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Rubrik, Inc. Class A (RBRK)
NYSE:RBRK
US Market

Rubrik, Inc. Class A (RBRK) AI Stock Analysis

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Rubrik, Inc. Class A

(NYSE:RBRK)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$91.00
▲(0.49%Upside)
Rubrik, Inc. demonstrates strong revenue growth and positive technical indicators. However, financial instability and valuation challenges, combined with the lack of profitability, weigh down its overall score. The earnings call provided a positive outlook but is not factored into the score due to weight redistribution.
Positive Factors
Acquisition and Integration
RBRK announced the acquisition of Predibase, a platform that enables developers to fine-tune and securely deploy and operationalize open-source AI models at scale.
Financial Performance
RBRK's remaining performance obligations grew by 22.8% year-over-year, indicating strong future revenue expectations.
Product Innovation
The new Identity Resilience capability that is now integrated into the platform could be a real game-changer, as no other vendor offers cyber resilience and identity resilience on the same platform.
Negative Factors
Channel Partner Dependency
The reliance on a small number of channel partners decreased slightly, but still accounts for a substantial portion of revenue and accounts receivable.

Rubrik, Inc. Class A (RBRK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rubrik, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRubrik, Inc. provides data security solutions to individuals and businesses worldwide. The company offers enterprise data protection, unstructured data protection, cloud data protection, and SaaS data protection solutions; data threat analytics; data security posture; and cyber recovery solutions. It serves financial, retail, trade, transportation, energy, industrial, healthcare and life science, education, technology, media, communications, and public sectors. Rubrik, Inc. was formerly known as Scaledata, Inc. and changed its name to Rubrik, Inc. in October 2014. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Palo Alto, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyRubrik, Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its software solutions and services, which are offered under subscription and licensing models. The company capitalizes on the growing need for efficient data management by providing cloud-based and on-premises solutions that help organizations protect and optimize their data. Key revenue streams include software subscriptions, professional services, and maintenance and support contracts. Additionally, Rubrik's strategic partnerships with major cloud service providers and technology vendors enhance its market reach and contribute to its revenue growth.

Rubrik, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 05, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: -8.13%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance with significant growth in subscription ARR and revenue, a high net retention rate, and positive free cash flow. The company demonstrated strong product innovation and strategic customer wins, reinforcing its market position in cyber resilience. However, challenges remain in achieving GAAP profitability, as indicated by the negative earnings per share guidance.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Impressive Subscription ARR Growth
Subscription Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) reached approximately $1.2 billion, growing 38% year-over-year.
Strong Subscription Revenue Increase
Subscription revenue was $266 million, representing a 54% year-over-year growth.
High Subscription Net Retention Rate
Subscription Net Retention Rate (NRR) remained strong, above 120%.
Expansion in Customer Base
Customers with $100,000 or more in subscription ARR reached 2,381, a growth of 28% year-over-year.
Significant Contribution Margin Improvement
Subscription ARR contribution margin improved over 1,800 basis points year-over-year.
Positive Free Cash Flow
Reported free cash flow of over $33 million for the quarter.
Product Innovation and Market Expansion
Rubrik introduced several innovations including code-to-cloud cyber resilience and expanded cyber resilience capabilities for Google Cloud and Oracle Cloud Infrastructure.
Successful Customer Wins
Rubrik secured significant wins with major U.S. pharmacy solutions company and a large European insurer, showcasing its competitive edge in cyber resilience.
Negative Updates
GAAP Earnings Challenges
Non-GAAP earnings per share guidance for the full year fiscal 2026 is projected to be negative, indicating ongoing challenges in achieving profitability.
Seasonal Subscription ARR Contribution Margin
Subscription ARR contribution margins expected to be seasonally lowest in Q3 before improving in Q4.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, Rubrik exceeded all guided metrics across top-line and profitability measures. Key performance indicators include a 38% year-over-year growth in subscription annual recurring revenue (ARR), reaching approximately $1.2 billion, and net new subscription ARR of $89 million. The company's subscription revenue increased by 54% year-over-year to $266 million, while the subscription net retention rate (NRR) remained strong at over 120%. Rubrik also reported significant growth in its customer base, with 2,381 customers having $100,000 or more in subscription ARR, marking a 28% year-over-year increase. Additionally, the company improved its subscription ARR contribution margin by over 1,800 basis points year-over-year and generated over $33 million in free cash flow. Rubrik's strong performance has led the company to raise its guidance for the year, indicating confidence in its market opportunities and growth strategy.

