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Restaurant Brands International (QSR)
NYSE:QSR
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Restaurant Brands International (QSR) AI Stock Analysis

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QSR

Restaurant Brands International

(NYSE:QSR)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$73.00
▲(8.94% Upside)
Restaurant Brands International's overall score reflects strong financial performance and strategic growth in key segments, particularly Tim Hortons and International. While valuation and technical indicators are moderately positive, challenges in maintaining profitability and managing costs, especially commodity inflation, are notable risks. The company's strategic initiatives and dividend yield enhance its attractiveness, but careful management of financial and operational challenges is crucial for sustained growth.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The company's strong revenue growth, exceeding expectations, indicates robust demand and effective execution of its strategic initiatives, supporting long-term expansion.
Franchising Model
The franchising model provides a stable revenue stream with lower operational risks, enabling scalable growth and sustained profitability over time.
International Expansion
Strong international growth reflects successful market penetration and brand acceptance, enhancing global market position and long-term revenue potential.
Negative Factors
Declining Profit Margins
Decreasing profit margins indicate rising costs and pricing pressures, which could hinder profitability and financial performance if not managed effectively.
Commodity Cost Inflation
Rising commodity costs, especially in key inputs like beef, can erode margins and increase pricing pressures, challenging cost management and profitability.
Bad Debt Expenses
Rising bad debt expenses suggest potential issues with receivables management, which could strain cash flow and impact financial stability if persistent.

Restaurant Brands International (QSR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Restaurant Brands International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRestaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) is one of the world's largest quick-service restaurant companies, headquartered in Toronto, Canada. It operates a diverse portfolio of well-known brands, including Tim Hortons, Burger King, and Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen. The company focuses on providing high-quality food and exceptional customer service across its global network of franchised and company-owned restaurants. Through innovative menu offerings and strategic marketing initiatives, Restaurant Brands International aims to enhance its presence in the fast-food market and cater to evolving consumer preferences.
How the Company Makes MoneyRestaurant Brands International generates revenue primarily through its franchising model, which allows the company to earn significant fees from franchisees based on sales and royalties. Additionally, it makes money from company-operated restaurants, where it retains a larger portion of revenues. The company also benefits from supply chain efficiencies and product distribution, which contribute to its earnings. Strategic partnerships, such as collaborations with food suppliers and technology firms, enhance operational capabilities and customer engagement, further driving revenue growth.

Restaurant Brands International Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Organic Revenue Growth
Organic Revenue Growth
Measures revenue growth from existing operations, excluding acquisitions or currency effects, to assess the company's true growth momentum and operational effectiveness.
Chart InsightsTim Hortons has shown a steady decline in growth since mid-2022, reflecting challenges in maintaining momentum. Burger King experienced volatility, with a significant dip in late 2023, but recent efforts in modernization may stabilize growth. Popeyes shows consistent, albeit modest, growth, while Firehouse Subs has seen impressive gains since 2023, driven by digital initiatives. International markets are a bright spot, with strong growth, particularly in the UK and Germany. Despite a challenging Q1, RBI is optimistic about achieving 8% organic adjusted operating income growth for 2025, focusing on refranchising and operational improvements.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Restaurant Brands International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in Q3 with growth across various segments, particularly in Tim Hortons Canada and international operations. However, challenges remain with Popeyes U.S. underperformance and elevated beef costs affecting Burger King U.S. Despite some headwinds, the company remains confident in its growth trajectory.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Overall Performance
Q3 saw comparable sales up 4%, net restaurant growth of 2.8%, and system-wide sales growth of 6.9%. Organic adjusted operating income grew 8.8%, and nominal EPS grew in double digits.
Tim Hortons Canada Success
Tim Hortons Canada delivered 18 consecutive quarters of positive same-store sales. Comparable sales grew 4.2% in Q3, outperforming the broader Canadian QSR industry by 3 points.
International Business Growth
International operations, contributing 26% of operating profit, saw same-store sales increase by 6.5% and system-wide sales growth of more than 12%.
Burger King U.S. Progress
U.S. comparable sales grew 3.2%, with franchisee confidence near all-time highs and consistent outperformance against the Burger QSR category.
Strong Financial Management
Generated $566 million in free cash flow and returned $282 million to shareholders through dividends. Reduced interest expenses from refinancing activities.
Negative Updates
Popeyes U.S. Underperformance
Popeyes saw a 2% decline in U.S. comparable sales. Efforts to drive new guest trials fell short in repeat visitation.
Impact of Elevated Beef Costs
Burger King U.S. faced short-term margin pressures due to elevated beef costs, with prices up high teens year-over-year.
Softened October Trends
October began with choppier trends in the U.S., though it hasn't prompted a change in plans.
Company Guidance
During the Restaurant Brands International Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a robust performance despite a challenging consumer environment. Key metrics highlighted include a 4% increase in comparable sales, a 2.8% rise in net restaurant growth, and a 6.9% growth in system-wide sales. This strong top-line performance contributed to an 8.8% growth in organic adjusted operating income and double-digit nominal EPS growth. The call also noted the positive contributions from Tim Hortons Canada and the international business, which together account for approximately 70% of RBI's adjusted operating income, with both segments achieving 18 consecutive quarters of positive same-store sales. Additionally, the Burger King segment in the U.S. showed improvement with a 3.2% increase in comparable sales, driven by menu innovation and remodels. Overall, the company expressed confidence in achieving at least 8% organic AOI growth for the full year 2025, supported by strategic initiatives and disciplined execution across its brands.

