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Restaurant Brands International (QSR)
NYSE:QSR

Restaurant Brands International (QSR) AI Stock Analysis

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QSR

Restaurant Brands International

(NYSE:QSR)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$81.00
▲(20.91% Upside)
Restaurant Brands International's strong earnings call performance and positive technical indicators are the most significant factors driving the score. Financial performance shows operational efficiency but highlights profitability challenges. Valuation concerns are mitigated by a solid dividend yield. The strategic joint venture in China supports long-term growth prospects.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth across key segments indicates strong market demand and effective strategic initiatives, supporting long-term expansion.
Strategic Joint Venture
The joint venture in China is a strategic move to double Burger King's presence, aligning with long-term growth strategies and market expansion.
Cash Flow Management
Strong free cash flow generation and shareholder returns indicate robust financial management and sustainability of operations.
Negative Factors
Profit Margin Decline
Significant decline in profit margins suggests increased cost pressures, which could challenge profitability and operational efficiency.
Popeyes U.S. Underperformance
Underperformance at Popeyes U.S. indicates potential brand-specific challenges, affecting overall growth and market competitiveness.
Elevated Beef Costs
Rising beef costs impact margins and could strain profitability if cost management strategies are not effectively implemented.

Restaurant Brands International (QSR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Restaurant Brands International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRestaurant Brands International Inc. operates as quick service restaurant company in Canada and internationally. It operates through four segments: Tim Hortons (TH), Burger King (BK), Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen (PLK), and Firehouse Subs (FHS). The company owns and franchises TH chain of donut/coffee/tea restaurants that offer blend coffee, tea, and espresso-based hot and cold specialty drinks; and fresh baked goods, including donuts, Timbits, bagels, muffins, cookies and pastries, grilled paninis, classic sandwiches, wraps, soups, and others. It is also involved in owning and franchising BK, a fast food hamburger restaurant chain, which offers flame-grilled hamburgers, chicken and other specialty sandwiches, french fries, soft drinks, and other food items; and PLK quick service restaurants that provide Louisiana style fried chicken, chicken tenders, fried shrimp and other seafood, red beans and rice, and other regional items. In addition, the company owns and franchises FHS restaurants quick service restaurants that offer subs, soft drinks, and local specialties. As of February 15, 2022, the company had approximately 29,000 restaurants in 100 countries under the Tim Hortons, Burger King, Popeyes, And Firehouse Subs brands. Restaurant Brands International Inc. was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyRestaurant Brands International generates revenue primarily through its franchising model, which allows the company to earn significant fees from franchisees based on sales and royalties. Additionally, it makes money from company-operated restaurants, where it retains a larger portion of revenues. The company also benefits from supply chain efficiencies and product distribution, which contribute to its earnings. Strategic partnerships, such as collaborations with food suppliers and technology firms, enhance operational capabilities and customer engagement, further driving revenue growth.

Restaurant Brands International Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Organic Revenue Growth
Organic Revenue Growth
Measures revenue growth from existing operations, excluding acquisitions or currency effects, to assess the company's true growth momentum and operational effectiveness.
Chart InsightsTim Hortons and the International segments are key drivers of Restaurant Brands International's growth, with Tim Hortons maintaining positive momentum in Canada. Despite challenges in the U.S. market, particularly for Burger King and Popeyes, the company's strategic focus on quality and franchisee engagement is promising. The latest earnings call highlights a 5.3% system-wide sales growth and a 5.7% increase in organic adjusted operating income, underscoring disciplined cost management and potential for future growth, although commodity inflation remains a concern.
Data provided by:The Fly

Restaurant Brands International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in Q3 with growth across various segments, particularly in Tim Hortons Canada and international operations. However, challenges remain with Popeyes U.S. underperformance and elevated beef costs affecting Burger King U.S. Despite some headwinds, the company remains confident in its growth trajectory.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Overall Performance
Q3 saw comparable sales up 4%, net restaurant growth of 2.8%, and system-wide sales growth of 6.9%. Organic adjusted operating income grew 8.8%, and nominal EPS grew in double digits.
Tim Hortons Canada Success
Tim Hortons Canada delivered 18 consecutive quarters of positive same-store sales. Comparable sales grew 4.2% in Q3, outperforming the broader Canadian QSR industry by 3 points.
International Business Growth
International operations, contributing 26% of operating profit, saw same-store sales increase by 6.5% and system-wide sales growth of more than 12%.
Burger King U.S. Progress
U.S. comparable sales grew 3.2%, with franchisee confidence near all-time highs and consistent outperformance against the Burger QSR category.
Strong Financial Management
Generated $566 million in free cash flow and returned $282 million to shareholders through dividends. Reduced interest expenses from refinancing activities.
Negative Updates
Popeyes U.S. Underperformance
Popeyes saw a 2% decline in U.S. comparable sales. Efforts to drive new guest trials fell short in repeat visitation.
Impact of Elevated Beef Costs
Burger King U.S. faced short-term margin pressures due to elevated beef costs, with prices up high teens year-over-year.
Softened October Trends
October began with choppier trends in the U.S., though it hasn't prompted a change in plans.
Company Guidance
During the Restaurant Brands International Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a robust performance despite a challenging consumer environment. Key metrics highlighted include a 4% increase in comparable sales, a 2.8% rise in net restaurant growth, and a 6.9% growth in system-wide sales. This strong top-line performance contributed to an 8.8% growth in organic adjusted operating income and double-digit nominal EPS growth. The call also noted the positive contributions from Tim Hortons Canada and the international business, which together account for approximately 70% of RBI's adjusted operating income, with both segments achieving 18 consecutive quarters of positive same-store sales. Additionally, the Burger King segment in the U.S. showed improvement with a 3.2% increase in comparable sales, driven by menu innovation and remodels. Overall, the company expressed confidence in achieving at least 8% organic AOI growth for the full year 2025, supported by strategic initiatives and disciplined execution across its brands.

