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Vicarious Surgical (RBOT)
NYSE:RBOT
US Market

Vicarious Surgical (RBOT) AI Stock Analysis

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RBOT

Vicarious Surgical

(NYSE:RBOT)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-5.66% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by very weak financial performance (no revenue, large ongoing losses, heavy cash burn, and sharply reduced equity). Technicals also remain unfavorable with a clear longer-term downtrend and negative MACD. Offsetting factors include cost-cutting progress and improved cash-burn guidance plus financing actions, but these are not yet enough to outweigh the current funding and execution risk.
Positive Factors
Strategic software outsourcing partnership
Outsourcing core software development to a scaled engineering partner is a structural execution change. It reallocates fixed development burden, lets internal teams focus on system integration and innovation, and can materially speed progress toward design freeze and clinical readiness.
Improved cash-burn guidance and cost discipline
A multi-year reduction in projected cash burn driven by headcount cuts and outsourcing reflects durable operational tightening. Lower structural burn reduces financing frequency and gives more runway to reach key milestones like design freeze, improving odds of orderly commercialization execution.
Warrant exercise approval enhances capital optionality
Stockholder approval to exercise warrants is a structural financing lever that can bring incremental equity if exercised. This improves long-term capital flexibility, can shore up the balance sheet without new debt, and lowers refinancing pressure as the company advances its surgical system.
Negative Factors
Pre-commercial status with no revenue
Lack of product revenue is a fundamental constraint: the business remains pre-commercial, preventing validation of pricing, share economics, and recurring consumable margins. Continued reliance on external funding increases execution and solvency risk and delays the path to sustained profitability.
High recurring cash burn and negative free cash flow
Persistent, sizeable negative operating and free cash flow creates structural dependency on capital markets. Regular fundraises can dilute shareholders, constrain investments in commercialization, and heighten the risk that development timetables slip if access to financing tightens.
Eroding equity base increases solvency fragility
Sharp equity erosion materially weakens the company's financial cushion against losses. Even moderate absolute debt becomes more consequential, reducing resilience to delays or cost overruns, limiting strategic options, and making future financing more dilutive or costly if performance slips.

Vicarious Surgical (RBOT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vicarious Surgical Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVicarious Surgical Inc. engages in developing and selling single-incision surgical robot that virtually transports surgeons inside the patient to perform minimally invasive surgery. It offers Vicarious System, a single-incision surgical robot for ventral hernia repair. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyVicarious Surgical makes money primarily through the sale and leasing of its robotic surgical systems to hospitals and surgical centers. The company may also generate revenue through service contracts and maintenance agreements, ensuring the optimal functionality of its robotic platforms. Additionally, Vicarious Surgical could engage in strategic partnerships with healthcare providers and institutions to expand the adoption of its technology. These partnerships may involve collaborative research, co-development of surgical techniques, and training programs for surgeons. Furthermore, as the company's technology advances, it may explore revenue opportunities through software licensing, offering AI-driven analytics and insights as a service to enhance surgical performance and patient outcomes.

Vicarious Surgical Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a company focused on reducing costs and improving operational efficiency, evident from significant reductions in operating expenses and successful fundraising efforts. However, challenges remain with high cash burn and potential disruptions due to outsourcing efforts. Additionally, the company has had to reduce its workforce to control costs.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Reduction in Operating Expenses
Total operating expenses for Q3 2025 were $11.5 million, a 35% decrease compared to $17.8 million in Q3 2024.
Successful Fundraising
In October, the company strengthened its balance sheet with approximately $5.9 million in gross proceeds from a registered direct offering.
Improvement in Surgical Procedure Efficiency
The time to complete an IPOM ventral hernia dropped from an average of 40 minutes to 14 minutes, indicating a dramatic increase in system stability and reliability.
Negative Updates
Continued High Cash Burn
The company continues to expect full year 2025 cash burn to be approximately $50 million, with a Q3 cash burn rate of approximately $10.5 million.
Headcount Reduction
The company executed a layoff of about 15% of its employees to help control costs.
Potential Disruption Due to Outsourcing
The company acknowledged potential disruptions in achieving design freeze due to outsourcing efforts, although it hopes to mitigate these issues.
Company Guidance
In the Vicarious Surgical's 2025 Third Quarter Earnings Call, the company outlined its guidance and strategic focus areas. The primary objectives include achieving a design freeze for their production-equivalent system by the end of 2026 and reducing cash burn. Operating expenses for the quarter decreased by 35% to $11.5 million compared to the same period in 2024, with specific reductions in R&D, general and administrative, and sales and marketing expenses. The company reported a GAAP net loss of $11.1 million or $1.86 per share for the quarter. Vicarious Surgical ended the quarter with $13.4 million in cash and investments, and a cash burn rate of approximately $10.5 million. They aim to keep the full-year 2025 cash burn around $50 million, with plans to reduce it further in 2026 through outsourcing and restructuring. Additionally, a registered direct offering post-Q3 added $5.2 million in net proceeds. The company intends to improve communication with stakeholders via updates on LinkedIn and their Investor Relations website.

