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Rave Restaurant Group (RAVE)
NASDAQ:RAVE
US Market

Rave Restaurant Group (RAVE) AI Stock Analysis

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RAVE

Rave Restaurant Group

(NASDAQ:RAVE)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-8.54% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/07/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance—high and improving margins and a low-debt balance sheet—partly offset by inconsistent revenue/FCF momentum. Technicals are mildly supportive with price above key moving averages but only neutral momentum indicators, while valuation is reasonable on P/E but lacks dividend support.
Positive Factors
High Profitability
Sustained high margins indicate durable operating leverage and efficient unit economics across company and franchise operations. Elevated gross and EBIT margins provide pricing flexibility, a buffer against input cost shocks, and recurring operating cash to support reinvestment and franchise development over the medium term.
Conservative Balance Sheet
Very low leverage and strengthened equity materially reduce solvency risk and preserve financial optionality. A conservative balance sheet supports organic or franchised expansion, weathering local demand shocks, and funds strategic initiatives without reliance on costly external financing, improving long-term resilience.
Reliable Cash Generation
Free cash flow closely tracking net income signals earnings quality and consistent cash conversion from operations. That internal cash generation supports franchise support, unit-level investment, working capital needs and potential shareholder returns, reducing dependence on external capital over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent Revenue Growth
Stagnant top-line growth constrains scalability of the business and limits the ability to convert high margins into larger absolute profits. Reliance on same-store sales or irregular one-time items creates uncertainty in long-term revenue trajectory and raises execution demands on franchising expansion.
Weak FCF Momentum
A decline in FCF growth reduces flexibility for reinvestment and franchise support during market stress. Even with positive absolute FCF, shrinking momentum can force tougher prioritization between capex, marketing, and franchise development, and may expose sensitivity of cash conversion to operational swings.
Small Scale and Concentration
Limited revenue scale and a compact corporate footprint constrain bargaining power with suppliers, brand marketing reach, and the pace of franchise development. Concentration in pizza-focused concepts increases exposure to competitive and local demand shifts, making growth and diversification more challenging.

Rave Restaurant Group (RAVE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rave Restaurant Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRave Restaurant Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates and franchises pizza buffet, delivery/carry-out (delco), and express restaurants under the Pizza Inn trademark in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Pizza Inn Franchising, Pie Five Franchising, and Company-Owned Restaurants. The company's buffet restaurants are located in free standing buildings or strip centers in retail developments that offer dine-in, carryout, and catering services, as well as delivery services. Its delco restaurants provide delivery and carryout services and are located in shopping centers or other in-line retail developments. The company's Express restaurants serve customers through various non-traditional points of sale and are located in convenience stores, food courts, college campuses, airport terminals, travel plazas, athletic facilities, or other commercial facilities. In addition, it operates and franchises fast casual restaurants under the Pie Five Pizza Company or Pie Five trademarks. As of June 27, 2021, the company had 33 franchised Pie Five Units, 156 franchised Pizza Inn restaurants, and 11 licensed Pizza Inn Express, or PIE, kiosks. The company was formerly known as Pizza Inn Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Rave Restaurant Group, Inc. in January 2015. Rave Restaurant Group, Inc. was founded in 1958 and is based in The Colony, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyRave Restaurant Group makes money through a mix of (1) sales from company-owned restaurants and (2) franchising-related income. For company-owned locations, revenue is generated primarily from direct customer purchases of food and beverages (dine-in, carryout, and, where offered, delivery), with the company recognizing restaurant-level sales and managing the associated operating costs (food, labor, occupancy, and marketing). For franchised locations, the company earns revenue from franchise fees and ongoing royalties that are typically based on a percentage of franchisee restaurant sales; it may also earn other franchise-related fees tied to development agreements, transfers, renewals, training, and/or required marketing contributions, to the extent such arrangements exist and are in force. The overall earnings profile is influenced by systemwide restaurant sales performance, the number of operating units (company-owned and franchised), franchisee openings/closures, brand demand, and restaurant-level unit economics.