Rubrik, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rubrik, Inc. shows strong revenue growth but faces significant challenges with profitability and financial stability. High leverage and negative equity overshadow positive cash flow trends.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Rubrik, Inc. has experienced significant revenue growth, with total revenue increasing from $627.9M in Jan 2024 to $977.7M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). However, profitability remains a challenge, as evidenced by negative net income and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin stands at a reasonable level, but high operating expenses lead to negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
20
Very Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning negative stockholders' equity, indicating that liabilities exceed assets. The debt-to-equity ratio cannot be calculated due to negative equity, but the company carries a significant amount of debt. This high leverage poses financial risks. Moreover, the equity ratio is negative, further emphasizing financial instability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Rubrik, Inc. has shown improvement in cash flow generation, with a positive free cash flow in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) period. Operating cash flow to net income and free cash flow to net income ratios highlight that the company is generating cash despite reporting net losses. However, the cash flow position remains sensitive, given the negative net income.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue977.71M886.54M627.89M0.000.000.00
Gross Profit747.46M620.80M482.93M0.000.000.00
EBITDA-456.15M-1.08B-196.34M0.00-228.22M0.00
Net Income-524.83M-1.15B-354.16M0.000.000.00
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.47B1.42B873.61M769.18M518.98M509.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments762.06M705.14M279.25M295.91M138.81M217.31M
Total Debt322.82M332.43M309.29M216.04M33.21M5.97M
Total Liabilities2.03B1.98B1.58B1.14B623.61M430.04M
Stockholders Equity-556.53M-553.73M-704.54M-372.62M-104.63M79.87M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow100.71M31.34M-16.85M-15.01M-103.23M-74.62M
Operating Cash Flow119.26M48.23M-4.52M19.29M-82.78M-58.74M
Investing Cash Flow-390.01M-383.44M-93.62M-125.19M8.42M-1.60M
Financing Cash Flow51.18M398.02M95.95M171.82M22.87M137.51M

Rubrik, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price90.56
Price Trends
50DMA
82.94
Positive
100DMA
74.47
Positive
200DMA
62.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.33
Positive
RSI
56.98
Neutral
STOCH
65.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RBRK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 90.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 92.42, above the 50-day MA of 82.94, and above the 200-day MA of 62.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RBRK.

Rubrik, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
BOBOX
78
Outperform
$4.94B26.48152.34%4.88%80.94%
76
Outperform
$11.63B26.839.82%3.51%-27.28%
ZSZS
72
Outperform
$48.57B-2.68%25.46%49.20%
66
Neutral
€2.00B65.8718.51%3.61%12.44%116.17%
65
Neutral
$17.19B152.482.08%13.51%
64
Neutral
$5.61B-22.21%13.34%13.71%
54
Neutral
$17.52B218.28%43.89%49.74%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RBRK
Rubrik, Inc. Class A
92.10
61.45
200.49%
AKAM
Akamai
79.60
-10.34
-11.50%
VRNS
Varonis Systems
50.93
4.97
10.81%
BOX
Box
34.14
7.91
30.16%
OKTA
Okta
98.13
5.76
6.24%
ZS
Zscaler
313.85
124.65
65.88%

Rubrik, Inc. Class A Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rubrik, Inc. Announces $1 Billion Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Rubrik, Inc. announced its intention to offer $1.0 billion in Convertible Senior Notes due 2030, with the possibility of an additional $150 million, in a private placement to institutional buyers. The proceeds are intended for strategic flexibility, including debt refinancing, capped call transactions to offset share dilution, and general corporate purposes such as acquisitions or strategic investments.

The most recent analyst rating on (RBRK) stock is a Buy with a $50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rubrik, Inc. Class A stock, see the RBRK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 12, 2025