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Rubrik, Inc. Class A (RBRK)
NYSE:RBRK
US Market

Rubrik, Inc. Class A (RBRK) AI Stock Analysis

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RBRK

Rubrik, Inc. Class A

(NYSE:RBRK)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$86.00
▼(-1.24% Downside)
Rubrik, Inc. demonstrates strong growth in subscription revenue and free cash flow, as highlighted in the earnings call. However, financial performance concerns, including negative equity and profitability challenges, weigh heavily. Technical analysis suggests caution due to overbought conditions, and valuation metrics are unattractive. The overall score reflects a balance of strong growth potential against significant financial risks.
Positive Factors
Subscription Revenue Growth
Strong subscription revenue growth indicates robust demand and customer expansion, reinforcing Rubrik's market position and revenue stability.
Free Cash Flow Improvement
Improvement in free cash flow highlights financial health and operational efficiency, providing resources for investment and growth.
Cloud ARR Growth
Significant growth in Cloud ARR demonstrates successful cloud transformation and strong market demand, enhancing Rubrik's competitive edge.
Negative Factors
Negative Equity
Negative equity indicates potential solvency issues, posing a risk to long-term financial stability and limiting strategic flexibility.
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability challenges reflect operational inefficiencies, which could hinder Rubrik's ability to sustain growth and invest in future opportunities.
Revenue Growth Headwinds
Anticipated headwinds in revenue growth due to cloud transformation may affect Rubrik's ability to maintain its growth trajectory in the coming years.

Rubrik, Inc. Class A (RBRK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rubrik, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRubrik, Inc. provides data security solutions to individuals and businesses worldwide. The company offers enterprise data protection, unstructured data protection, cloud data protection, and SaaS data protection solutions; data threat analytics; data security posture; and cyber recovery solutions. It serves financial, retail, trade, transportation, energy, industrial, healthcare and life science, education, technology, media, communications, and public sectors. Rubrik, Inc. was formerly known as Scaledata, Inc. and changed its name to Rubrik, Inc. in October 2014. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Palo Alto, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyRubrik generates revenue primarily through the sale of its software licenses, subscription services, and professional services. The company offers its solutions through a subscription-based model, allowing customers to pay for services on a recurring basis, which provides a steady revenue stream. Key revenue streams include sales of cloud data management software, support and maintenance services, and consulting services. Additionally, Rubrik has established significant partnerships with major cloud service providers and technology firms, which enhance its market reach and contribute to its earnings by integrating its solutions with leading cloud platforms and enabling joint go-to-market strategies.

Rubrik, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 04, 2025
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Rubrik's record-breaking performance in subscription ARR and free cash flow, as well as strong growth in subscription and cloud revenues. The expansion of the identity business and successful cloud transformation are positive indicators. However, challenges remain with negative EPS guidance and expected headwinds in fiscal 2027 revenue growth. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment leans towards positive due to the significant achievements and growth metrics.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Net New Subscription ARR
Net new subscription ARR reached a record $94 million, showcasing strong growth and demand for Rubrik's offerings.
Strong Subscription Revenue Growth
Subscription revenue was $336 million, growing 52% year-over-year, demonstrating robust demand and customer expansion.
High Free Cash Flow
Rubrik generated a record $77 million in free cash flow for the quarter, highlighting strong financial health and operational efficiency.
Cloud ARR Growth
Cloud ARR grew 53%, reaching $1.17 billion, indicating successful cloud transformation and strong market demand.
Identity Business Growth
Identity line of business reached about $20 million in subscription ARR, with the total number of identity customers more than doubling in Q3.
Negative Updates
Negative Non-GAAP EPS Guidance
Expected non-GAAP EPS for Q4 is guided at negative $0.12 to negative $0.10, indicating ongoing challenges in profitability.
Headwinds from Cloud Transformation in Fiscal 2027
Dynamics related to cloud transformation and a reduction in material rights revenue are expected to represent a headwind to reported revenue growth in fiscal 2027.
Volatility in Net New ARR
Net new ARR has been lumpy across quarters, indicating potential variability and challenges in sales consistency.
Company Guidance
During the Rubrik Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Results Conference Call, the company reported exceptional performance, surpassing all guided metrics. Key highlights included a subscription ARR of $1.35 billion, representing a 34% year-over-year increase, and net new subscription ARR reaching a record $94 million. Subscription revenue rose to $336 million, a 52% year-over-year growth, while the subscription NRR remained robust at over 120%. The number of customers with $100,000 or more in subscription ARR increased by 27% to 2,638. Rubrik also achieved a notable improvement in subscription ARR contribution margin, which rose by about 1,400 basis points year-over-year. The company generated a record $77 million in free cash flow. These results reinforced Rubrik's commitment to leading the market in cyber resilience and AI operations, prompting an upward revision of its outlook for the fiscal year.