Vicarious Surgical Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial profile is very weak: TTM shows no revenue, large operating losses (EBIT about -$55.7M) and net loss (about -$53.6M), and heavy cash burn (operating cash flow about -$47.5M; free cash flow about -$47.8M). Equity has compressed sharply to about $14.1M (from $46.7M in 2024 annual), increasing financing and solvency risk despite only moderate absolute debt (~$12.9M; D/E ~0.57).
Income Statement
8
Very Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show no revenue and continued heavy operating losses (EBIT about -$55.7M; net loss about -$53.6M), indicating the business is still pre-commercial or not yet scaling. Profitability has deteriorated versus 2024 annual (net loss about -$63.2M) mainly through persistent high operating costs and negative gross profit in both periods. The only relative positive is a modest improvement in the absolute net loss versus 2023–2024, but overall earnings quality and margin profile remain very weak due to the lack of revenue.
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Leverage is moderate in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) with debt-to-equity around 0.57 and total debt of about $12.9M, but the bigger issue is rapid balance sheet shrinkage: equity has fallen sharply from about $98.0M (2023 annual) and $46.7M (2024 annual) to about $14.1M in TTM, consistent with ongoing losses and cash burn. Return on equity is deeply negative in TTM, signaling meaningful capital erosion risk. While debt is not extreme in absolute dollars, the reduced equity base increases financial fragility.
Cash Flow
10
Very Negative
Cash generation is weak: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is about -$47.5M and free cash flow about -$47.8M, showing substantial ongoing cash burn. Free cash flow worsened versus 2024 annual (about -$50.1M) and remains consistently negative across the history provided, implying continued reliance on external funding. A positive note is that free cash flow roughly tracks net loss (free cash flow to net income ~1.0), suggesting losses are largely reflected in cash, but the scale of burn remains a key risk.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-894.00K-2.11M-1.85M0.000.000.00
EBITDA-52.57M-61.12M-69.19M6.47M-34.80M-12.83M
Net Income-53.59M-63.22M-71.07M5.16M-35.21M-12.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets29.35M67.72M119.86M140.29M181.68M17.79M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.41M49.10M98.18M116.21M173.51M16.87M
Total Debt12.89M13.79M14.83M15.69M1.34M110.00K
Total Liabilities15.26M21.02M21.89M29.25M98.59M935.00K
Stockholders Equity14.09M46.70M97.97M111.05M83.09M16.85M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-47.77M-50.14M-63.98M-66.56M-34.59M-12.16M
Operating Cash Flow-47.47M-49.96M-62.30M-61.21M-33.30M-12.04M
Investing Cash Flow43.51M6.86M-45.78M-5.35M-1.29M13.20M
Financing Cash Flow72.84K8.00K44.70M9.14M192.16M13.52M

Vicarious Surgical Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.65
Price Trends
50DMA
2.83
Negative
100DMA
4.37
Negative
200DMA
6.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
50.06
Neutral
STOCH
43.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RBOT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.38, below the 50-day MA of 2.83, and below the 200-day MA of 6.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RBOT.

Vicarious Surgical Risk Analysis

Vicarious Surgical disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vicarious Surgical reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vicarious Surgical Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$2.68B63.266.54%16.81%34.90%
66
Neutral
$93.10M65.203.64%16.88%
63
Neutral
$3.39B-15.49-17.63%8.97%-1024.86%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
45
Neutral
$18.86M-0.29-148.93%15.03%
45
Neutral
$96.10M-0.41-92.33%4.65%68.71%
41
Neutral
$1.70B-19.75-27.22%50.07%21.22%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RBOT
Vicarious Surgical
2.65
-11.65
-81.47%
LIVN
LivaNova
62.11
12.90
26.21%
XTNT
Xtant Medical Holdings
0.67
0.08
12.71%
INSP
Inspire Medical Systems
92.23
-92.86
-50.17%
OM
Outset Medical
5.30
-6.80
-56.20%
PRCT
PROCEPT BioRobotics
30.38
-39.37
-56.44%

Vicarious Surgical Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
Vicarious Surgical Stockholders Approve Warrant Exercise Proposal
Positive
Jan 9, 2026

On January 9, 2026, Vicarious Surgical Inc. held a special meeting of stockholders at which holders of Class A and Class B common stock, representing approximately 78.18% of the company’s total voting power, formed a quorum to vote on a single proposal. Stockholders overwhelmingly approved the exercise of warrants issued on October 7, 2025 to purchase up to an aggregate of 2,300,000 shares of Class A common stock, a step that positions the company to potentially strengthen its capital base and financial flexibility as it advances its surgical robotics business.

The most recent analyst rating on (RBOT) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vicarious Surgical stock, see the RBOT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Vicarious Surgical Announces 2026 Cash Burn Guidance
Positive
Dec 16, 2025

On December 12, 2025, Vicarious Surgical Inc. entered into an At the Market Offering Agreement with H.C. Wainwright & Co., LLC to sell shares of its Class A common stock, subject to certain conditions. This agreement allows the company to manage the sale parameters and provides flexibility in raising capital. Additionally, on December 15, 2025, Vicarious Surgical announced its 2026 cash burn guidance, projecting a reduction to $35 million, reflecting a $10 million improvement from 2025. This improvement is attributed to cost management strategies, including headcount reductions and strategic outsourcing, which aim to support the company’s goal of achieving a design freeze on its surgical system by the end of 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (RBOT) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vicarious Surgical stock, see the RBOT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Vicarious Surgical Announces Improved Cash Burn Outlook
Positive
Dec 3, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Beverly Huss and Randy Clark resigned from Vicarious Surgical‘s Board of Directors as part of a decision to reduce the board’s size from nine to seven members. This change did not stem from any disagreements with the company’s operations. Subsequently, Joseph Doherty, Fuad Ahmad, and Victoria Carr-Brendel were appointed to new roles within the board’s committees. On December 3, 2025, Vicarious Surgical announced an improved cash burn outlook for 2025, reducing it from $50 million to $45 million due to disciplined cost management. This financial update aligns with the company’s strategic focus on operational efficiency and supports its long-term goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (RBOT) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vicarious Surgical stock, see the RBOT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 10, 2026