Restaurant Brands International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Restaurant Brands International demonstrates solid revenue growth and operational efficiency, but faces challenges with declining net profit margins and high leverage. The company shows positive cash flow trends, which is a strength, but the high debt levels could pose risks if not managed carefully. Overall, the financial health is stable with room for improvement in profitability and leverage management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Restaurant Brands International shows a steady revenue growth rate of 3.76% in the TTM, indicating positive momentum. However, the net profit margin has decreased from 12.15% in 2024 to 9.43% in the TTM, suggesting some pressure on profitability. The gross profit margin remains stable at around 37.6%, and the EBIT margin is strong at 24.07%, reflecting efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.82 in the TTM, which poses a risk due to significant leverage. However, the return on equity is robust at 26.89%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a heavy reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Free cash flow growth is positive at 9.72% in the TTM, showing improvement in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.58, indicating moderate cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.85, suggesting good cash flow relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.26B8.41B7.02B6.50B5.74B4.97B
Gross Profit744.00M3.02B2.80B2.60B2.37B1.97B
EBITDA2.06B2.66B2.24B2.07B2.04B1.50B
Net Income922.00M1.02B1.19B1.01B838.00M486.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.67B24.63B23.39B22.75B23.25B22.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.21B1.33B1.14B1.18B1.09B1.56B
Total Debt1.96B15.96B14.52B14.49B14.62B14.12B
Total Liabilities20.50B19.79B18.66B18.48B19.39B19.06B
Stockholders Equity3.38B3.11B2.87B2.50B2.24B2.17B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.40B1.30B1.20B1.39B1.62B804.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.64B1.50B1.32B1.49B1.73B921.00M
Investing Cash Flow-359.00M-660.00M11.00M-64.00M-1.10B-79.00M
Financing Cash Flow-260.00M-625.00M-1.37B-1.31B-1.09B-821.00M

Restaurant Brands International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price67.01
Price Trends
50DMA
64.91
Positive
100DMA
65.75
Positive
200DMA
65.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.42
Positive
RSI
52.39
Neutral
STOCH
24.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For QSR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 67.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.49, above the 50-day MA of 64.91, and above the 200-day MA of 65.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for QSR.

Restaurant Brands International Risk Analysis

Restaurant Brands International disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Restaurant Brands International reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Restaurant Brands International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
C$519.32M16.5710.14%5.96%-0.26%-2.48%
C$43.15B25.1624.42%3.68%25.29%-22.90%
$30.48B25.0527.00%3.64%21.80%-34.35%
$775.46M24.293.64%3.66%1.38%-64.10%
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
C$8.37M-3.71-2.40%9.13%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
QSR
Restaurant Brands International
67.01
-0.42
-0.62%
TSE:PZA
Pizza Pizza Royalty
15.57
3.15
25.39%
TSE:ODD
Odd Burger Corporation
0.09
-0.16
-64.00%
TSE:QSP.UN
Restaurant BrndLP
95.16
-0.33
-0.35%
TSE:MTY
MTY Food Group
33.55
-11.29
-25.17%

Restaurant Brands International Corporate Events

Restaurant Brands International Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 31, 2025

Restaurant Brands International Inc. (RBI) is a leading global quick-service restaurant company, operating prominent brands such as Tim Hortons, Burger King, Popeyes, and Firehouse Subs across over 120 countries. The company is known for its franchise model and commitment to sustainable practices.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Restaurant Brands International Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

Restaurant Brands International Inc. reported a strong third quarter for 2025, with a 6.9% year-over-year growth in consolidated system-wide sales, driven by significant contributions from Tim Hortons and international operations. The company remains on track for over 8% organic adjusted operating income growth for the year, highlighting disciplined execution and strong franchisee alignment as key factors in outperforming industry peers.

The most recent analyst rating on (QSR) stock is a Buy with a $78.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Restaurant Brands International stock, see the QSR Stock Forecast page.

Restaurant Brands International Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 8, 2025

Restaurant Brands International Inc. (RBI) is a leading global quick-service restaurant company, owning iconic brands such as Tim Hortons, Burger King, Popeyes, and Firehouse Subs, with over 32,000 locations worldwide. In its second-quarter 2025 earnings report, RBI announced a 5.3% year-over-year growth in consolidated system-wide sales, driven by strong performance in international markets and its major brands. The company remains on track to achieve its target of over 8% organic adjusted operating income growth for the year.

Restaurant Brands International’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Aug 8, 2025

Restaurant Brands International’s recent earnings call presented a balanced outlook, highlighting both achievements and challenges. The company reported robust growth in system-wide sales and adjusted operating income, primarily driven by strong performances in the Tim Hortons and International segments. However, the call also acknowledged challenges such as modest growth in Burger King U.S., a decline in Popeyes U.S. comparable sales, and ongoing commodity inflation pressures. Despite these hurdles, the company’s strategic initiatives and franchisee engagement suggest potential for future growth.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Restaurant Brands International Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results with Strategic Growth
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

Restaurant Brands International Inc. reported a 5.3% year-over-year increase in consolidated system-wide sales for the second quarter of 2025, with notable growth in international markets. The company remains on track for over 8% organic adjusted operating income growth in 2025, driven by strong sales trends and strategic initiatives in its largest businesses, Tim Hortons and Burger King International. The acquisitions of Carrols Restaurant Group and Popeyes China have led to the establishment of a new operating segment, Restaurant Holdings, which is expected to enhance the company’s long-term franchise dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:QSR) stock is a Buy with a C$88.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Restaurant Brands International stock, see the TSE:QSR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025