Rave Restaurant Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Income Before Taxes by Segment
Income Before Taxes by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Rave Restaurant Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability (TTM gross margin ~71%, net margin ~23%, EBIT margin ~30%) and a very conservative balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.03). Cash flow supports earnings (FCF ~0.98x net income), but uneven revenue growth and a recent decline in TTM free cash flow growth reduce visibility.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is $12.38M with very strong profitability (gross margin ~71%, net margin ~23%, and EBIT margin ~30%). Profitability has expanded versus prior years (net margin ~13.6% in 2023 to ~22–23% in 2025/TTM), indicating improved operating leverage. The main weakness is growth consistency: annual revenue growth was roughly flat in 2025 (about -0.9%), and the TTM growth rate shown is unusually high, suggesting potential volatility or non-recurring effects in the growth calculation.
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively positioned with very low leverage in the most recent periods (TTM total debt ~$0.39M vs. equity ~$15.54M; debt-to-equity ~0.03). Equity has steadily strengthened since 2023, while total debt has trended down meaningfully from 2021–2024 levels. Returns on equity remain healthy (~19–20% in 2024–TTM), though 2022 shows an unusually high net income/ROE reading that appears non-recurring, which is a watch item for normalized earnings power.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash generation is solid: TTM operating cash flow is ~$3.09M and free cash flow is ~$3.05M, with free cash flow closely tracking net income (TTM ~0.98x), suggesting earnings quality is generally good. Coverage of net income by operating cash flow is strong in 2024–TTM (about 1.36x to 2.16x). The key weakness is momentum—TTM free cash flow growth is sharply negative (about -10.4%) after positive growth in prior years, pointing to near-term variability in cash conversion or spending.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.38M12.04M12.15M11.89M10.69M8.59M
Gross Profit8.95M8.64M8.49M7.93M7.41M5.93M
EBITDA4.29M3.80M3.57M2.81M3.03M2.32M
Net Income2.85M2.70M2.47M1.61M8.02M1.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.55M16.56M15.82M14.24M18.52M13.35M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.90M9.88M7.83M5.33M7.72M8.33M
Total Debt408.00K576.00K957.00K1.42M1.94M4.20M
Total Liabilities2.01M2.40M3.12M3.85M5.10M7.61M
Stockholders Equity15.54M14.15M12.70M10.39M13.41M5.73M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.05M3.34M2.66M2.40M1.22M1.20M
Operating Cash Flow3.09M3.40M2.74M2.63M1.38M1.49M
Investing Cash Flow-4.14M-2.04M-4.87M-15.00K338.00K-238.00K
Financing Cash Flow-1.20M-1.39M-311.00K-5.01M-2.33M3.88M

Rave Restaurant Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.28
Price Trends
50DMA
3.08
Negative
100DMA
2.99
Negative
200DMA
2.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Positive
RSI
36.25
Neutral
STOCH
40.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RAVE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.84, above the 50-day MA of 3.08, and above the 200-day MA of 2.97, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RAVE.

Rave Restaurant Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$37.38M18.5719.70%0.35%9.25%
65
Neutral
$64.31M17.078.92%1.89%8.99%49.97%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
48
Neutral
$12.46M17.643.18%1.84%12.10%
46
Neutral
$24.52M6.41-29.84%-9.70%-194.23%
43
Neutral
$36.69M-0.81203.92%-0.35%-37.02%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RAVE
Rave Restaurant Group
2.68
-0.04
-1.47%
ARKR
Ark Restaurants
6.70
-3.30
-33.00%
BDL
Flanigan's Enterprises
32.98
8.24
33.33%
GTIM
Good Times Restaurants
1.19
-1.27
-51.63%
NDLS
Noodles & Co
6.65
-2.31
-25.78%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026