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Restaurant Brands International (QSR)
NYSE:QSR
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Restaurant Brands International (QSR) AI Stock Analysis

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QSR

Restaurant Brands International

(NYSE:QSR)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$72.00
▲(2.11% Upside)
Restaurant Brands International's strong earnings call performance and strategic growth initiatives are the most significant factors driving its stock score. While financial performance shows operational efficiency, challenges in profitability and cash flow management are concerns. The technical analysis indicates a neutral trend, and the valuation is supported by a reasonable P/E ratio and attractive dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth across key segments indicates strong market demand and effective strategic initiatives, supporting long-term expansion.
International Business Expansion
Strong international growth highlights successful global strategy and diversification, reducing reliance on domestic markets and enhancing resilience.
Cash Flow Generation
Robust cash flow generation supports financial stability and shareholder returns, enabling reinvestment in growth and strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Declining profit margins indicate cost pressures, which may impact long-term profitability if not managed effectively, affecting overall financial health.
Popeyes U.S. Underperformance
Underperformance in a key brand like Popeyes can hinder growth potential and market competitiveness, requiring strategic adjustments to regain momentum.
Elevated Input Costs
Rising input costs, such as beef, can erode margins and profitability, necessitating effective cost management strategies to sustain long-term financial performance.

Restaurant Brands International (QSR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Restaurant Brands International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRestaurant Brands International Inc. operates as quick service restaurant company in Canada and internationally. It operates through four segments: Tim Hortons (TH), Burger King (BK), Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen (PLK), and Firehouse Subs (FHS). The company owns and franchises TH chain of donut/coffee/tea restaurants that offer blend coffee, tea, and espresso-based hot and cold specialty drinks; and fresh baked goods, including donuts, Timbits, bagels, muffins, cookies and pastries, grilled paninis, classic sandwiches, wraps, soups, and others. It is also involved in owning and franchising BK, a fast food hamburger restaurant chain, which offers flame-grilled hamburgers, chicken and other specialty sandwiches, french fries, soft drinks, and other food items; and PLK quick service restaurants that provide Louisiana style fried chicken, chicken tenders, fried shrimp and other seafood, red beans and rice, and other regional items. In addition, the company owns and franchises FHS restaurants quick service restaurants that offer subs, soft drinks, and local specialties. As of February 15, 2022, the company had approximately 29,000 restaurants in 100 countries under the Tim Hortons, Burger King, Popeyes, And Firehouse Subs brands. Restaurant Brands International Inc. was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyRestaurant Brands International generates revenue primarily through its franchising model, which allows the company to earn significant fees from franchisees based on sales and royalties. Additionally, it makes money from company-operated restaurants, where it retains a larger portion of revenues. The company also benefits from supply chain efficiencies and product distribution, which contribute to its earnings. Strategic partnerships, such as collaborations with food suppliers and technology firms, enhance operational capabilities and customer engagement, further driving revenue growth.