Restaurant Brands International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Restaurant Brands International shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, with significant leverage reduction. However, declining profit margins and return on equity highlight challenges in maintaining profitability. Improved free cash flow growth is a positive sign, but cash flow management needs attention.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Restaurant Brands International has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.74%. However, the gross profit margin has decreased significantly in the TTM period to 8.03% from 35.97% in the previous year, indicating increased cost pressures. The net profit margin also declined to 9.95% in the TTM period from 12.15% in the previous year, which suggests challenges in maintaining profitability. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a strong EBIT margin of 17.42% and an EBITDA margin of 22.86% in the TTM period, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company has improved its debt-to-equity ratio to 0.58 in the TTM period from 5.13 in the previous year, indicating a significant reduction in leverage. However, the return on equity has decreased to 28.54% in the TTM period from 32.83% in the previous year, reflecting a decline in profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced approach to asset financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The free cash flow growth rate has improved significantly to 2.75% in the TTM period, indicating better cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.58, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.85, demonstrating adequate cash flow coverage. However, the operating cash flow coverage ratio has slightly decreased compared to previous years, which could indicate potential cash flow management challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.26B8.41B7.02B6.50B5.74B4.97B
Gross Profit3.81B3.02B2.80B2.60B2.37B1.97B
EBITDA2.41B2.66B2.24B2.07B2.04B1.50B
Net Income922.00M1.02B1.19B1.01B838.00M486.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.67B24.63B23.39B22.75B23.25B22.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.21B1.33B1.14B1.18B1.09B1.56B
Total Debt15.84B15.96B14.52B14.49B14.62B14.12B
Total Liabilities20.50B19.79B18.66B18.48B19.39B19.06B
Stockholders Equity3.38B3.11B2.87B2.50B2.24B2.17B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.36B1.30B1.20B1.39B1.62B804.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.60B1.50B1.32B1.49B1.73B921.00M
Investing Cash Flow-260.24M-660.00M11.00M-64.00M-1.10B-79.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.23B-625.00M-1.37B-1.31B-1.09B-821.00M

Restaurant Brands International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price66.99
Price Trends
50DMA
69.20
Negative
100DMA
67.45
Negative
200DMA
66.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.46
Positive
RSI
39.21
Neutral
STOCH
18.09
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For QSR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 66.99 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 68.18, below the 50-day MA of 69.20, and above the 200-day MA of 66.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.09 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for QSR.

Restaurant Brands International Risk Analysis

Restaurant Brands International disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Restaurant Brands International reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Restaurant Brands International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$17.86B20.4815.44%1.98%3.29%6.72%
75
Outperform
$31.71B23.8828.08%3.60%16.82%-29.91%
73
Outperform
$51.40B34.2644.96%7.31%5.26%
68
Neutral
$13.86B23.981.63%3.92%4.98%
65
Neutral
$224.33B26.872.31%1.26%2.87%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
$43.18B30.281.84%11.60%-4.33%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
QSR
Restaurant Brands International
66.99
7.54
12.68%
CMG
Chipotle
38.87
-19.49
-33.40%
DPZ
Domino's Pizza
410.33
-38.36
-8.55%
MCD
McDonald's
315.00
31.56
11.13%
YUM
Yum! Brands
155.50
26.50
20.54%
YUMC
Yum China Holdings
49.42
5.35
12.14%

Restaurant Brands International Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Restaurant Brands International Announces Joint Venture in China
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

On November 7, 2025, Restaurant Brands International (RBI) announced a joint venture with CPE Alder Investment Limited to enhance Burger King China’s growth. CPE will invest $350 million, owning 83% of the venture, while RBI retains 17% and a board seat. This move aims to double Burger King’s presence in China to over 4,000 restaurants by 2035, aligning with RBI’s strategy to simplify operations and focus on franchising. The transaction, expected to close in early 2026, will also involve a 20-year development agreement to expand the brand’s footprint in China, supporting RBI’s goal for 5%+ net restaurant growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (QSR) stock is a Buy with a $81.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Restaurant Brands International stock, see the QSR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025