same period of 2024. Cash flow from operations amounted to EUR 1.5 billion, with accumulated operating cash flow through September reaching EUR 4.3 billion, 15% higher than in the first nine months of 2024.
Record Results in Customer Division
The customer division delivered the highest quarterly result in Repsol's commercial businesses history, with adjusted income reaching EUR 241 million, 22% above the second quarter and 34% higher than in the same period of 2024.
Successful Asset Rotations
Significant asset rotations were completed, including the merger with NEO Energy in the U.K., expected to contribute around $700 million of EBITDA for Repsol in 2026.
Refining Business Resilience
The Refining margin indicator stood at $8.8 per barrel, 49% higher than in the second quarter and 120% higher than the same period in 2024. Operations returned to normalized levels post-Iberian outage.
Negative Updates
Net Debt Increase
Net debt stood at EUR 6.9 billion by quarter end, an increase of EUR 1.2 billion compared to June, mainly due to the integration of the new joint venture with NEO Energy.
Challenges in Petrochemical Markets
Repsol's petrochemical margin indicator declined by 22% over the previous quarter, driven by lower prices and higher energy costs in Europe.
Production Decline in Upstream
Upstream production averaged 551,000 barrels oil equivalent per day, about 1% lower than the previous quarter, with adjusted income 28% below the second quarter.
Company Guidance
During the call, Repsol provided detailed guidance on various metrics for the third quarter of 2025. The company's adjusted income increased to EUR 820 million, a 17% rise from the previous quarter and 47% higher year-over-year. Cash flow from operations was EUR 1.5 billion, while accumulated operating cash flow through September reached EUR 4.3 billion, up 15% from the first nine months of 2024. Net CapEx for the quarter was EUR 0.3 billion, with a EUR 0.8 billion contribution from disposals and asset rotations. By the end of the quarter, Repsol's net debt was EUR 6.9 billion, an increase primarily due to a new joint venture with NEO Energy. The company also reported that its refining margin indicator stood at $8.8 per barrel, 49% higher than the previous quarter. Additionally, Repsol's upstream production averaged 551,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. Looking ahead, the company maintained its cash flow from operations guidance at around EUR 6 billion for the year, with net CapEx expected to remain around EUR 3.5 billion.

Repsol Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Repsol shows stable revenue growth and a solid balance sheet with manageable debt levels. However, profitability pressures are evident, with declining margins and reduced cash flow generation. The company maintains a sound equity base but faces challenges in converting income into cash, necessitating focus on operational efficiencies and cost management.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Repsol's income statement reflects moderate revenue growth, with a revenue increase from €53.12 billion in 2023 to €57.12 billion in 2024, marking a growth rate of 7.52%. However, there is a notable decline in gross profit margin, from 27.94% in 2023 to 19.09% in 2024, indicating increased cost pressures. The net profit margin also decreased from 5.96% to 3.07%, reflecting reduced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have weakened, suggesting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet indicates a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.46 in 2024, showcasing prudent leverage use. The return on equity (ROE) decreased from 12.10% in 2023 to 6.63% in 2024, suggesting declining efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio remains robust at 41.92%, indicating a healthy capital structure.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a significant decrease in operating cash flow from €6.51 billion in 2023 to €4.97 billion in 2024, impacting overall liquidity. Free cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating limited free cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow growth rate is modest at 8.01%, signaling challenges in translating earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue68.83B57.12B58.95B69.29B49.74B33.28B
Gross Profit12.12B10.91B12.52B16.11B10.10B7.01B
EBITDA4.32B5.61B7.25B9.93B6.74B-557.00M
Net Income733.00M1.76B3.17B4.25B2.50B-3.29B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets59.06B63.19B61.63B59.96B56.25B49.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.51B6.43B8.43B9.01B7.84B5.51B
Total Debt0.0012.19B10.56B13.36B14.49B15.56B
Total Liabilities32.71B34.09B32.56B33.99B33.46B28.76B
Stockholders Equity23.83B26.49B26.20B25.29B22.41B20.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.51B240.00M2.22B4.30B2.77B852.00M
Operating Cash Flow5.49B4.96B6.51B7.83B4.68B2.74B
Investing Cash Flow-2.28B-2.69B-5.85B-4.10B-2.93B222.00M
Financing Cash Flow-3.11B-1.64B-3.05B-2.83B-529.00M-1.61B

Repsol Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.83
Price Trends
50DMA
17.62
Positive
100DMA
16.48
Positive
200DMA
14.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.50
Negative
RSI
75.18
Negative
STOCH
95.08
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For REPYY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.00, below the 50-day MA of 17.62, and above the 200-day MA of 14.39, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.18 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.08 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for REPYY.

Repsol Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$56.90B18.805.31%4.76%-3.84%15.75%
78
Outperform
$133.55B9.7612.27%5.71%-9.52%-11.66%
78
Outperform
$215.64B15.358.06%3.79%-6.96%0.03%
76
Outperform
$21.29B16.775.00%4.96%-4.83%-41.69%
73
Outperform
$81.42B6.0718.20%12.38%-11.63%-15.67%
69
Neutral
$60.83B11.4813.46%8.93%1.53%-35.81%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
REPYY
Repsol
19.50
8.05
70.31%
E
Eni SPA
38.19
10.21
36.49%
PBR
Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras
13.47
1.46
12.16%
SHEL
Shell
77.01
14.12
22.45%
EQNR
Equinor ASA
24.72
3.78
18.05%
TTE
TotalEnergies
63.96
7.21
12.70%

Repsol Corporate Events

Repsol SA Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 31, 2025

Repsol SA is a Spanish multinational energy company operating in the oil and gas sector, known for its integrated approach across upstream, downstream, and renewable energy segments.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025