Restaurant Brands International Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Organic Revenue Growth
Organic Revenue Growth
Measures revenue growth from existing operations, excluding acquisitions or currency effects, to assess the company's true growth momentum and operational effectiveness.
Chart InsightsTim Hortons and the International segments are key drivers of Restaurant Brands International's growth, with Tim Hortons maintaining positive momentum in Canada. Despite challenges in the U.S. market, particularly for Burger King and Popeyes, the company's strategic focus on quality and franchisee engagement is promising. The latest earnings call highlights a 5.3% system-wide sales growth and a 5.7% increase in organic adjusted operating income, underscoring disciplined cost management and potential for future growth, although commodity inflation remains a concern.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Restaurant Brands International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in Q3 with growth across various segments, particularly in Tim Hortons Canada and international operations. However, challenges remain with Popeyes U.S. underperformance and elevated beef costs affecting Burger King U.S. Despite some headwinds, the company remains confident in its growth trajectory.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Overall Performance
Q3 saw comparable sales up 4%, net restaurant growth of 2.8%, and system-wide sales growth of 6.9%. Organic adjusted operating income grew 8.8%, and nominal EPS grew in double digits.
Tim Hortons Canada Success
Tim Hortons Canada delivered 18 consecutive quarters of positive same-store sales. Comparable sales grew 4.2% in Q3, outperforming the broader Canadian QSR industry by 3 points.
International Business Growth
International operations, contributing 26% of operating profit, saw same-store sales increase by 6.5% and system-wide sales growth of more than 12%.
Burger King U.S. Progress
U.S. comparable sales grew 3.2%, with franchisee confidence near all-time highs and consistent outperformance against the Burger QSR category.
Strong Financial Management
Generated $566 million in free cash flow and returned $282 million to shareholders through dividends. Reduced interest expenses from refinancing activities.
Negative Updates
Popeyes U.S. Underperformance
Popeyes saw a 2% decline in U.S. comparable sales. Efforts to drive new guest trials fell short in repeat visitation.
Impact of Elevated Beef Costs
Burger King U.S. faced short-term margin pressures due to elevated beef costs, with prices up high teens year-over-year.
Softened October Trends
October began with choppier trends in the U.S., though it hasn't prompted a change in plans.
Company Guidance
During the Restaurant Brands International Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a robust performance despite a challenging consumer environment. Key metrics highlighted include a 4% increase in comparable sales, a 2.8% rise in net restaurant growth, and a 6.9% growth in system-wide sales. This strong top-line performance contributed to an 8.8% growth in organic adjusted operating income and double-digit nominal EPS growth. The call also noted the positive contributions from Tim Hortons Canada and the international business, which together account for approximately 70% of RBI's adjusted operating income, with both segments achieving 18 consecutive quarters of positive same-store sales. Additionally, the Burger King segment in the U.S. showed improvement with a 3.2% increase in comparable sales, driven by menu innovation and remodels. Overall, the company expressed confidence in achieving at least 8% organic AOI growth for the full year 2025, supported by strategic initiatives and disciplined execution across its brands.

Restaurant Brands International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Restaurant Brands International demonstrates strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, with significant improvements in leverage. However, challenges in maintaining profitability are evident due to declining profit margins and return on equity. Improved free cash flow growth is a positive indicator, but cash flow management requires attention.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Restaurant Brands International has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.74%. However, the gross profit margin has decreased significantly in the TTM period to 8.03% from 35.97% in the previous year, indicating increased cost pressures. The net profit margin also declined to 9.95% in the TTM period from 12.15% in the previous year, which suggests challenges in maintaining profitability. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a strong EBIT margin of 17.42% and an EBITDA margin of 22.86% in the TTM period, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company has improved its debt-to-equity ratio to 0.58 in the TTM period from 5.13 in the previous year, indicating a significant reduction in leverage. However, the return on equity has decreased to 28.54% in the TTM period from 32.83% in the previous year, reflecting a decline in profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced approach to asset financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The free cash flow growth rate has improved significantly to 2.75% in the TTM period, indicating better cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.58, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.85, demonstrating adequate cash flow coverage. However, the operating cash flow coverage ratio has slightly decreased compared to previous years, which could indicate potential cash flow management challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.26B8.41B7.02B6.50B5.74B4.97B
Gross Profit3.81B3.02B2.80B2.60B2.37B1.97B
EBITDA2.41B2.66B2.24B2.07B2.04B1.50B
Net Income922.00M1.02B1.19B1.01B838.00M486.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.67B24.63B23.39B22.75B23.25B22.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.21B1.33B1.14B1.18B1.09B1.56B
Total Debt15.84B15.96B14.52B14.49B14.62B14.12B
Total Liabilities20.50B19.79B18.66B18.48B19.39B19.06B
Stockholders Equity3.38B3.11B2.87B2.50B2.24B2.17B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.36B1.30B1.20B1.39B1.62B804.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.60B1.50B1.32B1.49B1.73B921.00M
Investing Cash Flow-260.24M-660.00M11.00M-64.00M-1.10B-79.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.23B-625.00M-1.37B-1.31B-1.09B-821.00M

Restaurant Brands International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price70.51
Price Trends
50DMA
66.79
Positive
100DMA
66.11
Positive
200DMA
65.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.61
Negative
RSI
62.89
Neutral
STOCH
45.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For QSR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 70.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.79, above the 50-day MA of 66.79, and above the 200-day MA of 65.64, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for QSR.