Rubrik, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rubrik, Inc. shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability and financial stability. The company faces challenges with negative equity and high leverage, impacting long-term viability. Cash flow is improving, but operational inefficiencies and a weak balance sheet remain concerns.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Rubrik, Inc. shows a strong revenue growth rate of 10.53% in the TTM, indicating positive sales momentum. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins, suggesting operational inefficiencies or high costs. The gross profit margin is healthy at 79.05%, but the negative EBITDA margin highlights challenges in managing operational expenses.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial risk with a negative stockholders' equity, leading to a high and negative debt-to-equity ratio. This indicates potential solvency issues. The return on equity is positive due to negative equity, but this is not a sustainable position. The equity ratio is also negative, reflecting a weak financial structure.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Rubrik, Inc. demonstrates improvement in cash flow with a 34.02% growth in free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some ability to convert income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests that cash flow generation is still a challenge relative to net losses.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue886.54M627.89M599.82M506.15M387.75M
Gross Profit620.80M389.69M320.25M269.87M217.20M
EBITDA-1.08B-196.34M-153.79M-144.90M-125.51M
Net Income-1.15B-354.16M-277.75M-254.40M-213.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.42B873.61M769.18M518.98M509.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments705.14M279.25M295.91M138.81M217.31M
Total Debt350.81M309.29M216.04M33.21M5.97M
Total Liabilities1.98B1.58B1.14B623.61M430.04M
Stockholders Equity-553.73M-704.54M-372.62M-104.63M79.87M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow31.34M-16.85M-15.01M-103.23M-74.62M
Operating Cash Flow48.23M-4.52M19.29M-82.78M-58.74M
Investing Cash Flow-383.44M-93.62M-125.19M8.42M-1.60M
Financing Cash Flow398.02M95.95M171.82M22.87M137.51M

Rubrik, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price87.08
Price Trends
50DMA
76.24
Positive
100DMA
80.91
Positive
200DMA
78.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.54
Negative
RSI
66.04
Neutral
STOCH
87.07
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RBRK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 87.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 74.11, above the 50-day MA of 76.24, and above the 200-day MA of 78.87, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.54 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.07 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RBRK.

Rubrik, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$21.01B21.1629.35%11.27%4.47%
73
Outperform
$4.69B18.9318.58%7.01%17.48%
70
Neutral
$15.56B82.482.96%12.12%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$12.77B63.9517.45%
50
Neutral
$18.93B48.93%69.39%
48
Neutral
$3.83B-22.17%11.37%-34.44%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RBRK
Rubrik, Inc. Class A
87.08
14.90
20.64%
ACIW
ACI Worldwide
47.46
-6.55
-12.13%
CPAY
Corpay Inc
316.30
-40.77
-11.42%
VRNS
Varonis Systems
33.22
-13.88
-29.47%
NTNX
Nutanix
47.40
-18.65
-28.24%
OKTA
Okta
90.59
8.60
10.49%

Rubrik, Inc. Class A Corporate Events

Rubrik, Inc. Shines in Earnings Call Amid Challenges
Sep 11, 2025

Rubrik, Inc. Reports Strong Quarterly Performance Amidst Challenges

Rubrik, Inc. Reports Strong Q2 2026 Results
Sep 10, 2025

Rubrik, Inc., a company specializing in security and AI solutions, operates in the data protection and cyber resilience sector, offering innovative products like the Rubrik Security Cloud platform and Predibase for GenAI deployment.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 06, 2025