tiprankstipranks
Replimune Group (REPL)
NASDAQ:REPL
Want to see REPL full AI Analyst Report?

Replimune Group (REPL) AI Stock Analysis

522 Followers

Top Page

REPL

Replimune Group

(NASDAQ:REPL)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▲(429.95% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/29/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, accelerating losses, and heavy cash burn with a shrinking equity base), implying ongoing financing risk. Offsetting this, technicals show a strong uptrend with positive momentum, and corporate events add a constructive near-term catalyst from FDA review acceptance; however, valuation remains constrained by continued losses and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Regulatory Progress
Acceptance of the RP1 BLA as a complete, Class 1 resubmission with a set action date and advisory committee creates a defined regulatory timeline and formal review pathway. This materially reduces long-term binary uncertainty and, if favorable, would enable transition from clinical-stage to commercial-stage operations.
Negative Factors
No Commercial Revenue
Absence of product revenue means the firm lacks an internal cash-generating engine and remains fully dependent on external financing until commercialization. This structural profile lengthens time to self-sufficiency and increases execution risk if clinical or regulatory setbacks delay approval or launch.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Regulatory Progress
Acceptance of the RP1 BLA as a complete, Class 1 resubmission with a set action date and advisory committee creates a defined regulatory timeline and formal review pathway. This materially reduces long-term binary uncertainty and, if favorable, would enable transition from clinical-stage to commercial-stage operations.
Read all positive factors

Replimune Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsUnited States revenue has become the clear growth engine, driving most of the company’s recent top-line expansion and implying successful U.S. commercialization, partnerships, or milestone receipts; the United Kingdom is small and volatile, collapsing in 2024 with only a partial recovery, which raises geographic concentration risk. Investors should focus on whether U.S. momentum is sustainable or tied to one‑time payments, since any U.S. setback would disproportionately pressure overall revenue and valuation.
Data provided by:The Fly

Replimune Group (REPL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Replimune Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Replimune Group, Inc. is a biotechnology enterprise dedicated to pioneering oncolytic immuno-gene therapies aimed at treating various cancers. The company leverages its proprietary Immunotherapy platform to engineer and advance novel therapeutic c...
How the Company Makes Money
Replimune does not primarily generate revenue from commercial product sales because its lead candidates are in clinical development. The company’s income typically consists of (1) collaboration and licensing-related revenue when it enters partners...

Replimune Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 22, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call provided a positive outlook, highlighting significant regulatory achievements, strong commercial readiness, and financial stability. However, the increase in net loss and operational expenses presents challenges. The overall sentiment is optimistic about RP1's potential launch and market adoption.
Positive Updates
Breakthrough Therapy Designation and Priority Review for RP1
RP1 has been recognized as a breakthrough therapy with priority review, with a PDUFA date set for July 22, 2025. The company has completed late-cycle meetings and manufacturing inspections with the FDA, indicating substantial regulatory progress.
Negative Updates
Increased Net Loss
The company's net loss increased to $74.1 million for the fiscal fourth quarter and $247.3 million for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, compared to $55.1 million and $215.8 million, respectively, for the prior year.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Breakthrough Therapy Designation and Priority Review for RP1
RP1 has been recognized as a breakthrough therapy with priority review, with a PDUFA date set for July 22, 2025. The company has completed late-cycle meetings and manufacturing inspections with the FDA, indicating substantial regulatory progress.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Replimune Fiscal Year Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Corporate Update Conference Call, significant progress was highlighted across regulatory, clinical, and commercial fronts as the company approaches the potential approval and launch of RP1. The product has been recognized as a breakthrough therapy with a priority review and a PDUFA date set for July 22, 2025. The Ignite 3 confirmatory study is underway, with over 100 planned global sites, focusing on overall survival as the primary endpoint. Replimune estimates that approximately 13,000 patients progress on or after PD-1 treatment annually in the U.S., with 80% of these patients potentially eligible for RP1. The company ended the fiscal year with $483.8 million in cash and cash equivalents and anticipates a cash runway into the fourth quarter of 2026. Research and development expenses totaled $189.4 million for the fiscal year, with a net loss of $247.3 million. The company has completed its commercial infrastructure build-out, comprising approximately 60 people, and plans to provide critical services through the Replimune Connect Plus patient support hub.

Replimune Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and cash flow quality are very weak: no revenue reported across the periods provided, with widening losses (net loss growing to ~$314M TTM) and sharply worsening operating/free cash flow (operating cash flow about -$280M TTM), implying continued reliance on external financing. The balance sheet is a relative bright spot with modest leverage, but equity has fallen materially (to ~$166M TTM), increasing funding/dilution risk if burn persists.
Income Statement
6
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Cash Flow
12
Very Negative
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.000.000.000.00-4.58M
EBITDA-314.49M-253.92M-227.77M-171.72M-114.41M
Net Income-313.94M-247.30M-215.79M-174.28M-118.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets332.39M551.33M487.72M646.59M461.19M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments268.89M483.80M420.67M583.39M395.65M
Total Debt28.28M76.17M75.87M60.76M32.84M
Total Liabilities166.23M135.49M113.21M91.30M49.96M
Stockholders Equity166.16M415.84M374.51M555.29M411.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-284.57M-198.94M-191.13M-130.32M-84.52M
Operating Cash Flow-280.34M-192.25M-185.47M-128.05M-82.18M
Investing Cash Flow310.84M-23.80M97.20M-142.50M-1.81M
Financing Cash Flow66.29M252.40M16.28M311.30M6.60M

Replimune Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.17
Price Trends
50DMA
7.48
Positive
100DMA
6.90
Positive
200DMA
7.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.04
Positive
RSI
63.87
Neutral
STOCH
52.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For REPL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.54, below the 50-day MA of 7.48, and below the 200-day MA of 7.43, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 63.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for REPL.

Replimune Group Risk Analysis

Replimune Group disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Replimune Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Replimune Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
57
Neutral
$2.51B-7.16-64.21%27.23%-12.53%
56
Neutral
$3.81B-9.46-68.97%67.38%24.05%
52
Neutral
$933.47M-3.29-102.69%-9.27%
52
Neutral
$1.13B-7.60-35.33%23.91%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
$1.11B-4.23-161.87%-6.15%
43
Neutral
$250.21M-6.02-38.76%15.81%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
REPL
Replimune Group
11.11
0.34
3.16%
AVXL
Anavex Life Sciences
2.70
-8.48
-75.85%
RCUS
Arcus Biosciences
29.96
20.42
214.05%
ORIC
Oric Pharmaceuticals
10.94
-0.51
-4.45%
NRIX
Nurix Therapeutics
24.69
12.02
94.87%
SANA
Sana Biotechnology
3.93
-0.13
-3.20%

Replimune Group Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Replimune’s RP1 BLA Resubmission Accepted for Review
Positive
Jun 26, 2026
On June 26, 2026, Replimune announced that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration accepted for review the resubmission of its Biologics License Application for RP1, in combination with nivolumab, for advanced melanoma. The FDA classified the filing...
Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Replimune to Resubmit Priority FDA Filing for RP1
Positive
May 29, 2026
On May 29, 2026, Replimune announced it will shortly resubmit its Biologics License Application to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for RP1, used in combination with nivolumab, for patients with advanced melanoma. Following what the company d...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 29, 2026