Restaurant Brands International Risk Analysis

Restaurant Brands International disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Restaurant Brands International reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Restaurant Brands International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
C$494.63M15.7810.19%6.27%1.35%-1.11%
73
Outperform
C$42.74B23.9525.66%3.71%19.92%-18.34%
68
Neutral
$30.85B24.1828.08%3.64%16.82%-29.91%
68
Neutral
$835.08M25.603.64%3.61%1.38%-64.10%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
41
Neutral
C$8.86M-3.93-2.40%9.13%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
QSR
Restaurant Brands International
70.51
3.25
4.83%
TSE:PZA
Pizza Pizza Royalty
14.83
2.36
18.95%
TSE:ODD
Odd Burger Corporation
0.07
-0.21
-75.00%
TSE:QSP.UN
Restaurant BrndLP
98.18
3.71
3.93%
TSE:MTY
MTY Food Group
36.56
-9.29
-20.26%

Restaurant Brands International Corporate Events

Restaurant Brands International Q3 Earnings Call Highlights
Nov 1, 2025

Restaurant Brands International (RBI) recently held its earnings call for the third quarter, revealing a generally positive sentiment despite some challenges. The company reported strong growth across various segments, notably in Tim Hortons Canada and its international operations. However, issues such as Popeyes U.S. underperformance and elevated beef costs affecting Burger King U.S. were also discussed. Despite these hurdles, RBI remains optimistic about its growth trajectory.

Restaurant Brands International Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 31, 2025

Restaurant Brands International Inc. (RBI) is a leading global quick-service restaurant company, operating prominent brands such as Tim Hortons, Burger King, Popeyes, and Firehouse Subs across over 120 countries. The company is known for its franchise model and commitment to sustainable practices.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Restaurant Brands International Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

Restaurant Brands International Inc. reported a strong third quarter for 2025, with a 6.9% year-over-year growth in consolidated system-wide sales, driven by significant contributions from Tim Hortons and international operations. The company remains on track for over 8% organic adjusted operating income growth for the year, highlighting disciplined execution and strong franchisee alignment as key factors in outperforming industry peers.

The most recent analyst rating on (QSR) stock is a Buy with a $78.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Restaurant Brands International stock, see the QSR Stock Forecast page.

Restaurant Brands International Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 8, 2025

Restaurant Brands International Inc. (RBI) is a leading global quick-service restaurant company, owning iconic brands such as Tim Hortons, Burger King, Popeyes, and Firehouse Subs, with over 32,000 locations worldwide. In its second-quarter 2025 earnings report, RBI announced a 5.3% year-over-year growth in consolidated system-wide sales, driven by strong performance in international markets and its major brands. The company remains on track to achieve its target of over 8% organic adjusted operating income growth for the year.

Restaurant Brands International’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Aug 8, 2025

Restaurant Brands International’s recent earnings call presented a balanced outlook, highlighting both achievements and challenges. The company reported robust growth in system-wide sales and adjusted operating income, primarily driven by strong performances in the Tim Hortons and International segments. However, the call also acknowledged challenges such as modest growth in Burger King U.S., a decline in Popeyes U.S. comparable sales, and ongoing commodity inflation pressures. Despite these hurdles, the company’s strategic initiatives and franchisee engagement suggest potential for future growth.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Restaurant Brands International Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results with Strategic Growth
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

Restaurant Brands International Inc. reported a 5.3% year-over-year increase in consolidated system-wide sales for the second quarter of 2025, with notable growth in international markets. The company remains on track for over 8% organic adjusted operating income growth in 2025, driven by strong sales trends and strategic initiatives in its largest businesses, Tim Hortons and Burger King International. The acquisitions of Carrols Restaurant Group and Popeyes China have led to the establishment of a new operating segment, Restaurant Holdings, which is expected to enhance the company’s long-term franchise dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:QSR) stock is a Buy with a C$88.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Restaurant Brands International stock, see the TSE:QSR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025